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Naval Ravikant:科学、财富、冥想与「赢下游戏再脱身」

2020-10-16 2:01:35 137.1万次播放 581 句对照 YouTube ↗

Naval Ravikant on Happiness, Anxiety, and More — Naval 把自由拆成两半:对外用股权和加密资产绕开体制,对内用怀疑、冥想和长期主义,摆脱脑子里那个不停说话的室友。

自我觉察财富与杠杆冥想加密货币长期主义
01

核心主张

Naval 把自由拆成两半:对外用股权和加密资产绕开体制,对内用怀疑、冥想和长期主义,摆脱脑子里那个不停说话的室友。

从 Feynman 头像谈起:科学是可证伪的怀疑,财富靠股权而非出租时间;焦虑只是演化留下的推演,解药是每天一小时什么都不做;再转向加密稳定币的成本、长期主义的复利,最后落在「赢下游戏是为了脱身」与泰国朋友 Craig 的选择——总得有人一直快乐,那不如是我。

02

几条主线

这个视频反复回到的几个论点。

一、认知:科学是怀疑,不是共识

Naval 借 Feynman 立起第一条线:不存在「大写 S 的科学」,科学的根基是怀疑与可证伪性,所以「相信科学」本身就是矛盾说法。知道一只鸟的名字不等于懂它,术语可以压缩沟通,也会成为理解的替代品;真正该练的是回到基础、用简单语言从零重述。同样的标准也适用于自己:多数人过着未经审视的生活,能把「我为什么这么想」想清楚一点,就已经领先。

二、财富:股权、比特币与没有免费午餐

财富不是零和的地位,而是能在你睡觉时赚钱的资产;不要出租时间,要拥有股权,用专有知识、杠杆、分发和问责把自己产品化。加密是这套逻辑的延伸:它把财富创造与国家脱钩,让互联网拥有自己的原生货币。但稳定币没有免费午餐——盯住美元就必须付成本,不是欺诈风险,就是审查风险,或者爆雷风险。比特币的投机力量来自一个「空间有限的瑞士银行保险箱」:想进去的人多于想出来的人,价格就上涨。

三、幸福:清空大脑、选择长期、赢下游戏再脱身

焦虑只是大脑在为生存做场景推演,你脑子里那个不停唠叨的声音不是事实,而是未经处理的念头。Naval 的处方极简:每天坐一小时、至少六十天、什么都不做,让心理收件箱清零——真正的冥想应该让你换工作、换关系、换书。人生是由家庭、成绩、婚姻、赚钱、出名等一场场多人游戏组成的,通向平静的路只有两条:不玩,或者赢下它然后意识到该收手。所有有效的自我提升,最后都归结为「选择长期而非短期」,因为复利在金钱、关系和健康里都成立。

03

关键知识点

每个知识点都挂着时间戳,点击回到原片对应位置。

不存在大写 S 的科学

人们常说「相信科学」或「根据科学」,但科学没有需要信仰的教条。科学的根基是怀疑与可证伪:一个命题必须有可能被实验推翻,才算科学。一旦它变成共识投票或权威背书,就退化成了另一种叙事。

不要出租时间,要拥有股权

那篇「如何不靠运气致富」的长推文里,Naval 认为最该带走的是:靠出租时间不会致富,必须拥有企业的一部分。用专有知识、杠杆、分发和问责,把自己产品化成一门生意,再拥有那门生意;回报会向承担风险的人累积。

真正的冥想会拆掉你现在的生活

Naval 把焦虑还原为演化留下的生存推演,把脑子里那个声音比作一个疯狂的室友。真正的审视不是放松,而是自我治疗:它会让你想换工作、换同事、改变饮食、改变读的书、花更多时间独处。

睡前书单与读哲学的目的

Naval 睡前读 Krishnamurti、Anthony de Mello、Osho,以及《薄伽梵歌》《道德经》和塞内加的《致卢基里乌斯的道德书信》(他在 Audible 制作了有声书,PDF 网上免费)。他强调重点不是读完,而是被启发,好让自己开始反思。

稳定币没有免费午餐

盯住美元的稳定币必须为「把波动资产变成稳定资产」付成本,三大类各承担一种风险:Tether 式的欺诈风险、Coinbase 式的审查风险、Maker 式的爆雷风险。他另有一个比喻:比特币像一个空间有限的瑞士银行保险箱,想存进去的人多于想取出来的人,价格就涨。

有效自助=选择长期而非短期

廉价多巴胺是现代(也是古代)的恶魔:心智过度刺激、身体刺激不足。人生的成功像棉花糖测试的变体,能不能延迟满足决定长期结果。复利适用于关系、金钱和健康;关键是找到那件对你像玩、在别人看来像工作的事,然后一直做下去。

04

时间线

  • 00:00开场:广告之后,Tim 介绍 Naval——AngelList 联合创始人、天使投资人
  • 08:09Naval 解释为何只为 Tim 破例上播客;Twitter 零关注、百万粉丝,头像是 Feynman
  • 11:40「不存在大写 S 的科学」:科学的根基是怀疑与可证伪
  • 25:09如何不靠运气致富:股权、专有知识、杠杆与问责
  • 49:11真正的审视会改变你的工作、饮食、书单与关系
  • 1:02:09加密与稳定币:爆雷、审查、欺诈三种风险
  • 1:31:04长期主义:廉价多巴胺与无处不在的复利
  • 1:46:20Feynman:你最容易欺骗的人就是自己;Craig 选择做那个快乐的人
05

原话摘录

逐字命中原稿字幕,右侧时间戳可跳转。

“what you want to focus on is what's timeless”

你真正该关注的,是那些恒久的东西。

“the best relationships don't feel like work”

最好的关系,不会让你觉得是在工作。

“the reason to win the game is so that you can be free of it”

赢下游戏的目的,是为了能从中脱身。

“the first principle is that you must not fool yourself and you are the easiest person to fool”

第一原则是:你绝不能欺骗自己,而你是最容易被自己欺骗的人。

“if i lose it all tomorrow i still want to be happy”

