熊骑独轮车、算法权力与收件箱清零:Naval 的两小时心智减法
Joe Rogan Experience #1309 - Naval Ravikant — 财富、健康与快乐都是可学的技能;真正的自由是把欲望减到一个、把时间从出租中赎回,并在算法统治注意力的时代守住自己的心智。
核心主张
财富、健康与快乐都是可学的技能;真正的自由是把欲望减到一个、把时间从出租中赎回,并在算法统治注意力的时代守住自己的心智。
Naval 从「熊骑独轮车」讲起:稀缺的不是单项技能,而是把不该组合的领域组合起来。财富是正和游戏,靠股权与杠杆而非出租时间,「不靠运气」的答案是成为能反复创造价值的人。另一半是减法:欲望是一份不快乐的合约,冥想是给积压心事做收件箱清零,生命意义没有标准答案,人生是单人游戏。
几条主线
一、拒绝专业化:把一生当作可以重开的组合实验
Naval 说自己之所以有人愿意听,是因为像「熊骑独轮车」——把本不该组合的东西组合起来才稀缺;所有人在深层都是多维的,只是被几句俏皮话概括了。他推崇希腊罗马式的人生弧线:上学、从军、经商、进元老院、再做哲学,每样都试一遍,因为「专业化是给昆虫的」。难处在于爬山:爬到三分之二看见峰顶还远,要登顶就得下山另寻路径,多数人不肯,于是停在半山变老。解法是愿意当傻瓜、保有初学者心态;真正驱动他的不是意志,而是把两个从未相连的想法接上的「啊哈」时刻,那会搭起可以挂更多想法的钢架。同一套逻辑也贯穿读书:母亲把图书馆当托儿所,他后来只读一页就停下来想一整晚,追维基和怪博客里的引用;记忆是没理解的信号,能当场重新推导才算懂。
二、财富是正和游戏,公司正在原子化,而通用 AI 还远
《如何不靠运气变富》讲的是能被吸收的永恒原则:财富、快乐、健康都能学。自由市场是人类的本能——第一次有人生火、有人拿鹿来换,就在做专业化与交换,所以交换本身不是零和,而是双方都得到更高效用。真正的批评该指向垄断、权贵资本主义和银行「收益私有化、损失社会化」,而不是否定交换;平等的机会要争取,平等的结果只能靠暴力维持。科斯定理解释了公司为何变小:信息技术压低外部交易成本,最优规模收缩,个体以项目方式接活,像好莱坞为片子组队。他也不买通用 AI 的账:今天的系统仍是封闭、有界的模式识别,连一个细胞内部的运算都还没建模;自动化会吃掉非创造性工作,那反而是把人赶回创造。UBI 的隐忧是滑向社会主义,也解决不了意义问题。
三、注意力之后:算法、政治部落与「单人游戏」
互联网制造「一个巨头 + 百万个体」,中间层被抹平,人人都是记者;而最有权力的人,是给 Twitter、Facebook、Instagram 写排序算法的人,他们在悄悄改写文化。平台一旦因「有人尖叫」下架并不违法的内容,就从通道变成发布者,接下责任,也失去中立。现代人还独自面对被武器化的成瘾设计:新闻、糖、药、色情、游戏都有整座工厂在研究如何抓住你,古人还有部落,我们只有自己,所以必须自己画边界。政治是另一台绞肉机:赢者通吃的制度逼所有人归入两个包裹,信念一旦整齐就不再是清晰思考。他给出的解药是减法——关掉输入、冥想、独处;快乐是可以选的,欲望是一份不快乐的合约;生命意义没有答案,所以人生是单人游戏,只能自己命题。
关键知识点
「专业化是给昆虫的」
Naval 借朋友这句话反对把人生压在一个身份上。他推崇希腊罗马式的人生弧线:年轻时上学,然后从军、经商、进元老院或政府,最后做哲学家,每件事都试一遍。人本来就是多维的,只是被几句精炼的话概括;真正难的是爬山爬到三分之二时,肯下山另找一条通往峰顶的路。
《如何不靠运气变富》:三件事都能学
他把当年那条推文串讲成播客,标题只是钓人,内容是想讲清财富创造的永恒原则。财富、快乐、健康是所有人真正想要的三件东西,而且都能被学会。他强调自己出身贫穷、如今过得不错且很快乐,这些原则是他十三四岁起随身带了三十年的东西;播客只能给几个「钩子」,剩下要靠自己吸收后干上十年。
写排序算法的人掌握信息传播
他指出互联网把媒体变成「少数巨头 + 数百万独立个体」,中间层消失,人人都是记者。而今天世界上最有权力的人,是为 Twitter、Facebook、Instagram 写算法的人:他们控制信息扩散、悄悄为文化编程。他还反驳 Google 高管在国会否认「操纵搜索结果」——排序本身就是它的全部工作。平台若因有人尖叫而下架并不违法的内容,就从运营商变成发布者,承担连带责任,也失去中立。
冥想是给心智做「收件箱清零」
他把冥想比作自我治疗:成长中没处理完的偏好、判断和遗憾,会像未读邮件一样堆上几十年的收件箱;一坐下来它们就全部涌回来,所以多数人以为「静不下来」而放弃。正确做法是不使劲、不抵抗,让每封邮件逐一过一遍,直到某天坐下时只剩下昨天的事——那时冥想才真正开始。
生命意义没有答案,所以你才自由
他追问「生命的意义」这个「为什么」能有什么答案,结论是必然掉进阿格里帕三难:无限回溯、循环论证,或停在一个公理上(神、数学、大爆炸、模拟)——公理只是停止追问的地方。所以没有标准答案,答案要自己编;如果真只有一个答案,人反而不自由,只能像机器人一样比赛谁更符合它。
退休不是六十五岁,而是今天不再为明天牺牲
他重新定义退休:当你不再为某个想象中的未来牺牲今天,当今天本身是完整的,你就已经退休。路径有三条——被动收入覆盖开销、把开销降到接近零、或做一件热爱到与钱无关的事。反过来,用「奖励」把自己绑在四十小时工作上,又不断升级房子、车子和邻里,是最常见的陷阱。
时间线
- 00:01开场:熊骑独轮车——把本不该组合的东西组合起来才稀缺
- 02:17爬山比喻:要登顶就得下山另寻新路,多数人不肯从头再来
- 12:03《如何不靠运气变富》:财富、快乐、健康都能被学会
- 34:40通用 AI 仍远:模拟一个细胞还要约五十年,造出大脑或许一百年
- 1:00:13算法即权力:写推荐算法的人在为整个文化编程
- 1:17:24唯一的解法是关掉:冥想与独处既是古人的修行,也是今人的防线
- 1:40:21先让人变富再谈意义:佛陀也是从王子开始的
- 2:10:38工作是玩:看起来在工作,其实是每天十六小时在玩
原话摘录
“as one of my friends says specialization is for insects”
用我朋友的话说:专业化是给昆虫的。
“contract that you make with yourself to be unhappy until you get what you want”
欲望是你跟自己签的合约:在得到它之前,你不快乐。
“the most powerful people in the world today are the people who are writing the algorithms for twitter and facebook and instagram”
今天世界上最有权力的人,是为 Twitter、Facebook、Instagram 写算法的人。
“peace is happiness at rest and happiness is kind of peace and motion”
平静是静止的快乐,快乐是运动中的平静。
“you get to make up your own answers”
你可以自己编答案。
行动清单
- 做一次「组合」盘点:写下三件互不相干但你都会的事,设计一个只有你能做的交叉项目,本月交出第一版。
- 给自己定一个略显荒谬的时薪,并按它清理日程:低于这个价的事外包、拒绝或直接放弃,把省下的时间留给只有你能做的事。
- 做一次欲望减法:只保留一个真正压倒性的欲望,把其余欲望逐条写下「我放弃它」,包括那些只为面子而买的东西。
- 做一次六十天冥想实验:每天至少一小时,不专注呼吸、不使劲,只坐着听心里那些未读的「邮件」,直到收件箱见底。
- 给信息源画边界:取关所有以激怒你为业的账号,退出政治争论;决定要不要学一件事时先问:如果不能告诉任何人,我还会想学吗?
