技能都会过时,能动性不会:为什么通才在 AI 时代反而赢
The Most Important Skill To Learn Right Now — AI 时代最该学的不是某项技能,而是能动性:无需许可就行动,把人生当成实验,在反复迭代中抵达别人眼中的不可能。
核心主张
AI 时代最该学的不是某项技能,而是能动性:无需许可就行动,把人生当成实验,在反复迭代中抵达别人眼中的不可能。
Dan Koe 认为,技能会随技术更替而过时,但能自己设定方向、持续迭代的人永远稀缺。他用「无需许可的迭代」「把生活当一场实验」「相信困难的事」三点刻画高能动性者,指出 AI 只是把知识获取的门槛拉平了,却没有拉平人使用知识的意愿——差距从此只来自能动性。而通才之所以在 AI 时代胜出,是因为他们瞄准的是愿景而非技能,技能被替换时他们只换工具。
几条主线
一、重新定义:能动性不是「行动」,而是「迭代」
网上流行的说法是「无需许可就能行动」,但能开始创业的人很多,成功的极少。作者把能动性改写为「无需许可就能迭代」:做、错、改、再做,并且不被「它没效果」的念头诱惑回舒适的从众里。由此他先划清反面——从众是头脑还连着社会脐带,用流行度和他人认可判断真假;全球约一半人停留在这一发展阶段,因为从众本质是一种心理层面的生存策略。
二、论证:AI 没有抹平差距,只是把差距暴露出来
所有人都能获取任何知识,但多数人依旧什么都不做——所以问题从来不是渠道或机会平等,而是能动性。AI 是工具,工具需要有人为特定目的使用它;让 AI 替你决定,产出的东西没有主线、没有主题、没有个性、没有愿景、没有语境。创作者的本质是「语境创造者」而非「内容创造者」。同理,普鲁士教育模型是为大规模从众设计的:社会要你简单、可预测、易归类,而通才靠愿景而非技能立足,技能被替换时他们不受影响。
三、方法:把人生当成一场游戏,逐级自创规则
能动性是一门艺术:先练别人的能动性,直到能创造自己的;先按规则玩,直到能改写规则。游戏之所以是最好的观察样本,是因为它把「为手段而接受目的」的动机倒置了过来,且升级路径清晰——从第一关到更高等级,你才有资格回望并设计下一个目标。多数人卡在第 10 级(童年、学校、工作),因为游戏设计者并不希望你升级到更高层级。练习路径是:先找到一个可追求的方向(往往来自你深知自己不想要什么),设目标,研究他人流程,实验并记录模式与杠杆,最终形成自己的流程并教给别人。
关键知识点
从众的定义
从众是心智发展的一个阶段:头脑完全按文化编程运转,判断真假依据流行度与他人接纳度,而不是自己的直接经验或独立调查。作者称其为「头脑还通过脐带连着社会」。
约一半人卡在从众阶段
在螺旋动力学与九阶段自我发展模型中,大约 50% 的人处于从众者阶段,即缺乏真正能动性所需的认知发展。从众之所以顽固,是因为它不只是物理生存策略,也是心理生存策略——复制信念、观念与信息。
塞利格曼的狗实验与习得性无助
狗在遭受无法躲避的电击后,即使后来只要跳过矮墙就能逃生,也不再尝试,只是哀鸣着忍受。作者用它类比社会如何训练大多数人相信「你想要的生活不可能实现」,于是人连想都不去想,把默认路径上的痛苦当成正常且不可选。
普鲁士教育模型
19 世纪工业化时期美国为教育大量移民儿童而采用普鲁士模式:强制出勤、教师培训、学生考试、年级制度,目的是批量生产顺从的士兵、公民、公务员与规矩的工人。作者称其「不是教育,而是大规模从众的武器」。
五种人类基本能力
计算(心智)、转化(物理)、变异、选择、注意力。作者的论证是:通用计算器已在手中,计算只受时间与存储限制;物理转化无法被加速;观念空间靠变异—选择—纠错来探索;注意力可随时更换镜头。因此 AGI 除非弯折「可能」的边界,否则无法在这些维度上超越人类。
时间线
- 00:00开场立论:AI 需要方向、工具需要主人、数据需要洞察、内容需要语境、成功需要愿景;头脑是故事引擎。
- 00:59点题:现在有用、10 年后有用、直到死都有用的唯一技能是能动性;它让人不依赖任何特定技能,被取代也能迅速适应。
- 04:49第一种表现:高能动性者无需许可就迭代——做句子的主语而非宾语,并把迭代当作不死的承诺。
- 05:59第二种表现:把人生当成一场巨大实验,像科学家一样假设、试错、纠错;失败是缩小范围的必要步骤。
- 07:10第三种表现:相信「困难」——低能动性者把困难目标误判为不可能目标,因而连试都不试。
- 09:26第二个观点:AI 不威胁高能动性者。知识已人人可得,差距只来自是否行动;高能动性者会以 10 倍速度甩开他人。
- 14:15第三个观点:通才在 AI 时代胜出。专才依附技能,技能会被取代;通才依附愿景,只更换载体与工具。
- 25:09第五个观点:如何练习能动性——像玩游戏一样升级,研究他人流程、公开实验、提炼模式,最终创造自己的流程并传授他人。
原话摘录
“the most important skill to learn that will be relevant now, in 10 years, and until you die, is agency.”
最值得学、现在有用、10 年后有用、直到你死去都有用的技能,就是能动性。
“To have agency is to be the subject of a sentence rather than its direct object.”
拥有能动性,就是做句子的主语,而不是它的直接宾语。
“It's always been about agency.”
问题从来都是关于能动性。
“If you can't create art with AI, then you were never an artist to begin with.”
如果你用 AI 就创作不出艺术,那你本来就不是艺术家。
“the most important high agency trait is knowing when to break free of conformity.”
最重要的高能动性特质,是知道何时挣脱从众。
行动清单
- {'text': '把手里一件「等许可才能做」的事改成「先做一版再看反馈」:今天交出一个不完美的初稿,记录反馈并改一次。'}
- {'text': '用科学家视角重写一个卡住的目标:写下假设、最小可测试动作、以及你预期会失败的地方,然后执行一周。'}
- {'text': '做一次「困难 vs 不可能」的清单拆分:把被你判定为不可能的目标,拆成一串可获得的技能与资源,只做第一环。'}
- {'text': '查一件你最近依赖 AI 完成的事:把「让它替我做」改成「让它教我原理」,自己成为决策者。'}
- {'text': '按视频流程跑一遍:选一个想学的任务→找一位 YouTube 专家→让 AI 总结→转成 meta prompt→测试、改进、复用。'}
00:00The future belongs to those who understand that AI needs direction, tools need masters, data needs insight, content needs context, success needs vision. The mind is a story engine, and those who learn to control it will thrive. Most skills will be irrelevant in 10 to 20 years. That is, unless you completely change how you think about success. Because if you're a high agency individual, that doesn't matter. Why? Because you aren't dependent on a specific skill for your success. because you aren't a specialist. You didn't focus your mind preventing you from learning outside of that focus on the status of a high-paying job or degree.