如果我明天失去一切,我仍然想快乐。

06

行动清单

  • 从明天早上开始,给自己六十分钟:坐下、什么都不做,不念咒、不观呼吸,先连续做六十天,看看它会要求你改变什么。
  • 写下你正在玩的那场游戏的「赢」的定义,定得早一点、具体一点;越过它之后就收手,而不是继续加注。
  • 盘点收入里靠出租时间的比例,圈出一个可以转成股权或产品化的切入口,写下第一步。
  • 关掉新闻和时间线一小时,读一百年前的书——塞内加、Krishnamurti、Osho 都行;目的不是读完,而是被某一句击中。
  • 观察一个人怎么对待服务员、怎么谈论他最讨厌的人;如果对方总在冲突里,就走开,不必等到自己成为那个敌人。
逐句对照 · 共 581 句 · 点击任意一句,视频从对应秒开始播放
00:00this episode is brought to you by tonal i'm super excited about this one and i was skeptical of it in the beginning tonal quote tonal is the world's most intelligent home gym and personal trainer end quote that's the tagline from本期节目由 Tonal 赞助。我对这个产品特别兴奋,不过一开始我是持怀疑态度的。Tonal——「Tonal 是世界上最智能的家庭健身设备和私人教练」——这是他们网站上的宣传语。
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00:26buck in a tiny tiny footprint of space tonal is precision engineered to be the world's most advanced strength studio and personal trainer it uses breakthrough technology of all different to help get you stronger faster i was introduced to tonal byTonal 经过精密工程打造,是世界上最先进的力量训练室兼私人教练。它运用了各种突破性技术,帮你更快变强。我是通过三个人介绍认识 Tonal 的,
00:39three different all of them are tech savvy one of them is a former competitive skier who's doubled his strength in a number of movements using tonal even though he has a long athletic background and i'll paint a picture for you他们都很懂科技,其中一位是前竞技滑雪运动员,用 Tonal 把好几个动作的力量翻了一倍,尽管他有很长的运动背景。我来给你描绘一下:
00:53by eliminating traditional metal weights dumbbells and barbells tonal can deliver 200 pounds of resistance which doesn't sound like a lot but it's actually it feels like a lot more at the high end in a device smaller than a flat screen通过取消传统的金属配重、哑铃和杠铃,Tonal 能提供 200 磅阻力——听起来不算多,但在高阻力端实际感受要重得多——而设备比一台平板电视还小。
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01:49just say 20 pounds in each hand up and then tonal will automatically increase the weight because you can lower more than you can lift to say 25 or 30 pounds on the way down and i do kettlebell swings i do比如每只手举 20 磅上去,然后 Tonal 会自动加重,因为你能放下的重量大于你能举起的重量,下放时可以加到 25 或 30 磅。我还做壶铃摆动……
02:02all sorts of deadlifts this that and the other thing and after one workout on tonal focusing on pulling i was blasted for a full week it's really incredible what you can do with eccentrics they also have all sorts of other各种硬拉之类的动作。有一次我在 Tonal 上专注练拉的动作,整整酸了一周。离心训练能做到的事情真的很惊人。他们还有很多其他很酷的优势……
02:15really cool advantages that you can apply to any of your favorite movements tonal learns from your strength and provides suggested weight recommendations for every move with detailed progress reports to help you see your strengths grow tonal also has a growing可以套用到你喜欢的任何动作上。Tonal 会学习你的力量水平,为每个动作提供建议重量,还有详细的进度报告,帮你看自己的力量增长。Tonal 还有一个不断扩充的……
02:28library of expert-led workouts by motivating coaches from strength training to cardio so you can do really just about everything every program is to your body using artificial intelligence and other aspects of the engineering and smart check your form in real由很有感染力的教练带领的专家课程库,从力量训练到有氧,基本上什么都能做。每个课程都会用人工智能等技术适配你的身体,还能实时纠正你的动作……
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05:16episode of the tim ferriss show where it is always my job to interview and deconstruct world-class performers from all different fields my guest today is a dear friend he does very few podcasts we're going to get into a disclaimer around《Tim Ferriss 秀》。我的工作始终是采访并拆解各个领域的世界级高手。今天的嘉宾是我的好朋友,他很少上播客,我们稍后会聊到这个免责声明……
05:28that naval ravikont you can find him at naval on twitter he is the co-founder and chairman of angel list he's an angel investor and has invested in more than companies including many mega successes such as twitter uber notion open doorNaval Ravikant。你可以在 Twitter 上 @naval 找到他。他是 AngelList 的联合创始人兼董事长,也是一位天使投资人,投资了 100 多家公司,其中很多超级成功,比如 Twitter、Uber、Notion、Opendoor……
05:42postmates and wish it is a long list you can subscribe to naval his podcast on wealth and happiness on apple podcast spotify or wherever you get your podcast you can also find his blog at nav.al for even more neval plusPostmates 和 Wish,名单很长。你可以在 Apple Podcast、Spotify 或任何播客平台订阅他关于财富与幸福的播客。他的博客在 nav.al,能看到更多 Naval 的内容。另外……
05:57tim that's me check out my wildly popular interview with him from 2015 which was nominated for podcast of the year you can find that and resources and much more at tim dot blog naval neval welcome back to the show yeahTim,也就是我,去看看我在 2015 年对他做的那期超受欢迎的采访,那期还获得了年度播客提名。你可以在 tim.blog/naval 找到那期节目和更多资源。Naval,欢迎回来。
06:12thanks for having me if i recall correctly i was i was crushed in podcast of the year by jamie so that's right i need weaker competition this time around if you could just tone it down this year please i will谢谢邀请。如果我没记错,我当年在年度播客评选里被 Jamie 碾压了,对吧?所以这次我需要更弱的对手,今年你能不能稍微放点水?我会……
06:24do my best yeah jamie jamie basically i could have been a completely non-responsive critical care patient as long as the equipment functioned jamie foxx is the the consummate performer so he is he is formidable competition and podcast but you are尽量的。Jamie 嘛,基本上,只要设备还在运转,我完全可以是个毫无反应的重症病人。Jamie Foxx 是那种登峰造极的表演者,所以他是很强的对手。
06:40a different breed and i understand that you get asked to do podcasts a lot so what type of disclaimer would you like to yeah i don't i don't go on other people's podcasts anymore i had to make an exception for但在播客领域,你是另一个物种。我知道经常有人请你上播客。你希望发个什么样的免责声明?对,我不再上别人的播客了,这次为你破例……
06:52you because you're the og you put me on the map you're a good friend and frankly i wouldn't even be known if it weren't for you so i definitely have to thank you and honor your request to have me back因为你是 OG,是你让我被大家认识,你是好朋友。说实话,没有你,我根本不会出名,所以我一定要感谢你,并答应你让我回来的请求。
07:03i generally don't do uh podcasts anymore or at least other people's podcasts for a couple of reasons uh first is i just don't believe in sequels i think sequels suck right you look at sequels on uh in movies and whatnot我一般不再上播客了,至少不上别人的播客,原因有几个。第一,我不相信续集,我觉得续集都很烂。你看看电影里的续集……
07:15and they're usually pretty bad they cost three times as much you know they're long-winded the person now has an ego and a reputation to defend they've already said what they were gonna say so they're just repeating themselves to some level通常都挺糟糕的,成本是三倍,啰里啰嗦,人现在有了自尊和名声要维护,该说的都说了,所以某种程度上只是在重复自己。
07:26and you know maybe the first run they took an idea they've had for a decade or three decades and they expounded on it and it sounded great and then in the sequel whether it's a book or a movie they have也许第一轮,他们把一个酝酿了十年或三十年的想法展开讲,听起来很棒;到了续集,不管是书还是电影,他们得……
07:36to come up with something equally good but they only have two years to do it and it's just really difficult to do so i think sequels just make everybody look bad and i'm not a fan of sequels yet here we拿出同样好的东西,但只有两年时间,这真的很难。所以我觉得续集只会让所有人显得糟糕,我不喜欢续集。但我们还是来了。
07:44are the thing about sequels they make money people want them uh people crave them because there's a certain familiarity to it but hopefully we won't embarrass ourselves too much so yes i don't do sequels we'll make an exception here and续集的问题在于它能赚钱,人们想要续集,人们渴望续集,因为有某种熟悉感。但希望我们不会太丢脸。所以是的,我不做续集,这次破例……
07:56kind of see how it goes just don't have jamie foxx back on at least not at least not this year well i am looking right now as a framework for starting this conversation at your twitter account and that might seem看看效果如何。只是别再请 Jamie Foxx 回来了,至少今年别。好,我现在想以你的 Twitter 账号作为这次对话的切入点,这对我来说可能有点……
08:09like an odd place for me to start people who listen to this show a lot will know that i don't often do that but i want to know two things you follow zero people on twitter yet you have almost a奇怪。经常听这个节目的人知道我不常这么做。但我想知道两件事:你在 Twitter 上关注零个人,却有将近一百万……
08:18million followers and also trending right now in the united states is jamie foxx hilarious he's right next to you he's reminding me this cannot keep this guy down so let's talk about your account i find your account fascinating i find粉丝;另外现在美国 trending 的是 Jamie Foxx,太搞笑了。他就在你旁边,提醒着我,这家伙真是压不住。那我们聊聊你的账号。我觉得你的账号很迷人,我觉得……
08:35your use of twitter fascinating and i'd like to with a photograph of a professor at a blackboard that you have as your profile suppose header who is the person in the photograph i think i recognize this person but i want你对 Twitter 的用法很迷人。我想从你作为头图的那张教授站在黑板前的照片说起。照片里的人是谁?我想我认得他,但我想……
08:48to hear you describe why you chose this photograph and who it is yeah there that's uh professor richard feynman um who was a a pioneer in the field of quantum electrodynamics he was part of the manhattan project he's known colloquially听你讲讲为什么选这张照片,以及他是谁。对,那是 Richard Feynman 教授。他是量子电动力学领域的先驱,参与过曼哈顿计划,通俗层面最有名的是……
09:02for his book surely you're joking mr feynman and a couple of related ones like so what do you care what other people think but he's also very well regarded in the field of physics obviously he passed away a while back《别闹了,费曼先生》,还有几本相关的书,比如《你管别人怎么想》。当然他在物理学界也极受推崇。他去世有一段时间了……
09:13but he invented a lot of quantum electrodynamics uh feynman path um he was part of the manhattan project uh brilliant brilliant guy and i loved him because feynman was one of the first characters that i that did science and serious但他开创了量子电动力学的大量内容,费曼路径……他参与过曼哈顿计划,是个非常非常聪明的人。我喜欢他,是因为 Feynman 是我最早见到的这样一类人:做科学、做严肃的……
09:28work and was accomplished in so-called real life but was also like a he was a character he was a happy person he was deeply philosophical he didn't take himself nor life too seriously he appreciated the mysteries of life he appreciated工作,在所谓的现实生活中很有成就,同时又是个有趣的家伙。他是个快乐的人,极具哲学气质,不把自己也不把生活看得太重,欣赏生命的奥秘,欣赏……
09:42living life and he had a lot of fun along the way so it was kind of a to me he was like a full stack intellectual hacker of life and was this very inspirational to me as a kid growing up活着本身,一路上玩得很开心。所以对我来说,他就像一个全栈式的、懂生活的知识分子黑客,对我小时候的成长非常有启发。
09:53you know even though i read a lot of philosophy and you know just kind of normal non-fiction my hero and even though i'm in the business world the tech world my heroes are scientists because i think applied science is the尽管我读了很多哲学和普通的非虚构作品,尽管我身处商业世界、科技世界,我的英雄是科学家,因为我认为应用科学是……
10:05engine that pulls humanity forward it eventually becomes that technology allows us to engage in all kinds of pursuits around civilization rather than be scrapping just basic substance and survival and so i think scientists are still the most unsung heroes of推动人类前进的引擎。它最终变成技术,让我们能够从事文明中的各种追求,而不是只为基本生存挣扎。所以我认为科学家仍然是……
10:21human history and feynman was one of the greats and he was admirable in many regards as to how he lived his life although i think recently they tried to cancel him but you know they try to cancel feynman is a人类历史上最被低估的英雄,而 Feynman 是其中最伟大的之一。他在很多方面都值得钦佩,包括他的生活方式。不过最近有人想「取消」他,你知道,他们连 Feynman 都想取消。
10:33character certainly he is a was a character and a figure who has fascinated me for decades and actually i collect very few things but managed to buy some of his papers and drawings at auction a handful of years ago because他确实是个奇人。他迷住我好几十年了。其实我收藏的东西很少,但几年前在拍卖会上买到了他的一些手稿和画作,因为……
10:50it was the first time that they had been made available so hey i can show you some of his equations from the manhattan project which is wild to think about and my fascination though is in many respects uninformed because i那是它们第一次被公开。嘿,我可以给你看一些他在曼哈顿计划时期写的方程,想想都觉得疯狂。不过我的着迷在很多方面是外行的,因为我……
11:04don't have the scientific literacy to fully the genius that he brought to bear on physics for instance but i could appreciate his cleverness and his questioning of assumptions and also his distaste for uniforms and other accolades uh most notably some没有足够的科学素养去完全理解他带给物理学的天才之处。但我能欣赏他的聪明、他对假设的质疑,还有他对制服和荣誉的反感,尤其是某些……
11:25of the prizes that he was awarded that he seemed to have particular a dislike for on he famously said that science is the belief in the ignorance of experts and it's so funny because these days you know so many people奖项,他似乎特别讨厌某些奖项。他有一句名言:科学是对专家无知的信念。有意思的是,现在那么多人……
11:40are on twitter saying believe in science or according to science and you have to realize there's no such thing as science with a capital s science the foundation of science is doubt it is all about falsifiability david deutsch who's kind在 Twitter 上说「相信科学」或「根据科学」。你得明白,不存在大写的「科学」。科学的根基是怀疑,核心是可证伪性。David Deutsch 是我现在最欣赏的……
11:51of one of my current modern living physicist heroes is a poparian like he he subscribes to karl popper's philosophy and he basically says that you know if it's not falsifiable it's not scientific if you can't prove it false if there's在世物理学家之一,他是波普尔派,信奉 Karl Popper 的哲学。他基本上就是说:如果不可证伪,就不科学;如果你无法证明它是错的……
12:04if if you if it's true up or down or left or right it's not science it doesn't require belief you should be able to challenge it at all times it should make risky predictions that are not obvious and those predictions如果它无论上上下下左左右右都成立,那就不是科学。科学不需要信仰,你应该随时能挑战它,它应该做出不明显的、有风险的预测……
12:18should then be tested and you shouldn't be able to after the fact change the goal move the goal post or change how the you know how the predictions were set up and so those are the hallmarks of good science independent然后这些预测应该被检验,而且事后你不能改变目标、移动球门,或改变预测的设定方式。这些才是好科学的标志:独立……
12:31verifiability and making risky and narrow predictions with details that are hard to vary both before and after the fact and that's how you end up with good science and good explanations not by people on twitter voting that's politics so like可验证性,以及事前事后都做出细节难以更改的、有风险且狭窄的预测。这样你才能得到好的科学和好的解释,而不是靠 Twitter 上的人投票——那是政治。
12:45everything has become politics now science has become politics too people are politicized and there's big science but i think feynman would be very unhappy with that he was just a generally happy character and non-political intended not to get involved in所以一切都变成了政治,科学也变成了政治。人被政治化了,还有「大科学」。我觉得 Feynman 会对此非常不满。他本来是个快乐的、非政治的人……
12:57these things but i think he realize that that is not actually science but it's it's masquerade's a it's almost becoming social science and you know going to twitter like nassim taleb is one of my favorite twitter followers even though he's不想卷入这些事情。但我想他明白那不是真正的科学,那是伪装,几乎变成了社会科学。上 Twitter 看看,Nassim Taleb 是我最喜欢的 Twitter 关注对象之一,虽然他……
13:08a bit you know cantankerous yeah he's cantankerous yeah he's he annoys people for sure but you know you want to hear the truth you gotta you gotta be prepared to to be hurt a little bit but he had a great有点脾气暴躁。对,他很暴躁,确实会惹人烦。但你想听真话,就得准备好受点伤。他最近有条很棒的……
13:20tweet recently that i retweeted which i'm sure made a lot of people mad where he said the opposite of education is not ignorance the opposite of is an education in social science and uh i thought that was hilarious uh but推文,我转发了,肯定惹毛了很多人。他说:教育的反面不是无知,教育的反面是社会科学教育。我觉得太好笑了……
13:34you know it it hurts because there's some truth to it if there was no truths to it it wouldn't hurt at all you know if i said tim ferriss is fat that would just bounce right off of you but if但它扎心,因为里面有真话。如果没有真话,它根本不会伤人。如果我说 Tim Ferriss 很胖,那对你毫无影响;但如果……
13:43i said you know tim ferriss and of all or fake gurus that might hit us right because we suspect there's some deep level there's a part of that that's so i think the same way like with you know social science我说 Tim Ferriss 是那种……假大师,那可能会击中你,因为我们怀疑在某个深层,有一部分是真的。我觉得社会科学也是一样……
13:54does kind of lead you down the road to ignorance because it's about social and anything social is about group think and group behavior and you know individuals can search for truth but groups search for consensus because if a group doesn't确实会把你引向无知,因为它研究的是「社会」,而任何社会性的东西都关乎群体思维和群体行为。个体可以追寻真理,但群体追求共识,因为群体没有……
14:07have consensus it can't get along if it can't get along it falls apart and there's and so the last place you're going to find truth is in large groups and the moment you make science about large groups and about voting共识就无法相处,无法相处就会瓦解。所以你最不可能找到真理的地方,就是大群体。一旦你把科学变成大群体的事、投票的事……
14:20and about you're not really practicing science anymore yeah and the science with the capital s is dangerous very dangerous yeah it's propaganda it's it then it becomes like macroeconomics again another nut until that line he says it's easier to macro你就不再是在实践科学了。对,大写的「科学」很危险,非常危险。对,那是宣传。它变成了宏观经济学,又一个……有句话叫「宏观比微观容易」……
14:36than it's a micro and so big science is the equivalent of whereas the equivalent of microeconomics a little science which is you know me in a lab or me with my computer and trying out various things and so you can大科学相当于宏观经济学,而小科学相当于微观经济学,就是我在实验室里、在我的电脑前尝试各种东西……
14:51just like with macroeconomics you can pick and choose whatever data you want to prove whatever point you want with big science you can pick or choose whatever papers you want so look at the fights right now on the internet about就像宏观经济学一样,你可以挑选任何数据来证明任何观点;在大科学里,你也可以挑选任何论文。看看现在网上关于……
15:02what covid means you can go down that hall of mirrors and scientific quote-unquote substantiation many points of view depending on which papers you choose to cherry pick and so then we reduce back to consensus but again science isn't done by新冠意味着什么的争吵。你可以走进那个镜厅,用所谓的科学证据支持无数种观点,取决于你挑哪些论文。于是我们又退回到共识。但再说一次,科学不是靠……
15:17consensus it should be done by experimentation verifiability rigorous testing and you know in an ideal science world you don't go and survey 10 000 scientists you actually pick the one smartest scientist but that's very hard to do now no one共识运作的,它应该靠实验、可验证性、严格的测试。在理想的科学世界里,你不会去调查一万名科学家,你会挑出最聪明的那一个。但现在这很难做到……
15:33can agree on who the smartest scientist is so unfortunately i think that the nature of what science is is being corrupted and that started the day we let the so-called social sciences masquerade as sciences you know the day we said没人能就谁是最聪明的科学家达成一致。所以不幸的是,科学是什么,其本质正在被腐蚀,而这一切开始于我们让所谓的社会科学冒充科学的那一天……
15:45psychology is a science and politics can be a science and so on and you can apply the scientific methods to those things then i think that's the day we start to corrupt science or at least the word science so real从我们说心理学是科学、政治可以是科学等等,说你可以把科学方法应用到这些东西上,那一天起,我们就开始腐蚀科学,至少是腐蚀「科学」这个词。
15:57science you know these days is relegated to a very small corner you know physics maybe like molecular biology and chemistry mathematics theory of computation but it's a fairly limited set yeah yeah very quantitatively uh literate friend of mine said at所以真正的科学如今被归到一个很小的角落:物理、也许还有分子生物学和化学、数学、计算理论,范围相当有限。对。我一位很有定量素养的朋友说过……
16:16one point most of the disciplines that have science at the end of them are not actually science all right some exceptions right so yeah compute computer science computer science if it's hard neuroscience it might be an exception but very often大多数学科名字后面带 science 的,其实并不是科学。当然有例外,比如计算机科学算一个,神经科学可能也算,但很多时候……
16:29if there's science appended to it is not in fact something that is falsifiable according to someone like karl popper right it cannot be it cannot be proven or disproven using experiment at least that's right if there isn't some experiment could如果名字后面加了 science,它实际上就不可证伪——按 Karl Popper 这类人的标准。它无法用实验证明或推翻。对。如果没有某个实验……
16:46that could theoretically disprove it then it's not um yeah it's like honest abe's law firm he if he needs to put honest in the title then you have to wonder so the same way if they put science in the word理论上能推翻它,那它就不是科学。就像「诚实阿贝」的律师事务所,如果名字里要塞进「诚实」,你就得怀疑一下。同理,如果词里带 science……
16:59other than as you said computer science and neuroscience you sort of have to wonder well let's look at a couple of quotes from feynman there are there are few that i think about a lot and these these are on goodreads除了你刚说的计算机科学和神经科学,你就得怀疑。我们来看几条 Feynman 的话。有几条我经常想,都来自 Goodreads。
17:10but number one and i think this is really with respect to science in media particularly a term that bothers me a lot which is studies prove or studies show just like capital s science shows which isn't really a thing the第一条,我觉得特别适用于媒体里的科学,有个说法很让我反感,就是「研究证明」「研究显示」,好像大写的科学显示了什么,其实没这回事。
17:30facts can get contorted quite a lot the quote from feynman is i learned very early the difference between knowing the name of something and knowing something right yeah this is a very deep point and i think that a lot of事实可以被扭曲得很厉害。Feynman 的原话是:我很早就学会了「知道一个东西的名字」和「知道这个东西」之间的区别。对,这一点非常深刻……
17:42times that we just define something with another definition or we just throw out a piece of jargon as if that means we know something and you know it's a difference between memorization and understanding is the thing that you want to很多时候,我们只是用一个定义解释另一个定义,或者抛出一个术语,好像这就代表我们懂了。这就是记忆和理解的差别……
17:55be able to describe it in 10 different ways in simple sentences from the ground up and rederive whatever you need if you just memorize you're lost so i think this is one of the things that i get stuck on a你希望能用 10 种不同的方式,用简单的句子,从零开始描述它,重新推导出你需要的一切。如果你只是死记硬背,你就完了。所以这是我经常卡住的地方……
18:06lot which is like just keep going back and reading the basics over and over trying to understand them so don't necessarily have that tall edifice of knowledge that is very seductive in academia but as anyone who's operated much in the就是不断回去重读基础,一遍又一遍地试图理解。不要追求那种在学术界很诱人的高耸知识大厦。但凡在……
18:18real world knows in the real world you get paid for making good judgments and decisions based on the basics for example if you know arithmetic statistics probability at a high level and you understand some basic math you have all the现实世界里真正操作过的人都知道,在现实世界里,你因为基于基础做出好的判断和决策而获得回报。比如你懂算术、统计、概率到不错的水平,再懂一些基础数学,你就有了……
18:31math that you need to succeed in life you don't need calculus or even trigonometry or number theory or set theory or any of these kinds of things unless you're going into a deeply technical field or yet we spend so much成功所需的所有数学。你不需要微积分,甚至不需要三角学、数论、集合论这些东西,除非你要进入一个深度技术领域。可我们在学校里花了那么多……
18:44of our time in school covering pre-calc and calculus the kids who are taking those courses aren't even that good at basic math so the basics are really important that's the steel frame the foundation for understanding that you need to get时间学预备微积分和微积分,学这些课的孩子连基础数学都不太行。所以基础真的很重要,那是你需要的理解的钢架和地基……
18:58through life and uh too much of it is reduced to memorization and understanding things as names and as and i think the feynman example is you know his dad would take him for walks and they would see birds and you过一辈子。太多东西被简化成死记硬背,把事物当成名字来理解。Feynman 的例子是,他爸爸会带他散步,看到鸟……
19:11know if his dad would say this bird is uh such and such a warbler but that doesn't tell you anything about the bird that tells you about humans and humans gave that bird that name really the bird you know it他爸爸会说,这只鸟是某种莺,但这并没有告诉你关于鸟的任何事,那只告诉你关于人类的事,是人类给鸟取了这个名字。真正的鸟……
19:22likes to stand on one leg at this point it likes to pick it uh lice and it's feathers doing this and it likes to eat these kinds of things and it flies you know this way for that reason and these它喜欢这个姿势单腿站着,喜欢啄羽毛里的虱子,喜欢做这个动作,喜欢吃这些东西,因为那个原因这样飞……
19:32are its predators and these are its prey so i mean those are the kinds of things that really give you understanding who cares what the bird is called the name of the bird is irrelevant and you see a lot of这些是它的天敌,这些是它的猎物。这些才是真正让你理解的东西。谁在乎鸟叫什么?鸟的名字无关紧要。你在很多……
19:43professions in professional life this happens a lot which is jargon people try to protect their knowledge by basically saying well i understand this term and that term and what this term means but the reality is most people don't actually know职业里都能看到这种情况,术语满天飞。人们试图用「我懂这个术语、那个术语、这个术语什么意思」来保护自己的知识。但现实是,大多数人其实并不知道……
19:56what these things mean underneath i find this very common in accounting a lot of business people don't know accounting and even a lot of will have fancy words for things but when you dig underneath they don't really understand the principle这些东西底下到底是什么。我在会计领域常见到这种情况:很多商业人士不懂会计,很多人会用花哨的词,但你往下挖,他们并不真正理解……
20:08of what's going on below it and if you just understand the principles and even if you don't understand the words you will have an in for example negotiating deals because you'll understand underneath how the pieces are actually moving on the底下运行的原理。如果你懂原理,哪怕不懂那些词,你也懂门道,比如谈判交易,因为你能理解底下棋子实际上是怎么在……
20:21board as opposed to what they're called and i just want to point out developing foundational knowledge is akin to learning the basics of shooting foul throws in basketball it is not becoming michael jordan right with a very limited set of棋盘上移动的,而不是它们叫什么。我只想指出,打基础就像学篮球里的罚球基础动作,并不是要成为 Michael Jordan,就像用非常有限的……
20:39colors with which to paint if you a few weeks maybe not even a few weeks a few days with a decent youtube tutorial or book gathering the basics of accounting you will be able to make significantly better decisions right i几种颜色作画。几周——也许连几周都不用,几天,看个不错的 YouTube 教程或书,掌握会计基础,你就能做出明显更好的决策。
20:54mean it's it's i just want to underscore that this is not a master's degree or phd or any type of commitment like that can separate you from the pack in terms of advantage well just just run a business run unlimited我只想强调,这不需要硕士学位、博士学位或任何那种承诺,就能让你脱颖而出、获得优势。直接去经营一家公司……
21:08stand it'll teach you better accounting not a textbook now you may need to learn certain conventions because you need those to communicate with other humans so that there's efficient communication when you say one thing they understand that thing and that's经营一家公司会教你更好的会计,比教科书好。当然,你可能需要学某些惯例,因为你需要用它们和其他人沟通,这样沟通才高效。你说一件事,对方就明白那件事,这就是……
21:20where jargon can be useful because it can be a compressed way of communicating knowledge rather than having to you know try and explain it from first principles every but when it's not useful is when it becomes a substitute for understanding术语有用的地方:它可以压缩知识,而不必每次都从第一原理讲起。但术语没用的地方,是它变成理解的替代品。
21:33is a thing you know that's what separates humans from the other animals that's what separates us from the robots that we actually understand what's going on underneath like for example in the artificial intelligence world there's a new algorithm gpt3 which这就是把人类和其他动物区分开的东西,也是把我们和机器人区分开的东西:我们真正理解底下在发生什么。比如在人工智能领域,有个新算法 GPT-3……
21:46is the rage which is text completion so people are saying hey i can make up like really plausible sounding writing and so the ai is here is going to take all the jobs well no because the ai doesn't actually know现在很火,就是文本补全。人们说,嘿,我能生成听起来非常合理的文字,所以 AI 要抢走所有工作了。其实不会,因为 AI 并不真正知道……
21:57what's going on if i were to ask a question well why did you write that or what does that mean it would very quickly fall apart so you always want to strive for understanding not for memorization you should be able发生了什么。如果我问它,你为什么这么写?那是什么意思?它很快就会露馅。所以你应该始终追求理解,而不是记忆。你应该能够……
22:09to rearticulate it five different ways in every language that you know otherwise you don't really understand it and the good news is you don't have to that many things you know while we're on the topic of find a fineman one用你会说的每种语言,用五种不同的方式重新表述它,否则你并没有真正理解。好消息是,你需要理解的东西并不多。说到 Feynman……
22:20of the phrase the quotes from him is he says like you know nature uses only the longest threads to weave her tapestry and so what he means by that is that there's only a few basic principles that you have to他有一句话:大自然只用最长的丝线来编织她的挂毯。他的意思是,只有少数几条基本原理,你需要……
22:32understand to kind of understand the sum total of our knowledge in physics there's not a lot and as physics becomes more and more advanced we're actually unifying theories we're collapsing them into one thing like we do with electricity and magnetism理解它们,就能理解我们物理学知识的总和。其实并不多。而且随着物理学越来越进步,我们实际上在统一理论,把它们合并成一个东西,就像电与磁……
22:46or statistical mechanics and heat and thermodynamics you know those turn out to be one thing so we're or we're trying to do currently with gravity and quantum mechanics we're trying to reconcile them in quantum loop gravity or in string theory或者统计力学、热与热力学,结果都是一回事。我们现在试图对引力和量子力学做的,就是在量子圈引力或弦论里调和它们……
22:59or what have you so you just kind of have to understand a few of the basic things and then you'll see them recurring over and over and over again like for example i study and read physics in computer science just之类的。所以你只需要理解少数几个基本的东西,然后你会看到它们反复出现。比如我读物理和计算机科学……
23:10for entertainment i don't there's no practical application for me there's this really interesting theory i was reading about called solomonoff and it's basically formalized as occam's razor which is that the shortest answer is the correct one but it's it's more纯粹为了娱乐,没有实际应用。我读到过一个很有意思的理论叫 Solomonoff,基本上形式化了奥卡姆剃刀:最短的答案就是正确的答案。但它比这更……
23:25advanced than that but it basically says like if you want to figure out why something happened you take all the different reasons why it could have happened all the different theories why it could have happened and then you sort of高级。它基本上是说,如果你想弄清某件事为什么发生,你把所有可能的原因、所有可能的理论拿出来,然后……
23:36weigh each of them based on how compressed they are how how short they are how likely they are and then that gives you the probability that kind of gives you the the explanation for why that theory happened now feynman has根据它们的压缩程度、简短程度、可能性来加权,这给出的概率就给出了那个理论为何成立的解释。Feynman 有一个……
23:49a very similar and elegant thing in a completely different field where he basically says if you want to understand why this particle took that path why did this photon take that path what you do is you look at all the非常相似而优雅的东西,在完全不同的领域。他基本上是说,如果你想理解为什么这个粒子走了那条路径、为什么这个光子走了那条路径,你要做的是看……
24:00possible paths that photon could have taken and you sort of weigh them you you sum them probabilistically based on how likely that path was it's actually the same observation except one is about photons traveling through space-time and the other is这个光子所有可能走的路径,然后根据那条路径的可能性对它们进行概率求和。这其实是同一个观察,只不过一个关于光子在时空中旅行,另一个……
24:14about the causality and why an event may have happened and what the theory is behind that and these are two completely different fields and two completely different characters thinking about two completely different things and these are very very fundamental theories关于因果性、为什么某件事可能发生、背后的理论是什么。这是两个完全不同的领域,两个完全不同的人物,思考两个完全不同的问题……
24:27in their fields but deep down they're actually the same which to me is fascinating it just shows how much of what we look at as complexity actually emerges from a set of very simple rules and it's just fascinating so understanding这些是各自领域里非常非常基础的理论,但深处其实是同一回事。这让我着迷,它说明我们眼中的复杂性,有多少其实源自一组非常简单的规则。所以……
24:43is a thing to strive for not the words so even though you use the fancy words like solomon of induction and finance path integral theory whatever the heck it's called i don't even know what the actual name is the name理解才是应该追求的东西,不是词语。所以哪怕你用上「Solomonoff 归纳」「费曼路径积分」这些花哨词,管它到底叫什么,名字我甚至都不知道……
24:54is irrelevant it's the concept that's fascinating you spoke to learning accounting through building a business let's segue to business your pin tweet is a tweet storm so it's a series of the headline of which is how to get rich and名字无关紧要,概念才迷人。你谈到通过经营企业学会计,我们转到商业。你的置顶推文是一个推文串,标题是《如何致富》……
25:09then in parentheses without getting it has as we record this 44.8 000 retweets 110 plus thousand favorites we're not going to go through this whole thing it's quite long but i'm curious to know what parts of it you think people括号里是「不靠运气」。按我们录制时算,有 44.8 万次转发、11 万多收藏。我们不会把整个串过一遍,它很长,但我很好奇,你觉得人们……
25:26are paying too much attention to or overemphasize and what parts of it do you wish people would pay more attention to because there are many different pieces of in this thread that tweet storm is a series of principles that i哪些部分关注过多、过度强调了,哪些部分你希望人们多关注。因为里面有很多不同的片段。那个推文串是我为自己写下的一系列原则……
25:39kind of wrote for myself in my head when i was 13 and i was trying to figure out how to make money and i kind of came with a framework of how to be rich but not by accident to do在我脑子里,13 岁时写的,当时我想搞清楚怎么赚钱,形成了一个如何致富的框架,但不是靠运气,而是用一种可以反复重复……
25:48it in a way that i could repeat it over and over and i would leave very little up the chance because i think there's kind of this it's not completely mythology but there's this belief that you know to make money的方法,几乎不给运气留机会。因为我觉得有一种——不完全是神话,但确实存在的信念……
25:59you either have to be born rich or you have to be privileged or you have to be in the right circles or to get lucky and i think that there are still ways to accomplish the original american dream which is认为要赚钱,你要么生来有钱,要么有特权,要么混对圈子,要么靠运气。我认为仍然有办法实现最初的美国梦……
26:08you know make money but do it in a deliberate systematic way and when i say money i mean wealth i don't mean like a law firm where you make you know a couple hundred bucks an hour but you're still tied也就是赚钱,但用刻意、系统的方式。我说钱,指的是财富。我不是说像律所那样一小时赚几百美元,但你仍然被时间……
26:17to the clock i mean like when you wake up when you want you go to sleep when you want you know you live where you want and you have freedom so to me the purpose of money is freedom and for绑住。我说的是你想什么时候醒就什么时候醒,想什么时候睡就什么时候睡,想住哪儿就住哪儿,你拥有自由。所以对我来说,金钱的目的是自由……
26:26that you need to create wealth and can you do it ethically can you do it sustainably can you do it reliably can you do it with people that you like can you do it doing things that you enjoy and i为此你需要创造财富。你能有道德地做吗?能可持续地做吗?能可靠地做吗?能和你喜欢的人一起做吗?能做你享受的事吗?
26:37think it's absolutely possible and i i'd like to think that i'm at least one of many living proof points for that you know warren buffett and charlie munger are examples of others uh not that i'm in their status of their我认为绝对可能。我愿意认为我至少是众多活生生的证明之一。Warren Buffett 和 Charlie Munger 是另外的例子……
26:47league but you know other people have done it so that was the whole point of that framework and the tweet storm i just wrote it down one day and it's funny because obviously i have some experience at twitter so i不是说我和他们同一级别,但你知道,其他人做到过。所以那就是那个框架的全部意义。那个推文串,我有一天就写下来了。有意思的是,我在 Twitter 上显然有些经验,所以……
26:58know how to craft things but i think that was written back in the day when the tweet limit was 140 characters too so it's harder but i just woke up one night when i've been thinking about it and i wrote知道怎么打磨内容。但那是在推文限制还是 140 个字符的时候写的,所以更难。我只是某天晚上醒来,一直在想这件事,然后我写下了……
27:08up the whole tweetstorm almost exactly like you see it and there are lots and lots of missing pieces like obviously that is just like a very high level very zen cone like or or haiku like or hallmark card like framework整个推文串,几乎和你看到的一模一样。里面缺了很多很多细节,显然那只是一个非常高层次的、很禅、像俳句或贺卡一样的框架。
27:22it's missing a ton of details which i then tried to extrapolate on in my podcast on the same topic what do people over emphasize and what are people missing and actually involved let me pause to just read a few of缺了大量细节,后来我在同主题的播客里试图展开。人们过度强调了什么、又漏掉了什么……让我暂停一下,读几条。
27:35them this is from may 31 2018 so a few examples and you don't have to comment on these specific examples but just for people who haven't seen this i want to give them an idea so the second of these various这些来自 2018 年 5 月 31 日。举几个例子,你们不必评论这些具体例子,只是给没看过的人一个概念。这个序列里第二条……
27:49tweets in this sequence is understand that ethical wealth creation is possible if you secretly despise wealth it will elude end of that particular tweet and then there's another one you're not going to get rich renting out your time you must推文是:要明白,有道德的财富创造是可能的。如果你暗地里鄙视财富,财富就会躲开你。这条推文到此结束。还有一条:你不可能靠出租时间致富,你必须……
28:02own equity a piece of a business to gain your financial freedom that one right there is the most important one which is you basically in modern life what happens is like the person who is the best at doing something in拥有股权——企业的一部分——才能获得财务自由。这一条是最重要的。基本上,在现代生活中,世界上最擅长做某件事的人……
28:13the world will get to do it for the entire world through a combination of leverage and distribution accountability and specific knowledge with all of which i talk about in the tweet storm if you're the best in the world doing something会通过杠杆、分发、问责和专有知识的组合,为全世界做这件事,这些我在推文串里都讲过。如果你是世界上做某件事最厉害的人……
28:24like if you're the best teacher in the world at math you should be teaching the entire world math if you're the best podcast interviewer you should be doing all the top interviews and the returns will accrue to you especially in比如你是世界上最好的数学老师,你就应该给全世界教数学;如果你是最好的播客采访者,你就应该做所有顶级采访。回报会累积到你身上,尤其是……
28:35this highly digital world where we live in where the cost of distributing something is very close to and so what you kind of want to do is you want to productize yourself into a business and then you want to own在这个高度数字化的世界里,分发某样东西的成本接近于零。所以你要做的是把自己产品化成一门生意,然后你要拥有……
28:45that business that is the way to make a clear example is that tim ferriss podcast the tim ferriss brand right you're it's an eponymous brand your name is on it you're leveraged through this podcast and through the books that you那门生意。这就是方法。一个清晰的例子是 Tim Ferriss 播客、Tim Ferriss 品牌。那是一个以你名字命名的品牌,你的名字在上面,你通过这个播客、通过你写的书……
28:57write and through the army of followers that you have on the various media platforms and you're taking on big accountability and their specific knowledge only you know how to be tim ferriss the learning machine who can then connect to other通过你在各个媒体平台上的粉丝大军获得杠杆,你承担了很大的问责,而专有知识只有你知道怎么成为 Tim Ferriss 这台学习机器,能连接其他人……
29:09and extract value out of them and share that with the audience so that's an example of you having productized yourself but ultimately you own the tim ferriss business now you can go lower levels down from that you don't have to从中提取价值,并与听众分享。这就是你把自己产品化的例子。但最终你拥有 Tim Ferriss 这门生意。你也可以往下走,不必……
29:21own the entire business you could be an investor in public equities or private stocks you could be a partner in a private business uh you could be an employee a startup where you have stock options but if you don't own拥有整个企业。你可以是公开股票或私募股票的投资者,可以是私营企业的合伙人,可以在有股票期权的初创公司当员工。但如果你不拥有……
29:32a piece of a business you're gonna it's gonna be extremely hard to get wealthy it'll be nearly impossible almost not worth that route so i think that is the most important foundational tweet i think where people kind of all kind企业的一部分,你就极难致富,几乎不可能,那条路几乎不值得走。所以我认为那是最重要的一条基础推文。而我认为人们最容易……
29:45of miss the plot the most though is we have pain avoidance in life we don't want to face things where it's clear we've made bad decisions because one good definition of suffering is that's the moment when you see things that抓错重点的地方是:我们在生活中有回避痛苦的倾向,不想面对那些明显做错了决定的事。因为对苦难的一个好定义就是:那一刻你看到事物本来的样子……
29:58they clearly are and you kind of don't like what you see like for example if you if you and your spouse have been fighting for a long you know you've kind of been sweeping under the rug and you've sort of而你不喜欢所看到的。比如你和配偶已经争吵很久,你一直把事情扫到地毯下,你一直忍着,但你扫错了地方……
30:07been suffering along but you're sweeping on the wrong and then you get divorced at that moment you can no longer unsee all the damage that was in the relationship and what all the consequences are they're real the same way if然后你们离婚了。那一刻,你再也无法无视这段关系里所有的伤害,以及所有后果,它们都是真实的。同样,如果你……
30:17you haven't been taking care of your health but then suddenly you find out that you've just fallen off a cliff and something irreversibly bad has happened the moment of suffering arrives and you're in pain because you can no unsee this一直不照顾健康,突然发现自己掉下悬崖,发生了不可逆的坏事,苦难的时刻就来了,你痛苦,因为你再也无法无视它……
30:28thing you can no longer avoid it so i think the same way the unfortunate part is that a lot of these principles are written for young people because you can set yourself on a certain trajectory in life earlier and so你再也无法回避它。所以我认为,不幸的是,这些原则很多是写给年轻人的,因为你可以更早地把自己设定在某种人生轨迹上。
30:39for example if you went you got a you know a phd in a social science and now i'm basically saying hey learn the code you're going to avoid that you're not going to want to see that because you have all比如你读了一个社会科学的博士,现在我说,嘿,去学编程吧,你会回避这件事,你不愿看到它,因为你在这个学位上有太多沉没成本。所以我觉得很多人不愿去学必要的新技能……
30:48this sunk cost in the degree so i think a lot of people don't want to pick up the new skills that are necessary or they don't want to for example physically move or they don't want to disappoint the people in或者不愿搬家,或者不愿让现有关系中的人失望,以便为新关系腾出空间。每个人都想从自己所在的地方开始,没人愿意下山……
30:59the relationships that they already have to make room for new so everybody wants to start where they are nobody wants to go back down the mountain to find the path going to the everybody wants to stay on the path they're回到山脚去找那条路。大家都想留在自己那条路上,也许微调几下就到山顶。或者像 Charlie Munger 开玩笑说的……
31:09on maybe make a few tweaks and get to the top or like charlie munger jokes you know people always ask me like how do i get to be rich like you except quicker i don't want to be the old rich人们总问我,我怎么才能像你一样有钱,但要更快。我不想当那个年老的有钱人……
31:18guy i want to be the young rich guy so i think these are the hard parts the the hard parts are not the learning is the unlearning it's not the climbing up the mountain it's the going back down to the我想当年轻的有钱人。所以我认为这些才是难的部分。难的部分不是学习,而是放下旧知;不是爬山,而是下山……
31:28bottom of the mountain and starting over it's the beginner's mind that every great artist or every great business person has which is you have to be willing to start from scratch you have to be willing to hit reset and go回到山脚重新开始。每个伟大的艺术家、每个伟大的商业人士都有初学者的心态:你必须愿意从零开始,愿意按下重置键……
31:38back to zero because you have to realize that what you already know and what you're already doing is actually an impediment to your full potential and most people just don't want to acknowledge that and i'm guilty of that too that's回到零点。因为你必须意识到,你已经知道的和已经在做的,实际上是你全部潜力的障碍。大多数人就是不愿承认这一点。我也有这个毛病……
31:49just human nature i'm not i'm faulting anybody for it but it's just human nature just a quick thanks to one of our sponsors and we'll be right back to the this episode is brought to you by wealthfront did you know这是人性。我不怪任何人,但这就是人性。快速感谢一下我们的赞助商,我们马上回来。本期节目由 Wealthfront 赞助。你知道吗……
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33:08tim and open a wealthfront investment account today and you'll get your first five thousand dollars managed for free for life that's wealthfront will automate your investments for the long term and you can get started today at wealthfront.com tim and if/tim,今天就开一个 Wealthfront 投资账户,你的前 5000 美元将终身免费管理。Wealthfront 会为你的长期投资做自动化,今天就可以在 wealthfront.com/tim 开始。
33:27we look at your specific case as it relates to equity you mentioned owning part of a business you also mentioned in this conversation productizing yourself so would you view your success in following that principle in for instance the equity that如果我们看你的具体情况,特别是股权。你提到拥有企业的一部分,也在这段对话里提到把自己产品化。你会把你在这条原则上的成功——比如你在 AngelList 这类公司拥有的股权……
33:46you own in a company like angellist or is it the and the brand meaning associations that you've built as naval the human or is it slash investor being sought after as an investor or is it something else how would you或者是你作为「Naval 这个人」建立的品牌联想,还是作为投资人被追捧?还是别的什么?你会怎么理解这条原则……
34:02think of that principle as applying yeah most in your own life because you've created wealth not just through say your equity and angel list but also through many successful investments and then i'm sure there are other ways that we could在你自己的生活中如何应用?因为你创造财富不仅通过 AngelList 的股权,也通过很多成功的投资。我相信还有其他方式……
34:16identify wealth as is coming from your path that you know what i what i like about my path is that i've made money doing a lot of different little things so i've made you know money consistently in sort of small可以从你的路径中看出财富的来源。我喜欢我这条路的地方在于,我是靠做很多不同的小事赚钱的,我一直以中小……
34:28to medium-sized chunks i haven't had like one gigantic payday that set me up forever although it depends on your standards right i'm talking about by silicon valley standards obviously for most parts of the world i've had many of those gigantic到中等规模的收入持续赚钱。我没有一笔巨款让我一劳永逸。当然这取决于你的标准。我说的是硅谷标准。显然对世界大部分地区来说,我有很多那样的巨额……
34:39paydays but they've been consistent and they've been varied varied in the sense of that there are completely different kinds of investments and endeavors but consistent in that i get one every couple of years which would i just want to interject收入,但它们是一致而多样的。多样在于完全是不同类型的投资和事业,一致在于我每隔几年就有一次。我想插一句……
34:51for a second which would seem to suggest that there is a there are guiding your approaches or absolutely right therefore yeah you're not relying on winning the powerball lottery or that no not at all no there's no lottery here to等一下——这似乎说明,有一些指导你方法的原则……完全正确。所以你不是靠中强力球彩票……不,完全不是,这里没有彩票……
35:07win the lottery is for losers lotteries are just attacks on people who can't do math uh yet rich get rich quick schemes are just other people getting rich off of you there are no shortcuts so what i'm doing is i'm买彩票是输家的事。彩票就是对准那些不会算数的人的收割。快速致富计划只是别人从你身上致富。没有捷径。所以我在做的是……
35:19taking my specific knowledge which is my ability to understand deeply technical concepts and communicate them to the rest of the world to be an interface between great programmers and developers and designers and the capital markets and consumers and using that用我的专有知识,也就是我深入理解技术概念并传达给世界的能力,做伟大的程序员、开发者和设计师与资本市场、消费者之间的接口……
35:35to put myself in a position where then i can identify great trends as they're emerging invest in those companies or help start those companies own equity in those help bring them to market help do the strategy on how to navigate以此把自己放在一个位置,能够在新趋势出现时识别它们,投资那些公司,或帮助创办那些公司,拥有股权,帮助把它们推向市场,制定战略……
35:48the worlds of fundraising and exiting and recruiting and company building and cultures and technology development and all that and have a brand around it and i use that to kind of make money and that is just one of several ways如何驾驭融资、退出、招聘、公司建设、文化、技术开发等等,并围绕它建立品牌,我用这些来赚钱。这只是几种方式之一……
36:00you know i've also done it by investing early on in public markets and cryptocurrencies and starting funds and all kinds of things but i i don't it's funny i don't really follow my own principles anymore like for example the whole我也通过早期投资公开市场、加密货币、创办基金等各种方式赚过钱。但有意思的是,我不再真正遵循自己的原则了。比如……
36:12podcast thing and the whole twitter thing even though i've got reasonably good brands and followers and those i'm not monetizing them at all i'm not charging anybody for anything because i'm not trying to make money anymore to me like making整个播客和 Twitter 的事,虽然我有不错的品牌和粉丝,但我完全没有变现。我不向任何人收费,因为我不再想赚钱了。对我来说……
36:23money is like you become the kind of person that makes money and you put yourself in long-term situations where you're always going to make money so i have the brand and i deep relationships with a dozen people who i know赚钱就像你成为那种会赚钱的人,把自己放进长期情况下,你总是能赚钱。所以我有品牌,我和十几个我了解……
36:35and i trust that i can do business with for the rest of my life and they're very high integrity people they're very capable people and just makes it easy to do things so i've set up that infrastructure now the money信任的人有深厚的关系,我可以和他们做一辈子的生意。他们是非常正直的人,非常有能力的人,这让我做事很容易。所以我现在建立了那个基础设施……
36:44just kind of makes itself as i go about my life i don't want to have to work hard i don't have to roll out of bed at a certain time i don't have to answer to so i optimize for independence钱在我生活中就自己长出来了。我不想辛苦工作,我不必在某个时间起床,我不必向谁汇报。所以我优化的是独立……
36:53and freedom i could have made a lot more money by raising a huge fund or joining a big vc firm early on or being exec at one of the massive companies in silicon valley early on but i always optimize for和自由。我本可以通过募集巨额基金、早期加入大型 VC,或早期在硅谷巨头做高管来赚更多钱,但我一直优化的是……
37:04independence i'm lazy you know i wake up at 7 8 9 10 a.m i go to sleep at 2 30 a.m you know i don't work a lot of uh some days i work morning tonight but it's just based on独立。我懒。我早上 7、8、9、10 点起床,凌晨 2 点半睡觉。我工作不多。有些日子我从早忙到晚,但那只是基于……
37:16whatever i'm curious about i never want to have to answer to a boss no one's ever going to tell me what to do i don't want to order people around i don't want to have someone reporting to me and kind我好奇什么。我从不想向老板汇报,没人能告诉我该做什么。我不想对人发号施令,也不想要下属……
37:25of asking me all the time what to do i want peer relationships i want to flow i want to be able to do business while walking you know in a forest talking on a cell phone or sitting in a meeting不停地问我该怎么做。我想要平等的伙伴关系,我想要流动。我希望能在森林里散步时打电话做生意,或者坐在会议室里……
37:36or in front of a computer or i want to be on a beach if i don't feel like it the ideal would be to make money with your mind not with your time so if i can just make one good或者在电脑前,或者如果我不想,就在海滩上。理想情况是用头脑赚钱,而不是用时间赚钱。如果我一年只做一个好……
37:43decision a year and that makes me all the money that i need for that year then that's perfect and that's the way it should be because we're living in an age of infinite leverage and your judgment just gets through this决策,就能赚到那一年需要的所有钱,那就完美了,本来就该这样。因为我们生活在一个无限杠杆的时代,你的判断力通过……
37:54massive force multiplier through code capital community labor what have you so if you're smart and you kind of know what you're doing you don't need to work hard working hard is the last least important thing you have to pay your代码、资本、社区、劳动力等等获得巨大的力量倍增。所以如果你聪明、大致知道自己在做什么,你不需要辛苦工作。辛苦工作是最后、最不重要的事。你必须付出……
38:06dues you have to put in all the iterations ten thousand iterations not ten thousand hours to figure out what to do and how to do it well but once you know you don't have to put in the time anymore it's代价,必须做所有迭代——一万次迭代,不是一万小时——去搞清做什么、怎么做。但一旦你知道了,你就不必再投入时间。
38:16your judgment and the judgment comes from clear thinking the clear thinking comes from having time to reflect and to pursue your genuine intellectual curiosity and you'll see that a lot of the great investors for example just sit around reading most靠的是你的判断力,判断力来自清晰的思考,清晰的思考来自有时间反思、追求你真正的好奇心。你会发现很多伟大的投资者大部分时间就是坐着读书……
38:29of the time or warren buffett famously plays a lot of bridge obviously not everyone can be just an investor although that is becoming more and more democratized and i've picked something that suits my temperament and particular capabilities but there's lots或者像 Warren Buffett 那样,众所周知打很多桥牌。显然不是每个人都能只做投资者,尽管这正变得越来越民主化。我选了一个适合我性情和特定能力的事……
38:41and lots of ways to make money if you apply your mind to it so i don't work to make money i mean if i make so much money that i'm donating hospital wings and universities and all that stuff i overshot但如果你动脑,赚钱的方式有很多很多。所以我不为赚钱而工作。如果我赚太多钱,要去捐医院楼、捐大学什么的,那我就过头了……
38:51you know i'm not trying to have some influence on the world through money and ironically i have more influence on the world through podcasts like this and so you know making more money doesn't change my life it doesn't change the你知道,我并不想通过金钱对世界施加某种影响。讽刺的是,我通过这样的播客对世界的影响更大。所以赚更多钱不会改变我的生活,也不会……
39:02world as much as i could by doing other things so there's not much incentive for me to make money anymore other than just my craft well let's let's talk about a few of your your missives missives is probably not the像我通过做其他事那样改变世界。所以除了手艺本身,我没什么动力再去赚钱了。我们聊聊你的几条「训诫」——「训诫」可能不是合适的词。
39:16right word yeah i'm not telling you anything i'm not trying to persuade anyone of anything so if people don't like it you know some people get triggered on twitter and they start arguing it's like just leave just don't listen to对,我没在告诉你任何事,我没想说服任何人任何事。所以如果有人不喜欢,你知道,有些人在 Twitter 上被触发,开始争论,那就别听……
39:26it the one i'm going to read would be a great one for people to get really upset about or i would find it comical to to look at the comments people are upset but the the line is this imagine how我要读的这条会让人很容易生气,或者看评论里的人生气我会觉得好笑。这句话是:想象一下……
39:38effective you would be if you weren't anxious all the time why did you put this out and have you highly anxious people become people who experience very little anxiety is that something you've seen but first why did you put this如果你不总是焦虑,你会有多高效。你为什么发这条?你见过高度焦虑的人变成焦虑很少的人吗?你见过吗?但先说为什么发……
39:54up what was behind it and then have you seen anxious people largely i guess unanxious or non-anxious yeah most of my tweets are not very deliberate or thought through what's happening is i've been thinking about some concept for you know背后的动机是什么?然后你见过焦虑的人大体变得不焦虑吗?我大多数推文都不是很刻意或深思熟虑的。情况是,我在想某个概念,想了……
40:09months years whatever it's been percolating and then all of a sudden it'll come to me it's sort of in like one spiffy sentence where i'm like oh this is how i will remember this thing this is how i can distill几个月、几年,它一直在酝酿,然后突然冒出来,变成一个漂亮句子,我会想,哦,这就是我记住这件事的方式,这就是我把它提炼成……
40:20this down into a pointer for myself so that when i need to make decisions i can retrieve that whole line of reasoning and so where this comes from is basically like everybody after a certain age i am taking responsibility for一个指针给自己,这样当我需要做决策时,我能调出整条推理。所以这条的来源基本上是,每个人到某个年龄后,我开始为自己的……
40:36my own happiness and peace and quality of life and one of the things you learn after you make money is that money doesn't make you happier it takes care of your money problems but it's not necessarily going to put you幸福、平静和生活质量负责。赚到钱之后你会学到的一件事是,钱不会让你更幸福。它解决了你的金钱问题,但不一定让你……
40:48in a place where you're in some kind of bliss all the time in fact there's nothing out there that will make you happy forever so you sort of have to take responsibility for guiding yourself in such a way that your一直处在某种极乐状态。事实上,世上没有任何东西能让你永远幸福。所以你必须负责引导自己,让你的……
40:59mental state ends up where you want it and so i've been working on my mental state and i have you know working is a big word i don't i don't want to say i've been working on it but i would心理状态到达你想要的地方。所以我一直在「修炼」我的心理状态——「修炼」是个大词,我不想说我一直在修炼它,但我会……
41:08say my mental state has gotten to a place which is much better than it used to be and people will often say well i don't want to do that because it will take away my ambition i want to succeed right说我的心理状态已经到了比过去好得多的地步。人们常说,我不想那样做,因为那会夺走我的野心,我想现在就成功……
41:18now and so i've thought about that a fair bit and is that true or not well certainly for me in the last few years since i've become calmer my effectiveness has gone through the roof and i've been more successful but所以我想了不少。这是真的吗?至少对我来说,过去几年随着我变得更平静,我的效率飙升,我也更成功了。但……
41:30it's hard to disambiguate that from well also maybe you're just later in your career you're in a better position for it and that's a valid criticism so one of the things i've been trying to figure out is like would i这很难和「也许你只是职业生涯后期了、处在更好的位置」区分开。这是个合理的批评。所以我一直想弄清楚的一件事是……
41:40have been as and it's hard to do the counterfactual obviously if i wasn't as anxious because anxiety is you know comes from fear it's also a motivator it makes you get off your butt and one of the ways to make如果我没那么焦虑,我会不会也这样?当然很难做反事实假设。因为焦虑来自恐惧,它也是一种动力,让你从椅子上站起来。而让……
41:50the anxiety go away at least until the next piece of anxiety comes along is to go do something about it so what is the role of anxiety well firstly i noted that pretty much everybody's anxious all the time it's a焦虑消失的方法之一——至少等到下一波焦虑来之前——就是去做点什么。那么焦虑的作用是什么?首先我注意到,几乎所有人都一直焦虑……
42:02rare human being who isn't anxious and it makes sense we're alpha predators you know we took over this earth and domesticated or killed all the other and we did that by being the most paranoid the most fearful the most angry很少有人不焦虑。这说得通,我们是顶级掠食者,我们占领了地球,驯化或杀死了其他所有……我们这样做,是因为我们是最偏执、最恐惧、最愤怒的……
42:14predators this world has ever seen so anxiety is built into the core of who we are in fact you could argue that all the mind does all day long is fear-based scenario planning for survival and then maybe a little bit这个星球上出现过的掠食者。所以焦虑根植于我们是谁的核心。事实上,你可以说,大脑整天做的就是为生存做恐惧驱动的场景推演,然后也许有一点……
42:25of greed for replication so anxiety is at the core level of who we are but certainly some people are more anxious than others there's no question and some people seem to be much calmer about it so which is more useful为繁衍的贪婪。所以焦虑处于我们是谁的核心层面。但当然有些人比其他人更焦虑,毫无疑问,有些人对此似乎冷静得多。那么,对效率来说……
42:37for effectiveness so assuming that your goal is your motivation is intrinsic you're doing the thing because you love it or because you really want it and you can separate that motivation anxiety then i think you can take on certain superpowers哪个更有用?所以假设你的目标是内在动机,你做这件事是因为你热爱它或真的很想要它,并且你能把动机和焦虑分开,那么我认为你可以获得某些超能力。
42:54and we kind of all intrinsically know this like if you look at you know samurai warriors right like miyamoto musashi is in a duel with somebody else you know that the person who is calmer is going to win in all我们内心都知道这一点。比如看武士,Miyamoto Musashi 和别人决斗,更冷静的那个人会赢。在所有那些电影里……
43:05those movies it's the one who can like who's like incredibly still then swipes with a sword incredibly quickly and then still again that's the winner the one who has a zen state of mind similarly in the terminator movies part of是那个能极其静止、然后极快挥剑、再静止的人赢。赢家是拥有禅者心境的人。同样,在《终结者》电影里……
43:17the reason you fear the terminator is because he's a robot he's unstoppable he's implacable you can't argue with him you can't communicate with him you can't make him slow down and he has no remorse he just keeps coming or in你害怕终结者,因为他是机器人,不可阻挡,冷酷无情,你无法和他争论、无法沟通、无法让他慢下来,他没有悔意,只是不断逼近。或者……