00:01one boom all right we're live thank you very much for doing this man i really appreciate it i've been absorbing your information and listening to you talk for uh quite a while now so it's uh it's great to actually meet you thanks for having me my pleasure my pleasure you are one of the rare guys that is uh you're a big investor you are um you're deep in the tech world but yet you seem to have a very balanced perspective in terms of how to live life as opposed to not just be entirely focused on success and financial success tech investing but rather how to live your life in a happy way that's a it's a it's not balance yeah you
00:46know i think the reason why people like uh hearing me is because like if it's like if you go to a circus and you see a bear right that's kind of interesting but not that much if you see a unicycle that's interesting but you see a bear on a unicycle that's really interesting right so when you combine things you're not supposed to combine right people get interested it's like bruce lee right striking thoughts philosophy plus martial arts and i think it's because at some level all humans are broad we're all multivariate but we get summarized in pithy ways in our lives and at some deep level we know that's not true right every human basically is capable of every experience and
01:23every thought uh you know you're ufc comedian commentator podcaster but you're also more than that you're also father uh lover you know thinker etc so i like the model of life that the ancients had the greeks the romans right where you would start out and when you're young you're just like going to school then you're going to war then you're running a business then you're supposed to serve in the senate or the government then you become a philosopher there's sort of this arc to life where you try your hand at everything and as one of my friends says specialization is for insects right so everyone should just be able to do everything and so i don't believe in this model anymore
02:04of trying to focus your life down on one thing you've got one life just do everything you're going to do i couldn't agree more and i i think that sometimes people find certain success in whatever the endeavor is and then they think that that is their niche and they stick with it and they never change and they almost out of fear well it's hard because there's a you know the analogy around mountain climbing like if you find a mountain and you start climbing you spend your whole life climbing it and you get say two thirds of the way and then you see the peak is like way up there but you're two thirds of the way up you're still really high
02:39up but now to go the rest of the way you're going to have to go back down to the bottom and look for another path nobody wants to do that people don't want to start over yeah and it's the nature of later in life that you just don't know the time so it's very painful to go back down and look for a new path but that may be the best thing to do and that's why when you look at the greatest artists uh and and creators they have this ability to start over that nobody else does like elon will you know be called an idiot and start over doing something brand new that he supposedly is not qualified for or when madonna or paul simon or you two come out with a new album their existing fans usually hate it because they've adopted a completely new style that they've learned somewhere else and a lot of times they'll just miss completely so you
03:22have to be willing to be a fool and kind of have that beginner's mind and go back to the beginning to start over if you're not doing that you're just getting older yeah i mean i don't even know if it's willing to be a fool it's just to me that the most exciting thing is to try to get better at something to learn things i mean it's really exciting when you just have incremental progress and something that you're completely new to yeah i live for the aha moment that moment when you connect two things together that you hadn't connected together before and it fits nicely and solidly and it kind of helps form a steel framework of understanding in your mind
03:55that you can then hang other ideas off of that's what i live for yeah it's like curiosity fulfilled and it's what little children do too you know my little son is always asking why why why and i always try and answer him and half the times i realize actually i don't really understand why i just have a memorized answer for you but that's not really understanding yeah those are weird conversations right when you're you're talking to your kids and you say look uh the reality is i don't know a lot of things yes i've just memorized a lot of things and there's certain things that you just can't know yeah you realize that you know you have answers for a few
04:32things that you've thought through then you sort of have cover-ups like like trap doors like don't go here this is just a cover-up i don't really know the answer to what the meaning of life is or how we got here yes and then you've got a whole bunch of memorized stuff because a lot of your uh a lot of intelligence these days just the external brain pack of civilization i know it's out there i know the answers are out there know how to look them up and i've memorized some of them and i i kind of understand how money works and the federal reserve prints it and what this government thing is but not really so not good enough to teach
05:01it in university yeah yeah i think people do that with almost everything in life these days in terms of like have a like a one page a one cheat like a brief summary of what and the explanation for what this very complex subject might be tldr right don't give me the don't give me the lecture give me the book don't give me the book give me the blog post don't give me the blog post give me the tweet don't give me the tweet i just i already know yeah i got really fascinated by the way you read because i thought there was something wrong with me by doing that but you you don't really just read a book to completion you read and then you pick something else up and you just kind of go based on your whims whatever you're interested in well i was raised by my i was raised by a single mom in new york and she used the
05:49local library as a daycare center because it was a very tough neighborhood and so she would basically say when you get back from school go straight to the library and don't come out until i pick you up late at night so i used to basically live in the library and i read everything i read every magazine i read every pictograph or every book or every map i just ran out of stuff to read i just read everything so i got over this idea of that reading a large number of books or reading a book to completion as a vanity metric because really when people are putting up photos on twitter instagram of look at my pile of books that i'm reading
06:20it's a show-off thing it's a signaling thing yeah sure and the reality is i would rather read the best hundred books over and over again until i absorb them rather than read all the books right yeah because your your brain has finite information in a finite space you get enough advice it all cancels to there's a lot of nonsense in books out there too so i don't read anymore to complete books i read to satisfy my genuine intellectual and it can be anything it could be nonsense it could be history could be fiction it could be science it could be sci-fi these days it's mostly sci-fi philosophy science because that's just what i'm interested in but i will read for understanding
07:00so a really good book i will flip through i won't actually read it consecutively in order and i won't even just even finish it i'm looking for ideas things that i don't understand and when i find something really interesting i'll reflect on it i'll research it and then when i'm bored of it i'll drop it or i'll flip to another book thanks to electronic books i've got 50 70 books open at any time in my kindle or ibooks and i'm just bouncing around between them it's also a little bit of a defense mechanism to how in modern society we get too much information too quickly and so our attention spans are very low so you get twitter you get instagram you
07:37get facebook you're just used to being bombarded with information so you can take that to you you can view that as a negative and be like i have no attention span or you could view that as a positive i multitask really well and i can dig really fast i can if i find a thread that's interesting i can follow it through five social networks through the web through the libraries through the books and i can really get to the bottom of this thing very quickly it's like the library of alexandria that i can research at my disposal so i i no longer track books read or even care about books read it's about understanding concepts yeah you brought up two awesome
08:11points first of all the social media aspect of of books and basically anything it's like it's such a weird way to display your life because it's you know you're displaying the best aspects of your life and some sort of a glass you know just it's an unrealistic version of your life that you cultivate and you curate and i'm i'm as guilty of that as anybody everybody's guilty of it i'm guilty of it too yeah you know i mean i pose with my dog every time i run yeah we're always signaling yeah it's like rather than really looking at yourself you're looking at how other people look at you so it's like this one remove mental image and it's kind of a
08:50disease because social media is making celebrities of all of us and celebrities the most miserable people in the world right because they're this strong self-image that gets built up it gets built up by compliments every time somebody pays you or me a compliment and we're like oh well thank you right then that builds up an image of who we are and then one idiot comes along one out of ten one out of a hundred and they can easily tear it down because it doesn't take many insults to cancel out a lot of compliments and now you're carrying around this big weighty self-image and it's just very easy to be attacked and because you're you're famous or you're well known people want
09:23to attack you so being a celebrity is no good it's actually a problem like one of my tweets is and these are all reminders to myself is you want to be rich and anonymous not poor and there's benefits to it of course of course but we wouldn't do it it has problems that you don't get trained for and you really will not understand unless you experience it you know i was having this conversation with my wife we were talking about um people that just come up to you and they don't care what you're doing they don't care if i'm with my daughter if i'm holding her if i'm feeding her for you know we're in the middle of an intense conversation
10:02she's crying she could be crying and some bro will come over and just immediately have to take a picture doesn't care his needs supersede the daughter and my wife was saying i that before she knew me she used to think that that's just part of the price of being famous that people people like you that's just part of the price being famous and now when it interrupts her life and you know it interrupts the children and it interrupts friends and you know she now she's like this is annoying like this is not this is not healthy this is not a smart way to to interact with people and that people have this weird challenge this weird thing that if you're if
10:42you become famous there's this weird challenge where people just want to come to you especially today because if they can get a photo of you then that boosts their social media profile like hey i'm sitting here with the vault look at that smile anonymity is a privilege on the other hand it's self-inflicted i mean we brought it on ourselves yeah we don't think we knew what it was though we did but we carry on so yeah it tells us we are getting something out of it so i you know there are times when someone will approach me in public and i'm a little resentful and there are other times i'm just like actually i'm really grateful that you know i worked
11:13for this i got this right this is the payoff just embrace it smile grit and bear it but you have a different sort of celebrity too right you're you're a hero amongst investors and amongst i mean you've just i'm a among young male geeks which is those are some of my favorite people right but that's not the kind of celebrity i think most people set out to get especially most guys right right you want the cute females yeah i look at my brief little youtube clips i have a tiny little podcast going now and it's like 95 mail oh sure yeah this is very highly 18 to 35. yeah we what do we what is the numbers yeah it's in the 90s yeah um you you did that one you do that one very small podcast where you just have small like three or four minute clips yeah so what
12:03it was i i did a tweet storm uh called how to get rich without getting lucky and it got pretty popular in twitter and it's really about wealth creation i just use the clickbaity title and it's trying to basically lay out timeless principles of wealth creation that if you absorb them you become the kind of person who can create wealth create business make money and my theory behind that is like there are three things everybody wants there's actually more than three but let's just start with three the three basics everybody wants to be wealthy everybody wants to be happy and everybody wants to be fit and i know there's a lot of virtue signal that goes on like we don't want
12:39to money and you know i don't care about being happy and happiness is for stupid people but let's face it like you want to be rich and happy and healthy that's the trifecta now of course you also want an internally calm state of mind you want a loving household so there are other things that come into it but those three i think they can actually be taught right and the fitness i'm not going to teach there are a lot of people who you've had on here including yourself who know a heck of a lot more about fitness and health than i do i was born poor and miserable and uh i'm now pretty well off and i'm very happy and i
13:11don't and i worked at those and so i've learned a few things there are some principles and so i try to lay them out but in a timeless manner where you can kind of figure it out yourself because at the end of the day i can't really teach anything i can only inspire you and maybe give you a few hooks so you can remember things when they happen or put a name to them so this podcast actually ended up explaining this tweet storm so there's a tweet storm with like 36 38 tweets got very famous got translated to dozens of languages and these were principles that i came up with for myself when i was really young around 13 14 and
13:46i've been carrying them in my head for 30 years and i've been sort of living them and over time i just realized like sadly or fortunately the thing that i got really good at was looking at businesses and figuring out the point of maximum leverage to actually create wealth and capture some of that and do it in a very long-term kind of way not let the you know banker crash the economy get filled out kind of way but you know build businesses and help people and provide value kind of especially when applied to modern technology and leverage in this age of infinite leverage that we live in so the podcast is just explaining each tweet so these are little three four