00:37You have a vision and you understand that in today's world you can learn any skill or acquire any knowledge that is needed to achieve it. Now, unfortunately, if your parents did not cultivate the skill of agency in themselves, they probably didn't pass it off to you. And unless you have deliberately and painfully gone through the process of relearning, you have some work to do before you feel in control of your future. Now, with that said, the most important skill to learn that will be relevant now, in 10 years, and until you die, is agency. Because if you can set your own life direction, do what is required to achieve it, and avoid the infinite number of temptations and distractions in today's world, you will never be at risk of replacement.
01:16And if you do get replaced, it doesn't matter because you can quickly adapt. So in this video I want to share five ideas on what agency is, why it matters more than ever, and how to practice it so you can get what you want in life. So the first idea is that agency is the ability to iterate without permission. And this is a slight redefinition of what most people are talking about online right now in terms of agency because they're saying that it is the ability to act without permission. But we'll see why that is wrong. And maybe it isn't wrong. Maybe that's the definition of agency. But I want to redefine it in a way that is actually useful to you.
01:52So we'll start with a quote from Krishna Murdy. It is only those who are in constant revolt that discover what is true, not the man who conforms, who follows some tradition. So in order to understand what a high agency individual is, it's very helpful to understand what it is not. Agency is not mechanical conformity. Conformity is when your mind is still connected by an umbilical cord to society. Conformity is a stage of development where your mind operates entirely through cultural programming, judging truth based on popularity and acceptance by others rather than your own direct experience or independent investigation.
02:27Now, if you really think about what I just said, if you don't understand what I just said, please go back and relisten to it. You understand that that is one of the greatest threats to living a good life. Now, when you're born, your mind is like a new computer. There's a base operating system, but the hard drive is completely blank. For the first 20 years of your life, you do not think independently. And that's okay. Nobody does. No matter how independent you think you are, because that's just another form of conformity. The little kid that thinks he's rebelling against his parents is just conforming to what his friends want him to do.
03:00Now, in the spiral dynamics in nine stages of ego development models, they show that around 50% of the population is at the conformist stage of development, meaning half the population lacks the cognitive development for genuine agency. Now, conformity stems from survival because humans don't only survive on the physical level like animals where they're reproducing genes, but they survive on the psychological level where they're reproducing beliefs, ideas, and information. If you work a job, you have a low degree of agency in that domain of life because if that job were to go away, your survival is at stake. So, you must conform in order to keep the job.
03:35I mean, that's what you have to do to get the job in the first place is you have to conform to what you think the boss will like so that he can hire you. And then while you're on the job, you have to maybe wear a specific dress code. You have to go through a specific set of processes to do your work that are approved by the boss or your manager. Maybe you have to conform to a 9-to-five style workday. As another example, if you have hard set beliefs that bind you to a specific political party or religious organization, you do not have a high degree of agency because your ideas of good and bad originate from your culture,
04:08not your own personal investigation or discovery. Everyone in the tech and business space and the AI space right now loves to talk about being high agency, but that's just another form of conformity to what is popular in the tech and business space. And if you're not talking about it, then you're not with it. With that said, this video has some degree of conformity. We're all conformist in some ways, and since it's a survival strategy or survival tool, it can be used like a tool. I'm surviving in the sense that I'm trying to stay relevant in the YouTube space. So, what does true agency look like? And how can we start to develop it in ourselves so that our emotions, finances, and opportunities in life aren't dictated by someone else?
04:49The first thing it looks like is that high agency people iterate without permission. To have agency is to be the subject of a sentence rather than its direct object. It is the tendency to act rather than wait to be acted upon. That is a quote from Devon Ericson's article, the third ingredient of success. Now, agency literally means the condition of being in action or operation. When it's used to describe a person, it means the tendency to initiate action towards a goal without outside prompting, instruction, or permission. But when we look at what actually makes people successful, it isn't just acting toward a goal.
05:24Anyone can start a business, but that doesn't mean it will reach any form of success. Most of them don't, in fact, because they're missing the one critical piece of the puzzle. If something doesn't work, you reflect on the situation, make an adjustment, and try again over and over until you reach your end destination. Agency then, in my opinion, is not only action, but an undying commitment to iteration, learning and doing in unison, making mistakes and correcting mistakes without being seduced back into a comforting conformity because it's not working, quote unquote. And yes, I'm talking to you people who start and quit after 2 weeks.
05:59Now, the second tell of a high agency person is that they treat life as one giant experiment. Low agency people can be characterized by the employee mindset. They are assigned a task often with some form of status or credential that triggers the part of their brain that craves acceptance by the tribe and their decision-making is immediately compromised. They can no longer think outside of the confines placed upon them. Now, high agency people are scientists of their own lives. They have an idea. They set their own goal. They create a hypothesis or an educated guess on how to achieve it. Then they test, tinker, research, and make an attempt toward the goal.
06:35And then they fail a lot. But since this is an experiment, that's a part of the process. They expect to fail because how else are they going to narrow down what doesn't work until they find what does. Now, this is a significant issue with how people perceive success today. They are promised something by someone else, like a job that pays a lot of money or a business that can be built really quickly so you can get rich quick. And those people do exactly what they're supposed to do, but when they inevitably fail, they deem it impossible and blame everyone but themselves. they don't notice that they made a mistake and that they can correct that mistake and try again.
07:10Now, the third thing is that high agency people believe in the difficult. You're watching this and you want to become high agency because you believe that it will make a positive difference in your life. You're trying to reach a goal. You're trying to achieve a goal. And goals come in three forms. There's easy goals, so things that we do every day or things we can achieve with the skills or resources we already have. There's difficult goals, so things we can't do right now, but that we can eventually do if we acquire the right skills and resources. And then there's impossible goals, so something that is either outside of the realm of possibility in reality or something we can't do until we complete the series of difficult goals that allow us to see impossible goals as possible.
07:51So low agency people have a belief system that was more than likely conditioned into their mind when they were a kid or later on in life with any kind of ideology they accepted into their life like a political party, a religion, a friend group they joined. And that belief system skews how they perceive difficult goals. They see difficult goals as impossible goals and don't even try them. And they don't even understand that impossible goals are only impossible right now until you get to a point where they become possible. Now, if you take Sellingman's dog experiment, which is an experiment done on dogs, you can see how society does just this to most people.
08:29So, in this experiment, dogs were exposed to unavoidable electric shocks, making them feel as if they had no control over their environment. Later, when they were placed in a situation where they could simply jump over a small wall to escape the shocks, the dogs did not attempt to do so. They just whined and bore the shocks even when escaping was easily available to them. So the goal of reaching the life you want may be difficult but you were trained to believe that there is no way to achieve it. So you don't even think about it or consider that idea. In other words, you're just trained to bear the shocks of the default path.