43:28that old clinton movie unforgiven you know the guy who wins the gunfight is the one who doesn't flinch he's just keeping his cool while he's loading his gun and shooting he's not like all over the place running so i just在那部老电影《不可饶恕》里,赢得枪战的人是那个不眨眼的人。他装弹、开枪时都保持冷静,不是到处乱跑。所以……
43:38think we waste so much energy through anxiety that if you can be calm and still go about your business it's a superpower and i i realized this myself recently where i was in a conflict situation in business it was a我认为我们通过焦虑浪费了太多能量。如果你能保持平静,同时继续做你的事,那就是一种超能力。我最近自己也意识到了这一点,当时我处在一场商业冲突中……
43:52high conflict situation it was unfortunate we i think we've solved it but as i went through this high conflict situation i'd been through one like it years before where i was much more anxious and i remember that time period i那是一场高冲突局面,很不幸。我们我觉得已经解决了。但经历这场高冲突时,我几年前也经历过一次类似的,那时我焦虑得多。我记得那段时间……
44:04remember how much i was sweating it and how nervous i was and how i went through bouts of fear and anger and how kind of worked up i was the entire time intense and didn't get much but this time i我记得我多煎熬、多紧张,经历了恐惧和愤怒的阵发,整个人一直紧绷,很激烈,但没得到什么。而这一次……
44:15was incredibly calm and i was almost enjoying it because it was like practicing my craft now of course it's easier to do now because i have more money but at the same time it just didn't bother me it was just我极其平静,甚至几乎很享受,因为那就像在练习我的手艺。当然现在做起来更容易,因为我更有钱了。但与此同时,它就是没有困扰我,只是……
44:28very mechanical and because of that i could be very effective about it and i could be effective about it while doing lots and lots of other things my mind wasn't constantly spinning in a taking on 10 different problems and just非常机械。正因如此,我能非常高效地处理它,而且能在做很多很多其他事情的同时高效处理它。我的脑子没有不停地转,没有同时扛 10 个问题……
44:39fear based on aeroplaning all the time most of these things were never going to happen so i do believe that being calm and still going about your business is the superpower now yes if anxiety is your only motivator then you一直基于恐惧做「如果……怎么办」的推演。大多数事情根本不会发生。所以我确实相信,保持平静、继续做你的事,是一种超能力。当然,如果焦虑是你唯一的动力……
44:52have a problem but i would argue the pure motivations don't come out of anxiety so let's talk about attribution here to what would you attribute the and i know this that it's difficult to isolate variables etc but if let's just那就有问题。但我认为纯粹的动机不是来自焦虑。那我们聊聊归因。你会把……归因于什么?我知道这很难分离变量等等,但我们假设……
45:07say like you have a family so let's just say one of your kids comes to you it's like dad i'm suffering from a lot of anxiety what should i do or you observe it and you want to help your kid比如你有家庭,你的一个孩子来找你,说爸爸,我焦虑得很厉害,我该怎么办?或者你观察到这一点,想帮助孩子……
45:17out what types of recommendations would you make or might you make another question if you prefer it is what has helped you to go from the whirlpool experience of anxiety in high conflict experience round one versus calm naval and high你会给出什么样的建议?或者换个问法,如果你更喜欢:是什么帮助你从第一轮高冲突经历里的焦虑漩涡,变成第二轮高冲突里的平静 Naval?
45:34conflict experience round two yeah it's really hard to separate all the pieces out i mean it comes from a of philosophy yoga meditation getting older having kids you know like you i've had some psychedelic experiences but those are very far对,真的很难把各个部分分开。它来自哲学、瑜伽、冥想、变老、有孩子。像你一样,我也有过一些迷幻体验,但那些是很久……
45:51back in the past um just a distant memory at this point but i would say the number one thing that has been very very important for me is meditation and it's a stupid thing to say because it's so trite everybody以前的事了,现在只是遥远的记忆。但我会说,对我来说非常非常重要的第一件事是冥想。说这话很蠢,因为太老套了,现在每个人都……
46:03just says it now but when i say meditation i don't mean sitting there and watching your breath or chanting a mantra i mean and meditation is a great way to do that self-therapy it's sitting there with thoughts so anxiety the这么说。但当我说冥想,我不是指坐在那儿观呼吸或念咒。冥想是做自我治疗的好方法,就是坐在那儿面对念头。所以焦虑……
46:16anxiety anxiety this this pervasive non-specific anxiety we're just constantly on edge about everything that comes from an unexamined life you know i think what's the socrates said like an unexamined life is not worth living i forget who said that quote那种弥漫性的、非特定的焦虑,我们对一切都一直紧绷,它来自未经审视的生活。我想苏格拉底说过,未经审视的生活不值得过。我忘了是谁说的……
46:30something like that yeah but it's it's arithmetic one of those one of those smart philosopher types but it's correct it's your unexamined life that is causing the problems and you can examine it in multiple ways you can examine it through差不多是这样。对,是那种算术,某个聪明的哲学家。但这是对的,是未经审视的生活在制造问题。你可以用多种方式审视它……
46:43you can have some crazy mushroom trip where it all comes out one night you could do a lot of meditation sitting there with yourself and letting your mind run crazy and then seeing what's actually in your mind that your mind你可以来一次疯狂的蘑菇之旅,一晚把所有东西都翻出来;你可以大量冥想,坐在那里让脑子狂奔,然后看看你脑子里到底有什么……
46:53wants to tell you and have you listened to and have you resolved that is unresolved it could be through therapy it could be through reading lots of philosophy and reflection and long walks so there's many many ways to tackle it你的脑子想告诉你什么,你有没有听,有没有解决那些未解决的事。也可以通过心理治疗,通过读大量哲学、反思和长距离散步。有很多很多方法……
47:06but it's that spending that time with yourself to examine why are you having these thoughts think about it this way we spend so much time in our relationships our relationship with our wives our relationship with our colleagues our relations to但核心是花时间独处,审视你为什么会有这些念头。这样想:我们花了那么多时间在关系上,和妻子的关系、和同事的关系、和……
47:18our business partners our relations with our friends the most important relationship you have is with yourself it's with this voice in your head that is constantly rattling every waking hour it's this crazy roommate living inside your mind who's always chattering商业伙伴的关系、和朋友的关系。你最重要的关系,是你和自己的关系,是你和脑子里那个每个清醒时刻都在喋喋不休的声音的关系。那是你脑子里的疯狂室友,总在唠叨……
47:30always chattering never shuts up and you can't control these thoughts they just come up out of you don't even know where that quality of those quality of your thoughts that convers those conversations you're having in your head all the time一直唠叨,从不停嘴。你控制不了这些念头,它们自己冒出来,你甚至不知道它们从哪来。你念头的质量,你脑子里一直在进行的对话……
47:43that is your world that is the world you live in those that's the world view you that's the lenses you see through and that's going to determine the quality of your life more than anything else and if you want to那就是你的世界,那就是你生活的世界,那是你看世界的镜头,它比其他任何东西都更能决定你生活的质量。如果你想……
47:53see what the quality of your life actually is put down the drink put down the computer put down the smartphone put down the book put down the headphones just sit by yourself doing nothing and then you will know what the看看你生活的真实质量,放下酒杯,放下电脑,放下智能手机,放下书,放下耳机,就一个人坐着,什么都不做,然后你就会知道……
48:04quality of your life actually is because that's what you're always running away from that's why people when they try to meditate to sit down like i hate it i can't sit still why because your mind is eating you live your你生活的真实质量。因为那正是你一直在逃避的。这就是为什么人们尝试冥想、坐下来时会说,我讨厌这个,我坐不住。为什么?因为你的心智在啃噬你。你的……
48:16life is unexamined your mind is running in loops over things that it has not resolved and because they're not resolved when you run around in your normal life it's not those problems have gone away it's that they're just there they're生活未经审视,你的脑子在那些未解决的事情上循环打转。因为它们没被解决,当你在日常生活中奔波时,那些问题并没有消失,它们还在那里……
48:28but they're provoking anxiety and what you think of as the anxiety that's kind of consuming you and you can't identify the source that's just the tip of an iceberg poking out from underneath the water and underneath this giant pile of它们在引发焦虑。你以为那种吞噬你的焦虑、你找不到源头的焦虑,只是冰山露出水面的一角。水面下是一大堆……
48:41garbage of decisions that were made without too much thought of situations that you're in that you haven't resolved that you need to resolve of problems that you have or desires that you have that have gone unmet or unmanifested or contradictions垃圾:没怎么思考就做出的决定、你身处其中尚未解决、需要解决的情境、你拥有的问题、未满足或未实现的欲望,或者矛盾……
48:56that you're living in or ways that you which you feel trapped so proper meditation proper examination should ruin the life that you're currently living it should cause you to leave relationships it should cause you to re-establish boundaries with family members你生活在其中的矛盾,或者你感到被困住的方式。所以真正的冥想、真正的审视,应该毁掉你现在的生活。它应该让你离开某些关系,应该让你重新划定与家人的边界……
49:11with colleagues it should cause you to quit your job it should cause you to change your eating patterns it should cause you to spend more time with yourself it should cause you to change what books you read it should cause与同事的边界。它应该让你辞职,应该让你改变饮食方式,应该让你花更多时间独处,应该让你改变读什么书,应该让你……
49:20you to change who your friends are if it doesn't do that it's not real examination if it doesn't come attached with destruction of your current life then you can't create the new life in which you will not have the anxiety改变你的朋友是谁。如果它没做到这些,那就不是真正的审视。如果它不伴随对现有生活的摧毁,你就无法创造那种不再有焦虑的新生活……
49:31or at least parts of it not necessarily whole cloth so let's ask let's let's dive into meditation because as you mentioned it's a term that is used a lot and in the minds of most it is represented by things that至少是部分消除,不一定是全部。那我们就深入聊聊冥想,因为如你所说,这个词被用得太多了。在大多数人心里,它代表的是……
49:46you just said you do not do like the mantra based meditation or following the breath and you and i have meditated before i don't know if your approach is still similar but it is quite a i'd hate to talk about你刚说你不做的东西,比如基于咒语的冥想或跟随呼吸。你和我以前一起冥想过,不知道你的方法是否还类似。但那确实是一个……
50:02trite paradigm shift in a sense at least in the way that i experienced it alongside you at one point which was literally doing nothing for extended periods of time i don't know if that's still the case but could you describe我不想说「范式转变」这种老套词,至少从我和你一起经历的方式看是这样,那其实就是长时间什么都不做。不知道现在是否还是这样,但你能描述一下……
50:17the practice a bit because it's it was such a burden lifted in a sense when the pass fail is removed and the experience that i had after say a week of doing this twice a day which is not necessarily what这个练习吗?因为当「及格/不及格」的评判被去掉后,某种负担就卸下了。我一天做两次、做了一周之后的体验,虽然不一定是……
50:33people do in normal life but it was pretty profound so could you the current practice which may be different from what i experienced yeah i actually have two different things that i do and i almost hate calling it meditation because人们在日常生活中会做的,但那种体验相当深刻。所以你能讲讲现在的练习吗?可能和我经历的不同。其实我做两种不同的事,我几乎不喜欢把它叫做冥想,因为……
50:47everyone has in their mind a preconceived notion of what meditation is let's not even call it that i would say that there are two self-examination practices that i do and i don't even call them practices anymore because sometimes i do每个人心里都有一个对冥想的先入之见。我们干脆别叫它冥想。我会说我做两种自我审视的练习,我甚至不再叫它们「练习」,因为有时候我做……
50:57them because i feel like them and i enjoy them or because it feels right and sometimes i don't because anything done routinely sort of becomes its own trap and is not going to get you anywhere it just becomes like another是因为我想做、我享受,或者感觉对了;有时候我不做,因为任何例行公事都会变成自己的陷阱,不会带你到任何地方,只会变成另一种……
51:08spiritual high another checkbox right now is it fair though to say that you're able to opt in and out now because you had a certain front loading period doing it consistently actually i'll say there are three different things that i灵性高潮、另一个待办勾选项。不过话说回来,你现在能自由选择做或不做,是不是因为你之前有一段持续练习的「前置加载期」?其实我要说,我做三件不同的事……
51:21do and i'll go through them the first is i just read a lot of philosophy especially at night time before i go to bed which ones schopenhauer maxims who are we talking about yeah schopenhauer western philosophy is my current uh我会逐一讲。第一是读大量哲学,尤其是在晚上睡觉前。读谁?Schopenhauer、《箴言》?我们在说谁?对,Schopenhauer。西方哲学是我目前的……
51:32although i've definitely moved around on that one eastern philosophy i'll read everything from osho i know he's discredited and been canceled but fantastic that makes me like him even um krishnamurti i don't know kapil gupta uh rupert spira i mean虽然我肯定也来回换过。东方哲学,我什么都读,从 Osho——我知道他被认为不可信、被「取消」了,但他很棒,这反而让我更喜欢他——到 Krishnamurti、Kapil Gupta、Rupert Spira……
51:46it's all over the place uh anthony demelo he's fantastic actually i'm gonna start with one book start with anthony demelo's way to love um or his book awareness they're both really good um but there's a ton of them i basically范围很广。Anthony de Mello 也很棒。其实我建议从一本书开始,从 Anthony de Mello 的《爱的道路》,或者他的《觉知》,两本都很好。这类书很多……
51:57read a lot of philosophers siddhartha vasis says yoga bhagavad gita the daodecheng you know i'm always going through one of these books at any given time and usually for inspiration and i'll read these at night usually there'll be one or我基本上读很多哲学家的书:Siddhartha、Vasishta 瑜伽、Bhagavad Gita、Daodeching。我任何时候都在读其中一本,通常是为了灵感,晚上读,通常会有……
52:11two things i'll catch on to it'll i'll reflect on it before i go to sleep so that is a form of self-examination and it's it's not done because it's a formula it's done because i'm genuinely interested in these things so一两处我抓住的东西,我会在睡前反思。所以那是一种自我审视,不是因为它是个公式,而是因为我真的对这些东西感兴趣……
52:23it's not work to me it's fun the second thing that i do is which i've been doing for a long time now is just trying to be aware of my thoughts and not in a you know sit there and be所以对我来说不是工作,是乐趣。我做的第二件事,已经做了很久,就是试着觉察自己的念头,但不是那种坐下来……
52:34like oh i'm gonna be aware of my thoughts kind of way but just realizing that a lot of these thoughts that come up aren't unbidden i don't control them it's not like i decided to have this thought i don't even「哦,我要觉察我的念头」的方式。而是意识到,冒出来的很多念头并不是我请来的,我控制不了它们。不是我决定要有这个念头……
52:42know what i'm saying to you right now it's coming out of my mouth at the same time as i'm thinking it so where is this coming from who is this person what is this person saying is this true is it我甚至不知道我现在在跟你说什么,它从我嘴里出来,同时我才想到。所以它从哪来?这个人是谁?这个人在说什么?这是真的吗?……
52:52correct has it been correct in the is he just being paranoid now is he being crazy what are his underlying motivations and i'm not even questioning so much but more just kind of seeing it and after a while when you对吗?它过去一直对吗?他现在是不是只是偏执?他是不是疯了?他的深层动机是什么?我甚至不是在质疑,更多只是看着它。过一阵……
53:02see it you start seeing through your own bs you start seeing how you're mainly just justifying whatever the heck you want to because it's good for your survival it's good for your replication or it's good for your money or it's当你看见它,你就开始看穿自己的鬼话。你开始看到,你主要只是在为你想要的任何东西找理由,因为它有利于你的生存、有利于你的繁衍、有利于你的钱……
53:13going to get you late or any of these various things and when you're doing that reflection is it sitting at a table pen and paper is half lotus with your eyes closed what is it no it's literally just walking around或者会让你迟到,诸如此类。做这种反思时,是坐在桌前、拿笔和纸,还是闭眼半莲花坐?是什么样?不,就是字面意义上的边走边想……
53:24it's just walking around it's nice it's just life just just if you say something to me i'm always going listen to it with a slightly critical filter because you're external to me applying that same filter to my own thoughts gives就是走路。挺好的,就是生活。如果你对我说什么,我总是带着一点点批判性的过滤去听,因为你在我之外。把同样的过滤器用到我自己的念头上……
53:38me a level of peace and distance from them and the ability to see through my own bs which i think makes my life better so i've just found that to be a useful way of life but there are lots of能给我一种平静和距离感,让我能看穿自己的鬼话,我觉得这让我生活更好。所以我发现这是一种有用的生活方式。但有很多……
53:48times where i forget to do it i get caught up in some emotions some runaway train of thought but usually these days i can catch myself and be like oh okay i'm in that mindset again i'm having that mode of时候我会忘记这么做,被某些情绪卷走,思维脱轨。但如今通常我能抓住自己,说,哦好吧,我又进入那种心态了,我又进入那种……
53:57reactions and when the mind sort of sees me chattering it quiets down a bit right and like i said it's that back to that crazy roommate analogy which i originally picked up from michael singer by the way he has a反应模式了。当心智看到我在唠叨,它会安静一点,对吧。就像我说的,回到那个疯狂室友的比喻。顺便说,我最初是从 Michael Singer 那里学来的……
54:07good book called the untethered soul but you know the room the crazy roommate analogy like you would eventually tell your roommate to shut up or you would tell them to start justifying their claims or you would at some level you他有本好书叫《不羁的灵魂》。那个疯狂室友的比喻是,你最终会叫室友闭嘴,或者要求他们为自己的主张给出理由,或者……
54:19start dismissing them for just kind of rambling all the time in this fear paranoia mode so i think just kind of viewing your thoughts as sort of these unbidden things that arise from within but aren't really necessarily the whole story你会在某个层面开始无视他们,因为他们总在恐惧偏执的模式里絮叨。所以我认为,把你的念头看作是从内部升起但未必是全部真相的东西……
54:31and should be viewed with the same level of skepticism that you would apply to an outside observer i think that frame work is helpful and if you find it to be true then you'll find yourself doing it more often if用你对待外部观察者时同样的怀疑程度去看待它们。我觉得这个框架有帮助。如果你发现它是真的,你会发现自己更常这么做……
54:41you find it not to be true if you're like no actually i choose these thoughts and i want to have them and that's who i am and this all makes sense to me then you can stop viewing it with a如果你发现它不是真的,如果你说,不,实际上是我选择了这些念头,我想要它们,这就是我,这一切对我都说得通,那你就可以停止用……
54:49critical eye that's up to you but the last one is the one that i think people think of as more traditionally meditation which is sitting down and meditating and on that one i learned from an indian gentleman same same character批判的眼光看它。这取决于你。但最后一种,我觉得是人们认为更传统的冥想,就是坐下来冥想。这个我是从一位印度先生那里学的,同一个人物……
55:01you learned from who i had a very simple system and i just found it the most compelling form of meditation i've ever tried which is you sit there for 60 minutes so unfortunately not less than an hour at a time你从谁那里学的?他有一个非常简单的体系,我发现它是我试过的最有说服力的冥想形式。就是坐在那里 60 分钟,所以不幸的是,一次不少于一小时……
55:12because it takes 30 to 40 minutes to sink in past the initial chattering so you get to the good part or the so-called runner's high equivalent and you sit for 60 minutes every day and you do it for at least因为需要 30 到 40 分钟才能沉进去、越过最初的絮叨,到达那个好的部分,所谓的「跑步者高潮」的对应物。你每天坐 60 分钟,至少坚持……
55:2260 days and you do it first thing in the morning it's been your mind is clear and you're alert and you've had a good night's sleep and you sit up with your back straight and you can use cushions or you60 天,而且要在早上第一件事做,那时你的脑子清醒、警觉,睡了个好觉。你坐直背,可以用垫子或椅子……
55:32can use a chair or whatever there's no magic and just whatever happens happens whatever your mind wants to do you just let it do if it wants to talk you let it talk if you wants to fight you let it随便什么,没有魔法。发生什么就发生什么。你的脑子想做什么,你就让它做。它想说话,你就让它说;它想打架,你就让它……
55:41wants to be quiet you let it be quiet if it wants to chant a mantra or pay attention to breathing you can do that but you don't force anything you just kind of let it happen and so you don't fight它想安静,你就让它安静;它想念咒或关注呼吸,你可以那样做,但你不强迫任何事,你只是让它发生。所以你不和它斗争……
55:51it you don't resist it you don't argue with it you don't double down on it we just kind of let things happen and when you do that for at least 60 days my experience has been that you kind of clear你不抵抗它,不和它争论,不更用力地压下去。我们只是让事情发生。当你这样做至少 60 天,我的经验是,你会清空……
56:02out your mental inbox and all the craziness that was going on all the chattering will come out some problems will get resolved you will have epiphanies you will make changes to your life some will be self-examination some of you just你的心理收件箱,所有那些疯狂、所有那些絮叨都会出来。一些问题会得到解决,你会有顿悟,你会改变生活。有些是自我审视,有些你只是……
56:14get tired of some of it just needs to be heard once and then it goes away and eventually you'll get to a mental state of inbox zero where now you're just thinking about what happened yesterday you're kind of caught up厌倦了;有些只需要被听见一次,然后就消失了。最终你会到达一种「收件箱清零」的心理状态,那时你只是在想昨天发生了什么,你有点跟上了……
56:24and your mind is relatively and just your anxiety level goes down you're living more peacefully and i've been doing this for about two and a half years now and i probably missed about a dozen days total and but there are你的心智相对安静,焦虑水平下降,你活得更平静。我做这个大约两年半了,总共大概只漏了十几天……
56:35some days where i've done two hours a day or more and i will tell you that is the single most important thing that i do it is a sheer joy much of it is highly entertaining pleasurable sometimes it's just flat有些日子我一天做两小时甚至更多。我要告诉你,那是我所做的最重要的一件事。它是纯粹的喜悦,很多时候非常有趣、愉悦,有时候就是平淡……
56:45it's nothingness i can't even tell you why i do it i can't even tell you what's going on in that state but i will tell you that that time spent by myself is the most important time that i have and是虚无。我甚至没法告诉你我为什么做它,也没法告诉你那种状态下发生了什么。但我要告诉你,那段独处的时间是我拥有的最重要的时间……
56:55thanks to that i am now much more self-contained i don't feel like i need other people i don't need external sources of pleasure or happiness all the time i drink less i'm not attracted to trying any drugs whatsoever it's just多亏了它,我现在更加自足。我不觉得自己需要别人,我不需要一直从外部获取快乐或幸福。我喝得更少,完全不想尝试任何毒品。就是……
57:09life is easier it's more pleasant i don't take things as i'm not afraid of my mortality as much anymore i don't fear aging i don't lust after things i don't have this constant pervasive need to find something outside of me生活更容易、更愉快。我不那么在意事情,我不那么害怕死亡,不害怕变老,不贪求东西。我不再有那种持续的、弥漫的需求,要在自身之外找什么……
57:22to make my life better when the best hour of my day is spent by then the world has very little to offer me and i can still participate in it but it doesn't have that grip on me that it used来让生活更好。当我一天中最好的一小时是自己度过时,世界能给我的就很少了。我仍然可以参与其中,但它不再像过去那样抓住我……
57:34to i don't fear solitary and i think that is a superpower and i think everyone should have it everyone does have it it's easy it requires doing nothing it's your birthright you can't fail at it there's no there's no way我不害怕独处,我认为那是一种超能力。我认为每个人都应该拥有它。每个人都确实拥有它,它很容易,只需要什么都不做,是你与生俱来的权利,你不可能失败……
57:46to fail at it literally all you have to do is just sit down and close your eyes and just just be by give yourself a break for an hour every day just take the time off from the world a few没有失败的可能。字面上你只需要坐下来,闭上眼,就待着。每天给自己一小时休息,暂时离开世界……
57:57follow-ups krishna murday do you have any any favorites of his or anything that you would suggest someone start with if they have no familiarity with krishnamurti and i'll second anthony demelo also yeah i actually remember starting with krishna he's a几个追问。Krishnamurti,你有最喜欢的吗?如果一个人完全不熟悉 Krishnamurti,你会建议从什么开始?我也要再推荐 Anthony de Mello。对,我记得我是从 Krishnamurti 开始的,他挺……
58:11tough one but if you're going to start somewhere i started with this book called think on these things there's also the book of um he's very cerebral very intellectual and a little confusing but he definitely speaks truth and he walks难搞的一个人。如果你要从某处开始,我从一本叫《思考这些事》的书开始。还有一本书……他非常理性、非常智性,有点令人困惑,但他确实说出了真理,而且他身体力行……
58:24the walk anthony de mello the way to love uh osho's book the great challenge uh and i know people think osho is a fake guru and all that but he had some real stuff too he's very articulate he uh he他所说的。Anthony de Mello 的《爱的道路》,Osho 的《伟大的挑战》。我知道人们觉得 Osho 是假大师之类的,但他也有真东西,他非常善表达,他……
58:35understood a lot there's a clip from him on soundcloud that says it's called life has no goals no purpose uh i listen to that that one a lot there's a lot of them out there once you start going down this他懂很多。SoundCloud 上有一段他的音频,叫《生活没有目标、没有目的》,我经常听那一段。这类东西很多,一旦你开始往下……
58:47rabbit hole you'll find them the classics the bhagavad-gita get a good translation stephen miller i think has a good translation uh he also has a good translation of the daodaiching those are both really again only if it appeals to you钻这个兔子洞,你就会找到。经典如 Bhagavad Gita,找个好译本,Stephen Miller 的译本我觉得不错。他也译了 Daodeching,两本都很好。再说一次,只在它吸引你的时候……
58:59i mean there's ancient wisdom in schopenhauer read councils and maxims you know these are smart people self-reflecting but overall the point is not to read the point is to inspire so that you yourself can reflect and kappa gupta is an我的意思是,Schopenhauer 那里有古老的智慧,读《箴言与格言》。这些人很聪明,在自我反思。但总的来说,重点不是读,重点是获得启发,让你自己去反思。Kapil Gupta 是……
59:13account in twitter he has a couple of great books direct truth is a fantastic book um you know written very recently and pulls no punches um but you know all of these are basically there to inspire you to self-reflect andTwitter 上的一个账号,他有几本好书,《Direct Truth》很棒,写得很近,毫不留情。所有这些书基本上都是为了启发你自我反思……
59:25if you're not interested in self-reflection if you're not at that stage in life then don't do it it's a waste of time in fact i would say the reason to do these things is just because they make your life better如果你对自我反思不感兴趣,如果你还没到人生的那个阶段,那就别做,那是浪费时间。事实上我会说,做这些事的理由就是因为它们让你的生活更好……
59:35because they make you more effective because they have some utility to you if they do not have utility to you if they don't make your life better then drop it it's useless i will also second the reading of philosophy and因为它们让你更高效,因为它们对你有用。如果它们对你没用,如果它们不让你的生活更好,那就丢掉,它没用。我也要再推荐读哲学……
59:48this is for kind of idle or abstract like semantic tail chasing right it's for whatever reason on a very pragmatic level deeply soothing to read the insights and observations of those who are considering things that are not of today they're这是为了某种闲散的、抽象的、像语义上的追逐。不管什么原因,在非常务实的层面,读那些思考不属于今天之事的人的洞见和观察,会深深抚慰人心……
1:00:09not of this week they're not of this month they for much broader periods of time or timeless in some capacity right it alleviates some of the manufactured emergency and urgency of the that is it upon us by every possible input不属于这周、不属于这个月,而是属于更长时间段,或在某种意义上是永恒的。它缓解了那种人为制造的紧急和急迫感……
1:00:29oh yeah the news and twitter are so toxic the human brain is not designed to manage every emergency in the world in real time we're not designed to process all the breaking news on the planet in our heads and this那种被各种输入强加给我们的急迫感。哦对,新闻和 Twitter 太有毒了。人脑不是为实时处理世界上每一个紧急事件而设计的,我们不是被设计来在脑子里处理地球上所有突发新闻的……
1:00:41is one of my recent tweets but the goal of the media these days is to make every problem your problem that's how they get attention it's how they get clicks you know you have tribal wars going on zombies battling each这是我最近的一条推文:如今媒体的目标就是让每个问题都变成你的问题。他们就是这样获得注意力、获得点击的。你知道,有部落战争在上演,僵尸互相厮杀……
1:00:51other and they want to pull you in where even non-participation is not allowed anymore neutral bystanders are not so it's a crazy world out there there's a circus going on with the monkeys flinging feces at each other and they want……他们想把你拉进去,现在连不参与都不允许了,没有中立旁观者。外面的世界就是这么疯狂,一场马戏正在上演,猴子们互相扔屎,而他们还想
1:01:02to drag you into the fight really what you want to focus on is what's timeless timeless is great you the old questions all have old answers and they're best consumed from the old practitioners because they were very clear-minded about it把你拖进这场争斗。你真正该关注的其实是那些恒久的东西。恒久的东西很棒——老问题都有老答案,而它们最好从那些老练的实践者那里汲取,因为他们对此头脑非常清明。
1:01:15they weren't busy trying to fit into the politics of this time they were fitting to the politics of that time but that's lost to us now so actually another great source is i have your dao seneca series in audible uh他们不必忙着迎合这个时代的政治,他们要迎合的是那个时代的政治,而那些对我们已经失传了。所以其实另一个很好的来源是——我在 Audible 上有你的《道德经》和塞内加系列。
1:01:26and i listen to it on repeat when i'm working out a lot so that's so very kidding yeah those letters to lucilius amazing yeah amazing stuff and every time i go through it i learned something yeah the town of seneca我健身时会反复听,所以……我开玩笑的。是啊,《致卢基里乌斯书信》太精彩了,真是了不起的东西,我每次重听都能学到点东西。《塞内加之道》……
1:01:38the the moral letters to lucilius if people want to look on public domain from on public domain sources you can find these letters the moral letters to leukillus also spelled as you might read lucillus by seneca and so that's an《致卢基里乌斯的道德书信》,如果大家想找,它们属于公有领域,从公有领域来源就能找到这些信——《致卢基里乌斯的道德书信》,拼写也可能读作 Lucillus,作者是塞内加。所以那是一部
1:01:52audiobook series that that i produced and you can find the pdfs for free online as well let's talk about some brass tack stuff since i think people will be very interested you mentioned monkeys throwing feces in times like this this我制作的有声书系列,PDF 也能在网上免费找到。我们来聊点实打实的东西,因为我觉得大家会非常感兴趣。你刚提到在这样的时代里猴子扔粪这件事——
1:02:09is being recorded in 2020 and first day of october a lot of folks are interested in stores of value they are fearful of what could happen and considering investments like gold or and i wanted you to explain one of your这期是在 2020 年 10 月 1 日录制的。很多人对价值储存很感兴趣,他们担心可能发生的事,在考虑黄金这类投资,我想请你解释你最近的一条
1:02:27recent tweets this is just from the last few days and it is crypto stable coins dash choose between blow up risk censorship risk and fraud risk what are crypto stable coins and what does this tweet mean yeah just backing up推文,就是过去几天的:「加密稳定币——在爆雷风险、审查风险和欺诈风险之间做选择」。什么是加密稳定币?这条推文是什么意思?好,先退一步说——
1:02:44for a second like i think cryptocurrencies are probably one of the greatest inventions in human history and the reason why they're interesting is because if you look at the technology industry technology plays in unregulated spaces it's very hard for technology我认为加密货币大概是人类历史上最伟大的发明之一。它之所以有意思,是因为你看科技行业——技术是在不受监管的空间里生长的,技术很难去改变
1:02:57to change regulated spaces as uber and postmates and companies like that find out but generally the reason technology works is because it creates its own frontier it is a digital frontier that has been created not the physical frontiers are all受监管的领域,Uber、Postmates 这类公司就深有体会。但总的来说,技术能起作用是因为它创造了自己的边疆——一片被创造出来的数字边疆,而不是……物理边疆全都
1:03:09closed and the new world has been colonized and the wild west has been tamed where do you go to create new things free of interference and regulation and kind of exercise maximum creativity and so that's been done mostly in the关闭了,新世界已经被殖民,狂野西部已被驯服。那你要去哪里创造新东西、不受干扰和监管、最大限度地发挥创造力?这主要是在
1:03:21technology space and one of the areas that has been protected by technological innovation from technological innovation is wall street because they're it's you know they have regulatory capture very bureaucratic you know the the money industrial complex that runs a lot科技领域完成的。而有一个领域被技术创新保护起来、免于技术创新的冲击,那就是华尔街——因为他们有监管俘获,非常官僚,这个「金钱工业复合体」支配着
1:03:35of our economy and runs a lot of washington dc where 20 of our gdp goes into financial engineering and into the wall street casino and so cryptocurrencies are kind of how we get around that and so they're sovereign resistant they're我们经济的一大部分,也支配着华盛顿,我们 GDP 的 20% 都投进了金融工程和华尔街赌场。加密货币就是我们绕过这一切的方式,所以它们抗主权,它们
1:03:48designed to be completely decentralized you don't need the violent power of the state to enforce the value of a and it allows for truly trustless transactions between humans without some king or authority or government or corporation having to be in被设计成完全去中心化的,你不需要国家的暴力机器来强制保证某个资产的价值,它让人与人之间可以进行真正无需信任的交易,不需要国王、权威、政府或公司插在
1:04:03the middle and so it's very liberating to disconnect wealth creation wealth and wealth protection from the state and that's what cryptocurrencies really one second let me just pause to say that at at one point you and i did a very中间。把财富创造、财富和财富保护与国家脱钩,这非常解放——这就是加密货币真正的意义。等一下,让我插一句:你和我曾经做过一次非常
1:04:18thorough cryptocurrency 101 conversation with a domain super expert named nick s-z-a-b-o which people can also find for more on kind of the the history and basics of some of the crypto yeah nick is a bonafide genius and a pioneer in深入的「加密货币入门」对谈,嘉宾是领域超级专家 Nick Szabo(S-Z-A-B-O),大家也可以找来听,了解更多加密货币的历史和基础知识。是啊,Nick 是真正的天才,也是这个领域的先驱。
1:04:35the space he also has a great blog called unenumerated that i highly recommend but anyway so the best known cryptocurrency is bitcoin and bitcoin is trying to be the new gold or the new swiss bank account kind of all rolled他还有一个很棒的博客叫 Unenumerated,我强烈推荐。总之,最知名的加密货币是比特币,比特币想成为新的黄金,或者新的瑞士银行账户,把这些角色揉在
1:04:45into one and has some advantages you know as a store of value it can be stored digitally so it's hard to seize it's very easy to verify technologically speaking unlike gold it's easy to send national boundaries and and electronically over一起,它有一些优势。作为价值储存手段,它可以数字化存储,所以很难被没收;从技术上讲非常容易验证;不像黄金,它很容易跨境、通过电子方式在
1:04:58the internet it's easily divisible and verifiable down to its authenticity is very verifiable where gold is hard to do it can be divided down to millions and trillions of a bitcoin very very easily it is somewhat programmable so you can互联网上发送;它极易分割、易于验证,真伪非常容易核实,而黄金很难做到;它可以被分割到百万分之一、万亿分之一枚比特币,非常非常容易;它还有一定的可编程性,所以你可以
1:05:12put it inside smart contracts and you can do some intelligent things with it so it has a lot going for this store of value what's difficult about it is it's not really private it doesn't although there are parts of it把它放进智能合约,用它做一些聪明的事。所以作为一种价值储存,它优点很多。难的地方在于它并不真正隐私——虽然其中有一部分
1:05:22that are private it's not completely private and it's untrusted it's brand new as far as stores of value go it's only from 2009 and so people don't know if it'll be around forever and how dependent is on the internet and是隐私的,但它并非完全隐私;而且它「无信任」——作为价值储存它太新了,2009 年才出现,所以人们不知道它是否会永远存在、它有多依赖互联网,
1:05:33people aren't really certain about it's not like the proof-of-work mining algorithm that makes it possible and can it be hijacked can it be centralized can it have a bug can it break and every year that bitcoin survives and goes through大家也不确定——让它成为可能的那个工作量证明挖矿算法会不会被劫持?会不会中心化?会不会有漏洞?会不会崩掉?而比特币每存活一年、每经历
1:05:45one of the various challenges facing it it gets more valuable as people entrust it a little bit more and more but it is extremely volatile you buy bitcoin you're buying a very speculative asset at the moment and you're speculating that一次各种挑战,它就会更有价值一点,因为人们越来越信任它。但它极度波动:你买比特币,就是在买一个非常投机的资产,你在赌它
1:05:56it will become digital gold or possibly even you know all store value and so be incredibly valuable but along the way there's lots of hiccups at any point it could break it could go to zero and a lot of people会成为数字黄金,甚至可能成为所有价值储存的总和,从而极其值钱。但一路上会有很多磕绊,任何时刻它都可能崩掉、归零。而很多
1:06:08who are now participating in the crypto world they're building a decentralized wall street they call it d5 d-e-f-i for decentralized finance but i actually think it's more like defies and just defy the government defy and so i think we're seeing现在参与加密世界的人,正在建设一个去中心化的华尔街,他们称之为 DeFi(D-E-F-I,去中心化金融),但我其实觉得它更像「defies」——就是 defiance,反抗政府。所以我认为我们正在看到
1:06:23yeah governments love that yeah exactly we're seeing a whole new casino that's better than wall street spring up and decentralized finance unlike wall street this one is 24 7 open it's 365 days a year it's available around the world to是啊,政府可喜欢这个了。没错,我们看到一个全新的赌场正在兴起,比华尔街更好。去中心化金融与华尔街不同,它 7×24 小时开放,一年 365 天,全世界任何人都能
1:06:38everybody it's trustless in that it's you know there's math and algorithms and code underneath that not goldman sachs front running your trades or whatever not that i'm saying they do but you know there's flash boys and kind of all that使用。它是「无信任」的——底下是数学、算法和代码,而不是高盛在抢先交易你的单子之类的。我不是说他们真这么干,但你知道有《闪击者》那些事,
1:06:49kind of craziness that goes on and you can program it to do things and to make bets or hedges or calls that you just can't even do on wall street so i think we're building a better wall street using but那种疯狂确实存在。你可以编程让它做事,做各种押注、对冲或看涨期权,这些在华尔街根本做不到。所以我认为我们正在用……建造一个更好的华尔街,但
1:07:02everyone who participates in that doesn't necessarily want to take on the volatility of these cryptocurrencies so we've created these things called stable coins which track the value of the us dollar so that when you're trading for example you can still参与其中的人未必想承担这些加密货币的波动,于是我们创造了所谓「稳定币」,它追踪美元的价值,这样你在交易时仍然可以
1:07:14do it in dollar denominated terms and this is a tricky thing because the moment you're now trying to track some asset in the real world like dollars then you have to basically peg the value somehow to something that exists in用美元计价。这件事很棘手,因为一旦你要追踪现实世界中的某种资产比如美元,你就必须把价值以某种方式锚定到存在于
1:07:27the real world and cryptocurrencies do best when everything is on the blockchain when everything is electronic and digital and controlled by computers in the cloud so these stable coins have come along that mimic the value of the us dollar and现实世界的东西上。而加密货币在一切都在区块链上、一切电子化数字化、由云端计算机控制时表现最好。于是这些模仿美元价值的稳定币就出现了,
1:07:38the best known ones are tether usdc which is coinbase's coin and uh and uh uh make or die which is an algorithmically stable coin but there's no lunch in life for one second well is this should people think of what最有名的几个是 Tether、USDC(Coinbase 的币),还有 Maker/DAI,一种算法稳定币。但人生没有免费午餐——等一下,人们该怎么理解
1:07:53would be a comparable that people might be more familiar with it's not an index it's like an etf or how would you think is there another digital dollars these are designed so that you can live in crypto land this is有没有更熟悉的东西可以类比?它不是指数,更像 ETF?或者你怎么看——还有别的「数字美元」吗?这些稳定币的设计是为了让你能生活在加密世界里,这
1:08:06living on a blockchain it's math-based but really your value is pegged to dollars so it's not going up or down with bitcoin it's just worth a dollar all the time so if you want to hold a dollar in crypto land就是生活在区块链上,是基于数学的,但你的价值其实锚定美元,所以它不会随比特币涨跌,而始终值一美元。所以如果你想在加密世界里持有一美元,
1:08:18the way you do it is by buying one of these so-called stable coins but all my tweet was observing is that there's no free lunch the what you're actually doing underneath is you have crypto and crypto is incredibly volatile and办法就是买一个所谓的稳定币。但我那条推文想说的只是:没有免费午餐。你底下真正在做的事,是你持有加密资产,而加密资产极度波动,
1:08:30you're trying to convert a volatile asset into a stable asset so there has to be a cost for that what is that called like the subprime mortgage crisis that's right exactly there's no free lunch so what does that cost and而你试图把波动资产转换成稳定资产,所以一定有成本。这叫什么?就像次贷危机?没错,正是如此,没有免费午餐。那成本是什么?
1:08:41all i was saying is the three main categories of stable coins today they each impose one or more of these costs and so one cause is fraud risk where people suspect this of tether where like this thing says it's backed我想说的是,今天三大类稳定币,每一类都强加了一种或多种这样的成本。一种成本是欺诈风险,人们怀疑 Tether 就是如此——它声称自己有
1:08:54by dollars but it's not actually backed by dollars i don't know if this company is dollars so you have to kind of take their word for it so now you're trust underneath meaning they would have actual physical dollars like you美元支撑,但实际上并没有美元支撑。我不知道这家公司有没有美元,所以你只能相信他们的说法,于是你又回到了信任之下——也就是说,他们本该有真实的、实物的美元,就像你
1:09:04would have physical gold correct yeah so for every tether they issue you they claim to have a dollar somewhere but what if they don't and you just don't know so you're trusting them and there could be fraud underneath i'm not持有实物黄金一样。对。所以他们每发行一枚 Tether,都声称在某处有一美元,但万一没有呢?你根本不知道,所以你在信任他们,底下可能有欺诈。我不是
1:09:14saying there is i have no evidence but that you're basically now back to the trusted third-party model that exists in just putting your money in the bank the second kind is where you're dealing with someone like coinbase or some company说一定有,我没有证据;但你基本上又回到了「可信第三方」模式,就跟把钱存在银行一样。第二类是你和 Coinbase 或某家
1:09:25that is well known and trusted and is regulated but then it's no different than holding normal dollars there's censorship risk where if the government says hey we don't like this character seize their bank account coinbase can turn off your usdc知名、可信、受监管的公司打交道,但那和持有普通美元没区别。这里存在审查风险:如果政府说「嘿,我们不喜欢这个人,查封他的银行账户」,Coinbase 可以关掉你的 USDC
1:09:38account and your stablecoin has basically been seized you're no longer decentralized and sovereign like you are with bitcoin and the last kind of risk is a blow-up risk so something like a maker you know it's collateralized but it's collateralized with账户,你的稳定币基本上就被没收了,你不再像持有比特币那样去中心化和自主。最后一类风险是爆雷风险,比如 Maker 这种,它是有抵押的,但抵押品是
1:09:52bitcoin and ethereum and so what they're hoping is that the price of bitcoin ethereum won't move so drastically the peg breaks and you lose money on your so-called stablecoin it's just it's just an observation there's no free lunch and so比特币和以太坊,所以他们希望比特币、以太坊的价格不会剧烈波动,否则锚定会断裂,你就在所谓的稳定币上亏钱。这只是我的一个观察:没有免费午餐,所以
1:10:05if you're trying to create this mythical stable currency out of thin air in what is inherently very volatile space you have to pay for it and people think today they're not paying for it they're just getting these uh free crypto如果你想在一个本质上极度波动的空间里凭空造出这种神话般的稳定货币,你就得为此付钱。而今天的人们以为自己没有付钱,他们觉得自己只是在白拿这些
1:10:18stable dollars or they're getting the stability aspect for free but they're not they're either taking on fraud risk or censorship risk or blow up risk or some combination of them so if you're advising and this is not financial advice this加密稳定美元,或者免费获得了稳定性那一面。但他们并没有——他们要么承担欺诈风险,要么承担审查风险,要么承担爆雷风险,或者几者兼有。所以如果你在给人建议——这不是投资建议,这
1:10:31is just two friends talking obviously for informational purposes only but if if you're talking to a friend who has a fair amount of savings or investable capital and they say neval i want to do something with crypto how can i只是两个朋友聊天,显然仅供参考——但如果你跟一个有相当储蓄或可投资资金的朋友聊,他说「Naval,我想在加密领域做点什么,我该怎么
1:10:44get started or how should i get what do you say to them because there there's such a broad spectrum of options it's still even though it's been simplified a lot crypto is still quite confusing it's very complicated absolutely for people入门,或者该怎么做」,你会怎么说?因为选择范围太宽了。尽管已经简化了很多,加密货币仍然相当令人困惑,非常复杂。没错,对
1:10:58who are who are who are very smart i would consider it's still quite confusing incredibly confusing yeah it's a domain of mathematicians hackers you know tech entrepreneurs and um a few people who really dig in but it's still too hard即使是非常聪明的人来说,我仍然觉得它相当困惑,极其困惑。对,这是数学家、黑客、科技创业者,以及少数真正钻进去的人的领域,但它仍然太难以
1:11:11to handle man it's just dangerous like i can't hold my own crypto i have to stick it inside funds and custodians because i'm a known public figure and it's a bearer asset so ironically i can't actually say it's dangerous you驾驭了,老兄,它就是危险。比如我自己没法持有自己的加密资产,我必须把它放进基金和托管机构,因为我是公众人物,而它是一种不记名资产。所以讽刺的是,我不能真的说它危险——你
1:11:22don't hold it because you would be i'd be yeah exactly it's a better asset so you know you don't want to bear a bearer asset you have to put it inside vaults you know the equivalent of the goldman sachs in不自己持有,因为你会……我会被……对,正是。它是一种更强的资产,所以你不会想随身携带不记名资产,你得把它放进保险库,相当于这个领域的
1:11:32the space so like they're custodians like anchorage is you know an amazing one there's bitco there's coinbase so there are these large custodians or coin list which is a company i helped start um who can hold on to your crypto高盛。比如托管机构 Anchorage 就非常出色,还有 BitGo、Coinbase,这些大型托管机构,或者 CoinList——我协助创办的公司——它们可以替你保管加密
1:11:44assets for but that's not really the point of crypto the point of crypto is to be your own bank so if the government is coming to seize money or if they're printing lots of it you can always withdraw your crypto资产。但那并不是加密货币的重点。加密货币的重点是「做你自己的银行」:如果政府来没收钱,或者大量印钞,你随时可以把你的加密
1:11:54assets from these organizations and you carry it yourself you can put on your laptop which is kind of crazy and risky and hard you can do it through a hardware wallet like a ledger or a trezor which are pretty well-known资产从这些机构取出来,自己携带。你可以放在笔记本里,这有点疯狂、有风险也很难;你可以用硬件钱包,比如 Ledger 或 Trezor,这些是相当知名的
1:12:05hardware wallets where you have a small specific device that's designed just for carrying but you have to understand you're replacing the banking system you're literally replacing the government all the guns and the police that back up the banking system you're硬件钱包,一个小巧的专用设备,就是为携带而设计的。但你必须明白,你在替代银行系统,你实际上在替代政府——所有枪支和警察,那些支撑银行系统的力量,你
1:12:21replacing all that and all the control that comes with it so of course it's going to require some level of sophistication you're literally building your own swiss bank so it is it is quite complicated where to start well i don't在替代这一切,以及随之而来的所有控制。所以它当然需要一定的专业度,你实际上在建造你自己的瑞士银行。所以它确实相当复杂。从哪里开始?我不
1:12:33i don't like giving people buy signals because if you're going to be a good investor you also have to have your own conviction because then you'll know when to sell if you call me and ask me when to buy are我不喜欢给人买入信号,因为如果你想成为一个好投资者,你也必须有自己的信念,这样你才知道什么时候卖。如果你打电话问我什么时候买,
1:12:43you going to call me every day and say should i sell should i sell no you don't know that they're really important right you have to fundamentally understand it yourself so i would say the first thing is go down the你会每天打电话问我「我该卖吗?我该卖吗?」不。这些真的很重要,你得自己从根本上理解它。所以我会说,第一件事就是钻进
1:12:54crypto rabbit hole listen to the interview we do with nick sabo go online and start reading up on bitcoin read up on ethereum read up on the privacy coins like zcash and monero learn about the different high level stuff in加密货币的兔子洞:听我们和 Nick Szabo 的那期访谈,上网读关于比特币的资料,读以太坊,读 Zcash、Monero 这类隐私币,了解加密领域各种高层次的
1:13:06the crypto space decide how much exposure that you want um go buy it at a coin list or a coin base or or what have you figure out which custodian you want to use you know put it somewhere safe probably东西;决定你想要多少敞口;然后在 CoinList 或 Coinbase 之类的平台买;想清楚你要用哪个托管机构;把它放在安全的地方,大概
1:13:18in the cloud unless you really know what you're doing and if you really know what you're doing then you can use one of the hardware wallets or one of the offline schemes make sure that it is protected in case that是云端,除非你真的懂自己在做什么;如果你真的懂,那你可以用硬件钱包或某种离线方案。要确保它受到保护,以防
1:13:27you're attacked or kidnapped or someone comes to your house or steals your computer you know you have to cover all those base cases so it's not easy but you're literally creating extra sovereign money you're creating money where you know if你被袭击、被绑架,或者有人闯进你家、偷走你的电脑,你得覆盖所有这些基本情形。所以它不容易。但你实际上是在创造额外的自主货币,你在创造这样一种钱:
1:13:39you ever have to flee the country you know like the jews had to leave vienna back in the 1930s you're not like scrambling for gold you're you're using crypto you're not if you're living in some country where they tend to万一你得逃离这个国家——就像 1930 年代犹太人不得不离开维也纳——你不用急着去抢黄金,你用加密货币。如果你住在那种动不动就
1:13:50seize all the money in your bank account then you have unseasonable money if you're worried about hyperinflation as we print too many dollars then you have a hedge against the mmt and all the various excuses that they're going to use没收你银行账户里所有钱的国家,你就有了无法被没收的钱;如果你担心我们印了太多美元导致恶性通胀,你就有了一个对冲 MMT 以及他们将要用的各种借口的手段,
1:14:02to print money i mean what probably the scariest thing that happened in 2020 from a financial perspective is both the republican and the democratic party figured out that oh actually we can just print lots and lots of money and the用来印钱。我是说,2020 年从金融角度看最可怕的事,大概是共和党和民主党都发现:哦,其实我们可以印好多好多的钱。而
1:14:13u.s has this reserve dollar that's reserve currency status with a where most of our dollars i think something like 70 are held by foreigners because the trusted reserve currency of the world they use it for trading oil they use it美国有这种储备美元、储备货币地位,我们大部分美元——我记得大约 70%——由外国人持有,因为它是世界可信的储备货币。他们用它来交易石油,用它
1:14:25for settling international transfers they use it just to kind of hide money they used to protect money from their local inflationary authorities so because of that when we print a dollar 70 of that inflation rate effect is cost is borne来结算国际转账,用它来藏钱,用它来保护资金免受本国通胀当局的侵蚀。正因为如此,当我们印一美元时,70% 的通胀效应成本是由
1:14:38by the rest of the world not borne by us and so the the us governments kind of figured this out and we printed six trillion dollars to fight the and so now both parties can agree that they can just print世界其他地方承担的,而不是我们。所以美国政府大概想明白了这一点,我们印了六万亿美元来对抗疫情。于是现在两党都能达成共识:他们只要印
1:14:50money to get out of any problem that they're in a great tweet that i saw was somebody wrote that now we know what would happen if aliens were to invade the earth the fed would just lower interest rates the fed钱就能摆脱任何困境。我看到一条很棒的推文,有人写道:现在我们知道如果外星人入侵地球会发生什么了——美联储只会降息,美联储
1:15:00would cut interest rates right and so unfortunately that's just the situation we're in so they're going to keep doing that until at some point the you know the rest of the world throws in the towel and says you know this会降息,对吧。不幸的是,这就是我们所处的局面,所以他们会一直这么做,直到某个时刻世界其他地方认输,说:这套
1:15:11dollar thing is not working for us and what we rely upon is that the european euro or the chinese renimbi and these other currencies are in worse situations but that's not necessarily always true i think there are well-managed currencies like美元的路子对我们不管用了。而我们所依赖的,是欧元、人民币和其他货币的处境更糟——但这不一定永远成立。我认为有一些管理得很好的货币,比如
1:15:26the swiss franc and the singaporean dollar there's also uh hard assets like gold and crypto and real estate and even the run up in tech stocks at levels because equities are a tax efficient inflation hedge or relatively tax efficient inflation瑞士法郎和新加坡元;还有黄金、加密资产、房地产这类硬资产,甚至科技股的上涨——因为股票是一种税收高效的抗通胀对冲,或者说是相对税收高效的抗通胀
1:15:41hedge because someone like google can just raise prices and they don't have to hire more people because they're a monopoly you know they can lay off half their engineers and the company will work just fine so people are realizing this对冲:像谷歌这样的公司可以直接涨价,而不必多招人,因为它是垄断者,他们裁掉一半工程师公司也照样运转良好。所以人们意识到了这一点,
1:15:52and there's a flight into hard assets to get away from inflation and crypto is one of the few places where you can really put your money in and defend against something like the dollar reserving its reserve currency status and these出现了逃向硬资产、远离通胀的资金流。而加密货币是少数几个你真能把钱放进去、防御「美元丧失储备货币地位」这类事件的地方之一。而这些
1:16:04are black swans it's very hard to talk about black swans because obviously since the dollar became the u.s reserve currency it hasn't lost the even when we went off the gold standard but at the same time the pound sterling used是黑天鹅。谈论黑天鹅非常难,因为显然自美元成为美国储备货币以来,它从未失去这一地位,即使我们脱离金本位时也没有。但与此同时,英镑曾经
1:16:15to be the reserve currency of the world and it lost its status at one point money used to be gold back and that went away so it's not inconceivable that'll and if it were to happen then you would basically have是世界储备货币,后来某个时点失去了地位;货币曾经是金本位,那也消失了。所以并非不可想象。如果真的发生,那你基本上会面对
1:16:26the true reckoning then our ability to print our way out of recessions would go away uh you would probably have an inflationary collapse in the u.s and you would just see kind of our our global economic system start breaking in真正的清算:我们靠印钞走出衰退的能力会消失,美国很可能会出现通胀性崩溃,你会看到全球经济体系开始崩裂。
1:16:39those scenarios crypto does really well assuming the internet stays up right there's scenarios where the internet goes down too and then all hell breaks loose and you better have golden guns but we're not talking about that um cigarettes and tampons在那些情形下,只要互联网还在运转,加密资产表现会非常好。也有互联网瘫痪的情形,那时一切失控,你最好有「金枪」——不过我们就不聊那个了。香烟和卫生棉条
1:16:51that's great for your water yeah that's right well bullets are the ultimate one right as we also see in 2020 but we have 5 million new gun owners in the u.s but it just depends how much of a prepper you对你的水很有用——对,没错。不过子弹才是终极硬通货,2020 年我们也看到了,美国新增了五百万枪支持有者。这取决于你有多像个末日准备者、
1:17:01are how paranoid you want to be and how many standard deviations out you want to handle risk but i think this is the year where a lot of people feel like risks that were inconceivable have suddenly gotten pulled in let你有多偏执、想处理多少个标准差之外的风险。但我认为今年是很多人感觉那些原本不可想象的风险突然被拉近的一年。让
1:17:12me ask a dumb newbie question as a so speaking as someone who i'm a great example of someone who can use words associated with crypto who really has no fundamental understanding i'm the i'm the guy pointing at the bird who我问一个菜鸟的蠢问题——作为一个能说出一堆加密货币词汇、但其实毫无基础理解的人,我是绝佳例子。我就是那种指着鸟、
1:17:26thinks got it all figured out because he's able to name the yellow threaded warbler i don't think i have it all figured out but let's just say i managed somehow like a you know a thousand monkeys typing out shakespeare on以为自己全懂了的人,只因为能叫出「黄喉林莺」的名字。我不觉得自己全懂,但假设我不知怎么地——就像一千只猴子在百万台笔记本上敲出莎士比亚——
1:17:40a million laptops given infinite time i somehow manage to get a bunch of cryptocurrency onto a hardware ledger right or a hardware wallet rather so i have this thing us is going to hell in a handbasket i somehow manage to只要有无限时间——我不知怎么地把一堆加密货币放进了硬件 Ledger,或者说是硬件钱包。于是我有了这个东西。美国正快速走向崩溃,我不知怎么地
1:17:55get that to fill in the blank i'll just arbitrarily choose spain like i land in spain i'm like oh my god that was so close thank god i got out in time i managed to make it over how the hell把它带到了……空格随便填——我就随便选西班牙吧。我落地西班牙,心想:天啊,太险了,谢天谢地我及时逃出来了,我成功过来了。那我到底怎么
1:18:07do you buy an apartment or pay your rent or anything like that with crypto when it still feels like the crypto landscape and the tools are kind of computers pre graphic user interface do you know what i mean like even用加密货币买公寓、付房租或者做这类事?现在加密生态和工具感觉还像是图形界面出现之前的计算机。你懂我的意思吗?就连
1:18:21smart people can't quite figure it out but what would you how would you if that two years in the future i mean i think that's unlikely but let's just say uh yeah for most of my friends the scenario i recommend聪明人也搞不太明白。那你会怎样——如果那是两年后?我觉得那不太可能,但就假设……嗯,对我的大多数朋友,我推荐的方案
1:18:34is like you go buy it on something like you know coinbase coin list whatever you move it into a dedicated custodian like an anchorage uh or a bitco um then you kind of hold it there now if the is hitting是:你去 Coinbase、CoinList 之类的地方买,然后把它转进一个专门的托管机构,比如 Anchorage 或 BitGo,接着就放在那里。现在如果事情
1:18:46the fan and you decide you want to get out of town then you contact your rep there you move it into a hardware wallet and then you flee the country right or go wherever you're going and when you land on砸了锅,你决定跑路,你就联系那边的对接人,把它转到硬件钱包里,然后逃离这个国家,或者去你该去的地方。等你落地
1:18:56the other side now you have this crypto in your hardware in theory you can log into a local crypto exchange you know go through their verification processes and upload it now you've got bitcoin that can be traded for cash um在另一边,现在你硬件里有这些加密资产,理论上你可以登录当地的加密交易所,走完他们的验证流程,把它转进去,你就有了可以换现金的比特币。
1:19:09you can go find any of the local bitcoin meetup people and groups the enthusiasts the so-called maximalist the die-hard believers and the holders and you can trade any of them bitcoin for cash now in the distant future it's possible that你可以去找任何当地的比特币聚会、社群,那些爱好者、所谓的极大主义者、死忠信徒和持币者,你可以找他们任何人用比特币换现金。在遥远的未来,有可能会
1:19:23people will just take bitcoin directly because it is a you know fungible high quality hard asset that can be transported and held like cash but if you can't do that you can always find either a local believer or you can有人直接接受比特币,因为它是可替代的、高质量的硬资产,可以像现金一样运输和持有。但如果做不到,你总能找到当地的信徒,或者你可以
1:19:36find a crypto exchange where you can convert the thing that makes bitcoin so interesting is not that it's necessarily the best technology it is definitely robust and it's the og what makes it really interesting is it has the most die-hard找到一家加密交易所把它兑换掉。比特币之所以有意思,不是因为它一定是最好的技术——它确实足够健壮,而且它是 OG——真正让它有意思的是,它拥有最死忠的
1:19:48believers and because it has the most die-hard believers as long as there's five thousand or fifty thousand wealthy brilliant people who just that the wealthy part is really important yeah that wealthy party they will always trade it for you for信徒。而正因为有最死忠的信徒,只要有五千或五万个富有又聪明的人——「富有」这部分真的很重要,对,富有那部分——他们总会愿意跟你换,用
1:20:02trade it with you for hard assets uh you know i think recently microstrategy started it's a company it started moving half of its treasury into bitcoin and the ceo michael saylor was quoted as saying something along the lines of i硬资产跟你换。你知道,最近 MicroStrategy 开始——这是一家公司——开始把一半的储备金转成比特币,CEO Michael Saylor 被引述说了大致这样的话:我
1:20:15can't believe people willing to sell me bitcoin right he figured out what it and then he was just like i want to get as much as possible so you know here take pieces of my company but give me and there不敢相信人们居然愿意卖比特币给我。对吧,他想明白了它的价值,然后就想:我要尽可能多地买。所以,拿我公司的股份去,把比特币给我。而
1:20:25are there are lots of people like him there are lots and lots of people like him and they exist in every major country in the world and as long as there are believers because it's as much a movement or as像他这样的人很多,非常非常多,而且世界每个主要国家都有。只要有信徒存在——因为它与其说是一种货币,
1:20:36it is a currency and because what is a currency at the end of the day money is just the bubble that never pops right it's just if we all agree tomorrow that if we all manage to come upon the story不如说是一场运动——因为说到底货币是什么?钱只是一个永不破裂的泡沫,对吧?如果我们明天都同意、都接受了那个叙事,
1:20:47tomorrow that it's not the us dollar it's actually the euro that is really money then the world will switch to the euro heck if we agreed that clamshells were money the you the world would switch to clam shells now obviously说真正的钱不是美元而是欧元,那世界就会转向欧元。见鬼,如果我们一致同意贝壳是钱,世界就会转向贝壳。当然,
1:20:57their underlying characteristics that make euros and dollars better than clamshells and so therefore we converge upon those but if the world were to decide that bitcoin is better money than us dollars the world would switch to bitcoin it's a story欧元和美元有让它们优于贝壳的底层特性,所以我们才会收敛到它们身上。但如果世界决定比特币是比美元更好的货币,世界就会转向比特币。这是一个故事,
1:21:09it's a consensus belief and the beauty of bitcoin is that there are these die-hard maximalists and i fight with them on the internet all the time they don't like me by the way so i've had twitter battles with them running一种共识信念。比特币的美妙之处在于,有这些死忠的极大主义者——我在网上经常和他们吵架,顺便说一句他们不喜欢我,所以我和他们在 Twitter 上大战过……
1:21:21but i still really appreciate that they exist because they are actually the core of what makes bitcoin always tradeable always valuable there's always some guy in some location somewhere in the world who will give you his house for bitcoin and但我仍然非常欣赏他们的存在,因为他们实际上是比特币始终可交易、始终有价值的内核:世界上总有一个地方的某个人愿意用他的房子跟你换比特币。