14:24five minute snippets i don't like to say the same thing twice i don't like to explain in detail i just i i feel like if you have something original and interesting to say you should say it otherwise it's probably been said better so that podcast tries to be information dense it tries to be very concise it tries to be high impact it tries to be timeless and it has all the information i think you need the principles that if you absorb these and you work hard over 10 years you get what you want so i've got the one on wealth creation i'm going to attempt to do one on happiness is a big word but you know happiness and inner peace
15:02and calm and all that because what you want is you don't want to be the guy who succeeds in life while being high strung high stress and unhappy and leading the trail of emotional wreckage with you and your loved ones which is more common than not yeah because you got to focus and it's very hard to be great at everything you want to be the guy or the gal who gets there calmly you know quietly without struggle uh you want to be the person who's the when there's a crisis going on you want to be the calmest coolest cucumber in the room who still also figures out the correct answer um if you can be you were one of the things
15:38that you were saying is that you feel like happiness is something that you can learn and then you can teach yourself to be happy even just by adopting the mindset that you are a happy person and proclaiming that to your friends and so you've sort of developed a social contract i'm a happy person and i have to live up to that yeah i've got hundreds of techniques but then how did you develop that one there's just a there's social consistency right humans have a need to be highly consistent with their past pronouncements so the way i started my first tech company was i was in working inside a larger organization and i told everybody that i was going to go start
16:16a company i was like i hate this place i'm going to do my own thing i'm going to be successful entrepreneur six months past nine months pass then people start you're still here i thought you were going to go start a company are you lying right that was the implication so we kind of know this right social contracts are very powerful like if you want to give up drinking right and you're not serious about it you'll say i'm going to cut back i'm going to have only one drink a night i'm going to only drink on weekends you tell yourself but if you're serious you'll announce it on facebook you'll tell all your friends you'll tell your wife you'll say i'm
16:49done drinking i'm throwing everything out of the house you'll never see me drink again when you say that you know you're serious so i think a lot of these are choices that we make and happiness is just one of those choices and this is unpopular to say because there are people who are actually depressed you know chemically or what have you and there are people who don't believe that it's possible because then it creates a responsibility on them it says oh now if i'm you're saying if i'm not happy that's my fault i'm not saying that but i'm saying that just like fitness can be a choice health can be a choice nutrition can be a choice working hard and making
17:22money can be a choice happiness is also a choice if you're so smart how come you aren't happy how come you haven't figured that out that's my challenge to all the people who think they're so smart and so capable if you're so smart and capable why can't you change this there are a bunch of people though that actually take pleasure in being there's something about the pursuit of excellence and of success that supersedes all other that in in their eyes it is that the peak the pinnacle the most important thing it's not a trade-off i would argue that if now when i say happy happy is one of those words that means a zillion different things right it's like love right
18:07what does that mean right i love cheese yeah i'm going to define it a little bit more tightly let's go back to desire right this is old old buddhist wisdom i'm not saying anything original but desire to me is a contract that you make with yourself to be unhappy until you get what you want okay and i keep that in front of mine so when i'm unhappy about something i look for what is the underlying desire that i have that's not being fulfilled it's okay to have desires you're a biological creature you're put on this earth you have to do something you have to have desires you have a mission but don't have too many don't pick them up unconsciously don't
18:44pick them up randomly don't have thousands of them my coffee is too cold doesn't taste quite right i'm not sitting perfectly oh i wish it was warmer uh you know my dog you know pooped in the lawn i didn't like that whatever it is pick your one overwhelming desire it's okay to suffer over that one but on all the others you want to let them go so you can be calm and peaceful and relaxed and then you'll perform a better job most people when you're unhappy like a depressed person it's not that they have very clear calm mind they're too busy in their mind their sense of self is too strong they're sitting indoors all the time their minds working working
19:18working they're thinking too much well if you want to be a high performance athlete how good of an athlete are you going to be if you're always having epileptic seizures if you're always like twitching and running around and like jumping and your your limbs are flailing out of control the same way if you want to be effective in business you need a clear calm cool collected mind warren buffett plays bridge all day long and goes for walks in the sun he doesn't sit around like constantly loading his brain with non-stop information and and getting worked up about every little thing we live in an age of infinite leverage what i mean by that is that your actions can be multiplied a
19:54thousand fold either by broadcasting at a podcast or by investing capital or by having people work for you or by writing code so because of that the impacts of good decision making are much higher than they used to be because now you can influence thousands or millions of people through your decisions or your a clear mind leads to better judgment leads to a better outcome so a happy calm peaceful person will make better decisions and have better outcomes so if you want to operate at peak performance you have to learn how to tame your mind just like you have to learn how to tame your body i love what you're saying warren buffett might not be the best example because he
20:34drinks like i think six coca-colas a day and he eats mostly mcdonald's and he's still alive somehow so that shows you that low stress is more nobody looks like [ __ ] like how old is he i mean he's he's a fairly old man charlie mungers i think in his 90s right yeah he's made it really far i wonder what warren's doing you know i mean just he's got to know that's bad for him but it's terrible he doesn't care he doesn't care i think he's just a little stressed yeah stresses right so he just enjoys that coca-cola and that's probably maybe there is a trade-off right like maybe him enjoying that junk food and that coke just ah that that pleasing of
21:09the mind is maybe better than him just eating wheatgrass shots and yeah and salads and just being yeah just super worked up about everything it's like if you need your glass of red wine to de-stress and calm down that's probably better than you flying off the rails right right and i think that that's applicable not just in business but in probably any pursuit and i like what you're saying about allow that one thing to be your obsession but everything else just you know learn how to learn how to let things go pick your battles we like to think that we we like to view the world as linear which is i'm going to put in eight hours of work i'm going
21:49to get back eight hours of output right it doesn't work that way guy running the corner grocery store is working just as hard or harder than you and me how much output is he getting what you do who you do with how you do it way more important than how hard you work right outputs are non-linear based on the quality of the work that you put in the right way to work is like a lion you don't you and i are not like cows we're not meant to graze all day right we're meant to hunt like lions we're closer to carnivores in our omnivorous development than we are to herbivores um we don't tell vegans that yeah sorry look i wish
22:23all that stuff worked i don't want to eat meat this future generation will look back at us as worse than slavers you know because the holocaust we're committing with the animals but they'll have artificial meats that taste and are healthier is uh better than the real thing so allegedly but so as a modern knowledge worker athlete as an intellectual athlete you want to function like an athlete which means you train hard then you sprint then you rest then you reassess you get your feedback loop then you train some then you sprint again then you rest then you reassess this idea that you're going to have linear output just by cranking every day at the same amount of time same that's machines
23:04you know machines should be working nine to five humans are not meant work nine of are not meant to work nine to five no i agree wholeheartedly but that's it for people that are working for someone there's not really that option so that's unfortunately the the rub right that's kind of where my tweet storm starts which is first of all the first thing if you're going to make money is that you're not going to get rich renting at your time even lawyers and doctors who are charging three four 500 an hour they're not getting rich because their lifestyle is slowly ramping up along with their income and they're not saving enough uh they just don't have that ability to so the
23:42first thing you have to do is you have to own a piece of a business you need to have equity either as an owner an investor shareholder or a brand that you're building that accrues to you to gain your financial yeah and i was really fascinated by another thing that you were bringing up about working for yourself that you feel in the future whether it's 50 or 100 years from now virtually everyone is going to be working for themselves and i believe the way you put it is that the information age is going to reverse the industrial age yeah if you go back to hunter-gatherer times how we evolved we basically work for ourselves we communicated and cooperated within tribes but
24:20each hunter each gatherer stood on their own and then combined their resources with the family unit but there was no boss hierarchy hierarchy or you're like the third middle manager down in the farming age we became a little bit more hierarchical as we had to run farms but even those were still mostly family farms it's industrial work with factories that sort of created this model of thousands of people working together on one thing and having bosses and schedules and times to show up the reality is if you have to go i don't care how rich you are i don't care whether you're like a top wall street banker if you have to go if somebody has to tell you if somebody
24:57can tell you when to be at work and what to wear and how to behave you're not a free person you're not actually rich so we're in this model now where we think it's all about employment and jobs and intrinsic in that is that i have to work for somebody else but the information age is breaking that down so ronald kos is an economist who has this coase theorem a very famous theorem but it basically just talks why is a company the size that it is why is a company one person instead of 10 people instead of 100 instead of a thousand and it has to do with the internal transaction costs versus the external transaction costs let's say i want
25:34to do something let's say i'm building a house and i need someone to come in and provide the lumber i'm a developer right do i want that to be part of my company or do i want that to be an external provider a lot of it just depends on how hard it is to do that transaction with someone externally versus internally if it's too hard to keep doing the contract every time externally i'll bring that in-house if it's easy to do externally and it's a one-off kind of thing i'd rather keep it out of the house well information technology is making it easier and easier to do these transactions externally it's becoming much easier to communicate with people gig economy i
26:08can send you small amounts of money i can hire you through an app i can rate you afterwards so we're seeing an atomization of the firm we're seeing the optimal size of the firm shrinking it's most obvious in silicon valley tons and tons of startups constantly coming up and shaving off little pieces of businesses from large companies and turning them into huge markets so what looked like the small little vacation rental market on craigslist is now suddenly blown up into airbnb one example that's a great example but what i think we're going to see whether it's 10 20 50 100 years from now high quality work will be available we're not talking about driving an uber we're talking about super high
26:48quality work will be available in a gig fashion where you'll wake up in the morning your phone will buzz and you'll have five different jobs from people who have worked with you in the past or have been referred to it's kind of like how hollywood already works a little bit with how they're organized for a project you decide whether to take the project or not the contract is right there on the spot you get paid a certain amount you get rated every day or every week you get the money delivered and then when you're done working you turn it off and you go to tahiti or wherever you want to spend the next three months and i think the smart people
27:15have already started figuring out that the internet enables this and they're starting to work more and more remotely on their own schedule on their own time on their own place with their own friends in their own way and that's actually how we are the most productive so the information revolution by making it easier to communicate connect and cooperate is allowing us to go back to working for ourselves and that is my ultimate dream even when i run a company and i have employees i always tell those people hey i'm going to help you start your company when you're ready because i think that's the highest calling maybe not everybody will get there but it would be fine if we were even
27:51working a ten person company or twenty person company is way better than working in a thousand person company a ten thousand person company so this idea that we're all factory like cogs in a machine who are specialized and have to do things by rote memorization or instruction it's going to go away and we're going to go back to being small groups of creative bands of individuals setting out to do missions and when those missions are done we collect our money we get rated and then we rest and reassess until we're ready for the next sprint has there ever been a study done on happiness and as it regards the size of companies not that i'm aware but to me it's obvious
28:27it's just obvious the smaller the company the happier you're going to be the more human your relations are the less you have rules to operate under the more flexible the more creative the more you betray like a human just because you're able to do multiple things yeah um this brings me to is a subject that keeps getting brought up nowadays is universal basic income with the oncoming apocalypse of automation this is how it's being portrayed by andrew yang who's running for president i sat down and talked to him about is very and he's a very smart guy and he's an entrepreneur himself and when he starts talking about automation and how it's going to just eliminate massive amounts of jobs and