09:02You just think that the pain of the life that everyone is going through is normal and not optional. The good thing is is that there is a way to practice agency. you can cultivate it as a skill or a trait. But these practical steps don't matter unless you have a deep understanding of how this applies in today's world. So those were the characteristics of what a high agency person is. And now we need to move on to the second idea which is that AI is not a threat to the high agency people. To illustrate this, here's a tweet that I wrote a while back and it got a lot of engagement for some reason, but it's just how I've been using AI.
09:40Choose a task. Find a YouTube expert that teaches it. Have AI summarize their video. Add Have AI turn that into a meta prompt. Test, refine, and reuse that prompt. This has led to the best results in almost everything I have AI do. I actually broke down that entire process two videos ago. I don't remember what the video is called, but the thumbnail says learn AI in 34 minutes or 29 minutes. Says something like that. Okay, so back to the point. You now have access to any knowledge you would ever need to achieve whatever you want. And yet people still do nothing with that information. That's a crucial point. Success is now easier than ever.
10:17Yet the people who weren't going to achieve it still aren't going to achieve it. Meaning this was never about access or equal opportunity. It's always been about agency. High agency people, on the other hand, will outpace everyone else by 10x because they act without permission. And the barriers to action are now close to non-existent. If you can't achieve a big goal due to limited money or resources, you can set a smaller stepping stone goal that will help you acquire that money or resource. Everyone is worried about the same thing, and frankly, they're only afraid because they can't think clearly. So, let's look at the prime example, which is that AI is going to create so much content that human creators don't stand a chance.
10:55I'm actually writing about this right now. Uh, you can read it on my newsletter link in the description. First thing here is that AI is a tool. tools need someone to use them for a specific purpose. So, sure, anyone can ask AI to generate a viral post or a thousand viral posts from a podcast and the AI can rank them or run a simulation on whether or not they're actually going to go viral, but what good is that? What actual good is that? Have you thought about it? Or have you just heard that and been like, "Oh, yeah, that sounds kind of true. Okay, I'm done thinking about it." You can get a bunch of likes and a bunch of followers that way, but what about monetization?
11:32What about loyalty? Or what about any of the other things that make a brand work long term? Yes, you can ask AI to help with that or help you understand it. But now you're doing something completely different. You're not asking AI to do it for you. You're learning now. You're orchestrating the realization of a larger vision. And it's not that different from doing it yourself. You're just getting the information from a different source now in a faster way. You are still the decision maker. And sure, AI can generate a beautiful image on command, but there is a huge difference between someone who has a vision and uses AI to help them execute that vision and someone who just wants to create a quick image.
12:12Many artists nowadays use AI for first drafts. Many artists still take it into Photoshop and make tweaks that would allow it to look more like what they want it to look like because you can't get super detailed with the image generators right now. So as a whole, I believe that AI has exposed what really matters in the creative process. When you ask AI to make all the decisions for you, in other words, you ask it to guess what works based on hundreds of thousands of opinions on the internet. There is no through line. There is no theme. There is no personality. There is no vision. There is no context. That's what creators are, context creators.
12:48They're not content creators. The content is meaningless without context. and AI generations are the same. So, aside from brain rot and memes, and there's actually some great ones out there, I actually like scrolling and seeing some of the brain rot, which are only good at keeping you on the platform until you see an advertisement so the social media platforms can make money, which then have a throughine brand vision crafted for a specific purpose by a specific person using AI or not, AI is practically useless unless the person using AI is already good at creating content. Did that click for you? 99% of AI generated content goes straight to the bottom of the barrel because if that content worked then there's value there and it doesn't matter if it was AI generated or not because it was more than likely orchestrated by a
13:34human who is passing off their personal context to it. When building a business, you must have a brand mission that AI helps you execute and you must iterate constantly. When writing a book, you must maintain control of all minor details and beyond that you must still be able to get people to read it. audience, marketing, and sales, which the book is not going to do itself. When creating art, you must still have an idea that you are attempting to bring into reality. In other words, nothing has changed. People just hate what's new. And that new is shining a light on what mattered in the first place. If you can't create art with AI, then you were never an artist to begin with.
14:08You were simply good at using a tool like Photoshop, and tools get replaced. Vision and agency do not. So speaking of that, that brings us to idea number three is why generalists win in the AI age. Schools were created to enslave the brightest minds by promising the prestige of specialization so they remain narrow-minded and didn't overthrow the true rulers. That is a quote from my book that you can read free on my Substack Purpose and Profit that is taken quite a bit out of context, but that quote is largely true. Now, whenever I write or create a video on becoming a generalist or a polymath or someone with multiple interests, people just seem to pop up and they want to tell me how wrong I am.
14:48And of course, they never give me a coherent argument as to why a specialist is better. Actually, sometimes they do, but they don't actually listen to what I'm saying in the first place. They don't steal man argument. They they usually inadvertently prove me right. And some of them even proceed to quote the classic from Shakespeare, which is a jack of all trades, master of none. Yet they're unaware that that is a misquote and it ends with but oftentimes better than a master of one. Now some may think Shakespeare was a specialist playwright but that was simply a vessel. He had to have a deep understanding of human nature, character development, language, classical literature, stage craft, religion, philosophy, military tactics, music, navigation, the natural world, social structures, the body and medicine.
15:29The list goes on. He was a synthesizer who used his diverse interests as his edge. Now take a Fortune 500 CEO, Charles Darwin, Steve Jobs, or any other visionary or strategist who achieves outside success has a specific vision that they then learn and take the necessary steps to achieve. Do not confuse a specific vessel or niche as being a specialist. Specialists are attached to the skill. Skills always get replaced and evolve as technology advances. We don't see this now, but Photoshop disrupted the art industry. You see Photoshop now and you see it as an integral part of our process. But I can guarantee if we were back in those times where Photoshop came around or not even just Photoshop, but computerenerated graphics came around, the manual handdrawn artists were probably just screaming at the top of their lungs that this is
16:18going to ruin everything. It's exactly what's happening right now with AI. And while I'm very pro AI, there's going to be more videos on me talking about the other side. I think there's things that are very very wrong with AI like the content creation space right now and people just asking hey create me a script for this and then they just read it to the camera and you can obviously tell that they're using AI. I have a lot to say about that. Now generalists on the other hand they aren't they don't care whether or not the skill is going to be replaced or if it's going to evolve because they're focused on the goal. They're focused on the vision.
16:49They're focused on doing what's necessary, including changing the goal, so that they can thrive in anything they do. They don't identify with a skill or think they're passionate about a skill, like being passionate about Photoshop. They're passionate about their direction in life and creating that. So, let me break this down further. Humans are tool builders. We thrive in any niche because we can adapt to it. If you were to put a lion in Alaska and a polar bear in the savannah, they would die. If you were to put a human in either, they would build shelter, clothing, and hunt for something to eat because they can create a plan and execute on it.
17:23The reality is to educate large numbers of immigrant children in the 1800s during industrialization, America adopted the Prussian education model, which was not education at all, but a weapon of mass conformity. It was designed to create obedient soldiers, compliant citizens, civil servants, and well- behaved workers through mandatory attendance, training for teachers, testing for students, and the concept of grade levels. Does that sound familiar? Society wants you simple, predictable, and easy to categorize. Why? Because that's what best serves their interests. That's what best serves the profits of organizations.