1:21:37as long as that is true and i don't see why it will stop being true because if anything more and more people are being added to that list every day it has real value and has redeemable what do you think只要这一点成立——我看不出为什么会不成立,因为每天都有越来越多的人加入这个名单——它就有真实价值,就可赎回。你觉得
1:21:48the conceivable near term looks like with the possible entrance of more investors in other words if we see let me ask a better question it was very noteworthy and newsworthy when paul trudeau jones wrote his memo detailing why he was可预见的近期会是什么样,随着更多投资者可能入场?换句话说,如果我们看到——让我问个更好的问题:Paul Tudor Jones 写备忘录详细说明他为什么
1:22:10investing i think it was something like 100 million into bitcoin or bitcoin like equivalence some type of crypto uh if not crypto itself do you anticipate that more institutionals are going to come in sovereign wealth funds things like that how投资——我记得大约是 1 亿美元进入比特币或类似等价物、某种加密资产,如果不是加密货币本身的话——你预期会有更多机构进场吗,主权财富基金之类的?你
1:22:29do you think the the story and the could change over the next handful of years i think it's inevitable look bitcoin and crypto still have risks right a lot of these algorithms and schemes are new even bitcoin through this proof-of-work觉得这个叙事和局面在未来几年会怎么变化?我认为这是不可避免的。看,比特币和加密仍然有风险,很多算法和方案都很新,即便是比特币,通过工作量证明
1:22:43mechanism you could argue that it tends towards centralization because it gets managed by these anonymous miners and data centers and data centers of economies of scale and so it will end up being more centralized than people would like um there机制,你也可以说它趋向中心化,因为它由匿名矿工和数据中心管理,数据中心有规模经济,所以最终会比人们希望的更中心化。
1:22:55are up-and-coming competitors like ethereum there's privacy issues you know on the bitcoin blockchain you can be tracked forever so it's not perfect you know people talk about quantum computing breaking it i don't think that's true i think you can upgrade还有以太坊这类后起竞争者;还有隐私问题——在比特币区块链上,你会被永久追踪,所以它并不完美。人们说量子计算能破解它,我不认为如此,我认为加密算法可以升级。
1:23:07the encryption algorithm you know just as well or but there are always potential problems right which are not completely resolved but every time we face one of these reckonings and that problem gets resolved the value goes up the story becomes这些算法可以照样升级。但总会有潜在问题,并非完全解决。然而每当我们面对一次这样的考验、问题被解决,价值就上升,叙事就变得
1:23:21stronger and so the same way when paul tudor jones or microstrategy by bitcoin the story is becoming stronger the set of believers is increasing the validation is increasing and now more people can come in and hang their hat on this更强。所以同样地,当 Paul Tudor Jones 或 MicroStrategy 买入比特币,叙事就变得更强,信徒群体扩大,验证增加,现在更多人能进来,把帽子挂在这上面,
1:23:33and say okay if paul tudor jones agrees and michael saylor agrees then i agree to be in that set of people who believe that this is going to be the new way to store value and wealth and so now i'm说:好吧,如果 Paul Tudor Jones 同意、Michael Saylor 同意,那我也同意加入那群相信这将成为储存价值和财富新方式的人。所以现在我在
1:23:43joining their wealth storage scheme and the early people then get rewarded for it so one way to think about a bitcoin in particular is or even actually any of the cryptocurrencies is it's a swiss bank account but it's a swiss加入他们的财富储存方案,早期加入的人因此得到回报。所以看待比特币——其实任何加密货币——的一种方式是:它是一个瑞士银行账户,但它是一个
1:23:56bank account with finite space and if you want shelf space in that swiss bank account with finite space you have to buy out one of the existing holders in that space so imagine a swiss bank count that's impregnable it's a空间有限的瑞士银行账户。如果你想在那个空间有限的瑞士银行账户里占一格,你就必须买下那个空间里现有持有者中的一位。想象一个固若金汤的瑞士银行,它是
1:24:09new one no government can break into it it's secured by consensus across millions of people using massive computation power on the globe and if you want one of those safety deposit box you got to buy it from someone who's already全新的,没有政府能闯进去,它由全球数百万人通过海量算力达成的共识来保障。如果你想要其中一个保险箱,你就得从已经在那里的人手里买。
1:24:23there so as long as the demand for new people trying to get in the swiss bank account is greater than the supply of people who are trying to get out of that swiss bank then you're going to pay more for所以只要想进入这个瑞士银行的新人需求,大于想退出这个银行的人供给,你就得为
1:24:32that box and that's where the speculative power of it comes from and i think it's going to take a good crisis to really see what crypto is worth and actually so far it's been weird because yeah the people's people have那个箱子付更多钱。它的投机力量就来自这里。我认为需要一次像样的危机才能真正看出加密资产值多少。而实际上到目前为止情况很怪,因为人们……
1:24:44said that crypto failed the crisis test with covet right i mean it didn't didn't what it didn't do was it didn't right it didn't like go you know bitcoin didn't go to 100k as everybody fled the us dollar but that说加密货币没能通过疫情的危机测试。对吧,它没有——它没做到的是:它没有像所有人逃离美元时比特币冲向 10 万那样。但那
1:24:57kind of shows you how resilient the dollar is and how far we are from losing global reserve currency status but at the same time it didn't collapse either you know it didn't go down it went down briefly as people needed恰恰说明美元有多坚韧,以及我们离失去全球储备货币地位还有多远。但同时它也没有崩盘,你知道,它没有大跌,只是短暂下跌,因为人们需要
1:25:07cash to meet various margin calls and loans but overall stayed very stable and i would say the number of people who have gotten involved in crypto recently as a true wealth protection mechanism is the largest i've ever seen so i现金来应对各种追加保证金和贷款。但总体非常稳定。而且我要说,最近以真正的财富保护机制为目的进入加密的人数,是我见过最多的。所以我
1:25:19do think that the holder base has gone up i don't know if we're going to see like real you know 3 000 bitcoin ever again in my lifetime we might see zero if something breaks completely but i don't think we're确实认为持有者基数上升了。我不知道在有生之年还会不会看到真正的 3000 美元比特币,如果某样东西彻底崩坏,我们可能看到归零,但我不认为我们
1:25:30going to see like a you know a bunch of people leaving and losing faith in it and that's why it goes to 3k bitcoin tends to hit these highs then crash back down to a plateau hang out in a plateau会看到一大群人离开、对它失去信心,从而跌到 3000。比特币倾向于冲到高点,然后崩回一个平台,在平台上待
1:25:40for a while and then go back to a new high and i kind of feel like you know around the 10k level who knows i don't want to make price predictions you know i feel like there's a stronger base of一段时间,然后再创新高。我感觉大概在 1 万美元这个水平——谁知道呢,我不想做价格预测。我觉得现在的持有者基础
1:25:49holders now than there's ever so each one of these people comes and validates it you know paul tudor jones validates it for other hedge fund managers hedge fund managers validated for sovereign wealth funds uh you know validated for central banks比以往任何时候都强。这些人每一个都来验证它:Paul Tudor Jones 为其他对冲基金经理做了验证,对冲基金经理再为主权财富基金验证,再为央行验证。
1:26:02uh eventually some country out there is going to say actually we inflated our currency too much our currency collapsed nobody trusts us we have to adopt a new national currency instead of pegging to the dollar let's peg the bitcoin or最终某个国家会说:其实我们把货币通胀得太厉害了,我们的货币崩了,没人信任我们,我们必须采用一种新的国家货币——不再锚定美元,我们锚定比特币,或者
1:26:15let's use bitcoin or let's use some other cryptocurrency or let's be clever and buy up a bunch of bitcoin and then announce we're going to use bitcoin and then bitcoin will skyrocket and we're all rich right so i think there直接用比特币,或者用别的加密货币;或者更聪明一点:先买一大堆比特币,然后宣布我们要用比特币,于是比特币暴涨,我们就都富了。所以我认为
1:26:26are other scenarios where it ends up being a lot more valuable but it's going to be stumbling steps forward and backward it's not going to be like necessarily you know in one fell swoop until it is right that's the nature还有其他情形,会让它最终值钱得多。但过程会跌跌撞撞、进一步退两步,不一定是一步到位——直到它真的一步到位。这就是
1:26:37of black swans you can't predict them when it happens it happens suddenly like i had a friend who used to tell me he's now a hardcore bitcoin it's funny he actually helped write a book on bitcoin now but when i黑天鹅的本质:你无法预测它们,发生时就是突然发生。我有个朋友以前跟我说——他现在是硬核比特币信徒,有意思的是他还参与写了一本关于比特币的书——但当我
1:26:47first talked about bitcoin years and years ago he said what's the big deal he's like if i ever have to flee the country you know i'll just buy bitcoin then and i said yeah when you have to flee the your很多很多年前第一次聊比特币时,他说这有什么了不起,他说如果哪天我得逃离这个国家,我到时候再买比特币就行了。我说:是啊,等你必须逃的时候,你的
1:26:56entire fortune's going to buy you one bitcoin right that's the problem it's supply and demand so you can't so it's like anything else a store of value it's a hedge you can't wait till the last second and i do think全部身家大概只够买一枚比特币。对吧,这就是问题,这是供需关系,所以你做不到。它和其他价值储存手段一样,是一种对冲,你不能等到最后一秒。而且我确实认为
1:27:08more and more smart people are coming into it every single day and i think the psychological dynamics of crypto volatility are a lot casino slot machine right this this variable reward with high variability where you just see things spiking and每天都有越来越多聪明人进入这个领域。我还认为,加密波动的心理机制很像赌场老虎机——那种高变异性的可变奖励,你看到东西猛涨
1:27:26dropping and then they stay flat and then they spike and they drop in a way that is unlike most equities that you or i would buy on the public even wall street at some level is a big casino with a猛跌,然后横盘,接着再涨再跌,这种波动方式与你我在公开市场买的大多数股票都不同。就连华尔街在某种程度上也是一个大赌场,只不过它有
1:27:36potential positive expected value and creating some value for society in terms of hedging and liquidity for companies raising money and so on uh and crypto's doing the same thing it's it's a global 24 7 365 casino where anybody in the潜在的正期望值,并且为社会创造了一些价值,比如为企业融资提供对冲和流动性等等。加密也在做同样的事,它是一个全球 7×24×365 的赌场,世界上任何人都能
1:27:49world can play but through decentralized finance underneath you're actually making loans you're protecting wealth you're storing you're letting people you know buy derivatives you're letting people hedge um so all of these things are coming up like we now have insurance参与。但在去中心化金融的底层,你实际上是在放贷、在保护财富、在储蓄,你让人们买衍生品、让人们做对冲。所以这些东西都在出现,比如我们现在有了
1:28:03in the crypto markets we now have lending in the crypto markets we have shorting in the crypto markets uh you know we have computation going on that requires crypto underneath look if two computers are talking to each other if two加密市场的保险,有了加密市场的借贷,有了加密市场的做空;还有需要加密作为底层的计算正在进行。看,如果两台计算机在互相通信,如果两个
1:28:16mini ais are talking to each other and high speed uh exchanging resources to run a company how are they gonna exchange money you think they're gonna send us dollars through paypal or through fedwire hell no they're going to use crypto小型 AI 在互相通信、高速交换资源来运营一家公司,它们要怎么交换钱?你觉得它们会用 PayPal 或 Fedwire 发美元吗?才不会,它们会用加密货币。
1:28:28is going to is the native currency of the internet of course the internet is going to have its own currency you know otherwise like saying like the internet's going to use email through the usps you know u.s postal service techno它将成为互联网的原生货币。互联网当然会有自己的货币,否则就像说互联网要通过 USPS、通过美国邮政服务来发邮件一样……
1:28:41it's going to have its own native on-chain on-wire protocol for data and so what cryptocurrencies really are bitcoin isn't a thing bitcoin is not like there's a coin sitting somewhere bitcoin is an entry you know like yeah it's an entry它会拥有自己原生的、链上的、线上协议来处理数据。所以加密货币到底是什么?比特币不是一个「东西」,不是说某个地方放着一枚币,比特币是一条记录,对,它是一条记录,
1:28:59in a virtual ledger and that virtual ledger is maintained by tons of machines running across the world and what you're doing is you're communicating value securely across the internet with no third parties in the middle validating that that is the记在一个虚拟账本里,而这个虚拟账本由全世界大量运行的机器维护。你所做的是在互联网上安全地传递价值,中间没有任何第三方来验证这笔
1:29:13correct communication it's done by the entire network at once and you're communicating and transmitting scarcity and value to the internet and that's a new thing what the internet gave us before was digital abundance i can make copies of everything and通信是正确的——这由整个网络同时完成。你在把稀缺性和价值传递到互联网上,这是一件新事。互联网此前给我们的是数字丰盈:我可以复制一切,
1:29:27that was a very big idea i can make one podcast and ship it to everybody i can make one web page and ship it to everybody that was a very big and created huge fortunes and huge revolutions the same way那是一个极其重要的想法。我可以做一期播客然后发给所有人,做一个网页然后发给所有人。那是非常重大的事,创造了巨大财富和巨大革命。同样地,
1:29:38digital scarcity is an equally interesting idea which is i can only have one of this thing if naval has a bitcoin then tim ferriss doesn't have that bitcoin or vice versa that ability to create scarcity and transmit scarcity and value数字稀缺是一个同样有趣的想法:某个东西我只能拥有一份——如果 Naval 有一枚比特币,那 Tim Ferriss 就没有那枚比特币,反之亦然。这种创造稀缺、传递稀缺和价值
1:29:51through the is just as important as the ability to create abundance and transmit that through the internet and so the native language of the internet in communications and protocols around valuable things and on finance is going to be in cryptocurrencies通过互联网的能力,与创造丰盈并通过互联网传递丰盈的能力同等重要。所以在通信、有价值之物的协议以及金融方面,互联网的原生语言将是加密货币,
1:30:04it's not going to be any other any other way so i want to bring up two more tweets and then we can bring this this to uh to a close and put a bow on it first i just want to不会是别的任何方式。所以我想再提两条推文,然后我们就可以把这件事收尾、打个蝴蝶结。首先我只想
1:30:17mention again and i very rarely do this but i am very happy with how this discussion turned out if people want more of the and the design of cryptocurrency which is endlessly fascinating just google nick zabo s s-z-a-b-o and then再说一次——我很少这么做——但我对这次讨论的结果非常满意。如果大家想了解更多关于加密货币设计的内容,那真是无穷迷人,直接 Google Nick Szabo,S-Z-A-B-O。然后
1:30:34if you're interested in diving into audio naval and i spoke with them two tweets these are both from september one i'm gonna read just because i agree with it super strongly and i also have observed you following this advice very如果你有兴趣深入,可以听音频——Naval 和我跟他们聊过。两条推文,都是 9 月 1 日的。我要读一下,因为我极其同意这条,而且我也观察到你把这条建议执行得
1:30:49well which is all self help boils to choose long term over short term i would modify the tweet to say though all truly effective self help boils down choose long term over short term uh and i mean that is the非常好——「所有自我提升都归结为:选择长期而非短期」。不过我会改写这条推文说:所有真正有效的自我提升,都归结为选择长期而非短期。我的意思是,这就是
1:31:04entire challenge uh which is long-term thinking gets you long-term results uh and i've said this a thousand different ways in business you want to play long-term games with long-term people in your modern life and addictions and kind of just dealing全部的挑战:长期思维带给你长期结果。我在商业里用一千种方式说过:你想和长期的人玩长期的游戏。而在现代生活里,成瘾,以及应付
1:31:19with the avalanche of all the the abundance of things that are thrown at you that really traps like video games or a trap there there's a shadow career that substitutes for your real career or you know smoking weed or drinking扑面而来的、雪崩般丰盛的东西——真正困住你的,比如电子游戏就是个陷阱;还有「影子职业」替代你真正的事业;或者抽大麻、喝
1:31:31alcohol substitutes for like pleasure uh more simple things like sunlight and walks and porn substitutes for sex and this just goes on and on i thought you were saying walking sunlight and porn i was like we're talking yeah that sounds酒替代了快乐,替代了阳光、散步这些更简单的东西,色情替代了性——这样一直列下去。我刚才还以为你在说「散步、阳光和色情」,我心想:我们是在聊……对,那听起来
1:31:45about the trifecta but look at the so the related tweet i had is the modern devil is cheap dopamine and some interesting people on twitter point out to me actually the ancient devil is cheap dopamine as well and but in像是三件套。不过你看,我相关的那条推文是:「现代恶魔是廉价的多巴胺。」Twitter 上有些很有意思的人向我指出,其实古代的恶魔也是廉价多巴胺。只不过在
1:31:56modern times we've just hyper uh accelerated it you know the modern mind is over stimulated the modern body is under stimulated we've just taken all the creature comforts we've maximized them to a thousand times and so literally all success in现代,我们把它极度加速了。现代人的心智过度刺激,现代人的身体刺激不足;我们把所有舒适享受都最大化了一千倍。所以可以说,人生中所有的成功
1:32:11life boils down to a variation in the marshmallow test where you know can the kid like hold off and eating the marshmallow for 15 exchange they get two marshmallows and the claim is that turned out to be a big predictor都归结为棉花糖测试的一个变体:孩子能不能忍住 15 分钟不吃棉花糖,然后换到两颗棉花糖。据说这个测试结果是未来成功的强预测指标,
1:32:21for future success although like many psych experiments i don't think it replicates well um but anyway so it just boils down to long-term versus short-term and if you can just adopt long-term thinking in your mindset you're just going to have虽然像很多心理学实验一样,我认为它的可重复性并不好。总之,一切归结为长期与短期的取舍。如果你能在心态上采纳长期思维,你的人生就会
1:32:34a much easier life or as our favorite trainer jersey gregorick says hard choices easy life easy choices hard life that's it right so just can you take a long-term view on anything compound interest applies everywhere it applies in relationships it轻松得多。或者像我们最喜欢的教练 Jerzy Gregorek 说的:「艰难的选择,轻松的人生;轻松的选择,艰难的人生。」就是这样。所以,你能不能对任何事都采取长期视角?复利无处不在:它适用于关系,
1:32:49applies in money it applies in health and fitness can you change your habits to read the kinds of books that you think will serve you best in the long term the foundational books can you change your eating habits so that适用于金钱,适用于健康和健身。你能不能改变习惯,去读那些你认为长期最有益的书——那些基础性的书?你能不能改变饮食习惯,
1:33:01you're eating healthy food as opposed to unhealthy food can you create an exercise routine that you can do every day or every other day so that it's a consistent part of your life and so i think a lot of it吃健康食物而不是不健康的食物?你能不能建立一套每天或隔天就能做的运动习惯,让它成为你生活里稳定的一部分?所以我认为,很多事
1:33:12boils down to just choosing the long term or the short term and all the hacks the good hacks basically help make the long-term choice palatable or they help inspire you to kind of keep your eyes focused on the long term都归结为选择长期还是短期。而所有窍门——好的窍门——基本上都是让长期选择变得可口,或者帮你把目光持续聚焦在长期上。
1:33:25so an example is if you're doing something that you love if you're running a business that you enjoy it it's probably going to be more fun than playing a video game if you if you come home at night from work举个例子:如果你在做你热爱的事,如果你在经营一家你喜欢的公司,那它很可能比打电子游戏更有趣。如果你晚上下班回家
1:33:34and your first instinct is to play a video game you're suffering at work you're working just as hard in the video game but the rewards are all fake because they're going to change the rules on you or some 13 year第一反应是打电子游戏,那说明你在工作中是在受苦。你在游戏里付出的努力一样多,但回报全是假的,因为规则随时会被改,或者网上某个 13 岁
1:33:44old kid on the internet will destroy you because they play that video game all day long and i used to be a hardcore video gamer i had a lot of fun doing it and i did learn playing games for sure的小孩会把你打爆,因为他整天都在玩那个游戏。我曾经是个硬核游戏玩家,玩得很开心,我确实从游戏里学到了东西。
1:33:53but you know at this point this age i pick up a video i'm doing it to get away from suffering and i'm not really getting anything out of it i could play the video game of or i could play the但你知道,到了现在这个阶段、这个年纪,我拿起游戏是为了逃避痛苦,我其实什么也没得到。我可以玩……那个游戏,或者我可以玩
1:34:02video game of starting companies or i could play the video game of you know go and play tennis and that would be good for my so it's good to find so so i think a lot of it is about finding「创办公司」这个游戏,或者玩「去打网球」这个游戏,那对我的身体有好处。所以找到……所以我认为,很多事就在于找到
1:34:12the thing that you can do that is fun for you that looks like play that feels like play to you but looks like work to others that you can do that sustains you for the long term so for example in那件对你来说有趣、看起来像玩、对你感觉像玩、但在别人看来像工作的事,而且你能靠它长期坚持下去。比如在
1:34:23foods what you want to find is you want to find what is the health food out there that other people consider healthy and as nutritionally healthy profile but that i find tasty because if i can create those foods if i食物方面,你要找的是:世上有什么健康食物,别人认为健康、营养结构健康,但我觉得好吃?因为如果我能做出这些食物,如果
1:34:34can become a good cook and create great foods that i enjoy eating and i'll like them and i can eat them regularly but they're actually super healthy that's amazing that's a hack now now i'm eating for the long term but我能成为一个好厨师,做出我真正爱吃、会喜欢、能经常吃、但实际上超级健康的食物,那就太棒了,那就是个窍门。现在我在为长期而吃,但
1:34:46i'm not giving up too much of the short-term the same way being in a good relationship is you know is going to be watching porn and having a good career or working enjoyable job or hacking on some code that i我没有放弃太多短期享受。同样地,身处一段好的关系,或者说好好工作、做一份喜欢的工作、写点我喜欢的代码,
1:34:57enjoy is going to be far more productive than playing a video game i don't want to preachy but i will just say that as i my love for reading came from another one of my tweets is read what you love会比打电子游戏高效得多。我不想说教,但我就说一句:我对阅读的热爱来自我另一条推文——「读你爱读的」
1:35:09until you love to so just fall in love with the idea of reading itself so it's okay to read the junk food stuff just fall in love with reading and eventually get bored of the simple stuff and you'll go to「直到你爱上阅读」。所以先爱上「阅读」这件事本身。读垃圾食品式的东西也没关系,先爱上阅读,最终你会对简单的东西感到厌倦,然后你会转向
1:35:18the more interesting and i love to read enough that i don't like watching tv i don't watch movies you know people start talking about shows that they're watching on netflix or what have you and i give them this empty look更有趣的东西。我爱读书爱到不喜欢看电视,我不看电影。当人们开始聊他们在 Netflix 上追的剧之类的,我就给他们一个空洞的眼神。
1:35:29i don't watch shows on netflix they're not interesting it's far more interesting to me to go for a walk and be meditative and i'll be in a very happy place or to read a book which will be intellectually stimulating and我不看 Netflix 上的剧,它们没意思。对我来说,出去散步、进入冥想状态、待在一个非常快乐的地方,或者读一本能在智识上刺激我的书,要远远更有趣。
1:35:40sure once in a while watch a movie with friends or with my wife but it's a social thing you know i'm doing it as a way of kind sort of being on the same common ground as them i'm not i当然,偶尔我会和朋友或妻子一起看电影,但那是社交活动,我这么做是为了和他们有某种共同基础。我不是——
1:35:49would never watch a movie on my own unless maybe i was trapped in like a 15-hour airplane flight i was really bored and i run out of everything else to do and i just want to zone out even then i我绝不会一个人看电影,除非我被困在比如 15 小时的航班上,真的无聊透了,其他事都做完了,只想放空——即便那样,我
1:35:58don't think i watch a movie anymore so i just feel like a lot of it is like finding the hacks finding the things make the long term feel effortless to you and then you win okay last last question first a觉得我也不会看电影了。所以我觉得很多事就是找到那些窍门,找到那些能让长期选择对你来说变得毫不费力的事,然后你就赢了。好,最后一个问题。首先一个
1:36:12recommendation if you ever do decide to watch something sorry before we finish that topic very important on people find the people that doesn't take work to be around the best relationships don't feel like work you make the other person happy推荐,如果你真决定要看点什么——抱歉,在这个话题结束前还有一点很重要:关于人——去找那些相处起来不费力的人。最好的关系不会让你觉得是在工作。你让对方因为做自己而快乐,
1:36:23being yourself they make you happy by being themselves everyone's honest no one's putting on an act they can't carry on for the next decade same thing with friendships you know the best friendships or friendships that were formed or nothing it's他们因为做自己而让你快乐。每个人都诚实,没人演戏,因为演不了十年。友谊也一样——最好的友谊是那种自然而然形成的,不是
1:36:35not because you went to school it's not because you studied on the same things not because you're working together it's not because you enjoy rugby or whatever it's because your chemistry matches your temperament is similar and so you can be因为你们上同一所学校,不是因为你们学同样的东西,不是因为你们一起工作,也不是因为你们都爱橄榄球之类;而是因为你们的化学反应契合、性情相似,所以你能和
1:36:46friends with this person for 30 years 50 years so the compound interest and relationships part ironically means that the best relationships whether friendships or family or love are the ones where you don't have to work too hard at them so这个人做 30 年、50 年的朋友。所以「关系里的复利」这一部分,讽刺地意味着:最好的关系——无论是友谊、亲情还是爱情——都是那些你不需要太费力的关系。
1:36:57you don't have to sustain that workload for the rest of your life and you can do it effortlessly yeah totally well one of the one of your quotes that i think of often and i might be paraphrasing this is if你不必在余生里一直维持那么大的工作量,你可以毫不费力地做到。是啊,完全同意。你有一句话我经常想起,我可能是转述的,就是:如果
1:37:09you want to avoid conflict rule number one is avoid people who are constantly involved with conflict right i mean something along those lines i mean for example when you're in a relationship just watch how the other person treats their worst你想避免冲突,第一条规则就是避开那些总是卷入冲突的人。对,大致是这个意思。比如,当你在一段关系里,就观察对方怎么对待他最恨的
1:37:22enemy because eventually they'll just redefine you as and you'll get to feel that behavior so i think the number one criteria i look for in a in a relationship is that a person has to be they just have to be敌人,因为最终他们也会把你重新定义成敌人,然后你就会亲身感受到那种行为。所以我认为我在关系里看的第一条标准是:这个人必须——就是必须是个
1:37:34a nice person and because eventually they'll in a certain context you can always be reclassified from friend to enemy so you just want to see the boundaries of someone's ethics if you see someone being bad to a server or someone好人。因为在某些情境下,你随时可能从朋友被重新归类为敌人。所以你要看清一个人道德的边界。如果你看到有人对服务员很恶劣,或者有人
1:37:47engaging in unethical behavior or suing other people or fighting other people all the time it's only a matter of time before they fight you so just stay away from these high conflict people everyone has conflict no one is clean but做出不道德的行为,或者总在起诉别人、总在跟别人争斗,那他们迟早会跟你斗。所以要远离这些高冲突的人。每个人都有冲突,没有人是干净的,但
1:37:59that said like there are definitely people who engage in conflict and do it regularly and they make it a part of their just walk away it's not worth it there's plenty of people who are low conflict and easy to get话虽如此,确实有些人会卷入冲突,而且经常如此,把它变成了自己的一部分——那就走开,不值得。有很多低冲突、容易相处的人。
1:38:12along with yeah low conflict low who can also be brutally candid when necessary right which doesn't equal eye conflict well the one thing i've noticed and i haven't written the tweet on this because i've had a hard time figuring how对,低冲突——而且在必要的时候也能极其坦率,对吧,这不等于冲突。我注意到一件事,我还没为此写推文,因为我一直很难想清楚怎么
1:38:26to say it but the people that i want to spend time these days when i look at what the common characteristic is they're highly self-aware they're very aware of themselves they're not running on autopilot they don't get angry easily they表达它——我现在想与之共度时间的人,当我寻找他们的共同特征时,是:他们高度自我觉察,非常了解自己,不靠自动驾驶模式生活,不容易发怒,
1:38:41don't get unhappy easily they don't take themselves too seriously they have a certain separation from their own thoughts and personality that prevents circumstances and their personality from overwhelming them they don't have a victim mentality they're not caught up in some不容易不快乐,不把自己看得太重;他们与自己的念头和人格之间有一定距离,这让他们不会被环境和自身人格所淹没;他们没有受害者心态,不会陷在某种
1:38:56story of what happened to them when they were they've had those issues for sure but they've just gotten past them and been i don't want to be that person i don't be trapped in that mindset they're not trying to signal「我小时候发生过什么」的故事里。他们当然也有过那些问题,但他们已经走过去了,说「我不想成为那种人,我不想被困在那个心态里」;他们不是在时刻
1:39:07all the time how important they are or who they or what they've done or how virtuous how virtuous they are they're not virtue signaling or bigoteering they have low generally i can literally plot on a line the more self-aware somebody彰显自己多重要、自己是谁、做过什么、多么有德——他们不搞道德表演、不搞道德作秀。总的来说,我几乎可以把「一个人越自我觉察」画成一条线,
1:39:21is i guarantee you the more attractive that they are to a large number of people and to into the degree that i've achieved any modicum of fame and fame is a trap and i'm going to pay for this i know我保证,他对越多的人就越有吸引力。而如果我算获得了一丁点名望的话——名望是个陷阱,我会为此付出代价,我知道
1:39:32i will pay for this but any modicum of fame that i've achieved i think is because i am one of the few who has been successful in business that thinks out loud in public and because i'm willing to think out我会为此付出代价——但我获得的任何一点名望,我认为是因为我是少数在商业上成功、又愿意在公众面前大声思考的人之一。正因为愿意公开思考,
1:39:45loud in public that's a risk that i take it improves my thinking but other people say oh yeah he's somewhat self-aware he's thinking about himself and i think that helps inspire other people to also say okay it's okay for me我承担了这个风险,它改善了我的思考;而别人会说:哦对,他多少有点自我觉察,他在思考自己。我认为这能启发其他人也说:好,我也可以
1:39:59to think about myself and i just i just find hanging around self-aware people is a lot easier than people who are running on autopilot almost like npcs what does that mean non-player it's a reference to certain kinds of video games思考自己。我只是觉得,和自我觉察的人相处比和那些靠自动驾驶生活、几乎像 NPC 一样的人相处要轻松得多。那是什么意思?Non-player(非玩家)。这是某些电子游戏里的说法,
1:40:15where it's like a computer control character right they're predicted all right so speaking of games is this is the the final tweet the final here it is the reason to win the game is so that you can be free of指的是电脑控制的角色,对,他们是可以被预测的。好,说到游戏,这是最后一条推文,最后一条,来了:「赢下游戏的目的,是为了能从中脱身。」
1:40:33it and my questions about this are wait one more time the reason to win the game is so that you can be free of it i would be curious to know what game you are free of or what game you我的问题是——等一下,再说一遍:「赢下游戏的目的,是为了能从中脱身。」我很好奇,你已经从哪个游戏里脱身了,或者你正在玩哪个游戏,
1:40:44are playing so that you can be free of it i like to think i'm free of almost all the games at this point what are the games all of life is games right you start out with the family game you以便从中脱身?我愿意认为自己此刻几乎已经从所有游戏里脱身了。什么是游戏?整个生活都是游戏,对吧?你从家庭游戏开始,然后是
1:40:55do the school game the grades game the getting girlfriends and boyfriends game the getting married game the having kids game the making money game they're having the career game the getting famous game the dressing well game you know it's so学校游戏、成绩游戏、交男女朋友游戏、结婚游戏、生孩子游戏、赚钱游戏、事业游戏、出名游戏、穿得好看的游戏——你知道,太多
1:41:08much of a social games there are a few that are not games like meditation you're not doing if you're scoring points in meditation you're doing it wrong yoga these are single-player games right so it's really the multiplayer games are the都是社交游戏了。也有少数不是游戏,比如冥想——如果你在冥想里计分,那你就做错了;瑜伽也是。这些是单人游戏。所以真正把你
1:41:19ones that suck you into society and anxiety now you kind of have to play them you have two choices towards peace in your life one is you can play these games and you can win them and when you win them吸进社会和焦虑里的,是多人在玩的游戏。你多少得玩它们。通向内心平静有两条路:一是你去玩这些游戏,并且赢下它们——而当你赢了,
1:41:32this is the hard part realizing you've won and stopped playing new ones or setting new goals for yourself that are even higher and higher it's like my friends who have made so much money and they continue all they try to难的部分是意识到自己已经赢了,然后停止玩新游戏,或停止给自己设更高的新目标。就像我那些赚了很多钱的朋友,他们继续……他们想做的
1:41:43do is make money and they just don't seem very happy about it it's fine if they're happy if they're like elon musk seems like he's having a grand old time that's fine but if it's making you miserable and you continue只是赚钱,而他们看起来并不怎么快乐。如果他们快乐,那没问题;像 Elon Musk 看起来就玩得很开心,那很好。但如果这件事让你痛苦,你还继续
1:41:53doing it and you only have one life and you kind of can't see past that then i would argue you're playing the game too far so there's kind of two ways out of the trap one is not wanting something is做下去,而你只有一次生命,你又看不透这一点,那我就要说你把这游戏玩过头了。所以逃离陷阱有两条路:一条是「不想要某样东西」
1:42:03as good as having it right i think it was lyad shabo said this on twitter i thought it was really or there's a recent socrates quote that i retweeted where he was taken to uh the story is he was taken和「拥有它」一样好,对吧?我觉得这是 Laid Shabo 在 Twitter 上说的,我觉得很有道理。还有一段我转发过的苏格拉底的话——故事是他被带到
1:42:13to a a market back in ancient greece and it was full of luxurious and fine items and he said there are so many things that i do not want right and it was he looked at all these finders and said古希腊的一个集市,那里满是奢华精美的物件,他说:「有太多东西是我不想要的。」他看着所有这些精美的东西说
1:42:26so many things here that i do not want and i thought that is freedom that is power that is self-contained uh that is a person who has found himself and needs nothing outside of himself that is so inspirational so the「这里有太多我不想要的东西。」我觉得那就是自由,那就是力量,那就是自足;那是一个找到了自己、不需要自身之外任何东西的人。太有启发了。所以
1:42:38same way i look upon the world and i say well i could just say that right you can't just say that if i just there's so many things that i don't want it's not true i want the money i want同样地,我看着这个世界,也想说「我也可以这么说」——对吧,但你不能只是这么说。如果我说「有太多东西我不想要」,那不是真的:我想要钱,我想要
1:42:47the girl you know i want i wanted the fame or i wouldn't have gone on podcast and i wouldn't be on twitter at some level that is true so obviously there's certain things that i want i'm not a monk i'm那个姑娘,你知道,我想要名望,否则我不会上播客、不会玩 Twitter。某种程度上这是真的,所以显然有些东西是我想要的。我不是僧人,我
1:42:57not a i'm not living in an ashram what i can do is i've gotten the things that i want and i'm careful not to want more i don't want more fame i don't want more money or if i get it不住在灵修院里。我能做的是:我已经得到了我想要的东西,并且我小心不再想要更多。我不想要更多名望,不想要更多钱——或者说如果我得到了,
1:43:08it's fine it's part of the crafts by the bonus you know so i have to be careful about what i about not unconsciously taking on new desires if i'm taking a new desire i better go fulfill that so these are那也没关系,那是手艺的副产品、额外的奖励。所以我必须小心,别在不知不觉中接纳新的欲望:如果我接受了一个新欲望,我最好去实现它。所以这些
1:43:19all just games that i'm playing and you know you got to play some game you're on this planet you're alive you might as well play something now the question is what game do you play and how do you get out都只是我在玩的游戏。你知道,你总得玩点什么,你在这个星球上,你活着,不如玩点什么。现在的问题是:你玩什么游戏,以及你怎么从里面
1:43:28of the game so you're not just trapped playing that forever and one way is you choose your games very carefully if you're a monk you only choose very very few games to play or you play no games and you live脱身,这样你才不会永远被困在那个游戏里。一种方法是极其小心地选择你的游戏:如果你是僧人,你只选很少很少的游戏来玩,或者根本不玩,你活在
1:43:39blissful harmonious peaceful or the other is you play the game and you win it and then you say i am now free of this so what that tweet is that tweet is the reason to play the game so the reason极乐、和谐、平静之中;另一种是你去玩这个游戏,赢下它,然后说「我现在从中自由了」。那条推文就是这个意思——那条推文讲的是玩这个游戏的理由。所以
1:43:52to win the game is to be free of it's a reminder to myself that for the games that i've won it's time to let go of them and to be free of them and not to unconsciously double down by comparing赢下游戏的理由,是为了从中脱身。这是对我自己的提醒:那些我已经赢下的游戏,是时候放手了,是从中自由,而不是在不知不觉中加倍下注,拿自己和
1:44:05myself to the joneses and continuing to level up and level up and then one day you die and then you're like okay that was pointless like you know i i did all that work for what like for nothing so if邻居比、不断升级、再升级,然后有一天你死了,你会说:好吧,这一切毫无意义,我做了那么多,为了什么?什么也没得到。所以如果
1:44:17you're not enjoying it anymore if you've already won the game by the definition you had when you started playing the game and one hack is to set the definition early on so that when you go past it you know you你已经不再享受它,如果你按当初开始玩这个游戏时的定义已经赢了——一个窍门是早早把定义设好,这样当你越过它时,你就知道自己
1:44:28won to not get trapped into playing this game forever and just living in some anxious future as opposed to actually enjoying yourself in the present you have to know when to stop playing the game and so to me the reason赢了,从而不被困在永远玩这个游戏、活在某种焦虑的未来里,而不是真正享受当下。你必须知道什么时候停止玩这个游戏。所以对我来说,玩这些
1:44:41to play these games is to win them and then you can be free of them and to see what else then that you want to do or not do not to keep playing the same game forever because these games are游戏的理由就是赢下它们,然后你就能从中脱身,去看看接下来你还想做什么、或者不做什么,而不是永远玩同一个游戏。因为这些游戏——
1:44:52the adult games are very cleverly designed you can keep playing them and they're all ups and downs and ups and downs and i guarantee you every time you get money you'll be afraid you're going to lose it or you're going成年人的游戏设计得非常巧妙,你可以一直玩下去,全是起起落落、起起落落。我保证,每次你得到钱,你就会害怕失去它,或者你会
1:45:02to compare it to the next person who has it or every time you get famous now that's uh let's say that's the image that you have to live up to and now insults can hurt you and now you don't have拿它和下一个拥有更多的人比较;每次你出名,现在那就是你必须维持的形象,现在侮辱能伤到你,现在你不再拥有
1:45:10your privacy anymore as you've written about so all of these games have downsides or if you're uh you know very you're good at dating you have a lot of men or women in your life then you're also going to have隐私了,就像你写过的那样。所以所有这些游戏都有代价。或者如果你很擅长约会、生活里有很多男人或女人,那你同时也会有很多
1:45:20a lot of relationship trauma and you've got a lot of tumultuousness you know a lot of hurt people you got a lot of emotional drama in your life so you just have to kind of realize when you won the game感情创伤,你会经历很多动荡、很多被伤害的人、生活里有很多情绪戏。所以你得意识到自己什么时候赢下了游戏,
1:45:29and say i'm done with this so i would i would aspire to be like socrates and say there are so many things in this world that i do not want and i like to think that i'm kind of there for然后说:我不玩这个了。所以我向往像苏格拉底那样说:这个世界上有太多我不想要的东西。我愿意认为自己大体上已经做到了,
1:45:38the most part either i don't want it or i have it now of course there's a fear of losing it which is always there but i don't want to pick up new desires unconsciously and i don't want to keep upgrading大部分时候,要么我不想要,要么我已经有了。当然,总有害怕失去的恐惧,它一直在;但我不想在不知不觉中拾起新欲望,我也不想不断升级
1:45:49my lifestyle and my expectations to match my circumstances otherwise i'll be on this treadmill we are all playing games and the key is knowing which game you are playing so you can at least attempt to consciously choose the game finite我的生活方式和期待去匹配我的处境,否则我就会一直在那台跑步机上。我们都在玩游戏,关键在于知道自己在玩哪个游戏,这样你至少能尝试有意识地选择游戏。《有限
1:46:04and infinite games by james an interesting read and i just want to close with and then you're certainly more than welcome to add any closing comments but a quote that really makes me think of you it's one of my favorite与无限的游戏》,James Carse 写的,很值得一读。我想用这个收尾,当然也非常欢迎你补充任何结束语——有一句话真的让我想到你,它是我最喜欢的
1:46:20quotes from fineman so richard fineman once again here's the quote the first principle is that you must not fool yourself and you are the easiest person to fool i love that quote i i read it when i was 9 or费曼语录之一。Richard Feynman,再说一次,这句话是:「第一原则是:你绝不能欺骗自己,而你是最容易被自己欺骗的人。」我很爱这句话,我 9 岁或
1:46:3110 years old and i've never forgotten it is so important and none of us are perfect we all have flaws we all have weaknesses we all have vices or i'll speak for myself certainly that's true of me but unival as10 岁时读到它,从此再没忘记。它太重要了。我们没有人是完美的,我们都有缺陷、都有弱点、都有恶习——或者我就代表自己说,这对我当然成立。但 Naval 比
1:46:46much as anyone else perhaps more than anyone else i know have gone great lengths to become self-aware furthermore and this is i think that one of the distinguishing characteristics for me that you becoming self-aware and spending time on the timeless任何人都更——也许比我认识的任何人都更——费尽心力去变得自我觉察。而且,我认为对我来说你一个很突出的特点是:你既培养自我觉察、把时间花在恒久之物上,
1:47:03while also reserving the right with competency to be a very high level operator in the real world right because you can be not of this world by opting out completely and go into a world of introspection but in truth lack同时又保留着在现实世界里做一个极高水平操作者的能力。对吧,因为你可以完全退出、不属此世,走进一个内省的世界,但实际上却缺乏
1:47:22the resilience and emotional awareness to interact with any type of real stressor which doesn't appeal to me certainly and you can be so engulfed by being in the world that you lose self-awareness you stop that you are playing certain games韧性和情绪觉知去应对任何真实的压力源——这当然不吸引我。另一种可能是你被身处世界这件事吞没,以致失去自我觉察,你不再意识到自己在玩某些游戏,
1:47:39you become addicted and self-identified with things that come from sort of consensus that's also not appealing but you have managed in a way that i find fascinating to combine the cultivation of self-awareness with operating in the world at a high你上瘾、把自己与某种共识产物认同为一——那也不吸引人。但你以一种让我着迷的方式,做到了把自我觉察的培养与在世界上高水平的运作结合起来。
1:47:56level i wouldn't say i'm necessarily there yet but it gets a little easier every year like yeah the finding quote is is a brilliant one he's right you we fool ourselves all the time and i still fool myself all the我不会说自己已经做到了,但每年都会容易一点。是啊,费曼那句话很精彩,他说得对,我们一直在欺骗自己,而我现在仍然一直在欺骗自己,
1:48:06time because i still have strong beliefs and opinions for example even though i don't tweet a lot about politics i do have strong political opinions um and that is a form of fooling myself because you know politics is a man-made因为我仍然有强烈的信念和观点。比如,虽然我不太在 Twitter 上谈政治,但我确实有强烈的政治观点。而这正是某种自我欺骗,因为你知道,政治是人造的
1:48:16game it doesn't really exist in the real world there's no tree is aware of politics and i do even though i don't like to even some of my beliefs are filtered and lined up in bundles based on my chosen media游戏,它在现实世界里并不真的存在,没有一棵树会在意政治。而我确实如此,虽然我不喜欢——我的某些信念还经过筛选、按捆打包,基于我选择的媒体
1:48:27sources and whatnot so i fool myself all the time but just if you can fool yourself a little bit less then you can navigate reality much better it doesn't take a lot most people are just living very unconsciously you know来源之类。所以我一直在欺骗自己。但只要你少骗自己一点点,你就能更好地在现实中导航。不需要很多——大多数人只是活得非常无意识,
1:48:39under unexamined life so it just gives you kind of a leg up and i agree with you in you can always like check out of the game and it's easier that way but then you're fragile right you kind of build过着未经审视的生活。所以这至少给你一点优势。我同意你,你随时都可以退出游戏,那样更轻松,但那样你很脆弱,对吧?你通过
1:48:51resilience by working out hard and it's hard to be calm until you've lost a lot and won a lot like you have to see the ups and the downs and the ups and the before you get tired of the dopamine刻苦锻炼来建立韧性,而且在你大输大赢之前,很难真正平静。你得见过起、见过落、再见过起,在你厌倦多巴胺
1:49:03chase and you sort of realize like okay this is down but eventually there'll be an up or there's an op that'll be a down i know how this game works so one of the things i've been tracking recently is i've追逐之前。然后你会意识到:好吧,现在是低谷,但最终会有高峰;或者现在是个高峰,后面会跌。我知道这个游戏怎么玩。所以我最近一直在追踪的一件事是,我
1:49:12been trying to kind of make a a list of what are the activities that are sort of non-dual in nature they don't create their own opposite down the road so chasing money does create anxiety and suffering down the road as一直在试着列一个清单:哪些活动本质上是不二元的,它们不会在日后制造出自己的对立面。比如追逐金钱确实会在日后制造焦虑和痛苦,因为
1:49:24you compare and you win and lose and so on uh you know chasing fame also has downsides where you can you're not open to insult and attacks and being cancelled and what not so what activities are intrinsically in and of你会比较、会赢会输,等等。追逐名望也有代价:你会暴露在侮辱、攻击、被取消之类的事情下。那么哪些活动在本质上、就其自身而言是
1:49:37themselves and are kind of are a free lunch and so those include things like meditation yoga creating art playing reading for fun not necessarily for knowledge or education writing journaling you can even be building a business as long as you're免费的午餐?包括冥想、瑜伽、创作艺术、玩耍、为了乐趣而阅读(不一定是为知识或教育)、写作、写日记;你甚至可以是在创业,只要你是
1:49:52doing it for the craft of it for the flow of it not necessarily for a given outcome although it's hard to do that at least externally it seems like elon musk is doing that he's you know building rockets to get为了手艺本身、为了心流而做,而不一定为了某个特定结果——虽然这很难,至少从外部看,Elon Musk 似乎就是这样:他造火箭是为了
1:50:03to mars not to make money um or to be famous although he's doing the he's getting those the byproducts so i i think that kind of this whole not fooling yourself uh paying attention to yourself not taking yourself too seriously去火星,不是为了赚钱或出名——虽然他确实得到了这些副产品。所以我认为,这一整套「不欺骗自己、关注自己、不把自己看得太重、
1:50:17uh examining your own thoughts from first principles um and kind of uh doing activities that are drawn intrinsically for you as opposed to for the external world they just make your life better i'm not doing these things to be a从第一原理审视自己的念头,以及做那些被你内在吸引、而非为外部世界而做的活动」——它们只会让你的生活更好。我做这些事不是为了成为
1:50:32stoic sage right honestly one of the downsides of the stoics is they don't look like they're having a lot of fun i still like that right now obviously loss has been a lot in translation i know they had their vomitoriums斯多葛圣人,对吧。说实话,斯多葛派的一个缺点是,他们看起来并不怎么享受乐趣。不过我现在还是喜欢那套——显然「损失」在翻译中丢失了很多。我知道他们有催吐室,
1:50:43and they had their orgies and whatnots uh but you know the stoics just at least the way it's a modern projected and this is one of the reasons why i do like osho you know people give osho a lot of他们也有狂欢之类的事。但你知道,斯多葛派至少在现代的投射里是这样。这也是我喜欢 Osho 的原因之一。你知道,人们给 Osho 很多
1:50:54flack and they should he he was a little crazy in some ways but he was having fun he had a good time and you know you're alive you got you have one very short life when it when your life ends批评,他们也该批评,他在某些方面确实有点疯。但他在享受乐趣,他过得开心。你知道,你活着,你只有一次非常短暂的生命。当你的生命结束时,
1:51:08it goes to zero it's to you it's indistinguishable from your perspective your death is indistinguishable from the end of the world as far as you're concerned the world has disappeared because when you came into existence the world appeared when you它归零了。对你、从你的视角看,它和世界末日无法区分。就你而言,你的死亡和世界的终结无法区分——世界消失了。因为你存在时,世界才出现;当你
1:51:22go out of existence the world disappears and that is so consequential that it makes the rest of your life inconsequential and that is a form of freedom and so you should enjoy yourself you should not suffer in this life if离开存在,世界就消失了。这件事如此重大,以至于它让你余生的一切都变得无关紧要——而这是一种自由。所以你应该享受自己,你不该在这一生中受苦。如果
1:51:35you are just constantly suffering then figure out how to get out of that if you can't get out of that suffering then figure out how to redefine your internal worldview so that you don't necessarily view it as suffering any more你一直在受苦,那就想办法走出来;如果你走不出那种苦,那就想办法重新定义你的内在世界观,让你不再必然把它看作苦——
1:51:46than the extent that you need to to get out of it these days we borrow a lot of suffering on behalf of other people a lot of people want to be a little christ carrying crosses for others it's a miserable只需保留到你走出它所需的程度。如今我们为别人借来很多苦:很多人想当个小基督,替别人背十字架。那是一种悲惨的
1:51:56existence you're actually not doing them any favors you carrying their cross isn't making their life any better the better way is for you to be happy and successful and healthy and then go save them like literally save them not necessarily存在。你其实没帮到他们任何忙,你替他们背十字架并不会让他们的生活更好。更好的方式是:你自己快乐、成功、健康,然后去救他们——真的去救他们,而不一定
1:52:10just you know sit around suffering for them or at least that's the life that i choose to live i'm gonna i'm gonna end with one story um there was a guy that i met in thailand uh craig i forget his只是坐在那里替他们受苦。至少那是我选择的生活方式。我要用一个故事收尾:我在泰国遇到过一个人,叫 Craig,我忘了他姓
1:52:22last name but he used to work for tony robbins and i met this guy and we were on vacation in thailand and he was just the happiest person he was just happy all the time and he just seemed to be什么,他曾为 Tony Robbins 工作。我遇到这个人时,我们在泰国度假,他就是最快乐的人,他一直都很快乐,看起来就是
1:52:33able to laugh it off and as far as he had a good life he had stuff going for him but it wasn't like you know he had this incredibly enviable life where you would drop and move to thailand and adopt能把一切都一笑置之。他生活不错,有很多顺利的事,但也不是那种让人羡慕到你会放下一切搬到泰国去
1:52:42his lifestyle he had an okay life but he was just happy and not in a forced way but he was genuinely happy and so i asked him i said like you know what's your secret why not and he said that复制他生活方式的水平。他的生活只是「还行」,但他就是快乐——不是硬装出来的,是真心快乐。于是我问他:你的秘诀是什么?为什么?他说,
1:52:54you know he used to work for tony robbins and used to fly around setting up events for tony and you know he was always sitting in the front row and taking notes and setting things up and learning and listening and他以前为 Tony Robbins 工作,为 Tony 到处飞、筹办活动;他总是坐在第一排,做笔记、布置场地、学习、倾听,
1:53:03he just kind of started seeing through his own internal bs he got to this point where like you said like he was he was fooling himself into and he just decided one day he said you know what i have no他就这样开始看穿自己内在的那套鬼话。他到了某个点——就像你说的,他一直在欺骗自己——然后有一天他决定说:你知道吗,我对这个世界上的任何人
1:53:16responsibility to anybody in this world other than me and like or if i do have a responsibility this kind of weight of responsibility that goes on where we're like oh i need to live up to some imagined self what he都没有责任,除了我自己。或者说,如果我有责任,那种压在我们身上的责任重量——「哦,我得活成某个想象中的自己」——他
1:53:27realized was he said somebody in this world somebody has to be happy all the time that is somebody's job to be that role for people in the world that might as well be me i'll be that guy i'll take on意识到的是,他说:这个世界上总得有人一直快乐,总得有人承担那个角色,为这世上的人扮演那个角色。那不如就是我了。我来当那个人,我来承担
1:53:39that burden and he decided to be the happy one and i just thought that was simple and brilliant and he did it he lived there so you know i want to be that guy who is successful peaceful happy enjoying life这份责任。他决定做那个快乐的人。我觉得这既简单又精彩,而他真的做到了,他就那样生活。所以你知道,我想成为那样的人:成功、平静、快乐、享受生活、
1:53:54blissful meditative spiritual successful and you know as healthy as i can be and rich and not give a damn about any of it so if i lose it all tomorrow i still want to be happy that's it that's where i极乐、冥想、有灵性、成功,尽可能健康、富有,而且对这一切都不在乎。所以如果我明天失去一切,我仍然想快乐。就这样,那就是我
1:54:10want to be and i'll just make that decision because somebody has to be that person it might as well be me i love it man uh naval ravikant otherwise known aka ravakant but naval ravicon naval on n-a-v-a-l and he has想达到的状态,我就做这个决定,因为总得有人是那个人,那不如就是我。我太喜欢了,老兄。Naval Ravikant——也叫……总之就是 Naval,N-A-V-A-L。他还有
1:54:29the podcast of course naval n-a-v-a-l you can find that anywhere you find your podcast the blog nav.al previous conversations we've had and we've had quite a few you can just search naval on the website tim dot blog forward slash naval播客,当然,叫「Naval」,N-A-V-A-L,你在任何播客平台都能找到。博客是 nav.al。我们之前的对话——我们做过不少——你可以在网站 tim.blog/naval 上搜 Naval。
1:54:44anything else you would like to add any other resources places people can say hello on the internet recommendations asks of the audience them all uh i'm mostly on twitter uh eric jorgensen recently put out a book which had a bunch你还有什么想补充的吗?其他资源、大家可以在网上跟你打招呼的地方、推荐、对听众的请求——都可以。嗯,我主要在 Twitter 上。Eric Jorgenson 最近出了一本书,里面收录了一堆
1:54:57of my sayings called the almanac of naval ravicon it was very nice of him i don't make any money off of it it's free on the internet you can just download it i think it never almanac clever little turn of我的语录,叫《The Almanack of Naval Ravikant》,他非常有心。我从中不赚一分钱,它在网上是免费的,你直接下载就行。我觉得「Almanack」这个拼法是个巧妙的小文字游戏。
1:55:07phrase yeah i think i think that's it we'll see you on the interwebs you know i i wish everybody has a wealthy healthy and happy life like go get it thanks so much neval for taking the time this is awesome对,我想就这些了。我们在互联网上见。我祝每个人都过上富有、健康、快乐的生活——去争取吧。非常感谢你抽时间,Naval,太棒了。
1:55:21and uh to everybody thank you for tuning in and until next time don't fool yourself sit down spend some time with your mind and uh don't be too hard on that roommate in your head hey guys this is tim again也谢谢大家收听,下次见:别欺骗自己,坐下来,花点时间和你的心智待在一起,也别对脑子里那个室友太苛刻。大家好,又是我,Tim,
1:55:39just a few more things before you take off number one this is five bullet friday do you want to get a short email from me would you enjoy getting a short email from me every friday that provides a little more在你离开之前还有几件事。第一,这是「Five Bullet Friday」:你想收到我的短邮件吗?你会喜欢每周五收到我一封短邮件,为周末前带来多一点
1:55:52soul of fun before the weekend and five bullet friday is a very short email where i share the coolest things i've found or that i've been pondering over the week that could include favorite new albums that i've discovered it could「灵魂的乐趣」吗?Five Bullet Friday 是一封很短的邮件,我在里面分享这一周发现或思考的最酷的东西,可能包括我发现的最爱的新专辑,也
1:56:04include gizmos and gadgets and all sorts of weird that i've somehow dug up in the world of the esoteric as i do it could include favorite articles that i've read and that i've shared with my close friends for instance and可能包括各种小装置、小玩意儿,以及我在神秘世界里挖到的各种古怪东西——我一向如此。比如还可能包括我读过的、和好友分享过的最喜欢的文章,
1:56:19it's very short it's just a little tiny bite of goodness before you head off for the weekend so if you want to receive that check it out just go to four hourworkweek.com that's 4hourworkweek.com all spelled out and just drop in它很短,就是你去过周末前的一小口美好。如果你想收到,去看看,访问 fourhourweek.com——就是 4hourworkweek.com,完整拼出来,填上
1:56:33your email and you will get the very next one and if you sign up i hope you enjoy it this episode is brought to you by ship station the holiday season is fast approaching and we know that people will be你的邮箱,你就能收到下一期。如果你订阅了,希望你喜欢。本期节目由 ShipStation 赞助。假日季快到了,我们知道人们会
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1:57:15hassle out of holiday shipping no matter where you're on amazon etsy your website via shopify or other platforms shipstation brings all of your orders into one simple interface and shipstation works with all of the major carriers usps fedex ups even假日发货的麻烦。无论你在亚马逊、Etsy、自己的网站、通过 Shopify 还是其他平台,ShipStation 都把你所有订单汇集到一个简洁界面,并支持所有主流承运商:USPS、FedEx、UPS,甚至
1:57:31international you can compare and choose the best shipping solution every time and you can access the same postage discounts that are usually reserved for large fortune 500 companies it's no wonder that shipstation is the number one choice of online sellers国际物流。你每次都能比较并选出最佳配送方案,还能享受通常只留给大型《财富》500 强企业的同等邮费折扣。难怪 ShipStation 是在线卖家的第一选择。
1:57:44and right now my listeners that's you guys can try shipstation free for 60 days when you use offer code tim just go to the homepage shipstation.com click on the microphone at the top of the homepage and type in tim tim现在,我的听众——也就是你们——可以免费试用 ShipStation 60 天,只要使用优惠码 tim。进入首页 shipstation.com,点击首页顶部的麦克风图标,输入 tim,tim,
1:57:58that's it go to shipstation.com then enter offer good tim shipstation.com make chip happen this episode is brought to you by tonal t-o-n-a-l i'm super excited about this one and i was skeptical of it in the beginning total quote tonal is就这样。打开 shipstation.com,输入优惠码 tim。shipstation.com,让发货发生。本期节目由 Tonal 赞助,T-O-N-A-L。我对这个特别兴奋,一开始我是怀疑的。Tonal——
1:58:16the world's most intelligent home gym and personal trainer end quote that's the tagline from their website folks to give you the one sentence summary and this device it's really a system is perfect for anyone looking to take their home workouts「Tonal 是世界上最智能的家庭健身房和私人教练」——这是他们网站的宣传语。各位,一句话总结:这套设备其实是一整套系统,非常适合想把居家训练
1:58:28to the next level or someone who just wants to get maximum bang for the buck in a tiny tiny footprint of space tonal is precision engineered to be the world's most advanced strength studio and personal trainer it uses breakthrough technology提升到下一层次的人,或者只想在极小极小的空间里获得最大性价比的人。Tonal 经过精密工程打造,是世界上最先进的力量训练室兼私人教练。它运用突破性技术
1:58:42of all different to help get you stronger faster i was introduced to total by three different all of them are tech savvy one of them is a former competitive skier who's doubled his strength at a number of movements using tonal(各种不同的技术)帮你更快变强。我是通过三个不同的人介绍认识 Tonal 的,他们都很懂科技,其中一位是前竞技滑雪运动员,用 Tonal 把好几个动作的力量翻了一倍,
1:58:54even though he has a long athletic background and i'll paint a picture for you by eliminating traditional metal weights dumbbells and barbells tonal can deliver 200 pounds of resistance which doesn't sound like a lot but it's actually it feels like尽管他有很长的运动背景。我给你描绘一下:通过取消传统的金属配重、哑铃和杠铃,Tonal 能提供 200 磅阻力——听起来不多,但实际上感觉
1:59:08a lot more at the high end in a device smaller than a flat screen tv and you can perform at least 150 different exercises and these different technologies are exclusive to total and you can dial weights up and down with在高阻力端要重得多——而设备比平板电视还小。你可以做至少 150 种不同动作,这些技术都是 Tonal 独有的。你可以用
1:59:21the touch of a button in one pound increments using magnets and electricity so the movement is extremely smooth and even though i have a home gym already in my garage i'm still getting a tonal installed i've tonal for multiple workouts按钮以 1 磅为单位增减重量,靠磁力和电力,所以动作极其顺滑。虽然我车库里已经有家庭健身房,我还是准备装一台 Tonal。我已经用 Tonal 做过好几次训练,
1:59:36now to do things i just cannot do in my home gym such as the chop and lift exercises from the 4-hour body all sorts of cable exercises that would usually involve much much bigger piece of equipment eccentric training for instance做一些我在家根本做不到的动作,比如《4 小时身体》里的劈砍和提举动作、各种通常需要大得多器械的绳索动作,还有离心训练等等。
1:59:50you can do to give a simple example bicep curls where you are lifting let's just say 20 pounds in each hand up and then total will automatically increase the weight because you can lower more than you can lift to say举个简单例子:做二头肌弯举时,假设你每只手举 20 磅上去,然后 Tonal 会自动加重,因为你能下放的重量大于你能举起的重量,比如
2:00:0425 or 30 pounds on the way down and i do kettlebell swings i do all sorts of deadlifts this that the other thing and after one workout on tonal focusing on pulling i was blasted for a full week it's really下放时加到 25 或 30 磅。我还做壶铃摆动、各种硬拉等等。有一次我在 Tonal 上专注练拉的动作,整整酸了一周。真的
2:00:17incredible what you can do with eccentrics they also have all sorts of other really cool advantages that you can apply to any of your favorite movements tonal learns from your strength and provides suggested weight recommendations for every move detailed progress很惊人,离心训练能做到的事。他们还有很多其他很酷的优势,可以套用到你喜欢的任何动作上。Tonal 会学习你的力量水平,为每个动作提供建议重量,还有详细的进度
2:00:31reports to help you see your strengths grow total also has a growing library of expert lead workouts by motivating coaches from strength training to cardio so you can do really just about everything every program is personalized to your body using报告,帮你看自己的力量增长。Tonal 还有一个不断扩充的专家课程库,由很有感染力的教练带领,从力量训练到有氧,基本上什么都能做。每个课程都会根据你的身体个性化定制,使用
2:00:43artificial intelligence and other of the engineering and smart features check your form in real time just like a personal trainer so try it out try tonal at least check it out watch the videos on youtube and see if you can人工智能以及其他工程和智能功能,实时纠正你的动作,就像私人教练一样。所以试一试吧,试试 Tonal,至少去看看,看看 YouTube 上的视频,看你能不能
2:00:57pick out a familiar voice it's not me i'll say that but try tonal the world's smartest home gym for 30 days in your home and if you don't love it you can return it for a full refund so visit www.tonal.com听出一个熟悉的声音——不是我,我先说明。但试试 Tonal,世界上最智能的家庭健身房,30 天居家试用,如果不喜欢可以全额退款。访问 www.tonal.com,
2:01:11for 100 off of smart accessories when you use promo code tim at checkout that's www.tonal.com promo code tim tonal be your strongest结账时用优惠码 tim,智能配件立减 100。就是 www.tonal.com,优惠码 tim。Tonal,做最强的自己。