29:07leave people stranded what do you when i know you're a guy who thinks about the future and i'm going to take this popular point of view on this i don't i think it's a non-solution to a and i mean that in the sense that automation has been happening since the dawn of time electricity came along that put a lot of people out of work did it right a lot of people carrying buckets of water and you know lighting lamps and all those kinds of things and this was the concern with factories as well apps everything literally every single thing that comes even the printing pros absolutely and what it does is it frees people up for new creative work so the
29:39question is not is automation going to eliminate jobs there is no finite number of jobs we're not like sitting around dividing up the same jobs that we're around since the stone age so obviously new jobs are being created and they're usually better jobs more creative jobs so the question is how quickly is this transition going to happen and what kinds of jobs will be eliminated and what kinds of jobs will be created it's impossible looking forward to predict what kinds of jobs will be created if i told you 10 years ago that podcaster was going to be a job or that you know playing video games is going to be a job or commentating on video games is going to be
30:13a job you would have laughed me out of the room those are nonsense jobs but yet here we are so society will always create new jobs civilization creates new jobs but it's impossible to predict what those jobs are so the question is how quickly is that transition happening well the reality is even though everybody keeps talking about this automation apocalypse we're at a record low unemployment explain that where's the transition donald trump that's hard all i'm saying is it's it's i don't see it in the numbers i don't see it actually happening the question is how quickly can you retrain people so it's an education problem the problem with ubi there's a couple of problems with ubi one is you're creating
30:53a slippery slide straight into socialism right the moment people can start voting themselves money combined with a democracy right it's just a matter of time before the bottom 51 votes themselves everything in the top 49. yeah and it just it and by the way slippery slope fallacy is not a fallacy and i know people like saying that but they haven't thought it through um but the moment you start having a direct transfer mechanism like that in a democracy you're basically doing it with capitalism which is the engine of economic growth you're also forcing the entrepreneurs out or telling them not to come here the estimate i saw for 15k a year basic income for everybody would
31:31be three quarters of current gdp and of course gdp would shrink in response as all the entrepreneurs fled so you would essentially bankrupt the country another issue at ubi is that people who down in their luck they're not looking for handouts it's not just about money it's also about status it's about meaning and the moment i start giving money to you and put you on the dole i've lowered your status i've made you a second class citizen so i have to give you meaning and meaning comes through education and capability i have you have to teach a man to fish not to basically throw your rotting leftover carcasses at him and say here eat the scraps so it doesn't solve the
32:06meaning problem and lastly it's nonsense to hand 15k out to everybody you want to means test people there's no reason to give it to you and me so you end up back towards the welfare system where you do have to figure out who needs it and who doesn't so i think the better route is that we actually establish a set of basic substance services that you have to have and we provide those in abundance to technology-based automation so get basic housing get basic food get basic transportation get high-speed internet access get a phone in your pocket those are the kinds of things you want to give and finally in terms of the rate of automation i think we can educate people
32:45very quickly one of the myths that we have today is that adults can't be re-educated we view education as this thing where you go to school you come out when you're out of college and you're done no more education well that's wrong you have all these great online boot camps and coding schools coming up they're ones that will even pay you to go there now you can educate people and mass and you can educate them into creative professions people who are talking about ai automating programming have never really written serious code coding is thinking it's automatic structure thinking an ai that can as well or better than humans is an ai that just took over the world that's end game that's
33:24the end of the human species and i can give you arguments why i don't think that's coming either people who are thinking and i know i take the opposite side from some very famous people in this debate but we're nowhere near close to general ai not in our lifetimes you don't have to worry about it even in our lifetimes really it's so overblown uh it's it's a combination of cassandra complex you know it's fun to talk about the end of the world combined with a god complex like people who have lost religion so they're looking for meaning in some kind of end of history right right um the reason why i don't think ai is coming anytime soon is because a
34:00lot of the advances in so-called ai today are what we call narrow ai they're really pattern recognition machine learning to figure out like what is that object on the screen or how do you find this signal and all that noise there's nothing approaching what we call creative to actually model general intelligence you run into all kinds of problems first we don't know how the brain works at all number two we've never even modeled a paramecium or an amiibo let alone a human brain number three there's this assumption that all of the computation is going at the cellular level at the neuron level whereas nature is very parsimonious it uses everything at its disposal there's a lot of machinery inside the cell
34:40that is doing calculations that is intelligent that isn't accounted for and the best estimates are would take 50 years of moore's law before we can simulate what's going on inside a cell near perfectly and probably 100 years before we can build a brain that can stimulate inside the cells so putting it at saying that i'm just going to model neuron is on or off and then use that to build a human brain is overly simplistic furthermore i would posit there's no such thing as general intelligence every intelligence is contextual within the context of the environment that it's in so you have to evolve an environment around it so i think a lot of people who are peddling general ai the burden
35:13of proof is on them i haven't seen anything that would lead me to indicate we're approaching general ai instead we're solving deterministic closed set finite problems using large amounts of data but it's not sexy to talk about that if you you're talking about mirroring the actual abilities of cells or are you talking about recreating the actual mechanism like what what what is going on inside cells and and biological organisms yeah we just don't know how intelligence works right we don't know we literally have no idea so most of the ai approaches basically say we're going to try and model how the brain works but the model at the neuron level which is saying this neurons on that neurons often combining their
35:56signal but i'm saying in the neuron is a cell inside the cell there's all this machinery going on that's operating the neuron that is also part of the intelligence apparatus you can't just ignore that and abstract that out you have to model it down to the in inside the cell level it's also a part of the biological organism itself exactly and it has all these needs that you know the biological organism has to have food and rest and exactly there's a balance going on but when you eliminate all that when there is none of that and it's just calculations and we get to a point where it's just this thing that we've created whether you call it a computer whether it
36:33doesn't have to be a moving thing even but a thing that you've created that stores virtually all the information that's available in the world stores all the patterns of all the thinking of all the great people that have ever lived all the the writers all the people that have ever published anything all the people that have ever spoken any words stores all of their points all their counterpoints all their contradictions applies logic and reason some sort of sense of the future and starts improving upon these patterns and then starts acting on its own based on the information that it's been provided with well first you would have to actually simulate a structure the human brain that can hold all that information
37:22you're basically talking about tens of thousands of brains worth of information right we can't even build one brain the next decade or two or three well in terms of an actual physical brain yes but what about something that recreates the abilities of a brain like i said nature is parsimonious so we've got this three pound wet wear object that can hold all this data nature has been very efficient in evolving kind of how we get there i i just don't think computers are anywhere close to that like they can hold that amount of data with that complexity with like the holographic structure of the brain where it can recall in many many different ways and then i don't think you can
37:59evolve a creature to be intelligent outside of the boundaries of feedback in a real medium like if you evolved if you raised a human being a concrete cell with no input from the outside they wouldn't have any feedback from the real world they wouldn't evolve properly so i think just dumping information into into a thing isn't enough it has to have an environment to operate in to get feedback from it needs to have context but isn't that biological i mean what if you if you have just the all the information that people have accumulated and the lessons that people have learned and you program that into the computer like if if we can take a computer that can beat someone at
38:36chess the the real question was well can we make some sort of an artificial intelligence could beat someone at go which is far more complex of chess they figured out how to do that too and that was a giant shock right these are still man-made very closed bounded games they're they're not they're not on the road to the unbounded game of life they are completely artificial but this didn't go didn't that give you like a little bit of a pause a little bit go is not go or league of legends or fortnite they're not completely deterministic right but they're still very artificial very bounded games being good at go doesn't mean that you can then suddenly figure out how to write
39:16great poetry right the creativity for sure is something that's creativity is the last frontier so i do believe that automation over a long enough period of time will replace every non-creative job or every non-creative work but that's great news that means that all of our basic needs are taken care of and what remains for us is to be creative which is really what every human wants yeah what are you doing right now this is a creative job sure um that that brings us back to the idea of meaning and universal basic income uh i think the idea of giving someone 15 000 a year doesn't necessarily cause whatever what everyone would worry about is people being on the dole you would
40:00have a bunch of listless people out there with no meaning in life but the idea is that fifteen thousand dollars a year and i'm not necessarily sure i agree with this i'm not even endorsing this but that fifteen thousand dollars a year would just provide you with the necessities to get by in life it would give you food it would give you shelter well it's not gonna stop at 15 because the moment people are like i mean like 15 like then people would demand more bernie sanders would be on this 16 7 45 thousand dollars yeah these companies are too big yeah that could it doesn't it doesn't stop it's just it just goes all the way to bankruptcy the concern
40:32is the slide to socialism it's obvious yeah i mean heck if i was on if i was not working and i was getting my 15 a year i would happily vote for the guy who would give me 20 or 25 it's just common sense what do you say to the people that don't believe that there is such a thing of ethical as ethical or compassionate capitalism and there's many people today that are espousing marxism and they're espousing some sort of a socialist society where they believe that capitalism has screwed people over and the middle class and there are absolute problems with capitalism i think monopolies are a problem i think that uh crony capitalism is a problem with the government you
41:10know kind of gets in bed with them and sort of forces things uh i think the bankers have really you know raped society and the rest of us are suffering for it yeah they've essentially taken huge risks where they privatize the gains and they socialize the losses so when it fails they basically get billed out and bankrupt everybody else so capitalism has gotten a really bad name let's talk about its free exchange free markets and free exchange are intrinsic to humans from when the first person started a fire and somebody came along with a deer and said hey if i cook my deer on your fire i'll share some of it with you right so specialization labor we trade that's built
41:47into the human species basic math comes from accounting keeping track of debts and credits and so on we need to be able to engage in free trade the correct criticism of capitalism is when it does not provide equal opportunity and so we should always strive to provide equal opportunity but people confuse that with equal outcome when you have equal outcome that can only be enforced through violence because different people free people make different choices and when they make different choices they have different outcomes if you don't let them suffer the consequences of bad choices or reap the rewards from good choices then you are forcibly redistributing through violence it's interesting that there isn't there are no socialist working socialist examples that
42:29exist without violence you basically need someone to show up with a gun and say okay you're not allowed to do that you hand this over to that person so one of the reasons why this podcast is because i believe everybody can be wealthy everybody it's not a zero-sum game it is a positive sum game you create something brand new you exchange it with me for something brand new i've created this higher utility for both of us the sum of the value created is positive it's not like status where it's like you're higher up i'm lowered down your president so must be vice president you're a plus one i'm a minus one and has to cancel a zero we should all be
43:02all for playing some ethical games the problem is because of these looters who have ruined capitalism's name that then you get socialists coming in and saying burn the whole system down right you burn the whole system down we end up like venezuela or the former soviet union you know you don't want to be a failed socialist states with emaciated teens hunting cats in the streets to eat right that's literally what happens in some of these places so i think it's very important not to destroy the engine of progress that brought us here yeah the idea that socialism just hasn't worked yet that it needs to the we just need to do it right if we do it right we can if