17:56If you understand systems, you understand that the system takes the shape of that which most benefits the end goal, which in society's case is keeping you sick and dumb, whether it's intentional or not. It doesn't have to be a conspiracy theory for the system to naturally take shape of the subconscious desires of the humans at the top of the pyramid. So, what do you do? What do you do about all this? Well, if slaves were expected to do one thing throughout the entirety of their lives so that their minds were closed to learning more, which are specialists, then you as a free individual are meant to do many things throughout your life.
18:28You're meant to be a generalist. In other words, you revolt against the path you were set on at birth. You pursue an interestbased education. You use your capabilities wisely. And that's idea number four, which is the five human capabilities. Now, agency is great, but we're still bound by the laws of physics. And this creates another giant worry that es and flows with AI hype cycles. Will AGI, artificial general intelligence, make human intelligence irrelevant? Let's gain clarity on this by asking a few questions. We're going to go through this quick. Are human capabilities limited or are they infinite? As high agency generalists, do we not have the capability to learn anything and do anything that our genes do not limit us from learning or doing?
19:10We thrive in many niches because we adapt with knowledge and tools. So the fundamental question about human capabilities is are there any limits on what we can think and how we can think. So if the main limit is the processing speed and memory of our brain, can that not be augmented? And when AGI becomes a thing, will that not be ever more possible? Will we not be AGI? Are we not already AGI? Will we not be amongst the super intelligent? It's fun to speculate about these things and we have some time before it actually becomes reality. So I want to focus on the near future. So there are five fundamental human capabilities.
19:45Can AI or AGI ever make those irrelevant? The first capability is computation which is mental. So is there any limit to what we can compute? No. Because once you have a universal computer that we can hold in our hands, it's just a matter of time and memory to compute anything. We have that. And if AGIs or aliens had that, they would have the same repertoire of computation as us and no advantage over us. You may say that AGI will be able to compute much faster, but that does not speed up the pace of the physical transformation that allows things to be built. You can have an idea for building a particle collider, but you still need the resources to build it, and you still need to build it from that.
20:24The second capability is transformation, which is physical. Transformation is creation. We turn raw materials into rockets given the right knowledge. Human hands and bodies seem to be especially good at creating anything given a specific sequence of operations. We've built spaceships and telescopes, meaning that we can build the thing that builds the thing. We are generalists that build tools to thrive in any environment. We are not animals bound to one niche. So the question is, is there a limit to what these basic operations can do when strung together in the right way? Now again, the answer is no. If humans could teleoperate a gorilla, there is a sequence of steps it can take to build a rocket given time.
21:04And no, I'm not saying a single gorilla. Imagine if Elon Musk were operating the gorilla. What would he do? Now, the thing here is time transformations take time. And a singularity isn't going to change that. Just as the Enlightenment or the Big Bang didn't, the Big Bang didn't create rocket ships. The Enlightenment didn't create rocket ships. It created maybe some prerequisites for them, but it still took time to get to that point. Time is a compression algorithm that prevents everything from happening at once. In other words, AGI may be able to compute faster than our brains, but that doesn't mean it will be able to create the thing faster than humans.
21:39You can have an idea for building a rocket, but you still need to acquire the resources to build a rocket. Now, after computation and transformation as the two capabilities, there is variation, selection, and attention. And these have to do with navigating idea space or how we create knowledge. We can compute and transform, but do we have limits on the knowledge that allows us to do so? Now, knowledge serves two functions. The first is to make specific things happen, preferably good things rather than bad. And the second is to capture patterns in reality. This allows us to store information in an efficient way so that we aren't always starting from scratch in our pursuits.
22:16We understand big picture concepts like the sun rising and falling each day and seasons changing every so often. Now without this understanding much of our lives would fall apart. Capturing patterns allows us to plan by proximity. We understand that we could freeze to death in a cold environment. So we use deposits of knowledge like a jacket and hotel to keep us warm while we travel. Now think of idea space or the unknown as a universal map with light and dark spots. The light spots are areas you've explored and the dark spots are where your potential lies. This map is a surface area for ideas that can be discovered and tested against reality to verify their validity.
22:54When those results do not move you closer toward your goal or move you further from that, a problem is revealed and you must error correct toward the goal. So with variation, the third capability, is there a limit to the number of new ideas we can come up with to survive and achieve what we set our minds to? With computation, we can navigate the entire space of ideas. With agency, we can take any step within that space and eventually stumble across a good idea after many bad ones. And with creation, we can move in unique ways like flying over a forest rather than walking through it. So, we can understand anything, create anything, and discover an infinite set of new ideas to solve an infinite string of problems.
23:33Again, AGI can do the same, and we are both bound by the laws of nature, but any possibility within that is within reach. Now the fourth capability is selection. We can come up with any idea but can we find the good ones? Now the potential problem here is that it is difficult to make commulative progress without learning from mistakes. It wouldn't be fun to start over from scratch if we wanted to build an electric car after a gas car. We wouldn't be very developed as a species. As universal cybernetic systems, that's what humans are. We can become more efficient at navigating idea space to avoid wandering lost. We error correct.
24:09We make mistakes and fix them. There's no fundamental difference here either. Now, the fifth capability is attention. One other aspect that humans take for granted is our ability to change our focus by changing our perspective. When a problem occurs, where does your attention go? If you want to build a rocket, does it help to ask the old gods to do it for you? Or can you change lenses to view the situation in a way that allows you to perceive opportunities? While this is a massive problems for humans because we get stuck in paradigm lock and we attach to ideologies, we do have the capability to change where our attention goes when problems come up.
24:43We can put on a spiritual lens to find peace and a scientific lens to find progress. Identifying with a purely ascending and spiritual philosophy is no different from being an incomplete system that will fail to solve a certain set of problems. Spirituality is a great lens or tool, but a bad master and not the end- all beall. So AGI does not seem like it can surpass us in any way unless it bends what is possible and we would have a very different problem on our hands at that point. Now the fifth idea about agency is just how to actually practice agency. In ordinary practical life we usually take the means for the sake of the ends.
25:18But in games we can take up an end for the sake of the means. Playing games can be a motivational inversion of ordinary life. That is a quote from the book games. Agency is art. You develop agency by practicing other people's agencies until you can create your own. In other words, you play by the rules until you can create your own. Meaning, the most important high agency trait is knowing when to break free of conformity. Agency as a whole is not a skill or a trait, but an art form. And the best way to observe that art form is in games. Because painting lets us record sites, music lets us record sounds. Stories let us record narratives.
25:58And games let us record agencies. When you play a game, you almost always start with the goal in mind, win the game. From there, you have various quests, but those quests must be executed in order of your experience. You start at level one, then advance to level two and beyond. And once you reach a much higher level, you are able to look back with all of your knowledge and skill to devise how you're going to reach the next goal. The higher level you are, the more fun life becomes because you get to choose the challenging yet meaningful goal you take on next. It is not assigned to you as if you were in a tutorial phase.