00:00this episode is brought to you by tonal i'm super excited about this one and i was skeptical of it in the beginning tonal quote tonal is the world's most intelligent home gym and personal trainer end quote that's the tagline from their website folks to give you the one sentence summary and this device it's really a system is perfect for anyone looking to take their home workouts to the next level or someone who just wants to get maximum bang for the buck in a tiny tiny footprint of space tonal is precision engineered to be the world's most advanced strength studio and personal trainer it uses breakthrough technology of all different to help get you stronger faster i was introduced to tonal by

00:39three different all of them are tech savvy one of them is a former competitive skier who's doubled his strength in a number of movements using tonal even though he has a long athletic background and i'll paint a picture for you by eliminating traditional metal weights dumbbells and barbells tonal can deliver 200 pounds of resistance which doesn't sound like a lot but it's actually it feels like a lot more at the high end in a device smaller than a flat screen tv and you can perform at least 150 different exercises and these different technologies are exclusive to tonal and you can dial weights up and down with the touch of a button in one pound increments using magnets and electricity so the

01:19movement is extremely smooth and even though i have a home gym already in my garage i'm still getting a tonal installed i've tonal for multiple workouts now to do things i just cannot do in my home gym such as the chop and lift exercises from the 4-hour body all sorts of cable exercises that would usually involve much much bigger piece of equipment eccentric training for instance you can do to give a simple example bicep curls where you are lifting let's just say 20 pounds in each hand up and then tonal will automatically increase the weight because you can lower more than you can lift to say 25 or 30 pounds on the way down and i do kettlebell swings i do

02:02all sorts of deadlifts this that and the other thing and after one workout on tonal focusing on pulling i was blasted for a full week it's really incredible what you can do with eccentrics they also have all sorts of other really cool advantages that you can apply to any of your favorite movements tonal learns from your strength and provides suggested weight recommendations for every move with detailed progress reports to help you see your strengths grow tonal also has a growing library of expert-led workouts by motivating coaches from strength training to cardio so you can do really just about everything every program is to your body using artificial intelligence and other aspects of the engineering and smart check your form in real

02:43time just like a personal trainer so try it out try tonal at least check it out watch the videos on youtube and see if you can pick out a familiar voice it's not me i'll say that but try tonal the world's smartest home gym for 30 days in your home and if you don't love it you can return it for a full refund so visit www.tonal for 100 off of smart accessories when you use promo code tim at checkout that's www.tonal.com promo code tim tonal be your strongest this episode is brought to you by shipstation the holiday season is fast approaching and we know that people will be buying more stuff online than ever before all of these trends to e-commerce

03:31have been accelerated due to covid and much more if you're an e-commerce seller are you ready to meet the demands of record-breaking online shopping season be ready with shipstation shipstation.com is the fastest easiest and most affordable way to manage and ship your orders in just a few clicks you're managing orders printing out discounted shipping labels and getting your products out fast happier holidays for you and your customers shipstation takes the hassle out of holiday shipping no matter where you're selling on amazon etsy your website via shopify or other shipstation brings all of your orders into one simple interface and shipstation works with all of the major carriers usps fedex ups even international you can and choose the best shipping solution every

04:17time and you can access the same postage discounts that are usually reserved for large fortune 500 companies it's no wonder that shipstation is the number one choice of online sellers and right now my listeners that's you guys can try shipstation free for 60 days when you use offer code tim just go to the homepage shipstation.com click on the microphone at the top of the home page and type in tim tim that's it go to shipstation.com then enter offer code tim make ship happen at this altitude i can run flat out for a half mile before my hands start can i ask i'm a cybernetic organism living tissues hello boys and girls ladies and germs this is tim ferriss welcome to another

05:16episode of the tim ferriss show where it is always my job to interview and deconstruct world-class performers from all different fields my guest today is a dear friend he does very few podcasts we're going to get into a disclaimer around that naval ravikont you can find him at naval on twitter he is the co-founder and chairman of angel list he's an angel investor and has invested in more than companies including many mega successes such as twitter uber notion open door postmates and wish it is a long list you can subscribe to naval his podcast on wealth and happiness on apple podcast spotify or wherever you get your podcast you can also find his blog at nav.al for even more neval plus

05:57tim that's me check out my wildly popular interview with him from 2015 which was nominated for podcast of the year you can find that and resources and much more at tim dot blog naval neval welcome back to the show yeah thanks for having me if i recall correctly i was i was crushed in podcast of the year by jamie so that's right i need weaker competition this time around if you could just tone it down this year please i will do my best yeah jamie jamie basically i could have been a completely non-responsive critical care patient as long as the equipment functioned jamie foxx is the the consummate performer so he is he is formidable competition and podcast but you are

06:40a different breed and i understand that you get asked to do podcasts a lot so what type of disclaimer would you like to yeah i don't i don't go on other people's podcasts anymore i had to make an exception for you because you're the og you put me on the map you're a good friend and frankly i wouldn't even be known if it weren't for you so i definitely have to thank you and honor your request to have me back i generally don't do uh podcasts anymore or at least other people's podcasts for a couple of reasons uh first is i just don't believe in sequels i think sequels suck right you look at sequels on uh in movies and whatnot

07:15and they're usually pretty bad they cost three times as much you know they're long-winded the person now has an ego and a reputation to defend they've already said what they were gonna say so they're just repeating themselves to some level and you know maybe the first run they took an idea they've had for a decade or three decades and they expounded on it and it sounded great and then in the sequel whether it's a book or a movie they have to come up with something equally good but they only have two years to do it and it's just really difficult to do so i think sequels just make everybody look bad and i'm not a fan of sequels yet here we

07:44are the thing about sequels they make money people want them uh people crave them because there's a certain familiarity to it but hopefully we won't embarrass ourselves too much so yes i don't do sequels we'll make an exception here and kind of see how it goes just don't have jamie foxx back on at least not at least not this year well i am looking right now as a framework for starting this conversation at your twitter account and that might seem like an odd place for me to start people who listen to this show a lot will know that i don't often do that but i want to know two things you follow zero people on twitter yet you have almost a

08:18million followers and also trending right now in the united states is jamie foxx hilarious he's right next to you he's reminding me this cannot keep this guy down so let's talk about your account i find your account fascinating i find your use of twitter fascinating and i'd like to with a photograph of a professor at a blackboard that you have as your profile suppose header who is the person in the photograph i think i recognize this person but i want to hear you describe why you chose this photograph and who it is yeah there that's uh professor richard feynman um who was a a pioneer in the field of quantum electrodynamics he was part of the manhattan project he's known colloquially

09:02for his book surely you're joking mr feynman and a couple of related ones like so what do you care what other people think but he's also very well regarded in the field of physics obviously he passed away a while back but he invented a lot of quantum electrodynamics uh feynman path um he was part of the manhattan project uh brilliant brilliant guy and i loved him because feynman was one of the first characters that i that did science and serious work and was accomplished in so-called real life but was also like a he was a character he was a happy person he was deeply philosophical he didn't take himself nor life too seriously he appreciated the mysteries of life he appreciated

09:42living life and he had a lot of fun along the way so it was kind of a to me he was like a full stack intellectual hacker of life and was this very inspirational to me as a kid growing up you know even though i read a lot of philosophy and you know just kind of normal non-fiction my hero and even though i'm in the business world the tech world my heroes are scientists because i think applied science is the engine that pulls humanity forward it eventually becomes that technology allows us to engage in all kinds of pursuits around civilization rather than be scrapping just basic substance and survival and so i think scientists are still the most unsung heroes of

10:21human history and feynman was one of the greats and he was admirable in many regards as to how he lived his life although i think recently they tried to cancel him but you know they try to cancel feynman is a character certainly he is a was a character and a figure who has fascinated me for decades and actually i collect very few things but managed to buy some of his papers and drawings at auction a handful of years ago because it was the first time that they had been made available so hey i can show you some of his equations from the manhattan project which is wild to think about and my fascination though is in many respects uninformed because i

11:04don't have the scientific literacy to fully the genius that he brought to bear on physics for instance but i could appreciate his cleverness and his questioning of assumptions and also his distaste for uniforms and other accolades uh most notably some of the prizes that he was awarded that he seemed to have particular a dislike for on he famously said that science is the belief in the ignorance of experts and it's so funny because these days you know so many people are on twitter saying believe in science or according to science and you have to realize there's no such thing as science with a capital s science the foundation of science is doubt it is all about falsifiability david deutsch who's kind

11:51of one of my current modern living physicist heroes is a poparian like he he subscribes to karl popper's philosophy and he basically says that you know if it's not falsifiable it's not scientific if you can't prove it false if there's if if you if it's true up or down or left or right it's not science it doesn't require belief you should be able to challenge it at all times it should make risky predictions that are not obvious and those predictions should then be tested and you shouldn't be able to after the fact change the goal move the goal post or change how the you know how the predictions were set up and so those are the hallmarks of good science independent

12:31verifiability and making risky and narrow predictions with details that are hard to vary both before and after the fact and that's how you end up with good science and good explanations not by people on twitter voting that's politics so like everything has become politics now science has become politics too people are politicized and there's big science but i think feynman would be very unhappy with that he was just a generally happy character and non-political intended not to get involved in these things but i think he realize that that is not actually science but it's it's masquerade's a it's almost becoming social science and you know going to twitter like nassim taleb is one of my favorite twitter followers even though he's

13:08a bit you know cantankerous yeah he's cantankerous yeah he's he annoys people for sure but you know you want to hear the truth you gotta you gotta be prepared to to be hurt a little bit but he had a great tweet recently that i retweeted which i'm sure made a lot of people mad where he said the opposite of education is not ignorance the opposite of is an education in social science and uh i thought that was hilarious uh but you know it it hurts because there's some truth to it if there was no truths to it it wouldn't hurt at all you know if i said tim ferriss is fat that would just bounce right off of you but if i said you know tim ferriss and of all or fake gurus that might hit us right because we suspect there's some deep level there's a part of that that's so i think the same way like with you know social science

13:54does kind of lead you down the road to ignorance because it's about social and anything social is about group think and group behavior and you know individuals can search for truth but groups search for consensus because if a group doesn't have consensus it can't get along if it can't get along it falls apart and there's and so the last place you're going to find truth is in large groups and the moment you make science about large groups and about voting and about you're not really practicing science anymore yeah and the science with the capital s is dangerous very dangerous yeah it's propaganda it's it then it becomes like macroeconomics again another nut until that line he says it's easier to macro

14:36than it's a micro and so big science is the equivalent of whereas the equivalent of microeconomics a little science which is you know me in a lab or me with my computer and trying out various things and so you can just like with macroeconomics you can pick and choose whatever data you want to prove whatever point you want with big science you can pick or choose whatever papers you want so look at the fights right now on the internet about what covid means you can go down that hall of mirrors and scientific quote-unquote substantiation many points of view depending on which papers you choose to cherry pick and so then we reduce back to consensus but again science isn't done by

15:17consensus it should be done by experimentation verifiability rigorous testing and you know in an ideal science world you don't go and survey 10 000 scientists you actually pick the one smartest scientist but that's very hard to do now no one can agree on who the smartest scientist is so unfortunately i think that the nature of what science is is being corrupted and that started the day we let the so-called social sciences masquerade as sciences you know the day we said psychology is a science and politics can be a science and so on and you can apply the scientific methods to those things then i think that's the day we start to corrupt science or at least the word science so real

15:57science you know these days is relegated to a very small corner you know physics maybe like molecular biology and chemistry mathematics theory of computation but it's a fairly limited set yeah yeah very quantitatively uh literate friend of mine said at one point most of the disciplines that have science at the end of them are not actually science all right some exceptions right so yeah compute computer science computer science if it's hard neuroscience it might be an exception but very often if there's science appended to it is not in fact something that is falsifiable according to someone like karl popper right it cannot be it cannot be proven or disproven using experiment at least that's right if there isn't some experiment could

16:46that could theoretically disprove it then it's not um yeah it's like honest abe's law firm he if he needs to put honest in the title then you have to wonder so the same way if they put science in the word other than as you said computer science and neuroscience you sort of have to wonder well let's look at a couple of quotes from feynman there are there are few that i think about a lot and these these are on goodreads but number one and i think this is really with respect to science in media particularly a term that bothers me a lot which is studies prove or studies show just like capital s science shows which isn't really a thing the

17:30facts can get contorted quite a lot the quote from feynman is i learned very early the difference between knowing the name of something and knowing something right yeah this is a very deep point and i think that a lot of times that we just define something with another definition or we just throw out a piece of jargon as if that means we know something and you know it's a difference between memorization and understanding is the thing that you want to be able to describe it in 10 different ways in simple sentences from the ground up and rederive whatever you need if you just memorize you're lost so i think this is one of the things that i get stuck on a

18:06lot which is like just keep going back and reading the basics over and over trying to understand them so don't necessarily have that tall edifice of knowledge that is very seductive in academia but as anyone who's operated much in the real world knows in the real world you get paid for making good judgments and decisions based on the basics for example if you know arithmetic statistics probability at a high level and you understand some basic math you have all the math that you need to succeed in life you don't need calculus or even trigonometry or number theory or set theory or any of these kinds of things unless you're going into a deeply technical field or yet we spend so much

18:44of our time in school covering pre-calc and calculus the kids who are taking those courses aren't even that good at basic math so the basics are really important that's the steel frame the foundation for understanding that you need to get through life and uh too much of it is reduced to memorization and understanding things as names and as and i think the feynman example is you know his dad would take him for walks and they would see birds and you know if his dad would say this bird is uh such and such a warbler but that doesn't tell you anything about the bird that tells you about humans and humans gave that bird that name really the bird you know it

19:22likes to stand on one leg at this point it likes to pick it uh lice and it's feathers doing this and it likes to eat these kinds of things and it flies you know this way for that reason and these are its predators and these are its prey so i mean those are the kinds of things that really give you understanding who cares what the bird is called the name of the bird is irrelevant and you see a lot of professions in professional life this happens a lot which is jargon people try to protect their knowledge by basically saying well i understand this term and that term and what this term means but the reality is most people don't actually know

19:56what these things mean underneath i find this very common in accounting a lot of business people don't know accounting and even a lot of will have fancy words for things but when you dig underneath they don't really understand the principle of what's going on below it and if you just understand the principles and even if you don't understand the words you will have an in for example negotiating deals because you'll understand underneath how the pieces are actually moving on the board as opposed to what they're called and i just want to point out developing foundational knowledge is akin to learning the basics of shooting foul throws in basketball it is not becoming michael jordan right with a very limited set of

20:39colors with which to paint if you a few weeks maybe not even a few weeks a few days with a decent youtube tutorial or book gathering the basics of accounting you will be able to make significantly better decisions right i mean it's it's i just want to underscore that this is not a master's degree or phd or any type of commitment like that can separate you from the pack in terms of advantage well just just run a business run unlimited stand it'll teach you better accounting not a textbook now you may need to learn certain conventions because you need those to communicate with other humans so that there's efficient communication when you say one thing they understand that thing and that's

21:20where jargon can be useful because it can be a compressed way of communicating knowledge rather than having to you know try and explain it from first principles every but when it's not useful is when it becomes a substitute for understanding is a thing you know that's what separates humans from the other animals that's what separates us from the robots that we actually understand what's going on underneath like for example in the artificial intelligence world there's a new algorithm gpt3 which is the rage which is text completion so people are saying hey i can make up like really plausible sounding writing and so the ai is here is going to take all the jobs well no because the ai doesn't actually know

21:57what's going on if i were to ask a question well why did you write that or what does that mean it would very quickly fall apart so you always want to strive for understanding not for memorization you should be able to rearticulate it five different ways in every language that you know otherwise you don't really understand it and the good news is you don't have to that many things you know while we're on the topic of find a fineman one of the phrase the quotes from him is he says like you know nature uses only the longest threads to weave her tapestry and so what he means by that is that there's only a few basic principles that you have to

22:32understand to kind of understand the sum total of our knowledge in physics there's not a lot and as physics becomes more and more advanced we're actually unifying theories we're collapsing them into one thing like we do with electricity and magnetism or statistical mechanics and heat and thermodynamics you know those turn out to be one thing so we're or we're trying to do currently with gravity and quantum mechanics we're trying to reconcile them in quantum loop gravity or in string theory or what have you so you just kind of have to understand a few of the basic things and then you'll see them recurring over and over and over again like for example i study and read physics in computer science just

23:10for entertainment i don't there's no practical application for me there's this really interesting theory i was reading about called solomonoff and it's basically formalized as occam's razor which is that the shortest answer is the correct one but it's it's more advanced than that but it basically says like if you want to figure out why something happened you take all the different reasons why it could have happened all the different theories why it could have happened and then you sort of weigh each of them based on how compressed they are how how short they are how likely they are and then that gives you the probability that kind of gives you the the explanation for why that theory happened now feynman has

23:49a very similar and elegant thing in a completely different field where he basically says if you want to understand why this particle took that path why did this photon take that path what you do is you look at all the possible paths that photon could have taken and you sort of weigh them you you sum them probabilistically based on how likely that path was it's actually the same observation except one is about photons traveling through space-time and the other is about the causality and why an event may have happened and what the theory is behind that and these are two completely different fields and two completely different characters thinking about two completely different things and these are very very fundamental theories

24:27in their fields but deep down they're actually the same which to me is fascinating it just shows how much of what we look at as complexity actually emerges from a set of very simple rules and it's just fascinating so understanding is a thing to strive for not the words so even though you use the fancy words like solomon of induction and finance path integral theory whatever the heck it's called i don't even know what the actual name is the name is irrelevant it's the concept that's fascinating you spoke to learning accounting through building a business let's segue to business your pin tweet is a tweet storm so it's a series of the headline of which is how to get rich and

25:09then in parentheses without getting it has as we record this 44.8 000 retweets 110 plus thousand favorites we're not going to go through this whole thing it's quite long but i'm curious to know what parts of it you think people are paying too much attention to or overemphasize and what parts of it do you wish people would pay more attention to because there are many different pieces of in this thread that tweet storm is a series of principles that i kind of wrote for myself in my head when i was 13 and i was trying to figure out how to make money and i kind of came with a framework of how to be rich but not by accident to do

25:48it in a way that i could repeat it over and over and i would leave very little up the chance because i think there's kind of this it's not completely mythology but there's this belief that you know to make money you either have to be born rich or you have to be privileged or you have to be in the right circles or to get lucky and i think that there are still ways to accomplish the original american dream which is you know make money but do it in a deliberate systematic way and when i say money i mean wealth i don't mean like a law firm where you make you know a couple hundred bucks an hour but you're still tied to the clock i mean like when you wake up when you want you go to sleep when you want you know you live where you want and you have freedom so to me the purpose of money is freedom and for

26:26that you need to create wealth and can you do it ethically can you do it sustainably can you do it reliably can you do it with people that you like can you do it doing things that you enjoy and i think it's absolutely possible and i i'd like to think that i'm at least one of many living proof points for that you know warren buffett and charlie munger are examples of others uh not that i'm in their status of their league but you know other people have done it so that was the whole point of that framework and the tweet storm i just wrote it down one day and it's funny because obviously i have some experience at twitter so i

26:58know how to craft things but i think that was written back in the day when the tweet limit was 140 characters too so it's harder but i just woke up one night when i've been thinking about it and i wrote up the whole tweetstorm almost exactly like you see it and there are lots and lots of missing pieces like obviously that is just like a very high level very zen cone like or or haiku like or hallmark card like framework it's missing a ton of details which i then tried to extrapolate on in my podcast on the same topic what do people over emphasize and what are people missing and actually involved let me pause to just read a few of

27:35them this is from may 31 2018 so a few examples and you don't have to comment on these specific examples but just for people who haven't seen this i want to give them an idea so the second of these various tweets in this sequence is understand that ethical wealth creation is possible if you secretly despise wealth it will elude end of that particular tweet and then there's another one you're not going to get rich renting out your time you must own equity a piece of a business to gain your financial freedom that one right there is the most important one which is you basically in modern life what happens is like the person who is the best at doing something in

28:13the world will get to do it for the entire world through a combination of leverage and distribution accountability and specific knowledge with all of which i talk about in the tweet storm if you're the best in the world doing something like if you're the best teacher in the world at math you should be teaching the entire world math if you're the best podcast interviewer you should be doing all the top interviews and the returns will accrue to you especially in this highly digital world where we live in where the cost of distributing something is very close to and so what you kind of want to do is you want to productize yourself into a business and then you want to own

28:45that business that is the way to make a clear example is that tim ferriss podcast the tim ferriss brand right you're it's an eponymous brand your name is on it you're leveraged through this podcast and through the books that you write and through the army of followers that you have on the various media platforms and you're taking on big accountability and their specific knowledge only you know how to be tim ferriss the learning machine who can then connect to other and extract value out of them and share that with the audience so that's an example of you having productized yourself but ultimately you own the tim ferriss business now you can go lower levels down from that you don't have to

29:21own the entire business you could be an investor in public equities or private stocks you could be a partner in a private business uh you could be an employee a startup where you have stock options but if you don't own a piece of a business you're gonna it's gonna be extremely hard to get wealthy it'll be nearly impossible almost not worth that route so i think that is the most important foundational tweet i think where people kind of all kind of miss the plot the most though is we have pain avoidance in life we don't want to face things where it's clear we've made bad decisions because one good definition of suffering is that's the moment when you see things that

29:58they clearly are and you kind of don't like what you see like for example if you if you and your spouse have been fighting for a long you know you've kind of been sweeping under the rug and you've sort of been suffering along but you're sweeping on the wrong and then you get divorced at that moment you can no longer unsee all the damage that was in the relationship and what all the consequences are they're real the same way if you haven't been taking care of your health but then suddenly you find out that you've just fallen off a cliff and something irreversibly bad has happened the moment of suffering arrives and you're in pain because you can no unsee this

30:28thing you can no longer avoid it so i think the same way the unfortunate part is that a lot of these principles are written for young people because you can set yourself on a certain trajectory in life earlier and so for example if you went you got a you know a phd in a social science and now i'm basically saying hey learn the code you're going to avoid that you're not going to want to see that because you have all this sunk cost in the degree so i think a lot of people don't want to pick up the new skills that are necessary or they don't want to for example physically move or they don't want to disappoint the people in

30:59the relationships that they already have to make room for new so everybody wants to start where they are nobody wants to go back down the mountain to find the path going to the everybody wants to stay on the path they're on maybe make a few tweaks and get to the top or like charlie munger jokes you know people always ask me like how do i get to be rich like you except quicker i don't want to be the old rich guy i want to be the young rich guy so i think these are the hard parts the the hard parts are not the learning is the unlearning it's not the climbing up the mountain it's the going back down to the bottom of the mountain and starting over it's the beginner's mind that every great artist or every great business person has which is you have to be willing to start from scratch you have to be willing to hit reset and go

31:38back to zero because you have to realize that what you already know and what you're already doing is actually an impediment to your full potential and most people just don't want to acknowledge that and i'm guilty of that too that's just human nature i'm not i'm faulting anybody for it but it's just human nature just a quick thanks to one of our sponsors and we'll be right back to the this episode is brought to you by wealthfront did you know if you missed 10 of the best performing days after the 2008 crisis you would have missed out on fifty percent five zero percent of your returns don't miss out on the best days in the market stay invested in a long-term

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32:56cash to move into savings or an investment account they've really thought of a ton they've checked a lot of boxes smart investing should not feel like a roller coaster ride let the professionals do the work for you go to wealthfront.com tim and open a wealthfront investment account today and you'll get your first five thousand dollars managed for free for life that's wealthfront will automate your investments for the long term and you can get started today at wealthfront.com tim and if we look at your specific case as it relates to equity you mentioned owning part of a business you also mentioned in this conversation productizing yourself so would you view your success in following that principle in for instance the equity that

33:46you own in a company like angellist or is it the and the brand meaning associations that you've built as naval the human or is it slash investor being sought after as an investor or is it something else how would you think of that principle as applying yeah most in your own life because you've created wealth not just through say your equity and angel list but also through many successful investments and then i'm sure there are other ways that we could identify wealth as is coming from your path that you know what i what i like about my path is that i've made money doing a lot of different little things so i've made you know money consistently in sort of small

34:28to medium-sized chunks i haven't had like one gigantic payday that set me up forever although it depends on your standards right i'm talking about by silicon valley standards obviously for most parts of the world i've had many of those gigantic paydays but they've been consistent and they've been varied varied in the sense of that there are completely different kinds of investments and endeavors but consistent in that i get one every couple of years which would i just want to interject for a second which would seem to suggest that there is a there are guiding your approaches or absolutely right therefore yeah you're not relying on winning the powerball lottery or that no not at all no there's no lottery here to

35:07win the lottery is for losers lotteries are just attacks on people who can't do math uh yet rich get rich quick schemes are just other people getting rich off of you there are no shortcuts so what i'm doing is i'm taking my specific knowledge which is my ability to understand deeply technical concepts and communicate them to the rest of the world to be an interface between great programmers and developers and designers and the capital markets and consumers and using that to put myself in a position where then i can identify great trends as they're emerging invest in those companies or help start those companies own equity in those help bring them to market help do the strategy on how to navigate

35:48the worlds of fundraising and exiting and recruiting and company building and cultures and technology development and all that and have a brand around it and i use that to kind of make money and that is just one of several ways you know i've also done it by investing early on in public markets and cryptocurrencies and starting funds and all kinds of things but i i don't it's funny i don't really follow my own principles anymore like for example the whole podcast thing and the whole twitter thing even though i've got reasonably good brands and followers and those i'm not monetizing them at all i'm not charging anybody for anything because i'm not trying to make money anymore to me like making

36:23money is like you become the kind of person that makes money and you put yourself in long-term situations where you're always going to make money so i have the brand and i deep relationships with a dozen people who i know and i trust that i can do business with for the rest of my life and they're very high integrity people they're very capable people and just makes it easy to do things so i've set up that infrastructure now the money just kind of makes itself as i go about my life i don't want to have to work hard i don't have to roll out of bed at a certain time i don't have to answer to so i optimize for independence

36:53and freedom i could have made a lot more money by raising a huge fund or joining a big vc firm early on or being exec at one of the massive companies in silicon valley early on but i always optimize for independence i'm lazy you know i wake up at 7 8 9 10 a.m i go to sleep at 2 30 a.m you know i don't work a lot of uh some days i work morning tonight but it's just based on whatever i'm curious about i never want to have to answer to a boss no one's ever going to tell me what to do i don't want to order people around i don't want to have someone reporting to me and kind of asking me all the time what to do i want peer relationships i want to flow i want to be able to do business while walking you know in a forest talking on a cell phone or sitting in a meeting

37:36or in front of a computer or i want to be on a beach if i don't feel like it the ideal would be to make money with your mind not with your time so if i can just make one good decision a year and that makes me all the money that i need for that year then that's perfect and that's the way it should be because we're living in an age of infinite leverage and your judgment just gets through this massive force multiplier through code capital community labor what have you so if you're smart and you kind of know what you're doing you don't need to work hard working hard is the last least important thing you have to pay your

38:06dues you have to put in all the iterations ten thousand iterations not ten thousand hours to figure out what to do and how to do it well but once you know you don't have to put in the time anymore it's your judgment and the judgment comes from clear thinking the clear thinking comes from having time to reflect and to pursue your genuine intellectual curiosity and you'll see that a lot of the great investors for example just sit around reading most of the time or warren buffett famously plays a lot of bridge obviously not everyone can be just an investor although that is becoming more and more democratized and i've picked something that suits my temperament and particular capabilities but there's lots

38:41and lots of ways to make money if you apply your mind to it so i don't work to make money i mean if i make so much money that i'm donating hospital wings and universities and all that stuff i overshot you know i'm not trying to have some influence on the world through money and ironically i have more influence on the world through podcasts like this and so you know making more money doesn't change my life it doesn't change the world as much as i could by doing other things so there's not much incentive for me to make money anymore other than just my craft well let's let's talk about a few of your your missives missives is probably not the

39:16right word yeah i'm not telling you anything i'm not trying to persuade anyone of anything so if people don't like it you know some people get triggered on twitter and they start arguing it's like just leave just don't listen to it the one i'm going to read would be a great one for people to get really upset about or i would find it comical to to look at the comments people are upset but the the line is this imagine how effective you would be if you weren't anxious all the time why did you put this out and have you highly anxious people become people who experience very little anxiety is that something you've seen but first why did you put this

39:54up what was behind it and then have you seen anxious people largely i guess unanxious or non-anxious yeah most of my tweets are not very deliberate or thought through what's happening is i've been thinking about some concept for you know months years whatever it's been percolating and then all of a sudden it'll come to me it's sort of in like one spiffy sentence where i'm like oh this is how i will remember this thing this is how i can distill this down into a pointer for myself so that when i need to make decisions i can retrieve that whole line of reasoning and so where this comes from is basically like everybody after a certain age i am taking responsibility for

40:36my own happiness and peace and quality of life and one of the things you learn after you make money is that money doesn't make you happier it takes care of your money problems but it's not necessarily going to put you in a place where you're in some kind of bliss all the time in fact there's nothing out there that will make you happy forever so you sort of have to take responsibility for guiding yourself in such a way that your mental state ends up where you want it and so i've been working on my mental state and i have you know working is a big word i don't i don't want to say i've been working on it but i would say my mental state has gotten to a place which is much better than it used to be and people will often say well i don't want to do that because it will take away my ambition i want to succeed right

41:18now and so i've thought about that a fair bit and is that true or not well certainly for me in the last few years since i've become calmer my effectiveness has gone through the roof and i've been more successful but it's hard to disambiguate that from well also maybe you're just later in your career you're in a better position for it and that's a valid criticism so one of the things i've been trying to figure out is like would i have been as and it's hard to do the counterfactual obviously if i wasn't as anxious because anxiety is you know comes from fear it's also a motivator it makes you get off your butt and one of the ways to make

41:50the anxiety go away at least until the next piece of anxiety comes along is to go do something about it so what is the role of anxiety well firstly i noted that pretty much everybody's anxious all the time it's a rare human being who isn't anxious and it makes sense we're alpha predators you know we took over this earth and domesticated or killed all the other and we did that by being the most paranoid the most fearful the most angry predators this world has ever seen so anxiety is built into the core of who we are in fact you could argue that all the mind does all day long is fear-based scenario planning for survival and then maybe a little bit

42:25of greed for replication so anxiety is at the core level of who we are but certainly some people are more anxious than others there's no question and some people seem to be much calmer about it so which is more useful for effectiveness so assuming that your goal is your motivation is intrinsic you're doing the thing because you love it or because you really want it and you can separate that motivation anxiety then i think you can take on certain superpowers and we kind of all intrinsically know this like if you look at you know samurai warriors right like miyamoto musashi is in a duel with somebody else you know that the person who is calmer is going to win in all

43:05those movies it's the one who can like who's like incredibly still then swipes with a sword incredibly quickly and then still again that's the winner the one who has a zen state of mind similarly in the terminator movies part of the reason you fear the terminator is because he's a robot he's unstoppable he's implacable you can't argue with him you can't communicate with him you can't make him slow down and he has no remorse he just keeps coming or in that old clinton movie unforgiven you know the guy who wins the gunfight is the one who doesn't flinch he's just keeping his cool while he's loading his gun and shooting he's not like all over the place running so i just

43:38think we waste so much energy through anxiety that if you can be calm and still go about your business it's a superpower and i i realized this myself recently where i was in a conflict situation in business it was a high conflict situation it was unfortunate we i think we've solved it but as i went through this high conflict situation i'd been through one like it years before where i was much more anxious and i remember that time period i remember how much i was sweating it and how nervous i was and how i went through bouts of fear and anger and how kind of worked up i was the entire time intense and didn't get much but this time i

44:15was incredibly calm and i was almost enjoying it because it was like practicing my craft now of course it's easier to do now because i have more money but at the same time it just didn't bother me it was just very mechanical and because of that i could be very effective about it and i could be effective about it while doing lots and lots of other things my mind wasn't constantly spinning in a taking on 10 different problems and just fear based on aeroplaning all the time most of these things were never going to happen so i do believe that being calm and still going about your business is the superpower now yes if anxiety is your only motivator then you

44:52have a problem but i would argue the pure motivations don't come out of anxiety so let's talk about attribution here to what would you attribute the and i know this that it's difficult to isolate variables etc but if let's just say like you have a family so let's just say one of your kids comes to you it's like dad i'm suffering from a lot of anxiety what should i do or you observe it and you want to help your kid out what types of recommendations would you make or might you make another question if you prefer it is what has helped you to go from the whirlpool experience of anxiety in high conflict experience round one versus calm naval and high

45:34conflict experience round two yeah it's really hard to separate all the pieces out i mean it comes from a of philosophy yoga meditation getting older having kids you know like you i've had some psychedelic experiences but those are very far back in the past um just a distant memory at this point but i would say the number one thing that has been very very important for me is meditation and it's a stupid thing to say because it's so trite everybody just says it now but when i say meditation i don't mean sitting there and watching your breath or chanting a mantra i mean and meditation is a great way to do that self-therapy it's sitting there with thoughts so anxiety the

46:16anxiety anxiety this this pervasive non-specific anxiety we're just constantly on edge about everything that comes from an unexamined life you know i think what's the socrates said like an unexamined life is not worth living i forget who said that quote something like that yeah but it's it's arithmetic one of those one of those smart philosopher types but it's correct it's your unexamined life that is causing the problems and you can examine it in multiple ways you can examine it through you can have some crazy mushroom trip where it all comes out one night you could do a lot of meditation sitting there with yourself and letting your mind run crazy and then seeing what's actually in your mind that your mind

46:53wants to tell you and have you listened to and have you resolved that is unresolved it could be through therapy it could be through reading lots of philosophy and reflection and long walks so there's many many ways to tackle it but it's that spending that time with yourself to examine why are you having these thoughts think about it this way we spend so much time in our relationships our relationship with our wives our relationship with our colleagues our relations to our business partners our relations with our friends the most important relationship you have is with yourself it's with this voice in your head that is constantly rattling every waking hour it's this crazy roommate living inside your mind who's always chattering

47:30always chattering never shuts up and you can't control these thoughts they just come up out of you don't even know where that quality of those quality of your thoughts that convers those conversations you're having in your head all the time that is your world that is the world you live in those that's the world view you that's the lenses you see through and that's going to determine the quality of your life more than anything else and if you want to see what the quality of your life actually is put down the drink put down the computer put down the smartphone put down the book put down the headphones just sit by yourself doing nothing and then you will know what the

48:04quality of your life actually is because that's what you're always running away from that's why people when they try to meditate to sit down like i hate it i can't sit still why because your mind is eating you live your life is unexamined your mind is running in loops over things that it has not resolved and because they're not resolved when you run around in your normal life it's not those problems have gone away it's that they're just there they're but they're provoking anxiety and what you think of as the anxiety that's kind of consuming you and you can't identify the source that's just the tip of an iceberg poking out from underneath the water and underneath this giant pile of

48:41garbage of decisions that were made without too much thought of situations that you're in that you haven't resolved that you need to resolve of problems that you have or desires that you have that have gone unmet or unmanifested or contradictions that you're living in or ways that you which you feel trapped so proper meditation proper examination should ruin the life that you're currently living it should cause you to leave relationships it should cause you to re-establish boundaries with family members with colleagues it should cause you to quit your job it should cause you to change your eating patterns it should cause you to spend more time with yourself it should cause you to change what books you read it should cause

49:20you to change who your friends are if it doesn't do that it's not real examination if it doesn't come attached with destruction of your current life then you can't create the new life in which you will not have the anxiety or at least parts of it not necessarily whole cloth so let's ask let's let's dive into meditation because as you mentioned it's a term that is used a lot and in the minds of most it is represented by things that you just said you do not do like the mantra based meditation or following the breath and you and i have meditated before i don't know if your approach is still similar but it is quite a i'd hate to talk about

50:02trite paradigm shift in a sense at least in the way that i experienced it alongside you at one point which was literally doing nothing for extended periods of time i don't know if that's still the case but could you describe the practice a bit because it's it was such a burden lifted in a sense when the pass fail is removed and the experience that i had after say a week of doing this twice a day which is not necessarily what people do in normal life but it was pretty profound so could you the current practice which may be different from what i experienced yeah i actually have two different things that i do and i almost hate calling it meditation because

50:47everyone has in their mind a preconceived notion of what meditation is let's not even call it that i would say that there are two self-examination practices that i do and i don't even call them practices anymore because sometimes i do them because i feel like them and i enjoy them or because it feels right and sometimes i don't because anything done routinely sort of becomes its own trap and is not going to get you anywhere it just becomes like another spiritual high another checkbox right now is it fair though to say that you're able to opt in and out now because you had a certain front loading period doing it consistently actually i'll say there are three different things that i

51:21do and i'll go through them the first is i just read a lot of philosophy especially at night time before i go to bed which ones schopenhauer maxims who are we talking about yeah schopenhauer western philosophy is my current uh although i've definitely moved around on that one eastern philosophy i'll read everything from osho i know he's discredited and been canceled but fantastic that makes me like him even um krishnamurti i don't know kapil gupta uh rupert spira i mean it's all over the place uh anthony demelo he's fantastic actually i'm gonna start with one book start with anthony demelo's way to love um or his book awareness they're both really good um but there's a ton of them i basically

51:57read a lot of philosophers siddhartha vasis says yoga bhagavad gita the daodecheng you know i'm always going through one of these books at any given time and usually for inspiration and i'll read these at night usually there'll be one or two things i'll catch on to it'll i'll reflect on it before i go to sleep so that is a form of self-examination and it's it's not done because it's a formula it's done because i'm genuinely interested in these things so it's not work to me it's fun the second thing that i do is which i've been doing for a long time now is just trying to be aware of my thoughts and not in a you know sit there and be

52:34like oh i'm gonna be aware of my thoughts kind of way but just realizing that a lot of these thoughts that come up aren't unbidden i don't control them it's not like i decided to have this thought i don't even know what i'm saying to you right now it's coming out of my mouth at the same time as i'm thinking it so where is this coming from who is this person what is this person saying is this true is it correct has it been correct in the is he just being paranoid now is he being crazy what are his underlying motivations and i'm not even questioning so much but more just kind of seeing it and after a while when you see it you start seeing through your own bs you start seeing how you're mainly just justifying whatever the heck you want to because it's good for your survival it's good for your replication or it's good for your money or it's

53:13going to get you late or any of these various things and when you're doing that reflection is it sitting at a table pen and paper is half lotus with your eyes closed what is it no it's literally just walking around it's just walking around it's nice it's just life just just if you say something to me i'm always going listen to it with a slightly critical filter because you're external to me applying that same filter to my own thoughts gives me a level of peace and distance from them and the ability to see through my own bs which i think makes my life better so i've just found that to be a useful way of life but there are lots of

53:48times where i forget to do it i get caught up in some emotions some runaway train of thought but usually these days i can catch myself and be like oh okay i'm in that mindset again i'm having that mode of reactions and when the mind sort of sees me chattering it quiets down a bit right and like i said it's that back to that crazy roommate analogy which i originally picked up from michael singer by the way he has a good book called the untethered soul but you know the room the crazy roommate analogy like you would eventually tell your roommate to shut up or you would tell them to start justifying their claims or you would at some level you

54:19start dismissing them for just kind of rambling all the time in this fear paranoia mode so i think just kind of viewing your thoughts as sort of these unbidden things that arise from within but aren't really necessarily the whole story and should be viewed with the same level of skepticism that you would apply to an outside observer i think that frame work is helpful and if you find it to be true then you'll find yourself doing it more often if you find it not to be true if you're like no actually i choose these thoughts and i want to have them and that's who i am and this all makes sense to me then you can stop viewing it with a

54:49critical eye that's up to you but the last one is the one that i think people think of as more traditionally meditation which is sitting down and meditating and on that one i learned from an indian gentleman same same character you learned from who i had a very simple system and i just found it the most compelling form of meditation i've ever tried which is you sit there for 60 minutes so unfortunately not less than an hour at a time because it takes 30 to 40 minutes to sink in past the initial chattering so you get to the good part or the so-called runner's high equivalent and you sit for 60 minutes every day and you do it for at least

55:2260 days and you do it first thing in the morning it's been your mind is clear and you're alert and you've had a good night's sleep and you sit up with your back straight and you can use cushions or you can use a chair or whatever there's no magic and just whatever happens happens whatever your mind wants to do you just let it do if it wants to talk you let it talk if you wants to fight you let it wants to be quiet you let it be quiet if it wants to chant a mantra or pay attention to breathing you can do that but you don't force anything you just kind of let it happen and so you don't fight it you don't resist it you don't argue with it you don't double down on it we just kind of let things happen and when you do that for at least 60 days my experience has been that you kind of clear

56:02out your mental inbox and all the craziness that was going on all the chattering will come out some problems will get resolved you will have epiphanies you will make changes to your life some will be self-examination some of you just get tired of some of it just needs to be heard once and then it goes away and eventually you'll get to a mental state of inbox zero where now you're just thinking about what happened yesterday you're kind of caught up and your mind is relatively and just your anxiety level goes down you're living more peacefully and i've been doing this for about two and a half years now and i probably missed about a dozen days total and but there are

56:35some days where i've done two hours a day or more and i will tell you that is the single most important thing that i do it is a sheer joy much of it is highly entertaining pleasurable sometimes it's just flat it's nothingness i can't even tell you why i do it i can't even tell you what's going on in that state but i will tell you that that time spent by myself is the most important time that i have and thanks to that i am now much more self-contained i don't feel like i need other people i don't need external sources of pleasure or happiness all the time i drink less i'm not attracted to trying any drugs whatsoever it's just

57:09life is easier it's more pleasant i don't take things as i'm not afraid of my mortality as much anymore i don't fear aging i don't lust after things i don't have this constant pervasive need to find something outside of me to make my life better when the best hour of my day is spent by then the world has very little to offer me and i can still participate in it but it doesn't have that grip on me that it used to i don't fear solitary and i think that is a superpower and i think everyone should have it everyone does have it it's easy it requires doing nothing it's your birthright you can't fail at it there's no there's no way

57:46to fail at it literally all you have to do is just sit down and close your eyes and just just be by give yourself a break for an hour every day just take the time off from the world a few follow-ups krishna murday do you have any any favorites of his or anything that you would suggest someone start with if they have no familiarity with krishnamurti and i'll second anthony demelo also yeah i actually remember starting with krishna he's a tough one but if you're going to start somewhere i started with this book called think on these things there's also the book of um he's very cerebral very intellectual and a little confusing but he definitely speaks truth and he walks

58:24the walk anthony de mello the way to love uh osho's book the great challenge uh and i know people think osho is a fake guru and all that but he had some real stuff too he's very articulate he uh he understood a lot there's a clip from him on soundcloud that says it's called life has no goals no purpose uh i listen to that that one a lot there's a lot of them out there once you start going down this rabbit hole you'll find them the classics the bhagavad-gita get a good translation stephen miller i think has a good translation uh he also has a good translation of the daodaiching those are both really again only if it appeals to you

58:59i mean there's ancient wisdom in schopenhauer read councils and maxims you know these are smart people self-reflecting but overall the point is not to read the point is to inspire so that you yourself can reflect and kappa gupta is an account in twitter he has a couple of great books direct truth is a fantastic book um you know written very recently and pulls no punches um but you know all of these are basically there to inspire you to self-reflect and if you're not interested in self-reflection if you're not at that stage in life then don't do it it's a waste of time in fact i would say the reason to do these things is just because they make your life better

59:35because they make you more effective because they have some utility to you if they do not have utility to you if they don't make your life better then drop it it's useless i will also second the reading of philosophy and this is for kind of idle or abstract like semantic tail chasing right it's for whatever reason on a very pragmatic level deeply soothing to read the insights and observations of those who are considering things that are not of today they're not of this week they're not of this month they for much broader periods of time or timeless in some capacity right it alleviates some of the manufactured emergency and urgency of the that is it upon us by every possible input

1:00:29oh yeah the news and twitter are so toxic the human brain is not designed to manage every emergency in the world in real time we're not designed to process all the breaking news on the planet in our heads and this is one of my recent tweets but the goal of the media these days is to make every problem your problem that's how they get attention it's how they get clicks you know you have tribal wars going on zombies battling each other and they want to pull you in where even non-participation is not allowed anymore neutral bystanders are not so it's a crazy world out there there's a circus going on with the monkeys flinging feces at each other and they want

1:01:02to drag you into the fight really what you want to focus on is what's timeless timeless is great you the old questions all have old answers and they're best consumed from the old practitioners because they were very clear-minded about it they weren't busy trying to fit into the politics of this time they were fitting to the politics of that time but that's lost to us now so actually another great source is i have your dao seneca series in audible uh and i listen to it on repeat when i'm working out a lot so that's so very kidding yeah those letters to lucilius amazing yeah amazing stuff and every time i go through it i learned something yeah the town of seneca

1:01:38the the moral letters to lucilius if people want to look on public domain from on public domain sources you can find these letters the moral letters to leukillus also spelled as you might read lucillus by seneca and so that's an audiobook series that that i produced and you can find the pdfs for free online as well let's talk about some brass tack stuff since i think people will be very interested you mentioned monkeys throwing feces in times like this this is being recorded in 2020 and first day of october a lot of folks are interested in stores of value they are fearful of what could happen and considering investments like gold or and i wanted you to explain one of your

1:02:27recent tweets this is just from the last few days and it is crypto stable coins dash choose between blow up risk censorship risk and fraud risk what are crypto stable coins and what does this tweet mean yeah just backing up for a second like i think cryptocurrencies are probably one of the greatest inventions in human history and the reason why they're interesting is because if you look at the technology industry technology plays in unregulated spaces it's very hard for technology to change regulated spaces as uber and postmates and companies like that find out but generally the reason technology works is because it creates its own frontier it is a digital frontier that has been created not the physical frontiers are all

1:03:09closed and the new world has been colonized and the wild west has been tamed where do you go to create new things free of interference and regulation and kind of exercise maximum creativity and so that's been done mostly in the technology space and one of the areas that has been protected by technological innovation from technological innovation is wall street because they're it's you know they have regulatory capture very bureaucratic you know the the money industrial complex that runs a lot of our economy and runs a lot of washington dc where 20 of our gdp goes into financial engineering and into the wall street casino and so cryptocurrencies are kind of how we get around that and so they're sovereign resistant they're