43:38you ever 100 million dead and yeah yeah well let's keep trying all over the world yeah and and every single time it's been have you ever had a conversation with someone who's a socialist who where many times some of my better friends are socialists really we really get into it yeah and what is there i mean does anyone have a compelling perspective at all i i think really socialism comes from the heart right you all we all want to be capitalism comes from the head because they're always cheaters in any system yes and there's incentives in any system when you're young if you're if you're not a socialist you have no heart when you're older if you're not a capitalist you
44:18have no head right you haven't thought it through so i understand where it comes from i always liked nassim taleb's framing on this where he said with my family i'm a communist with my close friends i'm a socialist uh you know at my state level politics i'm a democrat at you know higher levels i'm a republican and at the federal level i'm a libertarian right so basically the larger the group of people you have massed together who have different interests the less trust there is the more cheating there is the better the incentives have to be aligned the better the system has to work the more you go towards capitalism the smaller the group you're in you're in a kibbutz you're
44:53in your commune you're in your house you're in your tribe by all means be a socialist with my aunts with my brother with my cousins with my uncles with my mom with your family i'm a socialist that's the right way to live a loving integrated life yes but when you're dealing with strangers i mean you want to be a real socialist great open all your doors and windows tomorrow please everybody come take what you want see how that works out yeah this idea of income inequality that always strikes me as a very it's a deceptive term income inequality well let's flip it around it comes from outcome inequality yeah and the outcome inequality is there because you made different choices now
45:33again going back if it was because you didn't have the same opportunities that's a problem yes so society should always try to give people equal opportunities so for example instead of basic income what if we had a retraining program built into our basic social fabric which said that every four years or every six years or whatever it is maybe it's every 10 you can take one year out and we'll pay for you to go retrain completely and you can go into any profession you like that has some earning power and output hopefully a creative long-term profession and you can re-educate that would be much better for society on all levels than basically just saying now you're going to be the dole
46:12for the rest of your life yeah you just you'd have to lead that horse to water and then make them drink it requires people to put in some effort yeah you know we can't all just sit around it's just not well that's my my perspective on income inequality there's always effort in and and thought inequality there's just some people that are obsessed and if those people become successful it doesn't mean they stole from you it just means that they put in the amount of energy and effort that it's required to reach where they're at and there's a lot of virtue signaling that goes on now where people say well it's because you're privileged well you know you know what the greatest
46:45privilege is you're alive 85 of humanity is dead yeah so how privileged are you then you're living in the first world and you're you know you have four limbs etc so you can take that argument all the way it's kind of a nonsense discussion what's a very weird progressive argument and it as it pertains to uh race is always a weird one right because white privilege to me it although it you could look at what they're saying on paper like yes yeah i'm sure there's more black people that are harassed by the police i'm sure there's more black people who are treated suspiciously by shop owners and the like but the problem isn't the people who aren't treated poorly the problem
47:23is the people who treat the people poorly the problem is racism the problem is not people that didn't ask to be born white or whatever they are and they don't get so this idea of white privilege or male privilege or whatever it is that's not the problem you're just looking at someone who's not a victim of this particular problem that you're highlighting but you're not looking at the perpetrators of the problem you're making people perpetrators by simply existing and having less melanin in their skin or having their ancestors come from actually it's a sneaky way of being racist yeah and then they say you can't be racist it's not racist because you're white that's right that is this hilarious if you
48:08can't be racist against white people that one that's what there's a variation of the whole still while i hit you argument you know stop struggling while i'm hitting you but it's just so silly you've just completely changed what racism means but what's hilarious is mostly the people who are yelling racists are not the minorities when i look on my twitter my social media or on my news it's white on white violence virtue signaling yeah it's white on white violence yeah what's mostly going on is its elitist whites blue state whites college educated whites beating up on high school educated whites blue collar it's a white collar versus blue-collar war that's going on and the rest of us are just kind of
48:42watching like oh that's kind of interesting well it's also a side effect of the ability to broadcast right like everyone with a twitter handle has the ability to broadcast everyone with a facebook page has the ability to pontificate and have these long rambling these huge statements that people put out when you you read them it's like how much time did you put in this what the f do you put that much time in your kids or your job or your job or your life or your future or planning for your you know how much do you work out a day i mean are you just these some i read some people's facebook posts i'm like this is a preposterous amount of
49:18effort that you put into saying virtually nothing let's see humans are being creative yeah and ai do that well that's true it is creative it's it's creative in a very odd way right because it's creative and that they're trying to elicit a response from people and they're trying to raise their their social value or raise their position on the social totem pole it's signaling and it's easy signaling because the kind of thing that everybody has to agree with you on because nobody wants to be seen as a horrible person yeah and it's very hard to make the nuanced arguments against than it is to just kind of go along right well it's also it's some of it is so cliche that
49:54it seems like i i know one guy who poses as a woman on twitter but he does it just obviously yeah uh what is this the name tatiana yes yeah yeah used to be godfrey elwick yes oh is that the same guy i think so yeah that's i did not they killed his account they killed his account for 100 sure for pretending to be transracial that's right they did yeah he basically says all the crazy stuff that people in the left say but he says the craziest version yes and kind of just shows how it's okay like i saw a tweet from recently just said or her that it's not okay to be white yes and then some people agree but it's it's so close to what they say it's so close that it's like the most artful form of subtle parody because it's well if you replace in half of these things if you replace the word white with black or asian
50:53yeah yeah it's a strange time in that respect that there's a favor saying that if you want to see who rules over you see who you're not allowed to criticize excellent yeah that is a that's so true right yeah that's so true i wonder where this is going i really do i wonder because this is it seems like this newfound ability to broadcast that we have with whether you have a youtube page or whether you have twitter or whatever you're doing this newfound ability to spread whatever you're trying to say to so many people with very little understanding on the most part from i think it's actually a great thing overall yeah now it means that any human can broadcast any
51:38other human on the planet at any time so for example if you know a totalitarian dictator were to come to power and someone was beating up you know had fascists beating up on old women like that would get broadcast out instantly there would be an instant outrage hue and cry rallying so in that sense it helps bring attention to the plight of anybody right now we're going through the phase where we have this newfound power to assemble mobs and people don't know how to deal with that so it becomes very easy to set up a mob and have it attack somebody take all the context out like even this conversation i'm sure people will take out snippets put them on social
52:14media and try and get somebody outraged of course and so you have to learn how first of all society just has to get over this idea of outrage like to me outraged people are just people who get easily outraged are the stupidest people on social media those are the people i block instantly uh it's just kind of very low level thinking right these are the foots of the these are the foot soldiers and the mob eventually society just has to get over it they have to understand that these are all snippets being taken out of context these are doctored video clips these are just someone who's trying to get outraged over something eventually there'll also be anti-mob tactics like for example
52:49if if i go to someone's twitter feed and all it is is full of polit political ranting raving conspiracy theories do i want to work with this person do i want to associate with this person do you want to be friends with this person their mind is just cluttered with junk now i don't necessarily blame them i think that the human brain is not designed to absorb all of the world's breaking news 24 7 emergencies injected straight into your skull with clickbait headline news if you pay attention to that stuff even if you're well-meaning even if your sound of mind and body it will eventually drive you insane this goes back to clockwork orange where he's you know has his eyes
53:27opened up he's forced to watch the news but i think that's what's happening right now because these are addictive right twitter facebook instagram these are weaponized you have social statisticians and scientists and researchers and people in lab coats literally best minds of our generation figuring out how to addict you to the news yes and if you fall for it if you get addicted your brain will get destroyed and i think this is the modern struggle right the modern struggle so the ancient struggle used to be the tribal struggle you had your tribe of friends and family you had your religion you had your country you had your loyalty you had your nationality at least you had meaning and support but now
54:04you would struggle against other tribes modern life we're so free everything's become atomized we stand alone you live in your apartment alone you live in your house alone your parents don't live nearby your friends don't live nearby you don't have any tribal meaning you don't believe in religion anymore you don't believe in country anymore it's fine you got a lot of freedom it's fantastic but now when they come to attack you you're alone and you can't resist so how do they attack you it's all well-meaning i don't fault capitalism i love capitalism but look at how it happens social media massaged all the mechanisms to addict you like a skinner's pigeon or a rat who's just gonna click click click click
54:43can't put the phone down the food they've taken sugar and they've weaponized it they've put it into all these different forms and varieties that you can't resist eating drugs right they've taken pharmaceuticals and plants and they've synthesized them they've grown them in such a way that you can't you get addicted you can't put them down porn right if you're a young male you wander on the internet it'll like sap away your libido and you're not going out in real life society anymore because you've got this incredibly stimulating stuff coming at you video games another way to addict people so you have this you have entire large factories of people that are working to addict you to these things and you stand
55:22alone so the modern struggle as an individual is learning how to resist these things in the first place drawing your own boundaries and there's no one there to help you that's terrifying i mean it is a new road that needs to be navigated by young people that are there's no map there's no guidebook on how to handle this our generation is the transition generation i think our kids will know how to handle it better because they'll grow but i hope i hope i hope too because you're seeing some ridiculous behavior from people today that's so common i mean i don't know if you've been paying attention to this but there was a guy who he made a video it turns out
56:02it wasn't even him that made the video at least that's not what he said but it was a video where he sort of doctored nancy pelosi talking and made it look like she was drunk and then a bunch of people retweeted it like oh my god look she's drunk and and so one of the online publications uh some website tracked him down and doxed him and turned out he's just a day laborer who is an african-american trump fan and thought it would be funny to do that and it turns out that he didn't even at least according to him he actually just put it up on his facebook page what's even more disturbing is facebook gave up his information to this
56:43website for what because he made something funny that made people seem drunk there's a million of those about me i mean you could find them i mean i think facebook and twitter and a bunch of these other social media platforms are committing slow-motion suicide through these kinds of that was a stunning one though that they would give up this guy who's a laborer because he made a parody video or he made someone look foolish with editing well you now have basically the media views it as their job to go after individuals they don't like yeah i use media with air quotes in that regard so i don't think this is something that the new york times would have done anything responsible
57:19but the media is getting more and more desperate right because what happened was before the internet you could have two local newspapers in every town and you could have two local news stations you know tv stations in every town and then cnn came along and started commoditizing the news 24 7 broadcast and then the internet came along that was the final nail in the coffin because what the internet did was it said actually if there's a fact that's news you can distribute that immediately it can go on twitter it can go on facebook it gets reprinted on google news a thousand times you know you're going google news you're like okay what's the piece of news which source and three thousand
57:52other articles too many right yeah so news has become commoditized so the entire news media has shifted into peddling opinions and entertainment yes and so now they've a variation between like cheerleaders shock troops enforcers you know talking heads so these are now tribal these are not propaganda machines signaling for their tribes it's a right-wing one this left-wing one right there's the alt-right there's a control left and the two of them are just fighting it out using their various media organs and memes so basically when you see one of these news organizations doxing an individual that's like a tank running over a right that's what's going on it's just war and so there's no there's no such thing anymore as a neutral