26:31That's exactly why your life may feel out of control. You got to level 10, childhood, school, or job, but now you feel stuck. The game isn't fun anymore because the game makers don't benefit from you going to a higher level. So, they incentivize you to stay there. You get trapped in a loop of boredom and anxiety because all of your tasks are repetitive and mindless, and any further challenge overwhelms you because you do not know how to learn. The most important boss fight of your life is to pursue your own path. So how do you actually start practicing this? First, you simply need something to pursue and it can be anything because nobody actually knows what they want.
27:07Instead, they deeply understand what they don't want and allow that to create an aim for their future. And from there, they have a direction to move in. Once you have that direction, you set a goal to make it more practical and achievable. And then you do the following. You research processes that others have found success with. You can find these on YouTube, social media, courses from reputable creators or mentors. Then you experiment with various techniques. So implement the processes you learn and attempt to get results. By the way, most of these won't work for you, and that's okay. Then you identify patterns, principles, and levers.
27:40So note the most important aspects from everything you try. These tend to be the things that get results. Then you create your own process. So tailor what you learn to your unique lifestyle and situation. and then you pass it down to others because the teacher learns more than the student and you don't truly understand it if you can't explain it in a way that is beneficial to someone else. This is personally why I love social media. First, it's where the attention is and you're probably not going to build your life's work by advertising on the radio or getting on the TV anymore or by sending handwritten letters to prospects.
28:13You're going to write content, obviously. So, aside from being an accessible, lowcost, and low-risk vessel to do what you want, learning and agency are baked in. Social media, the internet is the great modern game. You can study other people's agencies and their content, guides, and courses. You can experiment in public and get direct feedback. You can quickly identify what works and what doesn't. You are forced to learn a future proof skill stack like writing, persuasion, marketing, sales, storytelling, etc. And you must truly learn what you want to talk about on the internet. I'll let you decide what you want to do with the rest of that information.
28:49If you like this video, I'd highly recommend subscribing to my Substack. I send out a newsletter every week or so. And I also send out a paid newsletter twice a month. So, if you want to support this channel, support the things that I'm building, consider joining the paid tier. In there, I have some prompts that I use in my own process, AI prompts. I have writing tips, social media tips. There's a full oneperson business launchpad course in there. So, go check it out. Sign up if you'd like. Like and subscribe before you leave. They're just buttons on your phone. Thank you for pressing them. I'll see you in the next video.
00:00未来属于那些明白这一点的人:AI 需要方向,工具需要主人,数据需要洞察,内容需要语境,成功需要愿景。头脑是一台故事引擎,学会驾驭它的人将会兴盛。大多数技能在 10 到 20 年后都会变得无关紧要。除非你彻底改变自己对成功的理解。因为如果你是一个高能动性的人,那都无所谓。为什么?因为你的成功不依赖某一项特定技能。因为你不是专才。你没有把心智收窄到某个焦点上,以至于为了高薪工作或学历的身份,再也学不了焦点之外的东西。
00:37你有一个愿景,也明白在今天这个世界,为实现它所需的任何技能或知识你都能学到。不幸的是,如果你的父母没有在自己身上培养出能动性,他们很可能也没能传给你。除非你有意识地、痛苦地经历过重新学习的过程,否则在你能掌控自己的未来之前,还有些功课要做。话虽如此,最值得学、现在有用、10 年后有用、直到你死去都有用的技能,就是能动性。因为如果你能设定自己的人生方向,做实现它所需的事,并避开当今世界无穷无尽的诱惑与干扰,你就永远不会面临被取代的风险。
01:16就算真被取代了也没关系,因为你能迅速适应。所以这期视频我想分享五个观点:能动性是什么、为什么它比以往更重要、以及如何练习它,好让你得到人生中想要的东西。第一个观点是:能动性就是无需许可就能迭代的能力。这是对当下网上大多数人所说的能动性的一点重新定义,因为他们的说法是“无需许可就能行动”的能力。但我们会看到这种说法为什么不对。也许它并没有错。也许那就是能动性的定义。但我想用一种对你有实际用处的方式重新定义它。
01:52我们先从 Krishna Murdy 的一句话说起。只有那些始终在反叛的人才能发现真相,而不是那些顺从、追随某种传统的人。所以要理解什么是高能动性的人,先理解它不是什么会很有帮助。能动性不是机械式的从众。从众就是你的头脑还通过一根脐带连着社会。从众是一个发展阶段:你的头脑完全按文化编程运转,判断真假依据的是流行度和他人是否接受,而不是你自己的直接经验或独立调查。
02:27如果你认真想想我刚说的,如果你没听懂我刚说的,请倒回去再听一遍。你会明白,那是对过好一生最大的威胁之一。你刚出生时,头脑就像一台新电脑。有一个基础操作系统,但硬盘完全是空的。人生前 20 年,你并不独立思考。这没关系。没人做得到。不管你以为自己多独立,因为那只是另一种形式的从众。那个以为自己是在反抗父母的小孩,其实只是在顺从朋友想让他做的事。
03:00在螺旋动力学和九阶段自我发展模型里,大约 50% 的人处在从众阶段,也就是说一半的人缺乏真正能动性所需的认知发展。从众源于生存,因为人类不只在物理层面生存、像动物那样复制基因,也在心理层面生存、复制信念、观念和信息。如果你在打工,你在生活那个领域的能动性就很低,因为一旦这份工作没了,你的生存就受到威胁。所以为了保住工作,你必须从众。
03:35我是说,你一开始得到这份工作也得这样:你得迎合你以为老板会喜欢的样子,他才会雇你。上班之后,你可能还得遵守特定的着装规范。你得走一套老板或经理批准过的特定流程来完成工作。也许你还得适应朝九晚五的作息。再举个例子,如果你有固化的信念把你绑在某个政党或宗教组织上,你就没有很高的能动性,因为你对好坏的判断来自你的文化,
04:08而不是你自己的调查或发现。现在科技圈、商业圈和 AI 圈的人都爱谈“高能动性”,但那只是对科技商业圈流行东西的另一种从众。你要是不谈它,你就是跟不上。话虽如此,这期视频本身也有一定程度的从众。我们在某些方面都是从众者,既然它是一种生存策略或生存工具,那就可以像工具一样使用。我也在生存,意思是我在努力保持自己在 YouTube 上的相关性。那么,真正的能动性长什么样?我们又该如何在自己身上开始培养它,让我们的情绪、财务和人生机会不再由别人决定?