1:03:48designed to be completely decentralized you don't need the violent power of the state to enforce the value of a and it allows for truly trustless transactions between humans without some king or authority or government or corporation having to be in the middle and so it's very liberating to disconnect wealth creation wealth and wealth protection from the state and that's what cryptocurrencies really one second let me just pause to say that at at one point you and i did a very thorough cryptocurrency 101 conversation with a domain super expert named nick s-z-a-b-o which people can also find for more on kind of the the history and basics of some of the crypto yeah nick is a bonafide genius and a pioneer in

1:04:35the space he also has a great blog called unenumerated that i highly recommend but anyway so the best known cryptocurrency is bitcoin and bitcoin is trying to be the new gold or the new swiss bank account kind of all rolled into one and has some advantages you know as a store of value it can be stored digitally so it's hard to seize it's very easy to verify technologically speaking unlike gold it's easy to send national boundaries and and electronically over the internet it's easily divisible and verifiable down to its authenticity is very verifiable where gold is hard to do it can be divided down to millions and trillions of a bitcoin very very easily it is somewhat programmable so you can

1:05:12put it inside smart contracts and you can do some intelligent things with it so it has a lot going for this store of value what's difficult about it is it's not really private it doesn't although there are parts of it that are private it's not completely private and it's untrusted it's brand new as far as stores of value go it's only from 2009 and so people don't know if it'll be around forever and how dependent is on the internet and people aren't really certain about it's not like the proof-of-work mining algorithm that makes it possible and can it be hijacked can it be centralized can it have a bug can it break and every year that bitcoin survives and goes through

1:05:45one of the various challenges facing it it gets more valuable as people entrust it a little bit more and more but it is extremely volatile you buy bitcoin you're buying a very speculative asset at the moment and you're speculating that it will become digital gold or possibly even you know all store value and so be incredibly valuable but along the way there's lots of hiccups at any point it could break it could go to zero and a lot of people who are now participating in the crypto world they're building a decentralized wall street they call it d5 d-e-f-i for decentralized finance but i actually think it's more like defies and just defy the government defy and so i think we're seeing

1:06:23yeah governments love that yeah exactly we're seeing a whole new casino that's better than wall street spring up and decentralized finance unlike wall street this one is 24 7 open it's 365 days a year it's available around the world to everybody it's trustless in that it's you know there's math and algorithms and code underneath that not goldman sachs front running your trades or whatever not that i'm saying they do but you know there's flash boys and kind of all that kind of craziness that goes on and you can program it to do things and to make bets or hedges or calls that you just can't even do on wall street so i think we're building a better wall street using but

1:07:02everyone who participates in that doesn't necessarily want to take on the volatility of these cryptocurrencies so we've created these things called stable coins which track the value of the us dollar so that when you're trading for example you can still do it in dollar denominated terms and this is a tricky thing because the moment you're now trying to track some asset in the real world like dollars then you have to basically peg the value somehow to something that exists in the real world and cryptocurrencies do best when everything is on the blockchain when everything is electronic and digital and controlled by computers in the cloud so these stable coins have come along that mimic the value of the us dollar and

1:07:38the best known ones are tether usdc which is coinbase's coin and uh and uh uh make or die which is an algorithmically stable coin but there's no lunch in life for one second well is this should people think of what would be a comparable that people might be more familiar with it's not an index it's like an etf or how would you think is there another digital dollars these are designed so that you can live in crypto land this is living on a blockchain it's math-based but really your value is pegged to dollars so it's not going up or down with bitcoin it's just worth a dollar all the time so if you want to hold a dollar in crypto land

1:08:18the way you do it is by buying one of these so-called stable coins but all my tweet was observing is that there's no free lunch the what you're actually doing underneath is you have crypto and crypto is incredibly volatile and you're trying to convert a volatile asset into a stable asset so there has to be a cost for that what is that called like the subprime mortgage crisis that's right exactly there's no free lunch so what does that cost and all i was saying is the three main categories of stable coins today they each impose one or more of these costs and so one cause is fraud risk where people suspect this of tether where like this thing says it's backed

1:08:54by dollars but it's not actually backed by dollars i don't know if this company is dollars so you have to kind of take their word for it so now you're trust underneath meaning they would have actual physical dollars like you would have physical gold correct yeah so for every tether they issue you they claim to have a dollar somewhere but what if they don't and you just don't know so you're trusting them and there could be fraud underneath i'm not saying there is i have no evidence but that you're basically now back to the trusted third-party model that exists in just putting your money in the bank the second kind is where you're dealing with someone like coinbase or some company

1:09:25that is well known and trusted and is regulated but then it's no different than holding normal dollars there's censorship risk where if the government says hey we don't like this character seize their bank account coinbase can turn off your usdc account and your stablecoin has basically been seized you're no longer decentralized and sovereign like you are with bitcoin and the last kind of risk is a blow-up risk so something like a maker you know it's collateralized but it's collateralized with bitcoin and ethereum and so what they're hoping is that the price of bitcoin ethereum won't move so drastically the peg breaks and you lose money on your so-called stablecoin it's just it's just an observation there's no free lunch and so

1:10:05if you're trying to create this mythical stable currency out of thin air in what is inherently very volatile space you have to pay for it and people think today they're not paying for it they're just getting these uh free crypto stable dollars or they're getting the stability aspect for free but they're not they're either taking on fraud risk or censorship risk or blow up risk or some combination of them so if you're advising and this is not financial advice this is just two friends talking obviously for informational purposes only but if if you're talking to a friend who has a fair amount of savings or investable capital and they say neval i want to do something with crypto how can i

1:10:44get started or how should i get what do you say to them because there there's such a broad spectrum of options it's still even though it's been simplified a lot crypto is still quite confusing it's very complicated absolutely for people who are who are who are very smart i would consider it's still quite confusing incredibly confusing yeah it's a domain of mathematicians hackers you know tech entrepreneurs and um a few people who really dig in but it's still too hard to handle man it's just dangerous like i can't hold my own crypto i have to stick it inside funds and custodians because i'm a known public figure and it's a bearer asset so ironically i can't actually say it's dangerous you

1:11:22don't hold it because you would be i'd be yeah exactly it's a better asset so you know you don't want to bear a bearer asset you have to put it inside vaults you know the equivalent of the goldman sachs in the space so like they're custodians like anchorage is you know an amazing one there's bitco there's coinbase so there are these large custodians or coin list which is a company i helped start um who can hold on to your crypto assets for but that's not really the point of crypto the point of crypto is to be your own bank so if the government is coming to seize money or if they're printing lots of it you can always withdraw your crypto

1:11:54assets from these organizations and you carry it yourself you can put on your laptop which is kind of crazy and risky and hard you can do it through a hardware wallet like a ledger or a trezor which are pretty well-known hardware wallets where you have a small specific device that's designed just for carrying but you have to understand you're replacing the banking system you're literally replacing the government all the guns and the police that back up the banking system you're replacing all that and all the control that comes with it so of course it's going to require some level of sophistication you're literally building your own swiss bank so it is it is quite complicated where to start well i don't

1:12:33i don't like giving people buy signals because if you're going to be a good investor you also have to have your own conviction because then you'll know when to sell if you call me and ask me when to buy are you going to call me every day and say should i sell should i sell no you don't know that they're really important right you have to fundamentally understand it yourself so i would say the first thing is go down the crypto rabbit hole listen to the interview we do with nick sabo go online and start reading up on bitcoin read up on ethereum read up on the privacy coins like zcash and monero learn about the different high level stuff in

1:13:06the crypto space decide how much exposure that you want um go buy it at a coin list or a coin base or or what have you figure out which custodian you want to use you know put it somewhere safe probably in the cloud unless you really know what you're doing and if you really know what you're doing then you can use one of the hardware wallets or one of the offline schemes make sure that it is protected in case that you're attacked or kidnapped or someone comes to your house or steals your computer you know you have to cover all those base cases so it's not easy but you're literally creating extra sovereign money you're creating money where you know if

1:13:39you ever have to flee the country you know like the jews had to leave vienna back in the 1930s you're not like scrambling for gold you're you're using crypto you're not if you're living in some country where they tend to seize all the money in your bank account then you have unseasonable money if you're worried about hyperinflation as we print too many dollars then you have a hedge against the mmt and all the various excuses that they're going to use to print money i mean what probably the scariest thing that happened in 2020 from a financial perspective is both the republican and the democratic party figured out that oh actually we can just print lots and lots of money and the

1:14:13u.s has this reserve dollar that's reserve currency status with a where most of our dollars i think something like 70 are held by foreigners because the trusted reserve currency of the world they use it for trading oil they use it for settling international transfers they use it just to kind of hide money they used to protect money from their local inflationary authorities so because of that when we print a dollar 70 of that inflation rate effect is cost is borne by the rest of the world not borne by us and so the the us governments kind of figured this out and we printed six trillion dollars to fight the and so now both parties can agree that they can just print

1:14:50money to get out of any problem that they're in a great tweet that i saw was somebody wrote that now we know what would happen if aliens were to invade the earth the fed would just lower interest rates the fed would cut interest rates right and so unfortunately that's just the situation we're in so they're going to keep doing that until at some point the you know the rest of the world throws in the towel and says you know this dollar thing is not working for us and what we rely upon is that the european euro or the chinese renimbi and these other currencies are in worse situations but that's not necessarily always true i think there are well-managed currencies like

1:15:26the swiss franc and the singaporean dollar there's also uh hard assets like gold and crypto and real estate and even the run up in tech stocks at levels because equities are a tax efficient inflation hedge or relatively tax efficient inflation hedge because someone like google can just raise prices and they don't have to hire more people because they're a monopoly you know they can lay off half their engineers and the company will work just fine so people are realizing this and there's a flight into hard assets to get away from inflation and crypto is one of the few places where you can really put your money in and defend against something like the dollar reserving its reserve currency status and these

1:16:04are black swans it's very hard to talk about black swans because obviously since the dollar became the u.s reserve currency it hasn't lost the even when we went off the gold standard but at the same time the pound sterling used to be the reserve currency of the world and it lost its status at one point money used to be gold back and that went away so it's not inconceivable that'll and if it were to happen then you would basically have the true reckoning then our ability to print our way out of recessions would go away uh you would probably have an inflationary collapse in the u.s and you would just see kind of our our global economic system start breaking in

1:16:39those scenarios crypto does really well assuming the internet stays up right there's scenarios where the internet goes down too and then all hell breaks loose and you better have golden guns but we're not talking about that um cigarettes and tampons that's great for your water yeah that's right well bullets are the ultimate one right as we also see in 2020 but we have 5 million new gun owners in the u.s but it just depends how much of a prepper you are how paranoid you want to be and how many standard deviations out you want to handle risk but i think this is the year where a lot of people feel like risks that were inconceivable have suddenly gotten pulled in let

1:17:12me ask a dumb newbie question as a so speaking as someone who i'm a great example of someone who can use words associated with crypto who really has no fundamental understanding i'm the i'm the guy pointing at the bird who thinks got it all figured out because he's able to name the yellow threaded warbler i don't think i have it all figured out but let's just say i managed somehow like a you know a thousand monkeys typing out shakespeare on a million laptops given infinite time i somehow manage to get a bunch of cryptocurrency onto a hardware ledger right or a hardware wallet rather so i have this thing us is going to hell in a handbasket i somehow manage to

1:17:55get that to fill in the blank i'll just arbitrarily choose spain like i land in spain i'm like oh my god that was so close thank god i got out in time i managed to make it over how the hell do you buy an apartment or pay your rent or anything like that with crypto when it still feels like the crypto landscape and the tools are kind of computers pre graphic user interface do you know what i mean like even smart people can't quite figure it out but what would you how would you if that two years in the future i mean i think that's unlikely but let's just say uh yeah for most of my friends the scenario i recommend is like you go buy it on something like you know coinbase coin list whatever you move it into a dedicated custodian like an anchorage uh or a bitco um then you kind of hold it there now if the is hitting

1:18:46the fan and you decide you want to get out of town then you contact your rep there you move it into a hardware wallet and then you flee the country right or go wherever you're going and when you land on the other side now you have this crypto in your hardware in theory you can log into a local crypto exchange you know go through their verification processes and upload it now you've got bitcoin that can be traded for cash um you can go find any of the local bitcoin meetup people and groups the enthusiasts the so-called maximalist the die-hard believers and the holders and you can trade any of them bitcoin for cash now in the distant future it's possible that

1:19:23people will just take bitcoin directly because it is a you know fungible high quality hard asset that can be transported and held like cash but if you can't do that you can always find either a local believer or you can find a crypto exchange where you can convert the thing that makes bitcoin so interesting is not that it's necessarily the best technology it is definitely robust and it's the og what makes it really interesting is it has the most die-hard believers and because it has the most die-hard believers as long as there's five thousand or fifty thousand wealthy brilliant people who just that the wealthy part is really important yeah that wealthy party they will always trade it for you for

1:20:02trade it with you for hard assets uh you know i think recently microstrategy started it's a company it started moving half of its treasury into bitcoin and the ceo michael saylor was quoted as saying something along the lines of i can't believe people willing to sell me bitcoin right he figured out what it and then he was just like i want to get as much as possible so you know here take pieces of my company but give me and there are there are lots of people like him there are lots and lots of people like him and they exist in every major country in the world and as long as there are believers because it's as much a movement or as

1:20:36it is a currency and because what is a currency at the end of the day money is just the bubble that never pops right it's just if we all agree tomorrow that if we all manage to come upon the story tomorrow that it's not the us dollar it's actually the euro that is really money then the world will switch to the euro heck if we agreed that clamshells were money the you the world would switch to clam shells now obviously their underlying characteristics that make euros and dollars better than clamshells and so therefore we converge upon those but if the world were to decide that bitcoin is better money than us dollars the world would switch to bitcoin it's a story

1:21:09it's a consensus belief and the beauty of bitcoin is that there are these die-hard maximalists and i fight with them on the internet all the time they don't like me by the way so i've had twitter battles with them running but i still really appreciate that they exist because they are actually the core of what makes bitcoin always tradeable always valuable there's always some guy in some location somewhere in the world who will give you his house for bitcoin and as long as that is true and i don't see why it will stop being true because if anything more and more people are being added to that list every day it has real value and has redeemable what do you think

1:21:48the conceivable near term looks like with the possible entrance of more investors in other words if we see let me ask a better question it was very noteworthy and newsworthy when paul trudeau jones wrote his memo detailing why he was investing i think it was something like 100 million into bitcoin or bitcoin like equivalence some type of crypto uh if not crypto itself do you anticipate that more institutionals are going to come in sovereign wealth funds things like that how do you think the the story and the could change over the next handful of years i think it's inevitable look bitcoin and crypto still have risks right a lot of these algorithms and schemes are new even bitcoin through this proof-of-work

1:22:43mechanism you could argue that it tends towards centralization because it gets managed by these anonymous miners and data centers and data centers of economies of scale and so it will end up being more centralized than people would like um there are up-and-coming competitors like ethereum there's privacy issues you know on the bitcoin blockchain you can be tracked forever so it's not perfect you know people talk about quantum computing breaking it i don't think that's true i think you can upgrade the encryption algorithm you know just as well or but there are always potential problems right which are not completely resolved but every time we face one of these reckonings and that problem gets resolved the value goes up the story becomes

1:23:21stronger and so the same way when paul tudor jones or microstrategy by bitcoin the story is becoming stronger the set of believers is increasing the validation is increasing and now more people can come in and hang their hat on this and say okay if paul tudor jones agrees and michael saylor agrees then i agree to be in that set of people who believe that this is going to be the new way to store value and wealth and so now i'm joining their wealth storage scheme and the early people then get rewarded for it so one way to think about a bitcoin in particular is or even actually any of the cryptocurrencies is it's a swiss bank account but it's a swiss

1:23:56bank account with finite space and if you want shelf space in that swiss bank account with finite space you have to buy out one of the existing holders in that space so imagine a swiss bank count that's impregnable it's a new one no government can break into it it's secured by consensus across millions of people using massive computation power on the globe and if you want one of those safety deposit box you got to buy it from someone who's already there so as long as the demand for new people trying to get in the swiss bank account is greater than the supply of people who are trying to get out of that swiss bank then you're going to pay more for

1:24:32that box and that's where the speculative power of it comes from and i think it's going to take a good crisis to really see what crypto is worth and actually so far it's been weird because yeah the people's people have said that crypto failed the crisis test with covet right i mean it didn't didn't what it didn't do was it didn't right it didn't like go you know bitcoin didn't go to 100k as everybody fled the us dollar but that kind of shows you how resilient the dollar is and how far we are from losing global reserve currency status but at the same time it didn't collapse either you know it didn't go down it went down briefly as people needed

1:25:07cash to meet various margin calls and loans but overall stayed very stable and i would say the number of people who have gotten involved in crypto recently as a true wealth protection mechanism is the largest i've ever seen so i do think that the holder base has gone up i don't know if we're going to see like real you know 3 000 bitcoin ever again in my lifetime we might see zero if something breaks completely but i don't think we're going to see like a you know a bunch of people leaving and losing faith in it and that's why it goes to 3k bitcoin tends to hit these highs then crash back down to a plateau hang out in a plateau

1:25:40for a while and then go back to a new high and i kind of feel like you know around the 10k level who knows i don't want to make price predictions you know i feel like there's a stronger base of holders now than there's ever so each one of these people comes and validates it you know paul tudor jones validates it for other hedge fund managers hedge fund managers validated for sovereign wealth funds uh you know validated for central banks uh eventually some country out there is going to say actually we inflated our currency too much our currency collapsed nobody trusts us we have to adopt a new national currency instead of pegging to the dollar let's peg the bitcoin or

1:26:15let's use bitcoin or let's use some other cryptocurrency or let's be clever and buy up a bunch of bitcoin and then announce we're going to use bitcoin and then bitcoin will skyrocket and we're all rich right so i think there are other scenarios where it ends up being a lot more valuable but it's going to be stumbling steps forward and backward it's not going to be like necessarily you know in one fell swoop until it is right that's the nature of black swans you can't predict them when it happens it happens suddenly like i had a friend who used to tell me he's now a hardcore bitcoin it's funny he actually helped write a book on bitcoin now but when i

1:26:47first talked about bitcoin years and years ago he said what's the big deal he's like if i ever have to flee the country you know i'll just buy bitcoin then and i said yeah when you have to flee the your entire fortune's going to buy you one bitcoin right that's the problem it's supply and demand so you can't so it's like anything else a store of value it's a hedge you can't wait till the last second and i do think more and more smart people are coming into it every single day and i think the psychological dynamics of crypto volatility are a lot casino slot machine right this this variable reward with high variability where you just see things spiking and

1:27:26dropping and then they stay flat and then they spike and they drop in a way that is unlike most equities that you or i would buy on the public even wall street at some level is a big casino with a potential positive expected value and creating some value for society in terms of hedging and liquidity for companies raising money and so on uh and crypto's doing the same thing it's it's a global 24 7 365 casino where anybody in the world can play but through decentralized finance underneath you're actually making loans you're protecting wealth you're storing you're letting people you know buy derivatives you're letting people hedge um so all of these things are coming up like we now have insurance

1:28:03in the crypto markets we now have lending in the crypto markets we have shorting in the crypto markets uh you know we have computation going on that requires crypto underneath look if two computers are talking to each other if two mini ais are talking to each other and high speed uh exchanging resources to run a company how are they gonna exchange money you think they're gonna send us dollars through paypal or through fedwire hell no they're going to use crypto is going to is the native currency of the internet of course the internet is going to have its own currency you know otherwise like saying like the internet's going to use email through the usps you know u.s postal service techno

1:28:41it's going to have its own native on-chain on-wire protocol for data and so what cryptocurrencies really are bitcoin isn't a thing bitcoin is not like there's a coin sitting somewhere bitcoin is an entry you know like yeah it's an entry in a virtual ledger and that virtual ledger is maintained by tons of machines running across the world and what you're doing is you're communicating value securely across the internet with no third parties in the middle validating that that is the correct communication it's done by the entire network at once and you're communicating and transmitting scarcity and value to the internet and that's a new thing what the internet gave us before was digital abundance i can make copies of everything and

1:29:27that was a very big idea i can make one podcast and ship it to everybody i can make one web page and ship it to everybody that was a very big and created huge fortunes and huge revolutions the same way digital scarcity is an equally interesting idea which is i can only have one of this thing if naval has a bitcoin then tim ferriss doesn't have that bitcoin or vice versa that ability to create scarcity and transmit scarcity and value through the is just as important as the ability to create abundance and transmit that through the internet and so the native language of the internet in communications and protocols around valuable things and on finance is going to be in cryptocurrencies

1:30:04it's not going to be any other any other way so i want to bring up two more tweets and then we can bring this this to uh to a close and put a bow on it first i just want to mention again and i very rarely do this but i am very happy with how this discussion turned out if people want more of the and the design of cryptocurrency which is endlessly fascinating just google nick zabo s s-z-a-b-o and then if you're interested in diving into audio naval and i spoke with them two tweets these are both from september one i'm gonna read just because i agree with it super strongly and i also have observed you following this advice very

1:30:49well which is all self help boils to choose long term over short term i would modify the tweet to say though all truly effective self help boils down choose long term over short term uh and i mean that is the entire challenge uh which is long-term thinking gets you long-term results uh and i've said this a thousand different ways in business you want to play long-term games with long-term people in your modern life and addictions and kind of just dealing with the avalanche of all the the abundance of things that are thrown at you that really traps like video games or a trap there there's a shadow career that substitutes for your real career or you know smoking weed or drinking

1:31:31alcohol substitutes for like pleasure uh more simple things like sunlight and walks and porn substitutes for sex and this just goes on and on i thought you were saying walking sunlight and porn i was like we're talking yeah that sounds about the trifecta but look at the so the related tweet i had is the modern devil is cheap dopamine and some interesting people on twitter point out to me actually the ancient devil is cheap dopamine as well and but in modern times we've just hyper uh accelerated it you know the modern mind is over stimulated the modern body is under stimulated we've just taken all the creature comforts we've maximized them to a thousand times and so literally all success in

1:32:11life boils down to a variation in the marshmallow test where you know can the kid like hold off and eating the marshmallow for 15 exchange they get two marshmallows and the claim is that turned out to be a big predictor for future success although like many psych experiments i don't think it replicates well um but anyway so it just boils down to long-term versus short-term and if you can just adopt long-term thinking in your mindset you're just going to have a much easier life or as our favorite trainer jersey gregorick says hard choices easy life easy choices hard life that's it right so just can you take a long-term view on anything compound interest applies everywhere it applies in relationships it

1:32:49applies in money it applies in health and fitness can you change your habits to read the kinds of books that you think will serve you best in the long term the foundational books can you change your eating habits so that you're eating healthy food as opposed to unhealthy food can you create an exercise routine that you can do every day or every other day so that it's a consistent part of your life and so i think a lot of it boils down to just choosing the long term or the short term and all the hacks the good hacks basically help make the long-term choice palatable or they help inspire you to kind of keep your eyes focused on the long term

1:33:25so an example is if you're doing something that you love if you're running a business that you enjoy it it's probably going to be more fun than playing a video game if you if you come home at night from work and your first instinct is to play a video game you're suffering at work you're working just as hard in the video game but the rewards are all fake because they're going to change the rules on you or some 13 year old kid on the internet will destroy you because they play that video game all day long and i used to be a hardcore video gamer i had a lot of fun doing it and i did learn playing games for sure but you know at this point this age i pick up a video i'm doing it to get away from suffering and i'm not really getting anything out of it i could play the video game of or i could play the

1:34:02video game of starting companies or i could play the video game of you know go and play tennis and that would be good for my so it's good to find so so i think a lot of it is about finding the thing that you can do that is fun for you that looks like play that feels like play to you but looks like work to others that you can do that sustains you for the long term so for example in foods what you want to find is you want to find what is the health food out there that other people consider healthy and as nutritionally healthy profile but that i find tasty because if i can create those foods if i can become a good cook and create great foods that i enjoy eating and i'll like them and i can eat them regularly but they're actually super healthy that's amazing that's a hack now now i'm eating for the long term but

1:34:46i'm not giving up too much of the short-term the same way being in a good relationship is you know is going to be watching porn and having a good career or working enjoyable job or hacking on some code that i enjoy is going to be far more productive than playing a video game i don't want to preachy but i will just say that as i my love for reading came from another one of my tweets is read what you love until you love to so just fall in love with the idea of reading itself so it's okay to read the junk food stuff just fall in love with reading and eventually get bored of the simple stuff and you'll go to the more interesting and i love to read enough that i don't like watching tv i don't watch movies you know people start talking about shows that they're watching on netflix or what have you and i give them this empty look

1:35:29i don't watch shows on netflix they're not interesting it's far more interesting to me to go for a walk and be meditative and i'll be in a very happy place or to read a book which will be intellectually stimulating and sure once in a while watch a movie with friends or with my wife but it's a social thing you know i'm doing it as a way of kind sort of being on the same common ground as them i'm not i would never watch a movie on my own unless maybe i was trapped in like a 15-hour airplane flight i was really bored and i run out of everything else to do and i just want to zone out even then i don't think i watch a movie anymore so i just feel like a lot of it is like finding the hacks finding the things make the long term feel effortless to you and then you win okay last last question first a

1:36:12recommendation if you ever do decide to watch something sorry before we finish that topic very important on people find the people that doesn't take work to be around the best relationships don't feel like work you make the other person happy being yourself they make you happy by being themselves everyone's honest no one's putting on an act they can't carry on for the next decade same thing with friendships you know the best friendships or friendships that were formed or nothing it's not because you went to school it's not because you studied on the same things not because you're working together it's not because you enjoy rugby or whatever it's because your chemistry matches your temperament is similar and so you can be

1:36:46friends with this person for 30 years 50 years so the compound interest and relationships part ironically means that the best relationships whether friendships or family or love are the ones where you don't have to work too hard at them so you don't have to sustain that workload for the rest of your life and you can do it effortlessly yeah totally well one of the one of your quotes that i think of often and i might be paraphrasing this is if you want to avoid conflict rule number one is avoid people who are constantly involved with conflict right i mean something along those lines i mean for example when you're in a relationship just watch how the other person treats their worst

1:37:22enemy because eventually they'll just redefine you as and you'll get to feel that behavior so i think the number one criteria i look for in a in a relationship is that a person has to be they just have to be a nice person and because eventually they'll in a certain context you can always be reclassified from friend to enemy so you just want to see the boundaries of someone's ethics if you see someone being bad to a server or someone engaging in unethical behavior or suing other people or fighting other people all the time it's only a matter of time before they fight you so just stay away from these high conflict people everyone has conflict no one is clean but

1:37:59that said like there are definitely people who engage in conflict and do it regularly and they make it a part of their just walk away it's not worth it there's plenty of people who are low conflict and easy to get along with yeah low conflict low who can also be brutally candid when necessary right which doesn't equal eye conflict well the one thing i've noticed and i haven't written the tweet on this because i've had a hard time figuring how to say it but the people that i want to spend time these days when i look at what the common characteristic is they're highly self-aware they're very aware of themselves they're not running on autopilot they don't get angry easily they

1:38:41don't get unhappy easily they don't take themselves too seriously they have a certain separation from their own thoughts and personality that prevents circumstances and their personality from overwhelming them they don't have a victim mentality they're not caught up in some story of what happened to them when they were they've had those issues for sure but they've just gotten past them and been i don't want to be that person i don't be trapped in that mindset they're not trying to signal all the time how important they are or who they or what they've done or how virtuous how virtuous they are they're not virtue signaling or bigoteering they have low generally i can literally plot on a line the more self-aware somebody

1:39:21is i guarantee you the more attractive that they are to a large number of people and to into the degree that i've achieved any modicum of fame and fame is a trap and i'm going to pay for this i know i will pay for this but any modicum of fame that i've achieved i think is because i am one of the few who has been successful in business that thinks out loud in public and because i'm willing to think out loud in public that's a risk that i take it improves my thinking but other people say oh yeah he's somewhat self-aware he's thinking about himself and i think that helps inspire other people to also say okay it's okay for me

1:39:59to think about myself and i just i just find hanging around self-aware people is a lot easier than people who are running on autopilot almost like npcs what does that mean non-player it's a reference to certain kinds of video games where it's like a computer control character right they're predicted all right so speaking of games is this is the the final tweet the final here it is the reason to win the game is so that you can be free of it and my questions about this are wait one more time the reason to win the game is so that you can be free of it i would be curious to know what game you are free of or what game you

1:40:44are playing so that you can be free of it i like to think i'm free of almost all the games at this point what are the games all of life is games right you start out with the family game you do the school game the grades game the getting girlfriends and boyfriends game the getting married game the having kids game the making money game they're having the career game the getting famous game the dressing well game you know it's so much of a social games there are a few that are not games like meditation you're not doing if you're scoring points in meditation you're doing it wrong yoga these are single-player games right so it's really the multiplayer games are the

1:41:19ones that suck you into society and anxiety now you kind of have to play them you have two choices towards peace in your life one is you can play these games and you can win them and when you win them this is the hard part realizing you've won and stopped playing new ones or setting new goals for yourself that are even higher and higher it's like my friends who have made so much money and they continue all they try to do is make money and they just don't seem very happy about it it's fine if they're happy if they're like elon musk seems like he's having a grand old time that's fine but if it's making you miserable and you continue

1:41:53doing it and you only have one life and you kind of can't see past that then i would argue you're playing the game too far so there's kind of two ways out of the trap one is not wanting something is as good as having it right i think it was lyad shabo said this on twitter i thought it was really or there's a recent socrates quote that i retweeted where he was taken to uh the story is he was taken to a a market back in ancient greece and it was full of luxurious and fine items and he said there are so many things that i do not want right and it was he looked at all these finders and said so many things here that i do not want and i thought that is freedom that is power that is self-contained uh that is a person who has found himself and needs nothing outside of himself that is so inspirational so the

1:42:38same way i look upon the world and i say well i could just say that right you can't just say that if i just there's so many things that i don't want it's not true i want the money i want the girl you know i want i wanted the fame or i wouldn't have gone on podcast and i wouldn't be on twitter at some level that is true so obviously there's certain things that i want i'm not a monk i'm not a i'm not living in an ashram what i can do is i've gotten the things that i want and i'm careful not to want more i don't want more fame i don't want more money or if i get it it's fine it's part of the crafts by the bonus you know so i have to be careful about what i about not unconsciously taking on new desires if i'm taking a new desire i better go fulfill that so these are

1:43:19all just games that i'm playing and you know you got to play some game you're on this planet you're alive you might as well play something now the question is what game do you play and how do you get out of the game so you're not just trapped playing that forever and one way is you choose your games very carefully if you're a monk you only choose very very few games to play or you play no games and you live blissful harmonious peaceful or the other is you play the game and you win it and then you say i am now free of this so what that tweet is that tweet is the reason to play the game so the reason to win the game is to be free of it's a reminder to myself that for the games that i've won it's time to let go of them and to be free of them and not to unconsciously double down by comparing

1:44:05myself to the joneses and continuing to level up and level up and then one day you die and then you're like okay that was pointless like you know i i did all that work for what like for nothing so if you're not enjoying it anymore if you've already won the game by the definition you had when you started playing the game and one hack is to set the definition early on so that when you go past it you know you won to not get trapped into playing this game forever and just living in some anxious future as opposed to actually enjoying yourself in the present you have to know when to stop playing the game and so to me the reason

1:44:41to play these games is to win them and then you can be free of them and to see what else then that you want to do or not do not to keep playing the same game forever because these games are the adult games are very cleverly designed you can keep playing them and they're all ups and downs and ups and downs and i guarantee you every time you get money you'll be afraid you're going to lose it or you're going to compare it to the next person who has it or every time you get famous now that's uh let's say that's the image that you have to live up to and now insults can hurt you and now you don't have your privacy anymore as you've written about so all of these games have downsides or if you're uh you know very you're good at dating you have a lot of men or women in your life then you're also going to have

1:45:20a lot of relationship trauma and you've got a lot of tumultuousness you know a lot of hurt people you got a lot of emotional drama in your life so you just have to kind of realize when you won the game and say i'm done with this so i would i would aspire to be like socrates and say there are so many things in this world that i do not want and i like to think that i'm kind of there for the most part either i don't want it or i have it now of course there's a fear of losing it which is always there but i don't want to pick up new desires unconsciously and i don't want to keep upgrading my lifestyle and my expectations to match my circumstances otherwise i'll be on this treadmill we are all playing games and the key is knowing which game you are playing so you can at least attempt to consciously choose the game finite

1:46:04and infinite games by james an interesting read and i just want to close with and then you're certainly more than welcome to add any closing comments but a quote that really makes me think of you it's one of my favorite quotes from fineman so richard fineman once again here's the quote the first principle is that you must not fool yourself and you are the easiest person to fool i love that quote i i read it when i was 9 or 10 years old and i've never forgotten it is so important and none of us are perfect we all have flaws we all have weaknesses we all have vices or i'll speak for myself certainly that's true of me but unival as

1:46:46much as anyone else perhaps more than anyone else i know have gone great lengths to become self-aware furthermore and this is i think that one of the distinguishing characteristics for me that you becoming self-aware and spending time on the timeless while also reserving the right with competency to be a very high level operator in the real world right because you can be not of this world by opting out completely and go into a world of introspection but in truth lack the resilience and emotional awareness to interact with any type of real stressor which doesn't appeal to me certainly and you can be so engulfed by being in the world that you lose self-awareness you stop that you are playing certain games

1:47:39you become addicted and self-identified with things that come from sort of consensus that's also not appealing but you have managed in a way that i find fascinating to combine the cultivation of self-awareness with operating in the world at a high level i wouldn't say i'm necessarily there yet but it gets a little easier every year like yeah the finding quote is is a brilliant one he's right you we fool ourselves all the time and i still fool myself all the time because i still have strong beliefs and opinions for example even though i don't tweet a lot about politics i do have strong political opinions um and that is a form of fooling myself because you know politics is a man-made

1:48:16game it doesn't really exist in the real world there's no tree is aware of politics and i do even though i don't like to even some of my beliefs are filtered and lined up in bundles based on my chosen media sources and whatnot so i fool myself all the time but just if you can fool yourself a little bit less then you can navigate reality much better it doesn't take a lot most people are just living very unconsciously you know under unexamined life so it just gives you kind of a leg up and i agree with you in you can always like check out of the game and it's easier that way but then you're fragile right you kind of build

1:48:51resilience by working out hard and it's hard to be calm until you've lost a lot and won a lot like you have to see the ups and the downs and the ups and the before you get tired of the dopamine chase and you sort of realize like okay this is down but eventually there'll be an up or there's an op that'll be a down i know how this game works so one of the things i've been tracking recently is i've been trying to kind of make a a list of what are the activities that are sort of non-dual in nature they don't create their own opposite down the road so chasing money does create anxiety and suffering down the road as you compare and you win and lose and so on uh you know chasing fame also has downsides where you can you're not open to insult and attacks and being cancelled and what not so what activities are intrinsically in and of

1:49:37themselves and are kind of are a free lunch and so those include things like meditation yoga creating art playing reading for fun not necessarily for knowledge or education writing journaling you can even be building a business as long as you're doing it for the craft of it for the flow of it not necessarily for a given outcome although it's hard to do that at least externally it seems like elon musk is doing that he's you know building rockets to get to mars not to make money um or to be famous although he's doing the he's getting those the byproducts so i i think that kind of this whole not fooling yourself uh paying attention to yourself not taking yourself too seriously

1:50:17uh examining your own thoughts from first principles um and kind of uh doing activities that are drawn intrinsically for you as opposed to for the external world they just make your life better i'm not doing these things to be a stoic sage right honestly one of the downsides of the stoics is they don't look like they're having a lot of fun i still like that right now obviously loss has been a lot in translation i know they had their vomitoriums and they had their orgies and whatnots uh but you know the stoics just at least the way it's a modern projected and this is one of the reasons why i do like osho you know people give osho a lot of

1:50:54flack and they should he he was a little crazy in some ways but he was having fun he had a good time and you know you're alive you got you have one very short life when it when your life ends it goes to zero it's to you it's indistinguishable from your perspective your death is indistinguishable from the end of the world as far as you're concerned the world has disappeared because when you came into existence the world appeared when you go out of existence the world disappears and that is so consequential that it makes the rest of your life inconsequential and that is a form of freedom and so you should enjoy yourself you should not suffer in this life if

1:51:35you are just constantly suffering then figure out how to get out of that if you can't get out of that suffering then figure out how to redefine your internal worldview so that you don't necessarily view it as suffering any more than the extent that you need to to get out of it these days we borrow a lot of suffering on behalf of other people a lot of people want to be a little christ carrying crosses for others it's a miserable existence you're actually not doing them any favors you carrying their cross isn't making their life any better the better way is for you to be happy and successful and healthy and then go save them like literally save them not necessarily

1:52:10just you know sit around suffering for them or at least that's the life that i choose to live i'm gonna i'm gonna end with one story um there was a guy that i met in thailand uh craig i forget his last name but he used to work for tony robbins and i met this guy and we were on vacation in thailand and he was just the happiest person he was just happy all the time and he just seemed to be able to laugh it off and as far as he had a good life he had stuff going for him but it wasn't like you know he had this incredibly enviable life where you would drop and move to thailand and adopt his lifestyle he had an okay life but he was just happy and not in a forced way but he was genuinely happy and so i asked him i said like you know what's your secret why not and he said that

1:52:54you know he used to work for tony robbins and used to fly around setting up events for tony and you know he was always sitting in the front row and taking notes and setting things up and learning and listening and he just kind of started seeing through his own internal bs he got to this point where like you said like he was he was fooling himself into and he just decided one day he said you know what i have no responsibility to anybody in this world other than me and like or if i do have a responsibility this kind of weight of responsibility that goes on where we're like oh i need to live up to some imagined self what he

1:53:27realized was he said somebody in this world somebody has to be happy all the time that is somebody's job to be that role for people in the world that might as well be me i'll be that guy i'll take on that burden and he decided to be the happy one and i just thought that was simple and brilliant and he did it he lived there so you know i want to be that guy who is successful peaceful happy enjoying life blissful meditative spiritual successful and you know as healthy as i can be and rich and not give a damn about any of it so if i lose it all tomorrow i still want to be happy that's it that's where i want to be and i'll just make that decision because somebody has to be that person it might as well be me i love it man uh naval ravikant otherwise known aka ravakant but naval ravicon naval on n-a-v-a-l and he has

1:54:29the podcast of course naval n-a-v-a-l you can find that anywhere you find your podcast the blog nav.al previous conversations we've had and we've had quite a few you can just search naval on the website tim dot blog forward slash naval anything else you would like to add any other resources places people can say hello on the internet recommendations asks of the audience them all uh i'm mostly on twitter uh eric jorgensen recently put out a book which had a bunch of my sayings called the almanac of naval ravicon it was very nice of him i don't make any money off of it it's free on the internet you can just download it i think it never almanac clever little turn of

1:55:07phrase yeah i think i think that's it we'll see you on the interwebs you know i i wish everybody has a wealthy healthy and happy life like go get it thanks so much neval for taking the time this is awesome and uh to everybody thank you for tuning in and until next time don't fool yourself sit down spend some time with your mind and uh don't be too hard on that roommate in your head hey guys this is tim again just a few more things before you take off number one this is five bullet friday do you want to get a short email from me would you enjoy getting a short email from me every friday that provides a little more soul of fun before the weekend and five bullet friday is a very short email where i share the coolest things i've found or that i've been pondering over the week that could include favorite new albums that i've discovered it could

1:56:04include gizmos and gadgets and all sorts of weird that i've somehow dug up in the world of the esoteric as i do it could include favorite articles that i've read and that i've shared with my close friends for instance and it's very short it's just a little tiny bite of goodness before you head off for the weekend so if you want to receive that check it out just go to four hourworkweek.com that's 4hourworkweek.com all spelled out and just drop in your email and you will get the very next one and if you sign up i hope you enjoy it this episode is brought to you by ship station the holiday season is fast approaching and we know that people will be

1:56:44buying more stuff online than ever all of these trends to ecommerce have been accelerated due to covet and much if you're an e-commerce seller are you ready to meet the demands of record-breaking online shopping season be ready with shipstation shipstation.com is the fastest easiest and most affordable way to manage and ship your orders in just a few clicks you're managing orders printing out discounted shipping labels and getting your products out fast happier holidays for you and your shipstation takes the hassle out of holiday shipping no matter where you're on amazon etsy your website via shopify or other platforms shipstation brings all of your orders into one simple interface and shipstation works with all of the major carriers usps fedex ups even

1:57:31international you can compare and choose the best shipping solution every time and you can access the same postage discounts that are usually reserved for large fortune 500 companies it's no wonder that shipstation is the number one choice of online sellers and right now my listeners that's you guys can try shipstation free for 60 days when you use offer code tim just go to the homepage shipstation.com click on the microphone at the top of the homepage and type in tim tim that's it go to shipstation.com then enter offer good tim shipstation.com make chip happen this episode is brought to you by tonal t-o-n-a-l i'm super excited about this one and i was skeptical of it in the beginning total quote tonal is

1:58:16the world's most intelligent home gym and personal trainer end quote that's the tagline from their website folks to give you the one sentence summary and this device it's really a system is perfect for anyone looking to take their home workouts to the next level or someone who just wants to get maximum bang for the buck in a tiny tiny footprint of space tonal is precision engineered to be the world's most advanced strength studio and personal trainer it uses breakthrough technology of all different to help get you stronger faster i was introduced to total by three different all of them are tech savvy one of them is a former competitive skier who's doubled his strength at a number of movements using tonal

1:58:54even though he has a long athletic background and i'll paint a picture for you by eliminating traditional metal weights dumbbells and barbells tonal can deliver 200 pounds of resistance which doesn't sound like a lot but it's actually it feels like a lot more at the high end in a device smaller than a flat screen tv and you can perform at least 150 different exercises and these different technologies are exclusive to total and you can dial weights up and down with the touch of a button in one pound increments using magnets and electricity so the movement is extremely smooth and even though i have a home gym already in my garage i'm still getting a tonal installed i've tonal for multiple workouts

1:59:36now to do things i just cannot do in my home gym such as the chop and lift exercises from the 4-hour body all sorts of cable exercises that would usually involve much much bigger piece of equipment eccentric training for instance you can do to give a simple example bicep curls where you are lifting let's just say 20 pounds in each hand up and then total will automatically increase the weight because you can lower more than you can lift to say 25 or 30 pounds on the way down and i do kettlebell swings i do all sorts of deadlifts this that the other thing and after one workout on tonal focusing on pulling i was blasted for a full week it's really

2:00:17incredible what you can do with eccentrics they also have all sorts of other really cool advantages that you can apply to any of your favorite movements tonal learns from your strength and provides suggested weight recommendations for every move detailed progress reports to help you see your strengths grow total also has a growing library of expert lead workouts by motivating coaches from strength training to cardio so you can do really just about everything every program is personalized to your body using artificial intelligence and other of the engineering and smart features check your form in real time just like a personal trainer so try it out try tonal at least check it out watch the videos on youtube and see if you can

2:00:57pick out a familiar voice it's not me i'll say that but try tonal the world's smartest home gym for 30 days in your home and if you don't love it you can return it for a full refund so visit www.tonal.com for 100 off of smart accessories when you use promo code tim at checkout that's www.tonal.com promo code tim tonal be your strongest

00:00本期节目由 Tonal 赞助。我对这个产品特别兴奋,不过一开始我是持怀疑态度的。Tonal——「Tonal 是世界上最智能的家庭健身设备和私人教练」——这是他们网站上的宣传语。各位,用一句话总结:这套设备——其实是一整套系统——适合任何想把居家训练提升到新层次的人,也适合只想在极小极小的空间里获得最大性价比的人。Tonal 经过精密工程打造,是世界上最先进的力量训练室兼私人教练。它运用了各种突破性技术,帮你更快变强。我是通过三个人介绍认识 Tonal 的,

00:39他们都很懂科技,其中一位是前竞技滑雪运动员,用 Tonal 把好几个动作的力量翻了一倍,尽管他有很长的运动背景。我来给你描绘一下:通过取消传统的金属配重、哑铃和杠铃,Tonal 能提供 200 磅阻力——听起来不算多,但在高阻力端实际感受要重得多——而设备比一台平板电视还小。你可以做至少 150 种不同动作,这些技术都是 Tonal 独家的。你可以用磁力和电力,通过按钮以 1 磅为单位增减重量,所以动作极其顺滑。

01:19虽然我车库里已经有家庭健身房,我还是准备装一台 Tonal。我已经用 Tonal 做了好几次训练,做一些我在家根本做不到的动作,比如……《4 小时身体》里的劈砍和提举动作,各种通常需要大得多的器械才能做的绳索动作,还有离心训练。举个简单例子,你可以做二头肌弯举……比如每只手举 20 磅上去,然后 Tonal 会自动加重,因为你能放下的重量大于你能举起的重量,下放时可以加到 25 或 30 磅。我还做壶铃摆动……

02:02各种硬拉之类的动作。有一次我在 Tonal 上专注练拉的动作,整整酸了一周。离心训练能做到的事情真的很惊人。他们还有很多其他很酷的优势……可以套用到你喜欢的任何动作上。Tonal 会学习你的力量水平,为每个动作提供建议重量,还有详细的进度报告,帮你看自己的力量增长。Tonal 还有一个不断扩充的……由很有感染力的教练带领的专家课程库,从力量训练到有氧,基本上什么都能做。每个课程都会用人工智能等技术适配你的身体,还能实时纠正你的动作……

02:43就像私人教练一样。所以试一试吧,至少去看看,看看 YouTube 上的视频,看你能不能听出一个熟悉的声音——不是我,我先说明。试试 Tonal……世界上最智能的家庭健身房,30 天居家试用,如果不喜欢可以全额退款。访问 www.tonal.com,结账时用优惠码 tim,智能配件立减 100 美元。www.tonal.com,优惠码 tim。Tonal,做最强的自己。本期节目由 ShipStation 赞助。假日季快到了,我们知道大家在网上买的东西会比以往任何时候都多……

03:31疫情加速了所有这些电商趋势,还有更多。如果你是在线卖家,你准备好迎接创纪录的网购旺季了吗?用 ShipStation 做好准备吧。shipstation.com 是最快、最简单、最实惠的订单管理方式……点几下就能管理订单、打印折扣运费标签、快速发货。你和你的客户都能过个更开心的假期。ShipStation 帮你省去假日发货的麻烦,无论你在哪里卖……亚马逊、Etsy、你自己的网站、通过 Shopify 还是其他平台,ShipStation 都把你所有订单汇集到一个简洁的界面里。它支持所有主流承运商——USPS、FedEx、UPS,甚至国际物流……

04:17你每次都能选到最佳配送方案,还能享受通常只有大型《财富》500 强企业才能拿到的邮费折扣。难怪 ShipStation 是在线卖家的首选。现在,我的听众——也就是你们——可以……免费试用 ShipStation 60 天,只要使用优惠码 tim。进入首页 shipstation.com,点击首页顶部的麦克风图标,输入 tim,对,就这样。打开 shipstation.com,输入优惠码 tim。让发货发生。在这么高的高度,我能全速跑半英里,然后手才开始……我能问一句吗?我是一个半机械生物,有活体组织。各位男孩女孩、女士先生们,我是 Tim Ferriss,欢迎来到又一期……