58:34media the the illusion of objectivity that journalism had is lost there's no longer one guy like a walter cronkite that everyone's going to listen to it's now all just shock troops fighting wars with each other how does this play out have you thought about it yeah a little bit uh so what the internet does a lot of this is internet driven what the internet does is the internet creates one giant aggregator or two for everything one taxi dispatcher one e-commerce store one search engine one uh you know one social media site for friends and family one for business etc so the internet is this giant aggregator where it creates one big hegemon for and it creates an atomized long tail of
59:21millions and millions of individuals what it gets rid of is the medium medium-sized ones in the middle so for example you might have had like seven hollywood studios what's all going to be netflix you had uh you know like 10 large e-commerce players so commerce players from walmart to costco to you know kmart and whatever now it's just going to be amazon and a ton of small individual brands so that's the world that we're headed towards one hegemon and millions of individuals so where it ends up long term is media will be a few gigantic outlets you know it could be the new york times it could be facebook a few like that and there's going to be just a really
1:00:00long tale of millions of independent people so this idea of who's a journalist and who's not you know is assange journalist or not everyone's a journalist that's the world that we're headed towards i do think the extreme power the most powerful people in the world today and this is not well known but the most powerful people in the world today are the people who are writing the algorithms for twitter and facebook and instagram because they're controlling the spread of information they're literally rewriting people's brains they're programming the culture and they're doing it very subtly like google i believe that you know one of their execs got up in front of congress and the congressman asked him uh you know do you
1:00:38manipulate search results and he said no we do not manipulate search results really that's your job that is literally all google does google has one job which is to manipulate search results to pull them out of the noise and rank them properly and the out the precise algorithms of how they do that is very hidden very complex but influences the hearts and minds of everybody including all the voters now if google facebook and twitter had been smart about this they would not have picked sides they would have said we're publishers whatever goes through our pipes goes through our pipes if it's illegal we'll take it down give us a court order otherwise we don't touch it it's like the phone company
1:01:16if i call you up and i say something horrible to you on the phone the phone company doesn't get in trouble but the moment this started taking stuff down that wasn't illegal because somebody screamed they basically lost their right to be viewed as a carrier and now all of a sudden they've taken on liability so they're sliding down the slippery slope into ruin sloping to ruin where the left wants them to take down the right the right wants him to take down the left and now they have no more friends they have no allies traditionally the libertarian-leaning republicans and democrats would have stood up in principle for the common carriers but now they won't so my guess is as soon as
1:01:49congress this is this day is coming if not already here it might even been here today actually because this saw something related in the news the day is coming when the politicians realize that these social media platforms are picking the next president the next congressman they're literally picking and they have the power to pick so they will be controlled by the in in what way how do you think they're going to be controlled you think they're going to have to adhere to strict principles of freedom of speech no first particularly unfortunately it's headed the opposite direction right absolutely i wish it was freedom of speech much more likely they're going to be in the short to medium term they're going to
1:02:28be hauled in for hearings uh they're going to be pressured massively do this don't do that my concern about that is the the hearings that i saw with zuckerberg those people were completely incompetent they don't seem to understand they don't but they're just applying pressure they're just trying to scare him so he'll do what they want and what do they want him to do they want him to basically suppress the other side so if you're right wing you want to suppress the left wing if you're left-wing you want to suppress the right wing and if you just see where these companies are headquartered in silicon valley all the sensors and that's really what they are there are sensors working inside these
1:02:59companies they're just called they're called by different names obviously right it's double speak you call it the department defense when it's the department of war so in this case the department of safety and trust when it releases the department of censorship the sensors are inside silicon valley so it's going to reflect silicon valley's politics which is extremely progressive left ring yeah and if you're not that you really have no place there's i mean right try being a conservative an open conservative at google good luck now you get lynched yes that's crazy i mean i don't think that there was ever a thing like that was so influential and so politically ideologically one-sided yeah there's a there's a little saying on the
1:03:40internet i think it's called conquest law that any organization that's not explicitly right-wing eventually becomes left-wing and i don't know why that's true but it does seem to me to be true well it's a fascinating battle that's going on right now i mean it really is and conservatives in as far as social media is concerned they're just getting chopped off at the hams left and right yeah what'll eventually happen is that whenever you suppress speech the organism metastasizes then it has to start turning towards other means if you're unlucky goes towards violence if you're lucky they find other outlets i think what will happen is we will start creating decentralized media that's not owned by any single entity that can't be
1:04:23suppressed or shut down that will then start spreading these various things and that will take the place of twitter or facebook that's right but it's going to take 10 years 20 years it's not overnight well you know twitter took 10 years to get to the point where it's at this mess right now but it was so interesting to to have jack dorsey and to to talk to him about where it's going where he thinks it's going in his own principles which he believes that it's a fundamental right and he believes that freedom of speech is something that we all should have and that these platforms should essentially be like utilities like the electric company jack is correct and he has the
1:05:00right vision it's just he's in an organization where the other individuals in the organization feel differently very differently so the organization itself can get hijacked and his timeline for changing things it's like it's decades i mean i i don't know i shouldn't say decades but i mean i was like when do you think that something well there's a part there was one idea of having an uncensored twitter like one twitter that's the wild west like you could have regular twitter or you could try wild west twitter like well that already exists there's a network called gab yes but gab isn't even wild west twitter they when when people dox people they remove things like that yeah i mean i think there's
1:05:41certainly lines around violence and illegality that you don't want to cross but yes gab is closer to free speech platform but it's still not decentralized it can still get shut down it can still get taken out it's also suppressed heavily yes so that so there and the people on there are right now are extremely right-wing so it's not a pleasant place for someone like me to hang out with all the people that have been kicked off of something that's right so that's right try going over there and being moderate try going over there there's no room for you yeah unfortunately because i don't identify as any party or any creed you know it doesn't work for me is that a problem
1:06:14in silicon valley when you don't identify as anything do you get pressure it totally it used to be okay it's not okay anymore when was it okay like 10 years ago i would say it was okay and then you started seeing a shift yeah and now you have to pick sides otherwise you're automatically the enemy really yeah struggle sessions and all that god struggle sessions i'm exaggerating for effect but but it definitely has that oppressive feeling to it right and you also have to be politically outspoken right yeah it can't be something that you just stay neutral about right it's like when uh tim ferriss i think at some point put out a tweet about how you can't just say anything
1:06:47anymore and you know people are being suppressed and a whole bunch of people who love them from silicon valley piled and said what is it that you can't say what are you afraid to say you can say whatever you want tim go ahead what are you afraid of right they don't like baiting yeah what was he trying to say wow we have to put him in that box what is someone who's thinking about saying something he shouldn't have said exactly now we know one great tweet i saw was you know the left one the culture wars now they're just driving around shooting the survivors wow that's hilarious yeah i wonder i wonder who as has won the culture war there's certainly
1:07:18a battle that's been won in terms of like control of social media control of social media is absolutely left well this is unfortunate for conservatives but technology is a force that also pushes left so if you look all throughout human history like the left essentially grows and grows and grows right why is that why is it inexorably that as some commentators have said leviathan slouch is left right leviathan is the government why does it slouch left and i think a lot of that has been because of technology uh technology has made it so that it makes more like industrial revolution technology we all band together we're wards of the state right contraception is a technology that kind of helps lean leftward
1:07:59it takes away from the family unit abortion is a right it wasn't possible thousands of years ago so technology actually empowers the individual the individual means that you have the breakdown of family structure and religion and all that and i'm not mostly opposed to that but it does mean that there's a leftward shift to it now we're getting a small set of technologies that actually can take you more rightward encryption is an example because encryption makes it easier to have privacy it makes it easier to have money that is outside of the state guns 3d printing of guns is an example of a technology that is more of a rightward shift but generally technology leads the world yeah it's it's also
1:08:41usually highly educated people that are involved in technology in the first place and i think when you look at universities in particular they tend to lean left in this country as well universities what happened with the university is very interesting universities first when you know became the arbiters of data and intellectualism and what's right and wrong so there's a time period when it was like should we be doing that or not well let's look at the university what do they have to say what are the smartest people the professors the think tanks have to say and the universities got this credibility from the hard sciences so they got this from uh you know physics and math and computer science and chemistry
1:09:24because these deliver real things the manhattan project the microprocessor the space vehicles and so on the electric car so they gain this mantle of authority and legitimacy from the hard sciences so then come the social sciences kind of sneak in then you get economy economics and microeconomics is a real discipline real science real math behind it logic reason and then you get macroeconomics which can be politicized a little bit more voodoo and then you get social studies and then you get gender studies and then you get blah blah blah blah blah and so what happened is that because we took scientists to be the high priests of our new world science itself has gotten corrupted and the social sciences and you
1:10:05can tell they're fake sciences because the word science tacked on at the end have come in and hijacked the universities and become the new think tanks and so essentially what you see going on today in the universities is a war between the social sciences and the physical sciences and the crossover point is biology right where you can see like the whole gender is a social construct movement is attacking biology and evolutionary biology just like in the social sphere they're coming after the comedians right but you can see the struggle going on the universities and i would say the physical sciences are essentially losing that war what can be done or is it just something that has to play out is it
1:10:42do we have to realize the consequences of the foolishness well the good news is the physical sciences have a reality on their side yeah but it's not even i mean in many ways it's not respected yeah but you at the end of the day your aircraft still has to fly uh you know your microprocessor still has to compute so there's only so far they can they can take it uh but i do see for example in biology a lot of biologists are facing this difficult thing where they have to say things that they know are not true to keep their job like what well you had brett weinstein on here right so that's a that's a clear example so there's just
1:11:18the crossover line of what is acceptable and what's not is entering into biology and biology will probably suffer the synthetic biology for example will you know a lot of this will end up in china because it won't be you you won't be able to map facts and actions together you won't be able to get grants you won't be able to get the adulation of your peers i don't i don't know enough here so now i'm in shaky territory but it's just my sense that that crossover battleground right now is an evolutionary biology economics lost well it's certainly in terms of gender and that that that sort of that seems to be one of the major battlegrounds yeah i mean it's also
1:11:58going to happen for example blank slate theory you know are we nature are we um it's kind of uh socially unacceptable to say that you know a lot of it is nature and not nurture or vice versa depending on which side you're on right those kinds of discussions get corrupted they do get corrupted and it's really unfortunate because that's an unbelievably important thing to understand like what makes a person a sociopath what makes a person a super successful person a winner what what makes a person a drug addict what are these factors you can't have a reasonable conversation about climate science anymore right it's not a science it's all politicized you can't even bring it up everyone's got their minds made
1:12:38up already well it's what's uncomfortable to me is people have their minds made up and they don't even have the data well on most of these topics people are talking past each other anyway they're talking about different things like when you get into uh you know when you when you get into gun control for example right one side is talking about the right to bear arms in case a tyrannical ruler or king tries to take over the country the other time the other side is talking about school shootings and you know protecting people in their homes right from crime so they're just talking about two different things right and it's just not politically acceptable to even talk about the same thing