04:49它首先表现为:高能动性的人无需许可就迭代。拥有能动性,就是做句子的主语,而不是它的直接宾语。它是主动行动、而不是等着被作用的倾向。这引自 Devon Ericson 的文章《成功的第三个要素》。从字面上说,agency 指的是处于行动或运作之中的状态。用来描述一个人时,它指的是在没有外界推动、指示或许可的情况下主动朝目标行动的倾向。但当我们看看真正让人成功的是什么,那不只是朝目标行动。
05:24谁都能创业,但这不代表它会取得任何形式的成功。事实上大多数都失败了,因为他们缺了那块关键的拼图。如果某件事不奏效,你就反思处境、做出调整、再试一次,一次又一次,直到抵达终点。所以在我看来,能动性不只是行动,而是对迭代不死的承诺:学与做同时进行,犯错并纠正错误,不因为“它不奏效”就被诱惑回舒适的从众里,引号结束。没错,我说的就是那些开始两周就放弃的人。
05:59高能动性的人的第二个标志,是把人生当成一场巨大的实验。低能动性的人可以用雇员心态来概括。他们被分配一项任务,往往还带着某种地位或资历,这触发了他头脑中渴望被群体接纳的那部分,他们的决策立刻就被妥协了。他们再也无法在被设定的框框之外思考。而高能动性的人是自己人生的科学家。他们有一个想法。他们自己设定目标。他们提出一个假设,或对如何实现它做出有依据的猜测。然后他们测试、捣鼓、研究,朝目标做出尝试。
06:35然后他们会失败很多次。但既然这是实验,那就是过程的一部分。他们预期会失败,否则怎么能一步步排除行不通的,直到找到行得通的。这就是今天人们看待成功的一个大问题。别人向他们承诺了某样东西,比如一份高薪工作,或一个能很快建起来、让你快速致富的生意。这些人完全照着该做的做了,但当他们不可避免地失败时,就断定这不可能,并责怪所有人,唯独不怪自己。他们没注意到自己犯了个错,而这个错是可以纠正、可以再试一次的。
07:10第三点是,高能动性的人相信“困难的事”。你在看这期视频,想变得高能动,因为你相信它会给你的人生带来积极的改变。你在努力抵达一个目标。你在努力实现一个目标。目标有三种形态。简单目标,就是我们每天做的事,或靠现有技能和资源就能达成的事。困难目标,是我们现在做不到,但只要获得合适的技能和资源,最终就能做到的事。还有不可能的目标,要么是现实中根本超出可能性范围的事,要么是我们必须完成一系列困难目标、才能把“不可能”看成“可能”的事。
07:51低能动性的人有一套信念体系,很可能是小时候或后来被任何他们接受的意识形态——比如某个政党、某种宗教、他们加入的朋友圈——灌输进头脑的。这套信念体系扭曲了他们对困难目标的认知。他们把困难目标看作不可能的目标,连试都不试。他们甚至不明白,不可能的目标只是“现在不可能”,直到你走到某个点,它们就变得可能。如果你看看塞利格曼的狗实验——一个在狗身上做的实验——你就能看到社会对大多数人做的正是这件事。
08:29在这个实验中,狗遭受无法躲避的电击,让它们觉得自己对环境毫无控制。后来,当它们被放进一个只要跳过一堵矮墙就能逃开电击的环境时,这些狗却没有尝试。它们只是哀鸣着忍受电击,即使逃生近在眼前。所以,抵达你想要的生活这个目标也许很难,但你被训练得相信没有办法实现它。于是你连想都不去想那个可能。换句话说,你只是被训练成忍受默认路径上的电击。
09:02你只是以为所有人都在经历的这种人生痛苦是正常的、不是可选项。好消息是,能动性是有办法练习的。你可以把它当作一种技能或特质来培养。但除非你深刻理解它在当今世界如何适用,这些实操步骤就没有意义。以上这些就是高能动性的人的特征。现在我们进入第二个观点:AI 对高能动性的人不构成威胁。为了说明这一点,这是我前段时间发的一条推文,不知为何互动很多,但它只是我一直在用 AI 的方式。
09:40选一个任务。找一个在 YouTube 上教它的专家。让 AI 总结他的视频。再让 AI 把它变成一个元提示词。测试、改进、反复使用这个提示词。这在我让 AI 做的几乎所有事上都带来了最好的结果。其实我在前两个视频里把这个流程完整拆解过。我记不清视频叫什么了,但封面写的是“34 分钟学会 AI”或者“29 分钟”。大概是这么写的。好,回到正题。你现在能接触到实现任何目标所需的任何知识。然而人们依然对这些信息无动于衷。这是关键的一点。如今成功比以往任何时候都容易。
10:17但那些本来就不会成功的人,依然不会成功。这意味着问题从来不是获取渠道或机会平等。从来都是关于能动性。而高能动性的人会以 10 倍的速度甩开其他人,因为他们无需许可就行动。如今行动的障碍几乎不存在了。如果你因为缺钱缺资源无法实现一个大目标,你可以设定一个更小的垫脚石目标,帮你获得那笔钱或那份资源。每个人都在担心同一件事,说实话,他们害怕只是因为他们想不清楚。我们来看那个最典型的例子:AI 会生产太多内容,人类创作者根本没戏。
10:55我现在正好在写这个。你可以在简介里的 newsletter 链接读到。首先,AI 是一个工具。工具需要有人为特定目的去使用它们。当然,任何人都可以让 AI 生成一条爆款帖子,或从一个播客里生成一千条爆款帖子,AI 还能给它们排序,或模拟它们是否真会爆,但那有什么用?到底有什么用?你想过吗?还是你只是听到了,然后想:“哦对,听起来有点道理。”“好,我不想这事了。”这样你能得到一堆点赞和一堆粉丝,但变现呢?