05:16《Tim Ferriss 秀》。我的工作始终是采访并拆解各个领域的世界级高手。今天的嘉宾是我的好朋友,他很少上播客,我们稍后会聊到这个免责声明……Naval Ravikant。你可以在 Twitter 上 @naval 找到他。他是 AngelList 的联合创始人兼董事长,也是一位天使投资人,投资了 100 多家公司,其中很多超级成功,比如 Twitter、Uber、Notion、Opendoor……Postmates 和 Wish,名单很长。你可以在 Apple Podcast、Spotify 或任何播客平台订阅他关于财富与幸福的播客。他的博客在 nav.al,能看到更多 Naval 的内容。另外……

05:57Tim,也就是我,去看看我在 2015 年对他做的那期超受欢迎的采访,那期还获得了年度播客提名。你可以在 tim.blog/naval 找到那期节目和更多资源。Naval,欢迎回来。谢谢邀请。如果我没记错,我当年在年度播客评选里被 Jamie 碾压了,对吧?所以这次我需要更弱的对手,今年你能不能稍微放点水?我会……尽量的。Jamie 嘛,基本上,只要设备还在运转,我完全可以是个毫无反应的重症病人。Jamie Foxx 是那种登峰造极的表演者,所以他是很强的对手。

06:40但在播客领域,你是另一个物种。我知道经常有人请你上播客。你希望发个什么样的免责声明?对,我不再上别人的播客了,这次为你破例……因为你是 OG,是你让我被大家认识,你是好朋友。说实话,没有你,我根本不会出名,所以我一定要感谢你,并答应你让我回来的请求。我一般不再上播客了,至少不上别人的播客,原因有几个。第一,我不相信续集,我觉得续集都很烂。你看看电影里的续集……

07:15通常都挺糟糕的,成本是三倍,啰里啰嗦,人现在有了自尊和名声要维护,该说的都说了,所以某种程度上只是在重复自己。也许第一轮,他们把一个酝酿了十年或三十年的想法展开讲,听起来很棒;到了续集,不管是书还是电影,他们得……拿出同样好的东西,但只有两年时间,这真的很难。所以我觉得续集只会让所有人显得糟糕,我不喜欢续集。但我们还是来了。

07:44续集的问题在于它能赚钱,人们想要续集,人们渴望续集,因为有某种熟悉感。但希望我们不会太丢脸。所以是的,我不做续集,这次破例……看看效果如何。只是别再请 Jamie Foxx 回来了,至少今年别。好,我现在想以你的 Twitter 账号作为这次对话的切入点,这对我来说可能有点……奇怪。经常听这个节目的人知道我不常这么做。但我想知道两件事:你在 Twitter 上关注零个人,却有将近一百万……

08:18粉丝;另外现在美国 trending 的是 Jamie Foxx,太搞笑了。他就在你旁边,提醒着我,这家伙真是压不住。那我们聊聊你的账号。我觉得你的账号很迷人,我觉得……你对 Twitter 的用法很迷人。我想从你作为头图的那张教授站在黑板前的照片说起。照片里的人是谁?我想我认得他,但我想……听你讲讲为什么选这张照片,以及他是谁。对,那是 Richard Feynman 教授。他是量子电动力学领域的先驱,参与过曼哈顿计划,通俗层面最有名的是……

09:02《别闹了,费曼先生》,还有几本相关的书,比如《你管别人怎么想》。当然他在物理学界也极受推崇。他去世有一段时间了……但他开创了量子电动力学的大量内容,费曼路径……他参与过曼哈顿计划,是个非常非常聪明的人。我喜欢他,是因为 Feynman 是我最早见到的这样一类人:做科学、做严肃的……工作,在所谓的现实生活中很有成就,同时又是个有趣的家伙。他是个快乐的人,极具哲学气质,不把自己也不把生活看得太重,欣赏生命的奥秘,欣赏……

09:42活着本身,一路上玩得很开心。所以对我来说,他就像一个全栈式的、懂生活的知识分子黑客,对我小时候的成长非常有启发。尽管我读了很多哲学和普通的非虚构作品,尽管我身处商业世界、科技世界,我的英雄是科学家,因为我认为应用科学是……推动人类前进的引擎。它最终变成技术,让我们能够从事文明中的各种追求,而不是只为基本生存挣扎。所以我认为科学家仍然是……

10:21人类历史上最被低估的英雄,而 Feynman 是其中最伟大的之一。他在很多方面都值得钦佩,包括他的生活方式。不过最近有人想「取消」他,你知道,他们连 Feynman 都想取消。他确实是个奇人。他迷住我好几十年了。其实我收藏的东西很少,但几年前在拍卖会上买到了他的一些手稿和画作,因为……那是它们第一次被公开。嘿,我可以给你看一些他在曼哈顿计划时期写的方程,想想都觉得疯狂。不过我的着迷在很多方面是外行的,因为我……

11:04没有足够的科学素养去完全理解他带给物理学的天才之处。但我能欣赏他的聪明、他对假设的质疑,还有他对制服和荣誉的反感,尤其是某些……奖项,他似乎特别讨厌某些奖项。他有一句名言:科学是对专家无知的信念。有意思的是,现在那么多人……在 Twitter 上说「相信科学」或「根据科学」。你得明白,不存在大写的「科学」。科学的根基是怀疑,核心是可证伪性。David Deutsch 是我现在最欣赏的……

11:51在世物理学家之一,他是波普尔派,信奉 Karl Popper 的哲学。他基本上就是说:如果不可证伪,就不科学;如果你无法证明它是错的……如果它无论上上下下左左右右都成立,那就不是科学。科学不需要信仰,你应该随时能挑战它,它应该做出不明显的、有风险的预测……然后这些预测应该被检验,而且事后你不能改变目标、移动球门,或改变预测的设定方式。这些才是好科学的标志:独立……

12:31可验证性,以及事前事后都做出细节难以更改的、有风险且狭窄的预测。这样你才能得到好的科学和好的解释,而不是靠 Twitter 上的人投票——那是政治。所以一切都变成了政治,科学也变成了政治。人被政治化了,还有「大科学」。我觉得 Feynman 会对此非常不满。他本来是个快乐的、非政治的人……不想卷入这些事情。但我想他明白那不是真正的科学,那是伪装,几乎变成了社会科学。上 Twitter 看看,Nassim Taleb 是我最喜欢的 Twitter 关注对象之一,虽然他……

13:08有点脾气暴躁。对,他很暴躁,确实会惹人烦。但你想听真话,就得准备好受点伤。他最近有条很棒的……推文,我转发了,肯定惹毛了很多人。他说:教育的反面不是无知,教育的反面是社会科学教育。我觉得太好笑了……但它扎心,因为里面有真话。如果没有真话,它根本不会伤人。如果我说 Tim Ferriss 很胖,那对你毫无影响;但如果……我说 Tim Ferriss 是那种……假大师,那可能会击中你,因为我们怀疑在某个深层,有一部分是真的。我觉得社会科学也是一样……

13:54确实会把你引向无知,因为它研究的是「社会」,而任何社会性的东西都关乎群体思维和群体行为。个体可以追寻真理,但群体追求共识,因为群体没有……共识就无法相处,无法相处就会瓦解。所以你最不可能找到真理的地方,就是大群体。一旦你把科学变成大群体的事、投票的事……你就不再是在实践科学了。对,大写的「科学」很危险,非常危险。对,那是宣传。它变成了宏观经济学,又一个……有句话叫「宏观比微观容易」……

14:36大科学相当于宏观经济学,而小科学相当于微观经济学,就是我在实验室里、在我的电脑前尝试各种东西……就像宏观经济学一样,你可以挑选任何数据来证明任何观点;在大科学里,你也可以挑选任何论文。看看现在网上关于……新冠意味着什么的争吵。你可以走进那个镜厅,用所谓的科学证据支持无数种观点,取决于你挑哪些论文。于是我们又退回到共识。但再说一次,科学不是靠……

15:17共识运作的,它应该靠实验、可验证性、严格的测试。在理想的科学世界里,你不会去调查一万名科学家,你会挑出最聪明的那一个。但现在这很难做到……没人能就谁是最聪明的科学家达成一致。所以不幸的是,科学是什么,其本质正在被腐蚀,而这一切开始于我们让所谓的社会科学冒充科学的那一天……从我们说心理学是科学、政治可以是科学等等,说你可以把科学方法应用到这些东西上,那一天起,我们就开始腐蚀科学,至少是腐蚀「科学」这个词。

15:57所以真正的科学如今被归到一个很小的角落:物理、也许还有分子生物学和化学、数学、计算理论,范围相当有限。对。我一位很有定量素养的朋友说过……大多数学科名字后面带 science 的,其实并不是科学。当然有例外,比如计算机科学算一个,神经科学可能也算,但很多时候……如果名字后面加了 science,它实际上就不可证伪——按 Karl Popper 这类人的标准。它无法用实验证明或推翻。对。如果没有某个实验……

16:46理论上能推翻它,那它就不是科学。就像「诚实阿贝」的律师事务所,如果名字里要塞进「诚实」,你就得怀疑一下。同理,如果词里带 science……除了你刚说的计算机科学和神经科学,你就得怀疑。我们来看几条 Feynman 的话。有几条我经常想,都来自 Goodreads。第一条,我觉得特别适用于媒体里的科学,有个说法很让我反感,就是「研究证明」「研究显示」,好像大写的科学显示了什么,其实没这回事。

17:30事实可以被扭曲得很厉害。Feynman 的原话是:我很早就学会了「知道一个东西的名字」和「知道这个东西」之间的区别。对,这一点非常深刻……很多时候,我们只是用一个定义解释另一个定义,或者抛出一个术语,好像这就代表我们懂了。这就是记忆和理解的差别……你希望能用 10 种不同的方式,用简单的句子,从零开始描述它,重新推导出你需要的一切。如果你只是死记硬背,你就完了。所以这是我经常卡住的地方……

18:06就是不断回去重读基础,一遍又一遍地试图理解。不要追求那种在学术界很诱人的高耸知识大厦。但凡在……现实世界里真正操作过的人都知道,在现实世界里,你因为基于基础做出好的判断和决策而获得回报。比如你懂算术、统计、概率到不错的水平,再懂一些基础数学,你就有了……成功所需的所有数学。你不需要微积分,甚至不需要三角学、数论、集合论这些东西,除非你要进入一个深度技术领域。可我们在学校里花了那么多……

18:44时间学预备微积分和微积分,学这些课的孩子连基础数学都不太行。所以基础真的很重要,那是你需要的理解的钢架和地基……过一辈子。太多东西被简化成死记硬背,把事物当成名字来理解。Feynman 的例子是,他爸爸会带他散步,看到鸟……他爸爸会说,这只鸟是某种莺,但这并没有告诉你关于鸟的任何事,那只告诉你关于人类的事,是人类给鸟取了这个名字。真正的鸟……

19:22它喜欢这个姿势单腿站着,喜欢啄羽毛里的虱子,喜欢做这个动作,喜欢吃这些东西,因为那个原因这样飞……这些是它的天敌,这些是它的猎物。这些才是真正让你理解的东西。谁在乎鸟叫什么?鸟的名字无关紧要。你在很多……职业里都能看到这种情况,术语满天飞。人们试图用「我懂这个术语、那个术语、这个术语什么意思」来保护自己的知识。但现实是,大多数人其实并不知道……

19:56这些东西底下到底是什么。我在会计领域常见到这种情况:很多商业人士不懂会计,很多人会用花哨的词,但你往下挖,他们并不真正理解……底下运行的原理。如果你懂原理,哪怕不懂那些词,你也懂门道,比如谈判交易,因为你能理解底下棋子实际上是怎么在……棋盘上移动的,而不是它们叫什么。我只想指出,打基础就像学篮球里的罚球基础动作,并不是要成为 Michael Jordan,就像用非常有限的……

20:39几种颜色作画。几周——也许连几周都不用,几天,看个不错的 YouTube 教程或书,掌握会计基础,你就能做出明显更好的决策。我只想强调,这不需要硕士学位、博士学位或任何那种承诺,就能让你脱颖而出、获得优势。直接去经营一家公司……经营一家公司会教你更好的会计,比教科书好。当然,你可能需要学某些惯例,因为你需要用它们和其他人沟通,这样沟通才高效。你说一件事,对方就明白那件事,这就是……

21:20术语有用的地方:它可以压缩知识,而不必每次都从第一原理讲起。但术语没用的地方,是它变成理解的替代品。这就是把人类和其他动物区分开的东西,也是把我们和机器人区分开的东西:我们真正理解底下在发生什么。比如在人工智能领域,有个新算法 GPT-3……现在很火,就是文本补全。人们说,嘿,我能生成听起来非常合理的文字,所以 AI 要抢走所有工作了。其实不会,因为 AI 并不真正知道……

21:57发生了什么。如果我问它,你为什么这么写?那是什么意思?它很快就会露馅。所以你应该始终追求理解,而不是记忆。你应该能够……用你会说的每种语言,用五种不同的方式重新表述它,否则你并没有真正理解。好消息是,你需要理解的东西并不多。说到 Feynman……他有一句话:大自然只用最长的丝线来编织她的挂毯。他的意思是,只有少数几条基本原理,你需要……

22:32理解它们,就能理解我们物理学知识的总和。其实并不多。而且随着物理学越来越进步,我们实际上在统一理论,把它们合并成一个东西,就像电与磁……或者统计力学、热与热力学,结果都是一回事。我们现在试图对引力和量子力学做的,就是在量子圈引力或弦论里调和它们……之类的。所以你只需要理解少数几个基本的东西,然后你会看到它们反复出现。比如我读物理和计算机科学……

23:10纯粹为了娱乐,没有实际应用。我读到过一个很有意思的理论叫 Solomonoff,基本上形式化了奥卡姆剃刀:最短的答案就是正确的答案。但它比这更……高级。它基本上是说,如果你想弄清某件事为什么发生,你把所有可能的原因、所有可能的理论拿出来,然后……根据它们的压缩程度、简短程度、可能性来加权,这给出的概率就给出了那个理论为何成立的解释。Feynman 有一个……

23:49非常相似而优雅的东西,在完全不同的领域。他基本上是说,如果你想理解为什么这个粒子走了那条路径、为什么这个光子走了那条路径,你要做的是看……这个光子所有可能走的路径,然后根据那条路径的可能性对它们进行概率求和。这其实是同一个观察,只不过一个关于光子在时空中旅行,另一个……关于因果性、为什么某件事可能发生、背后的理论是什么。这是两个完全不同的领域,两个完全不同的人物,思考两个完全不同的问题……

24:27这些是各自领域里非常非常基础的理论,但深处其实是同一回事。这让我着迷,它说明我们眼中的复杂性,有多少其实源自一组非常简单的规则。所以……理解才是应该追求的东西,不是词语。所以哪怕你用上「Solomonoff 归纳」「费曼路径积分」这些花哨词,管它到底叫什么,名字我甚至都不知道……名字无关紧要,概念才迷人。你谈到通过经营企业学会计,我们转到商业。你的置顶推文是一个推文串,标题是《如何致富》……

25:09括号里是「不靠运气」。按我们录制时算,有 44.8 万次转发、11 万多收藏。我们不会把整个串过一遍,它很长,但我很好奇,你觉得人们……哪些部分关注过多、过度强调了,哪些部分你希望人们多关注。因为里面有很多不同的片段。那个推文串是我为自己写下的一系列原则……在我脑子里,13 岁时写的,当时我想搞清楚怎么赚钱,形成了一个如何致富的框架,但不是靠运气,而是用一种可以反复重复……

25:48的方法,几乎不给运气留机会。因为我觉得有一种——不完全是神话,但确实存在的信念……认为要赚钱,你要么生来有钱,要么有特权,要么混对圈子,要么靠运气。我认为仍然有办法实现最初的美国梦……也就是赚钱,但用刻意、系统的方式。我说钱,指的是财富。我不是说像律所那样一小时赚几百美元,但你仍然被时间……绑住。我说的是你想什么时候醒就什么时候醒,想什么时候睡就什么时候睡,想住哪儿就住哪儿,你拥有自由。所以对我来说,金钱的目的是自由……

26:26为此你需要创造财富。你能有道德地做吗?能可持续地做吗?能可靠地做吗?能和你喜欢的人一起做吗?能做你享受的事吗?我认为绝对可能。我愿意认为我至少是众多活生生的证明之一。Warren Buffett 和 Charlie Munger 是另外的例子……不是说我和他们同一级别,但你知道,其他人做到过。所以那就是那个框架的全部意义。那个推文串,我有一天就写下来了。有意思的是,我在 Twitter 上显然有些经验,所以……

26:58知道怎么打磨内容。但那是在推文限制还是 140 个字符的时候写的,所以更难。我只是某天晚上醒来,一直在想这件事,然后我写下了……整个推文串,几乎和你看到的一模一样。里面缺了很多很多细节,显然那只是一个非常高层次的、很禅、像俳句或贺卡一样的框架。缺了大量细节,后来我在同主题的播客里试图展开。人们过度强调了什么、又漏掉了什么……让我暂停一下,读几条。

27:35这些来自 2018 年 5 月 31 日。举几个例子,你们不必评论这些具体例子,只是给没看过的人一个概念。这个序列里第二条……推文是:要明白,有道德的财富创造是可能的。如果你暗地里鄙视财富,财富就会躲开你。这条推文到此结束。还有一条:你不可能靠出租时间致富,你必须……拥有股权——企业的一部分——才能获得财务自由。这一条是最重要的。基本上,在现代生活中,世界上最擅长做某件事的人……

28:13会通过杠杆、分发、问责和专有知识的组合,为全世界做这件事,这些我在推文串里都讲过。如果你是世界上做某件事最厉害的人……比如你是世界上最好的数学老师,你就应该给全世界教数学;如果你是最好的播客采访者,你就应该做所有顶级采访。回报会累积到你身上,尤其是……在这个高度数字化的世界里,分发某样东西的成本接近于零。所以你要做的是把自己产品化成一门生意,然后你要拥有……

28:45那门生意。这就是方法。一个清晰的例子是 Tim Ferriss 播客、Tim Ferriss 品牌。那是一个以你名字命名的品牌,你的名字在上面,你通过这个播客、通过你写的书……通过你在各个媒体平台上的粉丝大军获得杠杆,你承担了很大的问责,而专有知识只有你知道怎么成为 Tim Ferriss 这台学习机器,能连接其他人……从中提取价值,并与听众分享。这就是你把自己产品化的例子。但最终你拥有 Tim Ferriss 这门生意。你也可以往下走,不必……

29:21拥有整个企业。你可以是公开股票或私募股票的投资者,可以是私营企业的合伙人,可以在有股票期权的初创公司当员工。但如果你不拥有……企业的一部分,你就极难致富,几乎不可能,那条路几乎不值得走。所以我认为那是最重要的一条基础推文。而我认为人们最容易……抓错重点的地方是:我们在生活中有回避痛苦的倾向,不想面对那些明显做错了决定的事。因为对苦难的一个好定义就是:那一刻你看到事物本来的样子……

29:58而你不喜欢所看到的。比如你和配偶已经争吵很久,你一直把事情扫到地毯下,你一直忍着,但你扫错了地方……然后你们离婚了。那一刻,你再也无法无视这段关系里所有的伤害,以及所有后果,它们都是真实的。同样,如果你……一直不照顾健康,突然发现自己掉下悬崖,发生了不可逆的坏事,苦难的时刻就来了,你痛苦,因为你再也无法无视它……

30:28你再也无法回避它。所以我认为,不幸的是,这些原则很多是写给年轻人的,因为你可以更早地把自己设定在某种人生轨迹上。比如你读了一个社会科学的博士,现在我说,嘿,去学编程吧,你会回避这件事,你不愿看到它,因为你在这个学位上有太多沉没成本。所以我觉得很多人不愿去学必要的新技能……或者不愿搬家,或者不愿让现有关系中的人失望,以便为新关系腾出空间。每个人都想从自己所在的地方开始,没人愿意下山……

30:59回到山脚去找那条路。大家都想留在自己那条路上,也许微调几下就到山顶。或者像 Charlie Munger 开玩笑说的……人们总问我,我怎么才能像你一样有钱,但要更快。我不想当那个年老的有钱人……我想当年轻的有钱人。所以我认为这些才是难的部分。难的部分不是学习,而是放下旧知;不是爬山,而是下山……回到山脚重新开始。每个伟大的艺术家、每个伟大的商业人士都有初学者的心态:你必须愿意从零开始,愿意按下重置键……

31:38回到零点。因为你必须意识到,你已经知道的和已经在做的,实际上是你全部潜力的障碍。大多数人就是不愿承认这一点。我也有这个毛病……这是人性。我不怪任何人,但这就是人性。快速感谢一下我们的赞助商,我们马上回来。本期节目由 Wealthfront 赞助。你知道吗……如果你错过了 2008 年危机后表现最好的 10 个交易日,你就会错过 50% 的回报。不要错过市场最好的日子。保持投资于长期……

32:16自动化投资组合。Wealthfront 开创了自动化投资运动,有时被称为 robo,他们目前为客户管理着 200 亿美元资产。Wealthfront 能帮你分散投资组合、降低费用、减少税收,注册大约需要三……分钟。然后 Wealthfront 会根据你的风险偏好,为你构建一个全球分散的 ETF 投资组合,并以极低的成本为你管理。Wealthfront 的软件会日复一日地持续监控你的投资组合……所以你不必操心。他们会寻找再平衡和税损收割的机会,降低你为投资收益缴纳的税。他们最新的服务叫 Autopilot,可以监控任何支票账户中的多余……

32:56现金,转入储蓄或投资账户。他们真的想得很周全,满足了很多需求。聪明的投资不应该像坐过山车。让专业人士为你工作。访问 wealthfront.com……/tim,今天就开一个 Wealthfront 投资账户,你的前 5000 美元将终身免费管理。Wealthfront 会为你的长期投资做自动化,今天就可以在 wealthfront.com/tim 开始。如果我们看你的具体情况,特别是股权。你提到拥有企业的一部分,也在这段对话里提到把自己产品化。你会把你在这条原则上的成功——比如你在 AngelList 这类公司拥有的股权……

33:46或者是你作为「Naval 这个人」建立的品牌联想,还是作为投资人被追捧?还是别的什么?你会怎么理解这条原则……在你自己的生活中如何应用?因为你创造财富不仅通过 AngelList 的股权,也通过很多成功的投资。我相信还有其他方式……可以从你的路径中看出财富的来源。我喜欢我这条路的地方在于,我是靠做很多不同的小事赚钱的,我一直以中小……

34:28到中等规模的收入持续赚钱。我没有一笔巨款让我一劳永逸。当然这取决于你的标准。我说的是硅谷标准。显然对世界大部分地区来说,我有很多那样的巨额……收入,但它们是一致而多样的。多样在于完全是不同类型的投资和事业,一致在于我每隔几年就有一次。我想插一句……等一下——这似乎说明,有一些指导你方法的原则……完全正确。所以你不是靠中强力球彩票……不,完全不是,这里没有彩票……

35:07买彩票是输家的事。彩票就是对准那些不会算数的人的收割。快速致富计划只是别人从你身上致富。没有捷径。所以我在做的是……用我的专有知识,也就是我深入理解技术概念并传达给世界的能力,做伟大的程序员、开发者和设计师与资本市场、消费者之间的接口……以此把自己放在一个位置,能够在新趋势出现时识别它们,投资那些公司,或帮助创办那些公司,拥有股权,帮助把它们推向市场,制定战略……

35:48如何驾驭融资、退出、招聘、公司建设、文化、技术开发等等,并围绕它建立品牌,我用这些来赚钱。这只是几种方式之一……我也通过早期投资公开市场、加密货币、创办基金等各种方式赚过钱。但有意思的是,我不再真正遵循自己的原则了。比如……整个播客和 Twitter 的事,虽然我有不错的品牌和粉丝,但我完全没有变现。我不向任何人收费,因为我不再想赚钱了。对我来说……

36:23赚钱就像你成为那种会赚钱的人,把自己放进长期情况下,你总是能赚钱。所以我有品牌,我和十几个我了解……信任的人有深厚的关系,我可以和他们做一辈子的生意。他们是非常正直的人,非常有能力的人,这让我做事很容易。所以我现在建立了那个基础设施……钱在我生活中就自己长出来了。我不想辛苦工作,我不必在某个时间起床,我不必向谁汇报。所以我优化的是独立……

36:53和自由。我本可以通过募集巨额基金、早期加入大型 VC,或早期在硅谷巨头做高管来赚更多钱,但我一直优化的是……独立。我懒。我早上 7、8、9、10 点起床,凌晨 2 点半睡觉。我工作不多。有些日子我从早忙到晚,但那只是基于……我好奇什么。我从不想向老板汇报,没人能告诉我该做什么。我不想对人发号施令,也不想要下属……不停地问我该怎么做。我想要平等的伙伴关系,我想要流动。我希望能在森林里散步时打电话做生意,或者坐在会议室里……

37:36或者在电脑前,或者如果我不想,就在海滩上。理想情况是用头脑赚钱,而不是用时间赚钱。如果我一年只做一个好……决策,就能赚到那一年需要的所有钱,那就完美了,本来就该这样。因为我们生活在一个无限杠杆的时代,你的判断力通过……代码、资本、社区、劳动力等等获得巨大的力量倍增。所以如果你聪明、大致知道自己在做什么,你不需要辛苦工作。辛苦工作是最后、最不重要的事。你必须付出……

38:06代价,必须做所有迭代——一万次迭代,不是一万小时——去搞清做什么、怎么做。但一旦你知道了,你就不必再投入时间。靠的是你的判断力,判断力来自清晰的思考,清晰的思考来自有时间反思、追求你真正的好奇心。你会发现很多伟大的投资者大部分时间就是坐着读书……或者像 Warren Buffett 那样,众所周知打很多桥牌。显然不是每个人都能只做投资者,尽管这正变得越来越民主化。我选了一个适合我性情和特定能力的事……

38:41但如果你动脑,赚钱的方式有很多很多。所以我不为赚钱而工作。如果我赚太多钱,要去捐医院楼、捐大学什么的,那我就过头了……你知道,我并不想通过金钱对世界施加某种影响。讽刺的是,我通过这样的播客对世界的影响更大。所以赚更多钱不会改变我的生活,也不会……像我通过做其他事那样改变世界。所以除了手艺本身,我没什么动力再去赚钱了。我们聊聊你的几条「训诫」——「训诫」可能不是合适的词。

39:16对,我没在告诉你任何事,我没想说服任何人任何事。所以如果有人不喜欢,你知道,有些人在 Twitter 上被触发,开始争论,那就别听……我要读的这条会让人很容易生气,或者看评论里的人生气我会觉得好笑。这句话是:想象一下……如果你不总是焦虑,你会有多高效。你为什么发这条?你见过高度焦虑的人变成焦虑很少的人吗?你见过吗?但先说为什么发……

39:54背后的动机是什么?然后你见过焦虑的人大体变得不焦虑吗?我大多数推文都不是很刻意或深思熟虑的。情况是,我在想某个概念,想了……几个月、几年,它一直在酝酿,然后突然冒出来,变成一个漂亮句子,我会想,哦,这就是我记住这件事的方式,这就是我把它提炼成……一个指针给自己,这样当我需要做决策时,我能调出整条推理。所以这条的来源基本上是,每个人到某个年龄后,我开始为自己的……

40:36幸福、平静和生活质量负责。赚到钱之后你会学到的一件事是,钱不会让你更幸福。它解决了你的金钱问题,但不一定让你……一直处在某种极乐状态。事实上,世上没有任何东西能让你永远幸福。所以你必须负责引导自己,让你的……心理状态到达你想要的地方。所以我一直在「修炼」我的心理状态——「修炼」是个大词,我不想说我一直在修炼它,但我会……说我的心理状态已经到了比过去好得多的地步。人们常说,我不想那样做,因为那会夺走我的野心,我想现在就成功……

41:18所以我想了不少。这是真的吗?至少对我来说,过去几年随着我变得更平静,我的效率飙升,我也更成功了。但……这很难和「也许你只是职业生涯后期了、处在更好的位置」区分开。这是个合理的批评。所以我一直想弄清楚的一件事是……如果我没那么焦虑,我会不会也这样?当然很难做反事实假设。因为焦虑来自恐惧,它也是一种动力,让你从椅子上站起来。而让……

41:50焦虑消失的方法之一——至少等到下一波焦虑来之前——就是去做点什么。那么焦虑的作用是什么?首先我注意到,几乎所有人都一直焦虑……很少有人不焦虑。这说得通,我们是顶级掠食者,我们占领了地球,驯化或杀死了其他所有……我们这样做,是因为我们是最偏执、最恐惧、最愤怒的……这个星球上出现过的掠食者。所以焦虑根植于我们是谁的核心。事实上,你可以说,大脑整天做的就是为生存做恐惧驱动的场景推演,然后也许有一点……

42:25为繁衍的贪婪。所以焦虑处于我们是谁的核心层面。但当然有些人比其他人更焦虑,毫无疑问,有些人对此似乎冷静得多。那么,对效率来说……哪个更有用?所以假设你的目标是内在动机,你做这件事是因为你热爱它或真的很想要它,并且你能把动机和焦虑分开,那么我认为你可以获得某些超能力。我们内心都知道这一点。比如看武士,Miyamoto Musashi 和别人决斗,更冷静的那个人会赢。在所有那些电影里……

43:05是那个能极其静止、然后极快挥剑、再静止的人赢。赢家是拥有禅者心境的人。同样,在《终结者》电影里……你害怕终结者,因为他是机器人,不可阻挡,冷酷无情,你无法和他争论、无法沟通、无法让他慢下来,他没有悔意,只是不断逼近。或者……在那部老电影《不可饶恕》里,赢得枪战的人是那个不眨眼的人。他装弹、开枪时都保持冷静,不是到处乱跑。所以……

43:38我认为我们通过焦虑浪费了太多能量。如果你能保持平静,同时继续做你的事,那就是一种超能力。我最近自己也意识到了这一点,当时我处在一场商业冲突中……那是一场高冲突局面,很不幸。我们我觉得已经解决了。但经历这场高冲突时,我几年前也经历过一次类似的,那时我焦虑得多。我记得那段时间……我记得我多煎熬、多紧张,经历了恐惧和愤怒的阵发,整个人一直紧绷,很激烈,但没得到什么。而这一次……

44:15我极其平静,甚至几乎很享受,因为那就像在练习我的手艺。当然现在做起来更容易,因为我更有钱了。但与此同时,它就是没有困扰我,只是……非常机械。正因如此,我能非常高效地处理它,而且能在做很多很多其他事情的同时高效处理它。我的脑子没有不停地转,没有同时扛 10 个问题……一直基于恐惧做「如果……怎么办」的推演。大多数事情根本不会发生。所以我确实相信,保持平静、继续做你的事,是一种超能力。当然,如果焦虑是你唯一的动力……

44:52那就有问题。但我认为纯粹的动机不是来自焦虑。那我们聊聊归因。你会把……归因于什么?我知道这很难分离变量等等,但我们假设……比如你有家庭,你的一个孩子来找你,说爸爸,我焦虑得很厉害,我该怎么办?或者你观察到这一点,想帮助孩子……你会给出什么样的建议?或者换个问法,如果你更喜欢:是什么帮助你从第一轮高冲突经历里的焦虑漩涡,变成第二轮高冲突里的平静 Naval?

45:34对,真的很难把各个部分分开。它来自哲学、瑜伽、冥想、变老、有孩子。像你一样,我也有过一些迷幻体验,但那些是很久……以前的事了,现在只是遥远的记忆。但我会说,对我来说非常非常重要的第一件事是冥想。说这话很蠢,因为太老套了,现在每个人都……这么说。但当我说冥想,我不是指坐在那儿观呼吸或念咒。冥想是做自我治疗的好方法,就是坐在那儿面对念头。所以焦虑……

46:16那种弥漫性的、非特定的焦虑,我们对一切都一直紧绷,它来自未经审视的生活。我想苏格拉底说过,未经审视的生活不值得过。我忘了是谁说的……差不多是这样。对,是那种算术,某个聪明的哲学家。但这是对的,是未经审视的生活在制造问题。你可以用多种方式审视它……你可以来一次疯狂的蘑菇之旅,一晚把所有东西都翻出来;你可以大量冥想,坐在那里让脑子狂奔,然后看看你脑子里到底有什么……

46:53你的脑子想告诉你什么,你有没有听,有没有解决那些未解决的事。也可以通过心理治疗,通过读大量哲学、反思和长距离散步。有很多很多方法……但核心是花时间独处,审视你为什么会有这些念头。这样想:我们花了那么多时间在关系上,和妻子的关系、和同事的关系、和……商业伙伴的关系、和朋友的关系。你最重要的关系,是你和自己的关系,是你和脑子里那个每个清醒时刻都在喋喋不休的声音的关系。那是你脑子里的疯狂室友,总在唠叨……

47:30一直唠叨,从不停嘴。你控制不了这些念头,它们自己冒出来,你甚至不知道它们从哪来。你念头的质量,你脑子里一直在进行的对话……那就是你的世界,那就是你生活的世界,那是你看世界的镜头,它比其他任何东西都更能决定你生活的质量。如果你想……看看你生活的真实质量,放下酒杯,放下电脑,放下智能手机,放下书,放下耳机,就一个人坐着,什么都不做,然后你就会知道……

48:04你生活的真实质量。因为那正是你一直在逃避的。这就是为什么人们尝试冥想、坐下来时会说,我讨厌这个,我坐不住。为什么?因为你的心智在啃噬你。你的……生活未经审视,你的脑子在那些未解决的事情上循环打转。因为它们没被解决,当你在日常生活中奔波时,那些问题并没有消失,它们还在那里……它们在引发焦虑。你以为那种吞噬你的焦虑、你找不到源头的焦虑,只是冰山露出水面的一角。水面下是一大堆……

48:41垃圾:没怎么思考就做出的决定、你身处其中尚未解决、需要解决的情境、你拥有的问题、未满足或未实现的欲望,或者矛盾……你生活在其中的矛盾,或者你感到被困住的方式。所以真正的冥想、真正的审视,应该毁掉你现在的生活。它应该让你离开某些关系,应该让你重新划定与家人的边界……与同事的边界。它应该让你辞职,应该让你改变饮食方式,应该让你花更多时间独处,应该让你改变读什么书,应该让你……

49:20改变你的朋友是谁。如果它没做到这些,那就不是真正的审视。如果它不伴随对现有生活的摧毁,你就无法创造那种不再有焦虑的新生活……至少是部分消除,不一定是全部。那我们就深入聊聊冥想,因为如你所说,这个词被用得太多了。在大多数人心里,它代表的是……你刚说你不做的东西,比如基于咒语的冥想或跟随呼吸。你和我以前一起冥想过,不知道你的方法是否还类似。但那确实是一个……

50:02我不想说「范式转变」这种老套词,至少从我和你一起经历的方式看是这样,那其实就是长时间什么都不做。不知道现在是否还是这样,但你能描述一下……这个练习吗?因为当「及格/不及格」的评判被去掉后,某种负担就卸下了。我一天做两次、做了一周之后的体验,虽然不一定是……人们在日常生活中会做的,但那种体验相当深刻。所以你能讲讲现在的练习吗?可能和我经历的不同。其实我做两种不同的事,我几乎不喜欢把它叫做冥想,因为……

50:47每个人心里都有一个对冥想的先入之见。我们干脆别叫它冥想。我会说我做两种自我审视的练习,我甚至不再叫它们「练习」,因为有时候我做……是因为我想做、我享受,或者感觉对了;有时候我不做,因为任何例行公事都会变成自己的陷阱,不会带你到任何地方,只会变成另一种……灵性高潮、另一个待办勾选项。不过话说回来,你现在能自由选择做或不做,是不是因为你之前有一段持续练习的「前置加载期」?其实我要说,我做三件不同的事……

51:21我会逐一讲。第一是读大量哲学,尤其是在晚上睡觉前。读谁?Schopenhauer、《箴言》?我们在说谁?对,Schopenhauer。西方哲学是我目前的……虽然我肯定也来回换过。东方哲学,我什么都读,从 Osho——我知道他被认为不可信、被「取消」了,但他很棒,这反而让我更喜欢他——到 Krishnamurti、Kapil Gupta、Rupert Spira……范围很广。Anthony de Mello 也很棒。其实我建议从一本书开始,从 Anthony de Mello 的《爱的道路》,或者他的《觉知》,两本都很好。这类书很多……

51:57我基本上读很多哲学家的书:Siddhartha、Vasishta 瑜伽、Bhagavad Gita、Daodeching。我任何时候都在读其中一本,通常是为了灵感,晚上读,通常会有……一两处我抓住的东西,我会在睡前反思。所以那是一种自我审视,不是因为它是个公式,而是因为我真的对这些东西感兴趣……所以对我来说不是工作,是乐趣。我做的第二件事,已经做了很久,就是试着觉察自己的念头,但不是那种坐下来……

52:34「哦,我要觉察我的念头」的方式。而是意识到,冒出来的很多念头并不是我请来的,我控制不了它们。不是我决定要有这个念头……我甚至不知道我现在在跟你说什么,它从我嘴里出来,同时我才想到。所以它从哪来?这个人是谁?这个人在说什么?这是真的吗?……对吗?它过去一直对吗?他现在是不是只是偏执?他是不是疯了?他的深层动机是什么?我甚至不是在质疑,更多只是看着它。过一阵……当你看见它,你就开始看穿自己的鬼话。你开始看到,你主要只是在为你想要的任何东西找理由,因为它有利于你的生存、有利于你的繁衍、有利于你的钱……

53:13或者会让你迟到,诸如此类。做这种反思时,是坐在桌前、拿笔和纸,还是闭眼半莲花坐?是什么样?不,就是字面意义上的边走边想……就是走路。挺好的,就是生活。如果你对我说什么,我总是带着一点点批判性的过滤去听,因为你在我之外。把同样的过滤器用到我自己的念头上……能给我一种平静和距离感,让我能看穿自己的鬼话,我觉得这让我生活更好。所以我发现这是一种有用的生活方式。但有很多……

53:48时候我会忘记这么做,被某些情绪卷走,思维脱轨。但如今通常我能抓住自己,说,哦好吧,我又进入那种心态了,我又进入那种……反应模式了。当心智看到我在唠叨,它会安静一点,对吧。就像我说的,回到那个疯狂室友的比喻。顺便说,我最初是从 Michael Singer 那里学来的……他有本好书叫《不羁的灵魂》。那个疯狂室友的比喻是,你最终会叫室友闭嘴,或者要求他们为自己的主张给出理由,或者……

54:19你会在某个层面开始无视他们,因为他们总在恐惧偏执的模式里絮叨。所以我认为,把你的念头看作是从内部升起但未必是全部真相的东西……用你对待外部观察者时同样的怀疑程度去看待它们。我觉得这个框架有帮助。如果你发现它是真的,你会发现自己更常这么做……如果你发现它不是真的,如果你说,不,实际上是我选择了这些念头,我想要它们,这就是我,这一切对我都说得通,那你就可以停止用……

54:49批判的眼光看它。这取决于你。但最后一种,我觉得是人们认为更传统的冥想,就是坐下来冥想。这个我是从一位印度先生那里学的,同一个人物……你从谁那里学的?他有一个非常简单的体系,我发现它是我试过的最有说服力的冥想形式。就是坐在那里 60 分钟,所以不幸的是,一次不少于一小时……因为需要 30 到 40 分钟才能沉进去、越过最初的絮叨,到达那个好的部分,所谓的「跑步者高潮」的对应物。你每天坐 60 分钟,至少坚持……

55:2260 天,而且要在早上第一件事做,那时你的脑子清醒、警觉,睡了个好觉。你坐直背,可以用垫子或椅子……随便什么,没有魔法。发生什么就发生什么。你的脑子想做什么,你就让它做。它想说话,你就让它说;它想打架,你就让它……它想安静,你就让它安静;它想念咒或关注呼吸,你可以那样做,但你不强迫任何事,你只是让它发生。所以你不和它斗争……你不抵抗它,不和它争论,不更用力地压下去。我们只是让事情发生。当你这样做至少 60 天,我的经验是,你会清空……

56:02你的心理收件箱,所有那些疯狂、所有那些絮叨都会出来。一些问题会得到解决,你会有顿悟,你会改变生活。有些是自我审视,有些你只是……厌倦了;有些只需要被听见一次,然后就消失了。最终你会到达一种「收件箱清零」的心理状态,那时你只是在想昨天发生了什么,你有点跟上了……你的心智相对安静,焦虑水平下降,你活得更平静。我做这个大约两年半了,总共大概只漏了十几天……

56:35有些日子我一天做两小时甚至更多。我要告诉你,那是我所做的最重要的一件事。它是纯粹的喜悦,很多时候非常有趣、愉悦,有时候就是平淡……是虚无。我甚至没法告诉你我为什么做它,也没法告诉你那种状态下发生了什么。但我要告诉你,那段独处的时间是我拥有的最重要的时间……多亏了它,我现在更加自足。我不觉得自己需要别人,我不需要一直从外部获取快乐或幸福。我喝得更少,完全不想尝试任何毒品。就是……

57:09生活更容易、更愉快。我不那么在意事情,我不那么害怕死亡,不害怕变老,不贪求东西。我不再有那种持续的、弥漫的需求,要在自身之外找什么……来让生活更好。当我一天中最好的一小时是自己度过时,世界能给我的就很少了。我仍然可以参与其中,但它不再像过去那样抓住我……我不害怕独处,我认为那是一种超能力。我认为每个人都应该拥有它。每个人都确实拥有它,它很容易,只需要什么都不做,是你与生俱来的权利,你不可能失败……

57:46没有失败的可能。字面上你只需要坐下来,闭上眼,就待着。每天给自己一小时休息,暂时离开世界……几个追问。Krishnamurti,你有最喜欢的吗?如果一个人完全不熟悉 Krishnamurti,你会建议从什么开始?我也要再推荐 Anthony de Mello。对,我记得我是从 Krishnamurti 开始的,他挺……难搞的一个人。如果你要从某处开始,我从一本叫《思考这些事》的书开始。还有一本书……他非常理性、非常智性,有点令人困惑,但他确实说出了真理,而且他身体力行……

58:24他所说的。Anthony de Mello 的《爱的道路》,Osho 的《伟大的挑战》。我知道人们觉得 Osho 是假大师之类的,但他也有真东西,他非常善表达,他……他懂很多。SoundCloud 上有一段他的音频,叫《生活没有目标、没有目的》,我经常听那一段。这类东西很多,一旦你开始往下……钻这个兔子洞,你就会找到。经典如 Bhagavad Gita,找个好译本,Stephen Miller 的译本我觉得不错。他也译了 Daodeching,两本都很好。再说一次,只在它吸引你的时候……

58:59我的意思是,Schopenhauer 那里有古老的智慧,读《箴言与格言》。这些人很聪明,在自我反思。但总的来说,重点不是读,重点是获得启发,让你自己去反思。Kapil Gupta 是……Twitter 上的一个账号,他有几本好书,《Direct Truth》很棒,写得很近,毫不留情。所有这些书基本上都是为了启发你自我反思……如果你对自我反思不感兴趣,如果你还没到人生的那个阶段,那就别做,那是浪费时间。事实上我会说,做这些事的理由就是因为它们让你的生活更好……

59:35因为它们让你更高效,因为它们对你有用。如果它们对你没用,如果它们不让你的生活更好,那就丢掉,它没用。我也要再推荐读哲学……这是为了某种闲散的、抽象的、像语义上的追逐。不管什么原因,在非常务实的层面,读那些思考不属于今天之事的人的洞见和观察,会深深抚慰人心……不属于这周、不属于这个月,而是属于更长时间段,或在某种意义上是永恒的。它缓解了那种人为制造的紧急和急迫感……

1:00:29那种被各种输入强加给我们的急迫感。哦对,新闻和 Twitter 太有毒了。人脑不是为实时处理世界上每一个紧急事件而设计的,我们不是被设计来在脑子里处理地球上所有突发新闻的……这是我最近的一条推文:如今媒体的目标就是让每个问题都变成你的问题。他们就是这样获得注意力、获得点击的。你知道,有部落战争在上演,僵尸互相厮杀…………他们想把你拉进去,现在连不参与都不允许了,没有中立旁观者。外面的世界就是这么疯狂,一场马戏正在上演,猴子们互相扔屎,而他们还想

1:01:02把你拖进这场争斗。你真正该关注的其实是那些恒久的东西。恒久的东西很棒——老问题都有老答案,而它们最好从那些老练的实践者那里汲取,因为他们对此头脑非常清明。他们不必忙着迎合这个时代的政治,他们要迎合的是那个时代的政治,而那些对我们已经失传了。所以其实另一个很好的来源是——我在 Audible 上有你的《道德经》和塞内加系列。我健身时会反复听,所以……我开玩笑的。是啊,《致卢基里乌斯书信》太精彩了,真是了不起的东西,我每次重听都能学到点东西。《塞内加之道》……

1:01:38《致卢基里乌斯的道德书信》,如果大家想找,它们属于公有领域,从公有领域来源就能找到这些信——《致卢基里乌斯的道德书信》,拼写也可能读作 Lucillus,作者是塞内加。所以那是一部我制作的有声书系列,PDF 也能在网上免费找到。我们来聊点实打实的东西,因为我觉得大家会非常感兴趣。你刚提到在这样的时代里猴子扔粪这件事——这期是在 2020 年 10 月 1 日录制的。很多人对价值储存很感兴趣,他们担心可能发生的事,在考虑黄金这类投资,我想请你解释你最近的一条

1:02:27推文,就是过去几天的:「加密稳定币——在爆雷风险、审查风险和欺诈风险之间做选择」。什么是加密稳定币?这条推文是什么意思?好,先退一步说——我认为加密货币大概是人类历史上最伟大的发明之一。它之所以有意思,是因为你看科技行业——技术是在不受监管的空间里生长的,技术很难去改变受监管的领域,Uber、Postmates 这类公司就深有体会。但总的来说,技术能起作用是因为它创造了自己的边疆——一片被创造出来的数字边疆,而不是……物理边疆全都

1:03:09关闭了,新世界已经被殖民,狂野西部已被驯服。那你要去哪里创造新东西、不受干扰和监管、最大限度地发挥创造力?这主要是在科技领域完成的。而有一个领域被技术创新保护起来、免于技术创新的冲击,那就是华尔街——因为他们有监管俘获,非常官僚,这个「金钱工业复合体」支配着我们经济的一大部分,也支配着华盛顿,我们 GDP 的 20% 都投进了金融工程和华尔街赌场。加密货币就是我们绕过这一切的方式,所以它们抗主权,它们

1:03:48被设计成完全去中心化的,你不需要国家的暴力机器来强制保证某个资产的价值,它让人与人之间可以进行真正无需信任的交易,不需要国王、权威、政府或公司插在中间。把财富创造、财富和财富保护与国家脱钩,这非常解放——这就是加密货币真正的意义。等一下,让我插一句:你和我曾经做过一次非常深入的「加密货币入门」对谈,嘉宾是领域超级专家 Nick Szabo(S-Z-A-B-O),大家也可以找来听,了解更多加密货币的历史和基础知识。是啊,Nick 是真正的天才,也是这个领域的先驱。

1:04:35他还有一个很棒的博客叫 Unenumerated,我强烈推荐。总之,最知名的加密货币是比特币,比特币想成为新的黄金,或者新的瑞士银行账户,把这些角色揉在一起,它有一些优势。作为价值储存手段,它可以数字化存储,所以很难被没收;从技术上讲非常容易验证;不像黄金,它很容易跨境、通过电子方式在互联网上发送;它极易分割、易于验证,真伪非常容易核实,而黄金很难做到;它可以被分割到百万分之一、万亿分之一枚比特币,非常非常容易;它还有一定的可编程性,所以你可以