1:13:13or when it gets to immigration the right is talking about uh you know the left is like bundling together illegal immigration and legal immigration into one thing yes right whereas in the on the right sometimes you've got racist hiding in there so it doesn't help their cause right they're talking about two different things yeah if they were talking about the same thing which is how many immigrants should we let into the country and you know what are the criteria for that that would be a very different conversation than no immigrants or everybody comes in and then also on the left you know you have this benefit that everybody who's currently coming in illegally is going to vote for the left because
1:13:47of where they're coming from in their socioeconomic circumstances to me the test of any good system is you build a system hand it over to your enemies to run for the next decade so for example if you want a censorship on twitter or facebook you should build that system and then hand it over to the other side to run so if you're a left-winger who's promoting uh censorship let somebody else running same with immigration if you want immigration system build the system then hand it over to the other side to run it that's how you know it's a good system there's no room for nuance when you're dealing with these political battlegrounds when when you're dealing with right versus left and
1:14:23one side has a clearly established stance that you're supposed to take like gun control is a great example of that right there's no room for what about mental health what about the fact that so many of these people are on psych medications right why is that not being discussed we're running one of the greatest uh mental health experiments in history when we're doping everybody up and ssris yeah and you know maybe if you give 30 million people sris maybe like 29.9 million are a lot happier and then you have a fraction that commits suicide or detonate yeah you're basically trading the mean for the variance right you have blow up risk yeah there's no room for nuance which is why i
1:15:05stay out of politics largely do they drag you in though sometimes they always try i mean these conversations in this conversation you get to get dragged in sure but i'm sure there's going to be some people here here's the thing about politics because they're we we have a first-past-the-post system what that means is that whoever wins 51 of the vote in this country gets a lot of the power right it's not like proportional representation where the greens have ten percent and you know libertarians are three percent or whatever it's just like you're all democrat in power now we're all republican because of that to win you have to pick one of these two sides right you have you have to choose
1:15:37you can't just you can't just basically say i'm gonna uh you know nuanced about it you you can't vote for a third party that's throwing over your vote right i have a friend who's trying to fix that he's starting this thing called a good party where like you kick-start your vote so you combine all your votes you hold them in reserve and then when you have enough to win then you vote that person in power right you don't you don't throw away your vote but outside of those hacks we're never gonna get a third party elected so because of that all of your beliefs have to neatly fit into the democrat bundle or the republican bundle and so when you get
1:16:08into that tribe uh if you signal outside of that out of that bundle you get attacked yeah so it's literally it's making you into an unclear thinker it's making you into a muddled thinker if all of your beliefs line up into one political party you're not a clear thinker if all your beliefs are the same as your neighbors and your friends you're not a clear thinker you're literally just your beliefs are socialized they're taken from other people so if you want to be a clear thinker you cannot pay attention to politics it will destroy your ability to what dread most of modern life all our diseases are diseases of abundance not diseases of scarcity right old times i may have you
1:16:51know old times if i got sugar that was a wonderful thing i should have eaten all the sugar to get my hands on if i gotten a piece of news or gossip that was interesting data that would have helped my life and moved me forward if i'd gotten some brief amount of entertainment whether through video games or magazines or whatever that would have been good now it's all disease of abundance we are overexposed to everything so the way to survive in modern society is to be an ascetic it is to retreat from society there's too much society everywhere you go society in your phone society in your pocket society in your ears you're being socialized right now by listening to this
1:17:24podcast right we're socializing you we're programming you everyone's trying to program everybody the only solution is turn it off the only solution is to turn it off and concentrate on your breathing meditation yeah yes i mean it works it's been a lifesaver for me oh i do it and i i do it whenever i get like spare time i was in the doctor's office this morning and uh i knew it was going to be 20 minutes so i just sat there with my eyes closed for 20 minutes and i meditated you know when i was growing up there was this statement i think it was pascal he said you know all of man's problems arise because he cannot sit by himself
1:17:58in a room for 30 minutes alone and it's very true i always needed to be stimulated and when the iphone came along boredom was dead i would never be bored again even if i'm standing in line i'm on my iphone and i thought it was great and when i was a kid i used to try and overclock my brain be like how many thoughts can i think at once the answer is only one but i would try to like think multiple thoughts at once and i was proud of that i was proud that my brain was always running this engine was always moving and it's a disease it's actually the road to misery and now that i'm older i realize like you actually want to again rest your mind you want to learn how to settle into your mind now i look forward to solitary confinement you leave me alone for a day it'll be like the happiest day i've had in a
1:18:40while and and that is a superpower that i think everybody can attain the superpower of learning to be alone and enjoying it yeah well i think it's critical and i and i do think that this these times where you just think about things just be alone and think about things are so rare these and i think during those rare times is when you really get to understand what you actually believe or don't believe yeah it's it's funny when i first started meditating it was really hard right because everybody i think a lot of people who listen to this broadcast they've heard of meditation that has a good rep so everybody tries it they kind of give it up it's one of
1:19:22those things that everybody says they do but nobody actually does right it's like not eating sugar right everyone talks about how yeah i don't eat sugar but like yeah then right then the dessert tray rolls around and everyone's going for the cookies yeah right so it's become one of those things and in fact it's not even become a signaling thing where it's like oh how much did you meditate i meditated this much or you know there are people now wearing headbands saying with tweety birds a chirp and then when they're in deep meditation i don't i don't know how they make it work but they'll be like i got a lot of trips today how many trips did you get oh
1:19:50my god oh your meditation technique is wrong mine is right but really all it is is the art of doing nothing okay and it's important because i think when we grow up right it's all this stuff happening to you in your life and some of it you're processing some of it you're absorbing and some of it you should probably think a little bit more about and work through but you don't you don't have time so it gets buried in you and it's all these preferences and judgments and unresolved situations and issues and it's like your email inbox it's just piling up email after email that's not answered going back 10 20 30 40 years and then when you sit down to
1:20:27meditate those emails start coming back at you hey what about this issue what about that issue have you solved this did you think about that your regrets there you have issues there and that gets scary people don't want to do that it's like it's not working i can't clear my mind i better get up and not do this but really what's happening is it's it's self therapy it's just that instead of paying a therapist to sit there and listen to you you're listening to yourself and you just have to sit there as those emails go through one by one you work through each of them until you get to the magical inbox zero and there comes a day when you sit
1:20:57down you realize the only things you're thinking about are things that happened yesterday because you've processed everything else not necessarily even resolved it but at least listen to yourself and that's when meditation starts and i think it's a it's a very powerful thing that everybody should experience and that's when you arrive upon the art of doing nothing well i think it's even a problem that most people are getting their meditation from an app i will not use an app it's sneaky i mean sam harris is a very good meditation app i should say that but you should be able to just do it and many people can it is literally the art of doing nothing yeah all you need to do
1:21:30for meditation is just sit down close your eyes comfortable position whatever happens if you think you think if you don't think you don't think don't put effort into it don't put effort against it it's all you need do you concentrate on your breath or do you have a specific technique nothing nothing no you just sit you just sit i think about my breath that's all i do i just need to try to only concentrate on breathing i used to do that but at some level all the concentration every meditation technique is leading you to the same thing which is just witnessing yes and concentration is a technique to still your mind enough that you can then drop the object of so
1:22:06you could also just try going straight to the end game the problem with what i'm talking about which is not focusing on your breath is you will have to listen to your mind for a long time it's not going to work unless you do at least an hour a day and preferably at least 60 days before you kind of work through a lot of issues so it'll be held for a while but when you come out the other side it's great you get rid of the or when the chatter comes it's in the background it's dimmer it's smaller you've heard it before you see the it's more recent it's something you need to resolve anyway and you will get moments of actual silence what is your what's your ultimate state when you meditate like is there a state where you've achieved rarely if ever where you just you you're in bliss or you're in harmony or you're in enlightenment like what it's kind
1:22:56of it's kind of indescribable uh because when you're really meditating you're not there when there's no thoughts there's no experience there's nothing there's just nothing uh so it's it's hard to describe but i would say that uh it's like a you can definitely every psychedelic state that people encounter using so-called plant medicines can be arrived just through pure meditation and i've definitely hit some of those states you've hit some transcendent psychedelic states where you're vaccinating the whole deal i've had trippy visuals i've had the kind of the lights and colors i've had the so-called downloads i've had the realizations i've had the bliss i've had the light i've had the colors but not every time no it's really and in fact
1:23:38i would say that that's a that's also like an experience that you can start craving which will then actually take you out of um where you really and i'm not enlightened or anything close to it so not even the ballpark but my own experience and this is this personal experience is the place where i end up the most that is really the one that i i want to be at is peace it's just peace peace happy yeah peace to me peace is happiness at rest and happiness is kind of peace and motion you can convert peace to happiness anytime you want but peace is what you want most of the time that's interesting you can convert peace to happiness anytime you
1:24:18want yeah if you're a peaceful person anything you do will be a happy activity and by the way being on social media engaging politics will not bring you peace there is nothing less peaceful right and today's day and age the way we think you get peace is by resolving all your external problems but there's unlimited external problems so the only way to actually get pieces on the inside by giving up this idea of problems who thinks you can get peace by resolving external problems other than politicians everybody that's what everybody's struggling to do right why are you trying to make money to solve all your money problems why are you trying to win a politics because then you'll be at peace
1:24:53because your people will have one it's a daunting task to get your [ __ ] together it's easier to change yourself than to change the world that's true yeah and the best way to change the world is to change yourself exactly it's all yeah it's all these people who are shouting on social media the best way is just to actually live the life that you want other people to live like i went down to new zealand and there's this guy that i met with and you know everyone's on social media shouting about environmentalism and conservative and sustain and i go to this guy's house and he was doing a very quietly very gently he was doing a two week long zero waste experiment
1:25:32where he was throwing out nothing so every package that he opened he would keep and he would like clean it up so he would keep his amazon boxes it would keep the little containers even a tea bag if you open the tea bag he has to figure out how to compost the tea inside how to make the tea itself useful how to make the tea bag like a little storage item so there was no trash he was literally living with zero trash waste and he was doing it and it was really inspirational meeting people like him made me far more environmentally conscious than you know any amount of people yelling at me on social media ever will how long did he
1:26:04do that for i think it was two weeks it was hard what the [ __ ] are you gonna do with tea he had quite the collection he was filling them with little things he sounds like a crazy this hoarder like a hoarder person with stacks of tea bags in his house a very impressive guy yeah that's a strange way to go about things i i appreciate that i mean look it is entirely possible to somehow or another engineer all of our cups and all of our things and all our about to be biodegradable you know the struggle with the modern environmental movement is that they identify the correct problem which is finite earth spaceship earth this is all they got don't ruin
1:26:43it but they don't have the solution so what they say is no growth no growth no growth well the problem is you got three billion indian and chinese who aren't going to stay in poverty they're going to grow whether you like it or not so you can yell at them you can scream at them you can yell at us and scream at us but that's not going to happen so the only way out unfortunately is again through technology which is you have to build green technology and i give musk a lot of credit you know for being one of the few people who's out there trying to do that so you build things that are biodegradable and good for you and