11:32忠诚度呢?或者让一个品牌长期成立的其他要素呢?是的,你可以让 AI 帮你做这些,或帮你理解这些。但现在你做的是完全不同的事。你不是让 AI 替你去做。你是在学习。你是在统筹一个更大愿景的实现。这和你亲手做并没有多大区别。你只是换了个来源、以更快的方式获取信息。决策者依然是你。当然,AI 能一键生成漂亮的图像,但一个有愿景、用 AI 帮他实现愿景的人,和一个只想快速做张图的人,差别巨大。
12:12现在很多艺术家用 AI 做初稿。很多艺术家仍会把它放进 Photoshop 里微调,让它更接近自己想要的样子,因为现在的图像生成器还做不到非常精细。所以总的来说,我相信 AI 暴露了创作过程中真正重要的东西。当你让 AI 替你做所有决定,换句话说,你是在让它根据网上几十万种意见去猜什么有效。没有主线。没有主题。没有个性。没有愿景。没有语境。创作者就是干这个的:语境创造者。
12:48他们不是内容创作者。没有语境,内容毫无意义。AI 生成的东西也一样。所以除了“脑腐”和梗图——其实有些还挺好的,我其实喜欢刷着看那些脑腐内容——它们唯一的作用就是把你留在平台上,直到你看到广告,好让社交媒体平台赚钱;而那些有贯穿始终的品牌愿景、由特定的人为特定目的打造出来的东西——不管用不用 AI——说到底,除非使用者本身就擅长做内容,否则 AI 几乎毫无用处。你 get 到了吗?99% 的 AI 生成内容直接沉到最底层,因为如果那些内容真有效,那就有价值,跟是不是 AI 生成的无关,因为它很可能是由
13:34一个把自己的个人语境注入其中的人统筹出来的。创业时,你必须有一个由 AI 帮你执行的品牌使命,而且必须不断迭代。写书时,你必须掌控所有细微之处,除此之外,你还得能让人去读它。受众、营销和销售,这些书本身可做不到。创作艺术时,你仍然得有一个试图带入现实的想法。换句话说,什么都没变。人们只是讨厌新东西。而这个新东西,恰恰照出了最初就重要的东西。如果你用 AI 就创作不出艺术,那你本来就不是艺术家。
14:08你只是擅长使用 Photoshop 这类工具,而工具会被取代。愿景和能动性不会。说到这,就引出第三个观点:为什么通才在 AI 时代会赢。学校被创造出来,是为了用专业化的声望奴役最聪明的头脑,让他们保持狭隘,不去推翻真正的统治者。这是我书里的一句话,可以在我的 Substack《Purpose and Profit》免费读到;它被断章取义得挺厉害,但大体上是真的。每次我写文章或做视频谈成为通才、博学者或多兴趣的人,总有人冒出来想告诉我我错得多离谱。
14:48当然,他们从来没给出过专才更好的连贯论证。其实有时候他们给了,但他们压根没先听我在说什么。他们不做“钢铁人”论证。他们往往无意中证明我是对的。有些人甚至搬出莎士比亚的经典名句:“样样通,样样松。”但他们不知道那是误引,原句结尾是“但往往胜过只精一门的人”。有人可能觉得莎士比亚是个专业剧作家,但那只是一个载体。他必须深刻理解人性、人物塑造、语言、古典文学、舞台技艺、宗教、哲学、军事战术、音乐、航海、自然世界、社会结构、身体与医学。
15:29这个清单还能继续。他是一个综合者,把多样的兴趣当作自己的优势。再看一位《财富》500 强 CEO、Charles Darwin、Steve Jobs,或任何取得非凡成功的远见者或战略家,他们都有一个具体的愿景,然后去学习并采取必要步骤实现它。不要把某个具体的载体或细分领域误当成专才。专才依附于技能。随着技术进步,技能总会被取代、会演化。我们现在看不到这一点,但 Photoshop 曾颠覆了艺术行业。现在你看 Photoshop,会觉得它是我们流程中不可或缺的一部分。但我敢保证,如果我们回到 Photoshop 刚出现那会儿——甚至不只是 Photoshop,而是电脑图形刚出现时——手绘艺术家们大概正扯着嗓子喊,说这
16:18会毁掉一切。这正是现在 AI 身上发生的事。虽然我非常支持 AI,但以后会有更多视频让我谈另一面。我认为 AI 有些地方非常非常有问题,比如现在的内容创作领域,人们就说“嘿,给我写个这事的脚本”,然后对着镜头念,你显然看得出来他们在用 AI。对此我有很多话想说。而通才不在乎技能会不会被取代、会不会演化,因为他们专注于目标。他们专注于愿景。
16:49他们专注于做必要的事,包括改变目标,好让自己做任何事都能兴盛。他们不把自己认同为某项技能,也不认为自己热爱某项技能,比如热爱 Photoshop。他们热爱的是自己人生的方向,并把它创造出来。让我进一步拆解。人类是工具制造者。我们在任何生态位都能兴盛,因为我们可以适应它。把狮子放到阿拉斯加、把北极熊放到热带草原,它们会死。把人类放到任何一个地方,他们会搭住所、做衣服、打猎找吃的,因为他们能制定计划并执行。
17:23现实是,19 世纪工业化时期,为了教育大量移民儿童,美国采用了普鲁士教育模式,那根本不是教育,而是一件大规模从众的武器。它通过强制出勤、教师培训、学生考试和年级制度,被设计用来生产顺从的士兵、听话的公民、公务员和规矩的工人。听着耳熟吗?社会希望你简单、可预测、容易归类。为什么?因为那最符合他们的利益。那最符合组织的利润。
17:56如果你懂系统,你就知道系统会塑造成最有利于其终极目标的形状;在社会这个例子里,就是让你保持病态和愚钝,不管这是不是有意的。系统自然形成金字塔顶端那些人潜意识欲望的形状,这不一定非得是阴谋论。那你该怎么办?面对这一切你该怎么办?如果奴隶被期望一辈子只做一件事,好让头脑封闭、不再多学——那就是专才——那么你作为自由个体,就该在一生中做很多事。
18:28你就该成为通才。换句话说,你反叛出生时就被设定的那条路。你追求以兴趣为基础的教育。你明智地运用自己的能力。这就引出第四个观点:人类的五种能力。能动性很好,但我们仍受物理定律约束。这又带来另一个随着 AI 炒作周期起落的巨大担忧。AGI,也就是通用人工智能,会让人类智能变得无关紧要吗?我们通过问几个问题来把它弄清楚。这部分我们快速过一遍。人类能力是有限的还是无限的?作为高能动性的通才,只要基因不限制,我们难道没有能力学任何东西、做任何事吗?