1:05:12把它放进智能合约,用它做一些聪明的事。所以作为一种价值储存,它优点很多。难的地方在于它并不真正隐私——虽然其中有一部分是隐私的,但它并非完全隐私;而且它「无信任」——作为价值储存它太新了,2009 年才出现,所以人们不知道它是否会永远存在、它有多依赖互联网,大家也不确定——让它成为可能的那个工作量证明挖矿算法会不会被劫持?会不会中心化?会不会有漏洞?会不会崩掉?而比特币每存活一年、每经历

1:05:45一次各种挑战,它就会更有价值一点,因为人们越来越信任它。但它极度波动:你买比特币,就是在买一个非常投机的资产,你在赌它会成为数字黄金,甚至可能成为所有价值储存的总和,从而极其值钱。但一路上会有很多磕绊,任何时刻它都可能崩掉、归零。而很多现在参与加密世界的人,正在建设一个去中心化的华尔街,他们称之为 DeFi(D-E-F-I,去中心化金融),但我其实觉得它更像「defies」——就是 defiance,反抗政府。所以我认为我们正在看到

1:06:23是啊,政府可喜欢这个了。没错,我们看到一个全新的赌场正在兴起,比华尔街更好。去中心化金融与华尔街不同,它 7×24 小时开放,一年 365 天,全世界任何人都能使用。它是「无信任」的——底下是数学、算法和代码,而不是高盛在抢先交易你的单子之类的。我不是说他们真这么干,但你知道有《闪击者》那些事,那种疯狂确实存在。你可以编程让它做事,做各种押注、对冲或看涨期权,这些在华尔街根本做不到。所以我认为我们正在用……建造一个更好的华尔街,但

1:07:02参与其中的人未必想承担这些加密货币的波动,于是我们创造了所谓「稳定币」,它追踪美元的价值,这样你在交易时仍然可以用美元计价。这件事很棘手,因为一旦你要追踪现实世界中的某种资产比如美元,你就必须把价值以某种方式锚定到存在于现实世界的东西上。而加密货币在一切都在区块链上、一切电子化数字化、由云端计算机控制时表现最好。于是这些模仿美元价值的稳定币就出现了,

1:07:38最有名的几个是 Tether、USDC(Coinbase 的币),还有 Maker/DAI,一种算法稳定币。但人生没有免费午餐——等一下,人们该怎么理解有没有更熟悉的东西可以类比?它不是指数,更像 ETF?或者你怎么看——还有别的「数字美元」吗?这些稳定币的设计是为了让你能生活在加密世界里,这就是生活在区块链上,是基于数学的,但你的价值其实锚定美元,所以它不会随比特币涨跌,而始终值一美元。所以如果你想在加密世界里持有一美元,

1:08:18办法就是买一个所谓的稳定币。但我那条推文想说的只是:没有免费午餐。你底下真正在做的事,是你持有加密资产,而加密资产极度波动,而你试图把波动资产转换成稳定资产,所以一定有成本。这叫什么?就像次贷危机?没错,正是如此,没有免费午餐。那成本是什么?我想说的是,今天三大类稳定币,每一类都强加了一种或多种这样的成本。一种成本是欺诈风险,人们怀疑 Tether 就是如此——它声称自己有

1:08:54美元支撑,但实际上并没有美元支撑。我不知道这家公司有没有美元,所以你只能相信他们的说法,于是你又回到了信任之下——也就是说,他们本该有真实的、实物的美元,就像你持有实物黄金一样。对。所以他们每发行一枚 Tether,都声称在某处有一美元,但万一没有呢?你根本不知道,所以你在信任他们,底下可能有欺诈。我不是说一定有,我没有证据;但你基本上又回到了「可信第三方」模式,就跟把钱存在银行一样。第二类是你和 Coinbase 或某家

1:09:25知名、可信、受监管的公司打交道,但那和持有普通美元没区别。这里存在审查风险:如果政府说「嘿,我们不喜欢这个人,查封他的银行账户」,Coinbase 可以关掉你的 USDC账户,你的稳定币基本上就被没收了,你不再像持有比特币那样去中心化和自主。最后一类风险是爆雷风险,比如 Maker 这种,它是有抵押的,但抵押品是比特币和以太坊,所以他们希望比特币、以太坊的价格不会剧烈波动,否则锚定会断裂,你就在所谓的稳定币上亏钱。这只是我的一个观察:没有免费午餐,所以

1:10:05如果你想在一个本质上极度波动的空间里凭空造出这种神话般的稳定货币,你就得为此付钱。而今天的人们以为自己没有付钱,他们觉得自己只是在白拿这些加密稳定美元,或者免费获得了稳定性那一面。但他们并没有——他们要么承担欺诈风险,要么承担审查风险,要么承担爆雷风险,或者几者兼有。所以如果你在给人建议——这不是投资建议,这只是两个朋友聊天,显然仅供参考——但如果你跟一个有相当储蓄或可投资资金的朋友聊,他说「Naval,我想在加密领域做点什么,我该怎么

1:10:44入门,或者该怎么做」,你会怎么说?因为选择范围太宽了。尽管已经简化了很多,加密货币仍然相当令人困惑,非常复杂。没错,对即使是非常聪明的人来说,我仍然觉得它相当困惑,极其困惑。对,这是数学家、黑客、科技创业者,以及少数真正钻进去的人的领域,但它仍然太难以驾驭了,老兄,它就是危险。比如我自己没法持有自己的加密资产,我必须把它放进基金和托管机构,因为我是公众人物,而它是一种不记名资产。所以讽刺的是,我不能真的说它危险——你

1:11:22不自己持有,因为你会……我会被……对,正是。它是一种更强的资产,所以你不会想随身携带不记名资产,你得把它放进保险库,相当于这个领域的高盛。比如托管机构 Anchorage 就非常出色,还有 BitGo、Coinbase,这些大型托管机构,或者 CoinList——我协助创办的公司——它们可以替你保管加密资产。但那并不是加密货币的重点。加密货币的重点是「做你自己的银行」:如果政府来没收钱,或者大量印钞,你随时可以把你的加密

1:11:54资产从这些机构取出来,自己携带。你可以放在笔记本里,这有点疯狂、有风险也很难;你可以用硬件钱包,比如 Ledger 或 Trezor,这些是相当知名的硬件钱包,一个小巧的专用设备,就是为携带而设计的。但你必须明白,你在替代银行系统,你实际上在替代政府——所有枪支和警察,那些支撑银行系统的力量,你在替代这一切,以及随之而来的所有控制。所以它当然需要一定的专业度,你实际上在建造你自己的瑞士银行。所以它确实相当复杂。从哪里开始?我不

1:12:33我不喜欢给人买入信号,因为如果你想成为一个好投资者,你也必须有自己的信念,这样你才知道什么时候卖。如果你打电话问我什么时候买,你会每天打电话问我「我该卖吗?我该卖吗?」不。这些真的很重要,你得自己从根本上理解它。所以我会说,第一件事就是钻进加密货币的兔子洞:听我们和 Nick Szabo 的那期访谈,上网读关于比特币的资料,读以太坊,读 Zcash、Monero 这类隐私币,了解加密领域各种高层次的

1:13:06东西;决定你想要多少敞口;然后在 CoinList 或 Coinbase 之类的平台买;想清楚你要用哪个托管机构;把它放在安全的地方,大概是云端,除非你真的懂自己在做什么;如果你真的懂,那你可以用硬件钱包或某种离线方案。要确保它受到保护,以防你被袭击、被绑架,或者有人闯进你家、偷走你的电脑,你得覆盖所有这些基本情形。所以它不容易。但你实际上是在创造额外的自主货币,你在创造这样一种钱:

1:13:39万一你得逃离这个国家——就像 1930 年代犹太人不得不离开维也纳——你不用急着去抢黄金,你用加密货币。如果你住在那种动不动就没收你银行账户里所有钱的国家,你就有了无法被没收的钱;如果你担心我们印了太多美元导致恶性通胀,你就有了一个对冲 MMT 以及他们将要用的各种借口的手段,用来印钱。我是说,2020 年从金融角度看最可怕的事,大概是共和党和民主党都发现:哦,其实我们可以印好多好多的钱。而

1:14:13美国有这种储备美元、储备货币地位,我们大部分美元——我记得大约 70%——由外国人持有,因为它是世界可信的储备货币。他们用它来交易石油,用它来结算国际转账,用它来藏钱,用它来保护资金免受本国通胀当局的侵蚀。正因为如此,当我们印一美元时,70% 的通胀效应成本是由世界其他地方承担的,而不是我们。所以美国政府大概想明白了这一点,我们印了六万亿美元来对抗疫情。于是现在两党都能达成共识:他们只要印

1:14:50钱就能摆脱任何困境。我看到一条很棒的推文,有人写道:现在我们知道如果外星人入侵地球会发生什么了——美联储只会降息,美联储会降息,对吧。不幸的是,这就是我们所处的局面,所以他们会一直这么做,直到某个时刻世界其他地方认输,说:这套美元的路子对我们不管用了。而我们所依赖的,是欧元、人民币和其他货币的处境更糟——但这不一定永远成立。我认为有一些管理得很好的货币,比如

1:15:26瑞士法郎和新加坡元;还有黄金、加密资产、房地产这类硬资产,甚至科技股的上涨——因为股票是一种税收高效的抗通胀对冲,或者说是相对税收高效的抗通胀对冲:像谷歌这样的公司可以直接涨价,而不必多招人,因为它是垄断者,他们裁掉一半工程师公司也照样运转良好。所以人们意识到了这一点,出现了逃向硬资产、远离通胀的资金流。而加密货币是少数几个你真能把钱放进去、防御「美元丧失储备货币地位」这类事件的地方之一。而这些

1:16:04是黑天鹅。谈论黑天鹅非常难,因为显然自美元成为美国储备货币以来,它从未失去这一地位,即使我们脱离金本位时也没有。但与此同时,英镑曾经是世界储备货币,后来某个时点失去了地位;货币曾经是金本位,那也消失了。所以并非不可想象。如果真的发生,那你基本上会面对真正的清算:我们靠印钞走出衰退的能力会消失,美国很可能会出现通胀性崩溃,你会看到全球经济体系开始崩裂。

1:16:39在那些情形下,只要互联网还在运转,加密资产表现会非常好。也有互联网瘫痪的情形,那时一切失控,你最好有「金枪」——不过我们就不聊那个了。香烟和卫生棉条对你的水很有用——对,没错。不过子弹才是终极硬通货,2020 年我们也看到了,美国新增了五百万枪支持有者。这取决于你有多像个末日准备者、你有多偏执、想处理多少个标准差之外的风险。但我认为今年是很多人感觉那些原本不可想象的风险突然被拉近的一年。让

1:17:12我问一个菜鸟的蠢问题——作为一个能说出一堆加密货币词汇、但其实毫无基础理解的人,我是绝佳例子。我就是那种指着鸟、以为自己全懂了的人,只因为能叫出「黄喉林莺」的名字。我不觉得自己全懂,但假设我不知怎么地——就像一千只猴子在百万台笔记本上敲出莎士比亚——只要有无限时间——我不知怎么地把一堆加密货币放进了硬件 Ledger,或者说是硬件钱包。于是我有了这个东西。美国正快速走向崩溃,我不知怎么地

1:17:55把它带到了……空格随便填——我就随便选西班牙吧。我落地西班牙,心想:天啊,太险了,谢天谢地我及时逃出来了,我成功过来了。那我到底怎么用加密货币买公寓、付房租或者做这类事?现在加密生态和工具感觉还像是图形界面出现之前的计算机。你懂我的意思吗?就连聪明人也搞不太明白。那你会怎样——如果那是两年后?我觉得那不太可能,但就假设……嗯,对我的大多数朋友,我推荐的方案是:你去 Coinbase、CoinList 之类的地方买,然后把它转进一个专门的托管机构,比如 Anchorage 或 BitGo,接着就放在那里。现在如果事情

1:18:46砸了锅,你决定跑路,你就联系那边的对接人,把它转到硬件钱包里,然后逃离这个国家,或者去你该去的地方。等你落地在另一边,现在你硬件里有这些加密资产,理论上你可以登录当地的加密交易所,走完他们的验证流程,把它转进去,你就有了可以换现金的比特币。你可以去找任何当地的比特币聚会、社群,那些爱好者、所谓的极大主义者、死忠信徒和持币者,你可以找他们任何人用比特币换现金。在遥远的未来,有可能会

1:19:23有人直接接受比特币,因为它是可替代的、高质量的硬资产,可以像现金一样运输和持有。但如果做不到,你总能找到当地的信徒,或者你可以找到一家加密交易所把它兑换掉。比特币之所以有意思,不是因为它一定是最好的技术——它确实足够健壮,而且它是 OG——真正让它有意思的是,它拥有最死忠的信徒。而正因为有最死忠的信徒,只要有五千或五万个富有又聪明的人——「富有」这部分真的很重要,对,富有那部分——他们总会愿意跟你换,用

1:20:02硬资产跟你换。你知道,最近 MicroStrategy 开始——这是一家公司——开始把一半的储备金转成比特币,CEO Michael Saylor 被引述说了大致这样的话:我不敢相信人们居然愿意卖比特币给我。对吧,他想明白了它的价值,然后就想:我要尽可能多地买。所以,拿我公司的股份去,把比特币给我。而像他这样的人很多,非常非常多,而且世界每个主要国家都有。只要有信徒存在——因为它与其说是一种货币,

1:20:36不如说是一场运动——因为说到底货币是什么?钱只是一个永不破裂的泡沫,对吧?如果我们明天都同意、都接受了那个叙事,说真正的钱不是美元而是欧元,那世界就会转向欧元。见鬼,如果我们一致同意贝壳是钱,世界就会转向贝壳。当然,欧元和美元有让它们优于贝壳的底层特性,所以我们才会收敛到它们身上。但如果世界决定比特币是比美元更好的货币,世界就会转向比特币。这是一个故事,

1:21:09一种共识信念。比特币的美妙之处在于,有这些死忠的极大主义者——我在网上经常和他们吵架,顺便说一句他们不喜欢我,所以我和他们在 Twitter 上大战过……但我仍然非常欣赏他们的存在,因为他们实际上是比特币始终可交易、始终有价值的内核:世界上总有一个地方的某个人愿意用他的房子跟你换比特币。只要这一点成立——我看不出为什么会不成立,因为每天都有越来越多的人加入这个名单——它就有真实价值,就可赎回。你觉得

1:21:48可预见的近期会是什么样,随着更多投资者可能入场?换句话说,如果我们看到——让我问个更好的问题:Paul Tudor Jones 写备忘录详细说明他为什么投资——我记得大约是 1 亿美元进入比特币或类似等价物、某种加密资产,如果不是加密货币本身的话——你预期会有更多机构进场吗,主权财富基金之类的?你觉得这个叙事和局面在未来几年会怎么变化?我认为这是不可避免的。看,比特币和加密仍然有风险,很多算法和方案都很新,即便是比特币,通过工作量证明

1:22:43机制,你也可以说它趋向中心化,因为它由匿名矿工和数据中心管理,数据中心有规模经济,所以最终会比人们希望的更中心化。还有以太坊这类后起竞争者;还有隐私问题——在比特币区块链上,你会被永久追踪,所以它并不完美。人们说量子计算能破解它,我不认为如此,我认为加密算法可以升级。这些算法可以照样升级。但总会有潜在问题,并非完全解决。然而每当我们面对一次这样的考验、问题被解决,价值就上升,叙事就变得

1:23:21更强。所以同样地,当 Paul Tudor Jones 或 MicroStrategy 买入比特币,叙事就变得更强,信徒群体扩大,验证增加,现在更多人能进来,把帽子挂在这上面,说:好吧,如果 Paul Tudor Jones 同意、Michael Saylor 同意,那我也同意加入那群相信这将成为储存价值和财富新方式的人。所以现在我在加入他们的财富储存方案,早期加入的人因此得到回报。所以看待比特币——其实任何加密货币——的一种方式是:它是一个瑞士银行账户,但它是一个

1:23:56空间有限的瑞士银行账户。如果你想在那个空间有限的瑞士银行账户里占一格,你就必须买下那个空间里现有持有者中的一位。想象一个固若金汤的瑞士银行,它是全新的,没有政府能闯进去,它由全球数百万人通过海量算力达成的共识来保障。如果你想要其中一个保险箱,你就得从已经在那里的人手里买。所以只要想进入这个瑞士银行的新人需求,大于想退出这个银行的人供给,你就得为

1:24:32那个箱子付更多钱。它的投机力量就来自这里。我认为需要一次像样的危机才能真正看出加密资产值多少。而实际上到目前为止情况很怪,因为人们……说加密货币没能通过疫情的危机测试。对吧,它没有——它没做到的是:它没有像所有人逃离美元时比特币冲向 10 万那样。但那恰恰说明美元有多坚韧,以及我们离失去全球储备货币地位还有多远。但同时它也没有崩盘,你知道,它没有大跌,只是短暂下跌,因为人们需要

1:25:07现金来应对各种追加保证金和贷款。但总体非常稳定。而且我要说,最近以真正的财富保护机制为目的进入加密的人数,是我见过最多的。所以我确实认为持有者基数上升了。我不知道在有生之年还会不会看到真正的 3000 美元比特币,如果某样东西彻底崩坏,我们可能看到归零,但我不认为我们会看到一大群人离开、对它失去信心,从而跌到 3000。比特币倾向于冲到高点,然后崩回一个平台,在平台上待

1:25:40一段时间,然后再创新高。我感觉大概在 1 万美元这个水平——谁知道呢,我不想做价格预测。我觉得现在的持有者基础比以往任何时候都强。这些人每一个都来验证它:Paul Tudor Jones 为其他对冲基金经理做了验证,对冲基金经理再为主权财富基金验证,再为央行验证。最终某个国家会说:其实我们把货币通胀得太厉害了,我们的货币崩了,没人信任我们,我们必须采用一种新的国家货币——不再锚定美元,我们锚定比特币,或者

1:26:15直接用比特币,或者用别的加密货币;或者更聪明一点:先买一大堆比特币,然后宣布我们要用比特币,于是比特币暴涨,我们就都富了。所以我认为还有其他情形,会让它最终值钱得多。但过程会跌跌撞撞、进一步退两步,不一定是一步到位——直到它真的一步到位。这就是黑天鹅的本质:你无法预测它们,发生时就是突然发生。我有个朋友以前跟我说——他现在是硬核比特币信徒,有意思的是他还参与写了一本关于比特币的书——但当我

1:26:47很多很多年前第一次聊比特币时,他说这有什么了不起,他说如果哪天我得逃离这个国家,我到时候再买比特币就行了。我说:是啊,等你必须逃的时候,你的全部身家大概只够买一枚比特币。对吧,这就是问题,这是供需关系,所以你做不到。它和其他价值储存手段一样,是一种对冲,你不能等到最后一秒。而且我确实认为每天都有越来越多聪明人进入这个领域。我还认为,加密波动的心理机制很像赌场老虎机——那种高变异性的可变奖励,你看到东西猛涨

1:27:26猛跌,然后横盘,接着再涨再跌,这种波动方式与你我在公开市场买的大多数股票都不同。就连华尔街在某种程度上也是一个大赌场,只不过它有潜在的正期望值,并且为社会创造了一些价值,比如为企业融资提供对冲和流动性等等。加密也在做同样的事,它是一个全球 7×24×365 的赌场,世界上任何人都能参与。但在去中心化金融的底层,你实际上是在放贷、在保护财富、在储蓄,你让人们买衍生品、让人们做对冲。所以这些东西都在出现,比如我们现在有了

1:28:03加密市场的保险,有了加密市场的借贷,有了加密市场的做空;还有需要加密作为底层的计算正在进行。看,如果两台计算机在互相通信,如果两个小型 AI 在互相通信、高速交换资源来运营一家公司,它们要怎么交换钱?你觉得它们会用 PayPal 或 Fedwire 发美元吗?才不会,它们会用加密货币。它将成为互联网的原生货币。互联网当然会有自己的货币,否则就像说互联网要通过 USPS、通过美国邮政服务来发邮件一样……

1:28:41它会拥有自己原生的、链上的、线上协议来处理数据。所以加密货币到底是什么?比特币不是一个「东西」,不是说某个地方放着一枚币,比特币是一条记录,对,它是一条记录,记在一个虚拟账本里,而这个虚拟账本由全世界大量运行的机器维护。你所做的是在互联网上安全地传递价值,中间没有任何第三方来验证这笔通信是正确的——这由整个网络同时完成。你在把稀缺性和价值传递到互联网上,这是一件新事。互联网此前给我们的是数字丰盈:我可以复制一切,

1:29:27那是一个极其重要的想法。我可以做一期播客然后发给所有人,做一个网页然后发给所有人。那是非常重大的事,创造了巨大财富和巨大革命。同样地,数字稀缺是一个同样有趣的想法:某个东西我只能拥有一份——如果 Naval 有一枚比特币,那 Tim Ferriss 就没有那枚比特币,反之亦然。这种创造稀缺、传递稀缺和价值通过互联网的能力,与创造丰盈并通过互联网传递丰盈的能力同等重要。所以在通信、有价值之物的协议以及金融方面,互联网的原生语言将是加密货币,

1:30:04不会是别的任何方式。所以我想再提两条推文,然后我们就可以把这件事收尾、打个蝴蝶结。首先我只想再说一次——我很少这么做——但我对这次讨论的结果非常满意。如果大家想了解更多关于加密货币设计的内容,那真是无穷迷人,直接 Google Nick Szabo,S-Z-A-B-O。然后如果你有兴趣深入,可以听音频——Naval 和我跟他们聊过。两条推文,都是 9 月 1 日的。我要读一下,因为我极其同意这条,而且我也观察到你把这条建议执行得

1:30:49非常好——「所有自我提升都归结为:选择长期而非短期」。不过我会改写这条推文说:所有真正有效的自我提升,都归结为选择长期而非短期。我的意思是,这就是全部的挑战:长期思维带给你长期结果。我在商业里用一千种方式说过:你想和长期的人玩长期的游戏。而在现代生活里,成瘾,以及应付扑面而来的、雪崩般丰盛的东西——真正困住你的,比如电子游戏就是个陷阱;还有「影子职业」替代你真正的事业;或者抽大麻、喝

1:31:31酒替代了快乐,替代了阳光、散步这些更简单的东西,色情替代了性——这样一直列下去。我刚才还以为你在说「散步、阳光和色情」,我心想:我们是在聊……对,那听起来像是三件套。不过你看,我相关的那条推文是:「现代恶魔是廉价的多巴胺。」Twitter 上有些很有意思的人向我指出,其实古代的恶魔也是廉价多巴胺。只不过在现代,我们把它极度加速了。现代人的心智过度刺激,现代人的身体刺激不足;我们把所有舒适享受都最大化了一千倍。所以可以说,人生中所有的成功

1:32:11都归结为棉花糖测试的一个变体:孩子能不能忍住 15 分钟不吃棉花糖,然后换到两颗棉花糖。据说这个测试结果是未来成功的强预测指标,虽然像很多心理学实验一样,我认为它的可重复性并不好。总之,一切归结为长期与短期的取舍。如果你能在心态上采纳长期思维,你的人生就会轻松得多。或者像我们最喜欢的教练 Jerzy Gregorek 说的:「艰难的选择,轻松的人生;轻松的选择,艰难的人生。」就是这样。所以,你能不能对任何事都采取长期视角?复利无处不在:它适用于关系,

1:32:49适用于金钱,适用于健康和健身。你能不能改变习惯,去读那些你认为长期最有益的书——那些基础性的书?你能不能改变饮食习惯,吃健康食物而不是不健康的食物?你能不能建立一套每天或隔天就能做的运动习惯,让它成为你生活里稳定的一部分?所以我认为,很多事都归结为选择长期还是短期。而所有窍门——好的窍门——基本上都是让长期选择变得可口,或者帮你把目光持续聚焦在长期上。

1:33:25举个例子:如果你在做你热爱的事,如果你在经营一家你喜欢的公司,那它很可能比打电子游戏更有趣。如果你晚上下班回家第一反应是打电子游戏,那说明你在工作中是在受苦。你在游戏里付出的努力一样多,但回报全是假的,因为规则随时会被改,或者网上某个 13 岁的小孩会把你打爆,因为他整天都在玩那个游戏。我曾经是个硬核游戏玩家,玩得很开心,我确实从游戏里学到了东西。但你知道,到了现在这个阶段、这个年纪,我拿起游戏是为了逃避痛苦,我其实什么也没得到。我可以玩……那个游戏,或者我可以玩

1:34:02「创办公司」这个游戏,或者玩「去打网球」这个游戏,那对我的身体有好处。所以找到……所以我认为,很多事就在于找到那件对你来说有趣、看起来像玩、对你感觉像玩、但在别人看来像工作的事,而且你能靠它长期坚持下去。比如在食物方面,你要找的是:世上有什么健康食物,别人认为健康、营养结构健康,但我觉得好吃?因为如果我能做出这些食物,如果我能成为一个好厨师,做出我真正爱吃、会喜欢、能经常吃、但实际上超级健康的食物,那就太棒了,那就是个窍门。现在我在为长期而吃,但

1:34:46我没有放弃太多短期享受。同样地,身处一段好的关系,或者说好好工作、做一份喜欢的工作、写点我喜欢的代码,会比打电子游戏高效得多。我不想说教,但我就说一句:我对阅读的热爱来自我另一条推文——「读你爱读的」「直到你爱上阅读」。所以先爱上「阅读」这件事本身。读垃圾食品式的东西也没关系,先爱上阅读,最终你会对简单的东西感到厌倦,然后你会转向更有趣的东西。我爱读书爱到不喜欢看电视,我不看电影。当人们开始聊他们在 Netflix 上追的剧之类的,我就给他们一个空洞的眼神。

1:35:29我不看 Netflix 上的剧,它们没意思。对我来说,出去散步、进入冥想状态、待在一个非常快乐的地方,或者读一本能在智识上刺激我的书,要远远更有趣。当然,偶尔我会和朋友或妻子一起看电影,但那是社交活动,我这么做是为了和他们有某种共同基础。我不是——我绝不会一个人看电影,除非我被困在比如 15 小时的航班上,真的无聊透了,其他事都做完了,只想放空——即便那样,我觉得我也不会看电影了。所以我觉得很多事就是找到那些窍门,找到那些能让长期选择对你来说变得毫不费力的事,然后你就赢了。好,最后一个问题。首先一个

1:36:12推荐,如果你真决定要看点什么——抱歉,在这个话题结束前还有一点很重要:关于人——去找那些相处起来不费力的人。最好的关系不会让你觉得是在工作。你让对方因为做自己而快乐,他们因为做自己而让你快乐。每个人都诚实,没人演戏,因为演不了十年。友谊也一样——最好的友谊是那种自然而然形成的,不是因为你们上同一所学校,不是因为你们学同样的东西,不是因为你们一起工作,也不是因为你们都爱橄榄球之类;而是因为你们的化学反应契合、性情相似,所以你能和

1:36:46这个人做 30 年、50 年的朋友。所以「关系里的复利」这一部分,讽刺地意味着:最好的关系——无论是友谊、亲情还是爱情——都是那些你不需要太费力的关系。你不必在余生里一直维持那么大的工作量,你可以毫不费力地做到。是啊,完全同意。你有一句话我经常想起,我可能是转述的,就是:如果你想避免冲突,第一条规则就是避开那些总是卷入冲突的人。对,大致是这个意思。比如,当你在一段关系里,就观察对方怎么对待他最恨的

1:37:22敌人,因为最终他们也会把你重新定义成敌人,然后你就会亲身感受到那种行为。所以我认为我在关系里看的第一条标准是:这个人必须——就是必须是个好人。因为在某些情境下,你随时可能从朋友被重新归类为敌人。所以你要看清一个人道德的边界。如果你看到有人对服务员很恶劣,或者有人做出不道德的行为,或者总在起诉别人、总在跟别人争斗,那他们迟早会跟你斗。所以要远离这些高冲突的人。每个人都有冲突,没有人是干净的,但

1:37:59话虽如此,确实有些人会卷入冲突,而且经常如此,把它变成了自己的一部分——那就走开,不值得。有很多低冲突、容易相处的人。对,低冲突——而且在必要的时候也能极其坦率,对吧,这不等于冲突。我注意到一件事,我还没为此写推文,因为我一直很难想清楚怎么表达它——我现在想与之共度时间的人,当我寻找他们的共同特征时,是:他们高度自我觉察,非常了解自己,不靠自动驾驶模式生活,不容易发怒,

1:38:41不容易不快乐,不把自己看得太重;他们与自己的念头和人格之间有一定距离,这让他们不会被环境和自身人格所淹没;他们没有受害者心态,不会陷在某种「我小时候发生过什么」的故事里。他们当然也有过那些问题,但他们已经走过去了,说「我不想成为那种人,我不想被困在那个心态里」;他们不是在时刻彰显自己多重要、自己是谁、做过什么、多么有德——他们不搞道德表演、不搞道德作秀。总的来说,我几乎可以把「一个人越自我觉察」画成一条线,

1:39:21我保证,他对越多的人就越有吸引力。而如果我算获得了一丁点名望的话——名望是个陷阱,我会为此付出代价,我知道我会为此付出代价——但我获得的任何一点名望,我认为是因为我是少数在商业上成功、又愿意在公众面前大声思考的人之一。正因为愿意公开思考,我承担了这个风险,它改善了我的思考;而别人会说:哦对,他多少有点自我觉察,他在思考自己。我认为这能启发其他人也说:好,我也可以

1:39:59思考自己。我只是觉得,和自我觉察的人相处比和那些靠自动驾驶生活、几乎像 NPC 一样的人相处要轻松得多。那是什么意思?Non-player(非玩家)。这是某些电子游戏里的说法,指的是电脑控制的角色,对,他们是可以被预测的。好,说到游戏,这是最后一条推文,最后一条,来了:「赢下游戏的目的,是为了能从中脱身。」我的问题是——等一下,再说一遍:「赢下游戏的目的,是为了能从中脱身。」我很好奇,你已经从哪个游戏里脱身了,或者你正在玩哪个游戏,

1:40:44以便从中脱身?我愿意认为自己此刻几乎已经从所有游戏里脱身了。什么是游戏?整个生活都是游戏,对吧?你从家庭游戏开始,然后是学校游戏、成绩游戏、交男女朋友游戏、结婚游戏、生孩子游戏、赚钱游戏、事业游戏、出名游戏、穿得好看的游戏——你知道,太多都是社交游戏了。也有少数不是游戏,比如冥想——如果你在冥想里计分,那你就做错了;瑜伽也是。这些是单人游戏。所以真正把你

1:41:19吸进社会和焦虑里的,是多人在玩的游戏。你多少得玩它们。通向内心平静有两条路:一是你去玩这些游戏,并且赢下它们——而当你赢了,难的部分是意识到自己已经赢了,然后停止玩新游戏,或停止给自己设更高的新目标。就像我那些赚了很多钱的朋友,他们继续……他们想做的只是赚钱,而他们看起来并不怎么快乐。如果他们快乐,那没问题;像 Elon Musk 看起来就玩得很开心,那很好。但如果这件事让你痛苦,你还继续

1:41:53做下去,而你只有一次生命,你又看不透这一点,那我就要说你把这游戏玩过头了。所以逃离陷阱有两条路:一条是「不想要某样东西」和「拥有它」一样好,对吧?我觉得这是 Laid Shabo 在 Twitter 上说的,我觉得很有道理。还有一段我转发过的苏格拉底的话——故事是他被带到古希腊的一个集市,那里满是奢华精美的物件,他说:「有太多东西是我不想要的。」他看着所有这些精美的东西说「这里有太多我不想要的东西。」我觉得那就是自由,那就是力量,那就是自足;那是一个找到了自己、不需要自身之外任何东西的人。太有启发了。所以

1:42:38同样地,我看着这个世界,也想说「我也可以这么说」——对吧,但你不能只是这么说。如果我说「有太多东西我不想要」,那不是真的:我想要钱,我想要那个姑娘,你知道,我想要名望,否则我不会上播客、不会玩 Twitter。某种程度上这是真的,所以显然有些东西是我想要的。我不是僧人,我不住在灵修院里。我能做的是:我已经得到了我想要的东西,并且我小心不再想要更多。我不想要更多名望,不想要更多钱——或者说如果我得到了,那也没关系,那是手艺的副产品、额外的奖励。所以我必须小心,别在不知不觉中接纳新的欲望:如果我接受了一个新欲望,我最好去实现它。所以这些

1:43:19都只是我在玩的游戏。你知道,你总得玩点什么,你在这个星球上,你活着,不如玩点什么。现在的问题是:你玩什么游戏,以及你怎么从里面脱身,这样你才不会永远被困在那个游戏里。一种方法是极其小心地选择你的游戏:如果你是僧人,你只选很少很少的游戏来玩,或者根本不玩,你活在极乐、和谐、平静之中;另一种是你去玩这个游戏,赢下它,然后说「我现在从中自由了」。那条推文就是这个意思——那条推文讲的是玩这个游戏的理由。所以赢下游戏的理由,是为了从中脱身。这是对我自己的提醒:那些我已经赢下的游戏,是时候放手了,是从中自由,而不是在不知不觉中加倍下注,拿自己和

1:44:05邻居比、不断升级、再升级,然后有一天你死了,你会说:好吧,这一切毫无意义,我做了那么多,为了什么?什么也没得到。所以如果你已经不再享受它,如果你按当初开始玩这个游戏时的定义已经赢了——一个窍门是早早把定义设好,这样当你越过它时,你就知道自己赢了,从而不被困在永远玩这个游戏、活在某种焦虑的未来里,而不是真正享受当下。你必须知道什么时候停止玩这个游戏。所以对我来说,玩这些

1:44:41游戏的理由就是赢下它们,然后你就能从中脱身,去看看接下来你还想做什么、或者不做什么,而不是永远玩同一个游戏。因为这些游戏——成年人的游戏设计得非常巧妙,你可以一直玩下去,全是起起落落、起起落落。我保证,每次你得到钱,你就会害怕失去它,或者你会拿它和下一个拥有更多的人比较;每次你出名,现在那就是你必须维持的形象,现在侮辱能伤到你,现在你不再拥有隐私了,就像你写过的那样。所以所有这些游戏都有代价。或者如果你很擅长约会、生活里有很多男人或女人,那你同时也会有很多

1:45:20感情创伤,你会经历很多动荡、很多被伤害的人、生活里有很多情绪戏。所以你得意识到自己什么时候赢下了游戏,然后说:我不玩这个了。所以我向往像苏格拉底那样说:这个世界上有太多我不想要的东西。我愿意认为自己大体上已经做到了,大部分时候,要么我不想要,要么我已经有了。当然,总有害怕失去的恐惧,它一直在;但我不想在不知不觉中拾起新欲望,我也不想不断升级我的生活方式和期待去匹配我的处境,否则我就会一直在那台跑步机上。我们都在玩游戏,关键在于知道自己在玩哪个游戏,这样你至少能尝试有意识地选择游戏。《有限

1:46:04与无限的游戏》,James Carse 写的,很值得一读。我想用这个收尾,当然也非常欢迎你补充任何结束语——有一句话真的让我想到你,它是我最喜欢的费曼语录之一。Richard Feynman,再说一次,这句话是:「第一原则是:你绝不能欺骗自己,而你是最容易被自己欺骗的人。」我很爱这句话,我 9 岁或10 岁时读到它,从此再没忘记。它太重要了。我们没有人是完美的,我们都有缺陷、都有弱点、都有恶习——或者我就代表自己说,这对我当然成立。但 Naval 比

1:46:46任何人都更——也许比我认识的任何人都更——费尽心力去变得自我觉察。而且,我认为对我来说你一个很突出的特点是:你既培养自我觉察、把时间花在恒久之物上,同时又保留着在现实世界里做一个极高水平操作者的能力。对吧,因为你可以完全退出、不属此世,走进一个内省的世界,但实际上却缺乏韧性和情绪觉知去应对任何真实的压力源——这当然不吸引我。另一种可能是你被身处世界这件事吞没,以致失去自我觉察,你不再意识到自己在玩某些游戏,

1:47:39你上瘾、把自己与某种共识产物认同为一——那也不吸引人。但你以一种让我着迷的方式,做到了把自我觉察的培养与在世界上高水平的运作结合起来。我不会说自己已经做到了,但每年都会容易一点。是啊,费曼那句话很精彩,他说得对,我们一直在欺骗自己,而我现在仍然一直在欺骗自己,因为我仍然有强烈的信念和观点。比如,虽然我不太在 Twitter 上谈政治,但我确实有强烈的政治观点。而这正是某种自我欺骗,因为你知道,政治是人造的

1:48:16游戏,它在现实世界里并不真的存在,没有一棵树会在意政治。而我确实如此,虽然我不喜欢——我的某些信念还经过筛选、按捆打包,基于我选择的媒体来源之类。所以我一直在欺骗自己。但只要你少骗自己一点点,你就能更好地在现实中导航。不需要很多——大多数人只是活得非常无意识,过着未经审视的生活。所以这至少给你一点优势。我同意你,你随时都可以退出游戏,那样更轻松,但那样你很脆弱,对吧?你通过

1:48:51刻苦锻炼来建立韧性,而且在你大输大赢之前,很难真正平静。你得见过起、见过落、再见过起,在你厌倦多巴胺追逐之前。然后你会意识到:好吧,现在是低谷,但最终会有高峰;或者现在是个高峰,后面会跌。我知道这个游戏怎么玩。所以我最近一直在追踪的一件事是,我一直在试着列一个清单:哪些活动本质上是不二元的,它们不会在日后制造出自己的对立面。比如追逐金钱确实会在日后制造焦虑和痛苦,因为你会比较、会赢会输,等等。追逐名望也有代价:你会暴露在侮辱、攻击、被取消之类的事情下。那么哪些活动在本质上、就其自身而言是

1:49:37免费的午餐?包括冥想、瑜伽、创作艺术、玩耍、为了乐趣而阅读(不一定是为知识或教育)、写作、写日记;你甚至可以是在创业,只要你是为了手艺本身、为了心流而做,而不一定为了某个特定结果——虽然这很难,至少从外部看,Elon Musk 似乎就是这样:他造火箭是为了去火星,不是为了赚钱或出名——虽然他确实得到了这些副产品。所以我认为,这一整套「不欺骗自己、关注自己、不把自己看得太重、

1:50:17从第一原理审视自己的念头,以及做那些被你内在吸引、而非为外部世界而做的活动」——它们只会让你的生活更好。我做这些事不是为了成为斯多葛圣人,对吧。说实话,斯多葛派的一个缺点是,他们看起来并不怎么享受乐趣。不过我现在还是喜欢那套——显然「损失」在翻译中丢失了很多。我知道他们有催吐室,他们也有狂欢之类的事。但你知道,斯多葛派至少在现代的投射里是这样。这也是我喜欢 Osho 的原因之一。你知道,人们给 Osho 很多

1:50:54批评,他们也该批评,他在某些方面确实有点疯。但他在享受乐趣,他过得开心。你知道,你活着,你只有一次非常短暂的生命。当你的生命结束时,它归零了。对你、从你的视角看,它和世界末日无法区分。就你而言,你的死亡和世界的终结无法区分——世界消失了。因为你存在时,世界才出现;当你离开存在,世界就消失了。这件事如此重大,以至于它让你余生的一切都变得无关紧要——而这是一种自由。所以你应该享受自己,你不该在这一生中受苦。如果

1:51:35你一直在受苦,那就想办法走出来;如果你走不出那种苦,那就想办法重新定义你的内在世界观,让你不再必然把它看作苦——只需保留到你走出它所需的程度。如今我们为别人借来很多苦:很多人想当个小基督,替别人背十字架。那是一种悲惨的存在。你其实没帮到他们任何忙,你替他们背十字架并不会让他们的生活更好。更好的方式是:你自己快乐、成功、健康,然后去救他们——真的去救他们,而不一定

1:52:10只是坐在那里替他们受苦。至少那是我选择的生活方式。我要用一个故事收尾:我在泰国遇到过一个人,叫 Craig,我忘了他姓什么,他曾为 Tony Robbins 工作。我遇到这个人时,我们在泰国度假,他就是最快乐的人,他一直都很快乐,看起来就是能把一切都一笑置之。他生活不错,有很多顺利的事,但也不是那种让人羡慕到你会放下一切搬到泰国去复制他生活方式的水平。他的生活只是「还行」,但他就是快乐——不是硬装出来的,是真心快乐。于是我问他:你的秘诀是什么?为什么?他说,

1:52:54他以前为 Tony Robbins 工作,为 Tony 到处飞、筹办活动;他总是坐在第一排,做笔记、布置场地、学习、倾听,他就这样开始看穿自己内在的那套鬼话。他到了某个点——就像你说的,他一直在欺骗自己——然后有一天他决定说:你知道吗,我对这个世界上的任何人都没有责任,除了我自己。或者说,如果我有责任,那种压在我们身上的责任重量——「哦,我得活成某个想象中的自己」——他

1:53:27意识到的是,他说:这个世界上总得有人一直快乐,总得有人承担那个角色,为这世上的人扮演那个角色。那不如就是我了。我来当那个人,我来承担这份责任。他决定做那个快乐的人。我觉得这既简单又精彩,而他真的做到了,他就那样生活。所以你知道,我想成为那样的人:成功、平静、快乐、享受生活、极乐、冥想、有灵性、成功,尽可能健康、富有,而且对这一切都不在乎。所以如果我明天失去一切,我仍然想快乐。就这样,那就是我想达到的状态,我就做这个决定,因为总得有人是那个人,那不如就是我。我太喜欢了,老兄。Naval Ravikant——也叫……总之就是 Naval,N-A-V-A-L。他还有

1:54:29播客,当然,叫「Naval」,N-A-V-A-L,你在任何播客平台都能找到。博客是 nav.al。我们之前的对话——我们做过不少——你可以在网站 tim.blog/naval 上搜 Naval。你还有什么想补充的吗?其他资源、大家可以在网上跟你打招呼的地方、推荐、对听众的请求——都可以。嗯,我主要在 Twitter 上。Eric Jorgenson 最近出了一本书,里面收录了一堆我的语录,叫《The Almanack of Naval Ravikant》,他非常有心。我从中不赚一分钱,它在网上是免费的,你直接下载就行。我觉得「Almanack」这个拼法是个巧妙的小文字游戏。

1:55:07对,我想就这些了。我们在互联网上见。我祝每个人都过上富有、健康、快乐的生活——去争取吧。非常感谢你抽时间,Naval,太棒了。也谢谢大家收听,下次见:别欺骗自己,坐下来,花点时间和你的心智待在一起,也别对脑子里那个室友太苛刻。大家好,又是我,Tim,在你离开之前还有几件事。第一,这是「Five Bullet Friday」:你想收到我的短邮件吗?你会喜欢每周五收到我一封短邮件,为周末前带来多一点「灵魂的乐趣」吗?Five Bullet Friday 是一封很短的邮件,我在里面分享这一周发现或思考的最酷的东西,可能包括我发现的最爱的新专辑,也

1:56:04可能包括各种小装置、小玩意儿,以及我在神秘世界里挖到的各种古怪东西——我一向如此。比如还可能包括我读过的、和好友分享过的最喜欢的文章,它很短,就是你去过周末前的一小口美好。如果你想收到,去看看,访问 fourhourweek.com——就是 4hourworkweek.com,完整拼出来,填上你的邮箱,你就能收到下一期。如果你订阅了,希望你喜欢。本期节目由 ShipStation 赞助。假日季快到了,我们知道人们会

1:56:44在网上买比以往更多的东西。所有这些电商趋势都因疫情而被加速了很多。如果你是在线卖家,你准备好迎接创纪录的网购旺季了吗?用 ShipStation 做好准备。shipstation.com是管理并发出你订单最快、最简单、最实惠的方式。点几下,你就能管理订单、打印折扣运费标签、快速发货,让你和你的客户过更开心的假期。ShipStation 帮你省去假日发货的麻烦。无论你在亚马逊、Etsy、自己的网站、通过 Shopify 还是其他平台,ShipStation 都把你所有订单汇集到一个简洁界面,并支持所有主流承运商:USPS、FedEx、UPS,甚至

1:57:31国际物流。你每次都能比较并选出最佳配送方案,还能享受通常只留给大型《财富》500 强企业的同等邮费折扣。难怪 ShipStation 是在线卖家的第一选择。现在,我的听众——也就是你们——可以免费试用 ShipStation 60 天,只要使用优惠码 tim。进入首页 shipstation.com,点击首页顶部的麦克风图标,输入 tim,tim,就这样。打开 shipstation.com,输入优惠码 tim。shipstation.com,让发货发生。本期节目由 Tonal 赞助,T-O-N-A-L。我对这个特别兴奋,一开始我是怀疑的。Tonal——

1:58:16「Tonal 是世界上最智能的家庭健身房和私人教练」——这是他们网站的宣传语。各位,一句话总结:这套设备其实是一整套系统,非常适合想把居家训练提升到下一层次的人,或者只想在极小极小的空间里获得最大性价比的人。Tonal 经过精密工程打造,是世界上最先进的力量训练室兼私人教练。它运用突破性技术(各种不同的技术)帮你更快变强。我是通过三个不同的人介绍认识 Tonal 的,他们都很懂科技,其中一位是前竞技滑雪运动员,用 Tonal 把好几个动作的力量翻了一倍,

1:58:54尽管他有很长的运动背景。我给你描绘一下:通过取消传统的金属配重、哑铃和杠铃,Tonal 能提供 200 磅阻力——听起来不多,但实际上感觉在高阻力端要重得多——而设备比平板电视还小。你可以做至少 150 种不同动作,这些技术都是 Tonal 独有的。你可以用按钮以 1 磅为单位增减重量,靠磁力和电力,所以动作极其顺滑。虽然我车库里已经有家庭健身房,我还是准备装一台 Tonal。我已经用 Tonal 做过好几次训练,

1:59:36做一些我在家根本做不到的动作,比如《4 小时身体》里的劈砍和提举动作、各种通常需要大得多器械的绳索动作,还有离心训练等等。举个简单例子:做二头肌弯举时,假设你每只手举 20 磅上去,然后 Tonal 会自动加重,因为你能下放的重量大于你能举起的重量,比如下放时加到 25 或 30 磅。我还做壶铃摆动、各种硬拉等等。有一次我在 Tonal 上专注练拉的动作,整整酸了一周。真的

2:00:17很惊人,离心训练能做到的事。他们还有很多其他很酷的优势,可以套用到你喜欢的任何动作上。Tonal 会学习你的力量水平,为每个动作提供建议重量,还有详细的进度报告,帮你看自己的力量增长。Tonal 还有一个不断扩充的专家课程库,由很有感染力的教练带领,从力量训练到有氧,基本上什么都能做。每个课程都会根据你的身体个性化定制,使用人工智能以及其他工程和智能功能,实时纠正你的动作,就像私人教练一样。所以试一试吧,试试 Tonal,至少去看看,看看 YouTube 上的视频,看你能不能

2:00:57听出一个熟悉的声音——不是我,我先说明。但试试 Tonal,世界上最智能的家庭健身房,30 天居家试用,如果不喜欢可以全额退款。访问 www.tonal.com,结账时用优惠码 tim,智能配件立减 100。就是 www.tonal.com,优惠码 tim。Tonal,做最强的自己。