19:10我们在许多生态位都能兴盛,因为我们靠知识和工具去适应。所以关于人类能力的根本问题是:我们能想什么、怎么想,有没有限制?如果主要限制是大脑的处理速度和记忆,那它不能被增强吗?当 AGI 成真时,这不会变得更可能吗?我们不会成为 AGI 吗?我们不已经是 AGI 了吗?我们不会跻身超级智能之列吗?猜测这些很有趣,而且在它真正成为现实之前,我们还有些时间。所以我想聚焦近未来。人类有五种基本能力。
19:45AI 或 AGI 有可能让这些能力变得无关紧要吗?第一种能力是计算,它属于心智层面。那么我们的计算有极限吗?没有。因为一旦你拥有可以握在手里的通用计算机,计算任何东西就只是时间和存储的问题。我们已经有了。如果 AGI 或外星人有这个,他们拥有的计算能力和我们一样,对我们没有优势。你可能会说 AGI 计算快得多,但这并不会加快让事物被造出来的物理转化速度。你可以有建粒子对撞机的想法,但你仍需要资源去建,而且仍得从资源开始建。
20:24第二种能力是转化,它属于物理层面。转化就是创造。有了正确的知识,我们把原材料变成火箭。只要给出特定的操作序列,人的双手和身体似乎特别擅长创造任何东西。我们造出了飞船和望远镜,这意味着我们能造出“造东西的东西”。我们是制造工具、以在任何环境中兴盛的通用者。我们不是被绑在某个生态位上的动物。那么问题是:这些基本操作以正确方式串联起来时,有极限吗?答案依然是没有。如果人类能远程操控一只大猩猩,那么给它时间,就存在一串能让它造出火箭的步骤。
21:04不,我不是说一只大猩猩。想象一下由 Elon Musk 来操控这只大猩猩。他会怎么做?这里的关键是时间——转化需要时间。奇点也改变不了这一点。就像启蒙运动或大爆炸也没能改变——大爆炸没有造出火箭。启蒙运动没有造出火箭。它也许创造了一些前提条件,但走到那一步仍然需要时间。时间是一种压缩算法,防止所有事情同时发生。换句话说,AGI 也许比我们的大脑算得快,但这不代表它能比人类更快地造出东西。
21:39你可以有造火箭的想法,但你仍需要获取造火箭的资源。在计算和转化这两种能力之后,还有变异、选择和注意力。它们关乎如何在观念空间中航行,也就是我们如何创造知识。我们能计算、能转化,但让我们得以如此的知识,有限制吗?知识有两个功能。第一是让特定的事情发生,最好是好事而非坏事。第二是捕捉现实中的模式。这让我们能高效地储存信息,不必在每次追求中从头开始。
22:16我们理解太阳每天升起落下、季节不时更替这类宏观概念。没有这种理解,我们生活的大部分都会崩溃。捕捉模式让我们能就近规划。我们明白在寒冷环境中可能冻死。所以我们把夹克、旅馆这类知识沉淀当作工具,在旅途中保暖。把观念空间或未知想象成一张有明暗区域的全景地图。亮处是你探索过的区域,暗处是你的潜力所在。这张地图是观念的表面积,观念可以被发现,并放到现实中检验其有效性。
22:54当结果没能让你更接近目标,或让你离得更远,就暴露了一个问题,你必须朝目标纠错。那么说到变异这第三种能力:为了生存并实现我们下定决心的目标,我们能想出的新想法数量有极限吗?借助计算,我们能遍历整个观念空间。借助能动性,我们能在这个空间里迈出任何一步,在经历许多坏想法后最终撞上一个好想法。借助创造,我们能以独特方式移动,比如飞越森林,而不是在里面步行。所以,我们能理解任何东西、创造任何东西,并发现无穷的新想法去解决无穷的问题。
23:33同样,AGI 也能做到,我们都被自然法则约束,但其中的任何可能性都触手可及。第四种能力是选择。我们能想出任何想法,但我们能找到好的那些吗?这里的潜在问题是:不从错误中学习,就很难取得累积性进步。如果造完燃油车再造电动车要从零开始,那就不妙了。我们作为一个物种就不会这么发达。人类就是这样的通用控制论系统。我们可以更高效地在观念空间中航行,避免迷路。我们会纠错。
24:09我们犯错,然后修正。这里也没有本质区别。第五种能力是注意力。人类还有一个习以为常的方面:通过改变视角来改变焦点的能力。问题出现时,你的注意力去哪了?如果你想造火箭,祈求旧神替你造有用吗?还是你能换个镜头看这个处境,从而看见机会?虽然这对人类是个大问题,因为我们会陷入范式锁定、依附于意识形态,但当问题出现时,我们确实有能力改变注意力的去向。
24:43我们可以戴上灵性的镜头找平静,戴上科学的镜头找进步。认同一种纯粹上升的、灵性的哲学,和一个无法解决某类问题的不完整系统没有区别。灵性是一个很好的镜头或工具,但是个糟糕的主人,也不是万能的终点。所以,除非 AGI 能弯折“可能”的边界,否则它似乎无法在任何方面超越我们;而到那时,我们要面对的就是完全不同的问题了。关于能动性的第五个观点,就是到底该怎么练习它。在日常实际生活中,我们通常为了目的而选择手段。
25:18但在游戏里,我们可以为了手段而接受一个目的。玩游戏可以是对日常生活的动机倒置。这引自《Games》一书。能动性是一门艺术。你通过练习别人的能动性来发展自己的,直到你能创造属于自己的。换句话说,你先按规则玩,直到你能创造自己的规则。也就是说,最重要的高能动性特质,是知道何时挣脱从众。能动性整体上不是一种技能或特质,而是一种艺术形式。观察这种艺术形式最好的地方就是游戏。因为绘画让我们记录景象,音乐让我们记录声音。故事让我们记录叙事。
25:58而游戏让我们记录能动性。玩游戏时,你几乎总是带着目标开始:赢下游戏。由此你有各种任务,但这些任务必须按你的经验顺序执行。你从第一关开始,然后升到第二关及以后。一旦你到达高得多的等级,你就能带着全部知识和技能回望,设计如何抵达下一个目标。你的等级越高,人生越有趣,因为你可以自己选择下一个既有挑战又有意义的目标。它不是像新手教程阶段那样被分配给你的。
26:31这正是你的人生可能感觉失控的原因。你升到了第 10 级——童年、学校或工作——但现在你觉得卡住了。游戏不再好玩,因为游戏设计者并不因你升到更高等级而受益。所以他们激励你留在原地。你被困在无聊与焦虑的循环里,因为你的任务全是重复和无脑的,而任何进一步的挑战都会压垮你,因为你不知道如何学习。你人生中最重要的 Boss 战,就是走自己的路。那你到底该怎么开始练习?第一,你只需要有件想追求的事,它可以是任何事,因为其实没人真正知道自己想要什么。
27:07相反,他们深知自己不想要什么,并让这一点为未来生成一个目标。由此,他们有了前进的方向。一旦有了方向,你就设定一个目标,让它更实际、更可达成。然后你做下面这些事。你研究别人已经验证成功的流程。你可以在 YouTube、社交媒体,或可靠创作者和导师的课程里找到它们。然后你尝试各种技巧。也就是把学到的流程落地,努力拿到结果。顺便说,其中大多数对你都不管用,这没关系。然后你找出模式、原则和杠杆点。
27:40也就是从你尝试的一切中记下最重要的部分。它们往往就是带来结果的东西。然后你创建自己的流程。把你学到的东西裁剪到适配你独特的生活方式和处境。然后你把它传给别人,因为老师学到的比学生多;如果你不能用对别人有益的方式解释它,你就没有真正理解它。这也是我个人喜欢社交媒体的原因。第一,注意力在那里;而且你现在大概不会靠电台广告、上电视,或给潜在客户寄手写信来建立毕生事业了。
28:13显然,你要写内容。所以,除了是一个可及、低成本、低风险、能让你做想做的事的载体,学习和能动性也已经内置其中。社交媒体、互联网,就是现代最伟大的游戏。你可以研究别人的能动性,以及他们的内容、指南和课程。你可以公开实验,获得直接反馈。你能迅速识别什么有效、什么无效。你被迫学习一套面向未来的技能栈,比如写作、说服、营销、销售、讲故事等等。而且你必须真正搞懂自己想在网上谈什么。剩下的信息怎么用,就由你决定。
28:49如果你喜欢这期视频,我强烈推荐订阅我的 Substack。我大约每周发一份通讯。我每月还发两次付费通讯。所以,如果你想支持这个频道、支持我在做的东西,可以考虑加入付费层级。里面有我在自己流程中用到的一些提示词,AI 提示词。还有写作技巧、社交媒体技巧。里面还有一套完整的一人企业启动课程。去看看。想的话就注册。走之前点个赞、订阅一下。它们只是你手机上的按钮。谢谢你按下它们。下期视频见。