1:27:13healthier and everybody wants to be healthier chinese want to be healthier indians want to be healthier they want to be cleaner if you say i can clean up your rivers i can clean up your forests i can have your children not get sick with cholera and diphtheria and typhoid i can cure your diseases i can help make your immune system stronger i can give you clean drinking water like that is what causes people to become environmentalists not shouting and screaming at them that they shouldn't grow and they should stop pumping things into the sky and you know they have no concept of that they're just trying to get out of poverty so i think the modern environmental movement identifies the correct
1:27:48problem but then doesn't come up with the right set of solutions that are appealing to people are not going to give up economic growth they're going to have to get rich first hmm that's yeah that's a very good point but how do you do how do you do you lower the price of clean technologies massively so you basically make clean technologies cost competitive through subsidy technologies ideally you can subsidize in the short to medium term until the innovation curve is is crossed i mean like tesla doesn't have any patents right right or they they freely give away their patents that's the example of how you can do it um so you know someone in if you want to get rid of
1:28:28plastic such straws yeah you can do it here and there you can get san francisco to ban plastic straws but china's not going to blend ban plastic straws not until you build a paper straw that is you know same cost good durability and then you in and then you educate the chinese like hey this is petroleum you know this plastic that you're doing is petroleum this is bad for you here's the chemical composition here's the things that are going in your bloodstream and they want healthy happy kids also so they're going to have their kids use paper straws maybe straws aren't the best example but you can you know this is true with fossil fuels for example that's that's probably the
1:29:00best one or replacing a lot of plastics with glass and paper and so on yeah there's a new technology that was just rhonda patrick had it on her twitter today about they're able to convert plastic uh waste into fuel and that there's companies that are actively trying to do that now so then in that way plastic waste will become valuable right and it'll become a commodity it'll become something that people are resource now there's certain problems this doesn't solve this doesn't solve carbon this doesn't solve deforestation uh you know so there you kind of have to step in with other means so for example you look at the amazon right everyone's complaining about the amazon being deforested well you're not the
1:29:40poor brazilian farmer right so you're you're sitting here in your comfortable chair like social media hammering away at you know the evil brazilians for deforesting the amazon but the amazon has incredible resources if we really care about it we should turn it into an incredible tourist park and put your money where your mouth is start doing ecotourism in the amazon start paying for it and then maybe take the future rights for all the pharmaceuticals that are going to come out of all the incredible plants there and start selling those off so that people so that maybe give the pharmaceutical companies an incentive to preserve the biodiversity of the amazon say hey if you buy this patch of the amazon you conserve
1:30:15it and you can serve it whatever plant medicines that come out of there that you can then license you get the patent for 20 years or 30 years or whatever so i think there are solutions where we as the first worlders who have money can put our money where where our mouth is and go and rescue these kinds of properties that's a very interesting solution but i could see immediate pushback from people that don't think the pharmaceutical company should have the rights to this natural plan okay or the or the government does it and then the government gets the patents and the government will auction off the patents later or they'll worse or they'll license them or whatever it is right
1:30:48well that's often like just this the often the problem is there is no really good solution there's a bunch of solutions that also have drawbacks that's life yeah right that's the trade-off so it's being human very messy yeah it's a constrained environment obviously i skew more towards a private property capitalist type solutions because even though they're not perfect they have been proven to actually work right once something is your property you take care of it right you're not gonna you're not gonna crap all over your own house um but it should probably be temporary property not permanent property you see a lot of countries around the world not doing this no foreign ownership of land thing for example or mexico has
1:31:29no private ownership of beaches right so you can draw the line at certain points yeah do you enjoy doing this kind of thing where you break things down and give your perspective on things and try to illuminate certain complex subjects i'm not trying to illuminate so much as you know talking to you i learn as much as i say and i learn it for myself because i'm being forced to articulate it right i can sit around and think my thoughts all day long but it's a lot of it's going to be nonsense it's not i'm going to because there are gaps in thinking where you make leaps because you're kind to yourself that you don't realize you're making but when you're
1:32:09forced to write it down and this is why i tweet or when you have to talk to somebody you have to complete those gaps and make it a proper logical chain and the mistake that i made when i was young was you know i always wanted to seem like the smartest kid in the room uh you know like just like you probably want to seem like the funniest kid in the room or the toughest kid in the room right we're all losers starting out we want to be winners so we pick the thing we're good at and we double down on it so i always want to be the smartest kid in the room so what did i do i read a lot of books i memorized a lot of things and then whatever i hadn't memorized is pre-google i made it up so it sounded good okay pre-google after google fact checking started and i had to get better right so google
1:32:47improved me that way a lot of people exactly so now what i realize is that the biggest mistake with memorization right because when you're actually trying to live your life in congress with reality you want to have a deep understanding of what you do and why you do it and so it's much more important to know the basics really well then is to know the advanced knowing calculus wouldn't help you today it doesn't help you in business doesn't help you in most things but knowing arithmetic really will help you really whether it's at the corner grocery store counting change to figuring out the value of your podcast business to figuring out how to do the probability math on you know some
1:33:22action that you want to take so understanding basic mathematics cold is way more important than memorizing calculus concepts and the problem is and this is true of i think all reasoning it's much better to know the basics from the ground up solid foundation of understanding a steel frame of understanding than it is to just have a scaffolding we're just memorizing advanced concepts this is why there are a lot of people i'm sure that you listen to who are really smart they use a lot of jargon and you can't quite follow their reasoning you don't know how they're putting things together and you this deep down suspicion they don't even really understand right so if you look at the the most powerful
1:33:58thinkers especially the ones where money or life is on the line they have to understand the basics really really well richard feynman the physicist was able to he had this piece in one of his lectures where he takes you from counting numbers on your hand all the way to calculus in four pages of text orally but written down is four pages of text and it's a complete unbroken logical chain that takes you through geometry trigonometry precalculus analytic geometry graphs everything all the way to calculus he understood numbers at a core level he didn't have to memorize anything when you're memorizing it's an indication that you don't understand you should be able to rederive anything on the spot and if you can't
1:34:40you don't know it so do you apply that to things other than mathematics everything you don't even make attempt to memorize things just make an attempt to understand them you can't help but memorize things but if you can't and this is where twitter is great for me is i try to understand something and then i try to write it down in such a way that i can remember it just the basic hook that'll point towards the deeper understanding and i'm forced to explain it to people and that's how i know i understand something so this is what i meant originally we talked about reading a good book i'll read one page in a night and then i spend the rest of
1:35:14night thinking about it or i'm chasing down references on wikipedia or weird blog posts trying to understand it you know so for example there was a i was dealing with this is a few months back i was dealing with a question of stupid topic but the meaning of life right what's the meaning how could that be stupid though well it's just trite it's right you're not supposed to think about it it's something you ask your parents when you're young they tell you don't worry about it or they'll get a job yeah exactly good job you freaking hippy or here's god god is the meaning of life right and so i was just trying to resolve for myself like what could the
1:35:49answer be right not what is the answer but what could the answer and so at a core level i was forced to kind of hunt down all these weird little things and really understand for myself and it's got to be personal right but i have to establish for myself what it could and could not be and that gave me some level of peace so now i have to keep asking that question what is the meaning of life i mean you you sh i think the question is more interesting than the answer everyone should explore this on their own but let me just explore a few parts with you right so first is if i gave you an answer if i said the meaning of life has to please god well which god okay judeo-christian god well okay why that one why this thing the problem is it's a why question you can keep asking why forever right any answer i give you you'll
1:36:36just ask why again why again that's right and you end up in a place called agrippa's trilemma okay this is a philosophical exercise but i i kind of thought it through then googled around and there's a thing called agrippa's and agrippa's trauma says that any questioning like this y will always end in one of three places okay first is infinite regress right why because of this why that what and just keep going forever the second is circular reasoning well a why a because of b or why b because of a right you get trapped in that or the third is an axiom and the most popular axiom is god but it could be anything because of math because of science because
1:37:16the big bang because the simulation right these are all axioms these are all just stopping points saying simulation we're in a simulation or saying it's the big bang is just another way of saying god it's just god's a dirty word so we don't use it as much anymore but same thing so you end up in one of these three dead ends essentially right so there is no answer uh the real answer is because right what is the meaning of life yeah you get to make up your own answers the beauty if there was a single answer we would not be free we would be trapped because then we would all have to live to that answer then we'd be bored like
1:37:51robots each one competing with each other to fulfill that single meaning more than the others back to signaling like i'm better at it than you are but luckily there is no answer so you just do whatever you want the meaning of life it's funny that what that's the basis of all existential angst that you don't know why you're here and you have this feeling that it could be it is i mean if you when you start pondering the multiverse the universe the galaxies the solar system the planet the organism the cells inside the organism the bacteria the parasites right the symbiotic relationship we have to our environment and you start going jesus christ what am i just a little piece of
1:38:40this thing it's like well the answers to all the great questions or paradoxes yeah so for example you're asking like do i matter that's like really the question you asked right well how do i matter in this infinite universe well you know on the one hand you're separate no two points are the same every point is every two points are infinitely different you're completely separated no one will have your thoughts your emotions your feelings your experience so your life is a single player game you're trapped inside your head and you're just aware of a bunch of things going on and that's it on the other hand i cannot say the word joe rogan without invoking the entire universe joe alien comes
1:39:16along says what's that joe rogan what's joe rogan's a human what's a human bipedal ape what's an ape on the earth what's the earth planet what's a planet solar system where was the carbon made inside stars right instead i have to create the entire universe to just say the words joe rogan so in that sense you're connected to everything it's inseparable so the answer to that question of do i matter is i am nothing and i am everything and you'll find this with all the great questions the answers are all paradoxes which is why at some level it's sort of pointless to pursue them to find a trite answer like i'm giving but the act of pursuing them is actually really
1:39:52useful because then it gives you certain intrinsic understanding in your life that brings a level of peace i feel like there's with many people stress of this question is also accentuated by unhappy lives it's actually accentuated by unhappy choices by being trapped there's a big difference between not knowing what the meaning of life is and god i gotta get the [ __ ] out of this job i have to i can't live my life this way what's the meaning of life if this is my life which is why i always start with let's get you rich first right that's why i'm very practical about it because look the you know buddha was a prince okay he started out really rich and then he
1:40:33got to go off in the woods and in the old days what happened was if you wanted to be peaceful inside you would become a monk you would renounce everything you would become an ascetic you would give everything up you renounce women men you'd renounce children you'd announce money you'd renounce politics science technology everything and you would go out in the woods by yourself you could give everything up to be free inside well today we have this wonderful invention called money where you can just store stuff up in a bank account okay and you can basically save up you can you can work really hard you can do great things for society and society will give you money for giving it
1:41:07things that it wants and it doesn't know how to get and then you can save that up and you can live well below with your means and you can find a certain freedom in that and that will give you the time and the energy to pursue your own internal peace and happiness so i believe the solution to making everybody happy is to give them what they want let's get them all rich let's get them all fit and healthy and then let's get them all happy is are those things even possible everyone can be rich everyone can be rich everyone here's my thought exercise for you now it seems like we're in an everyone can be writing not selling my home this
1:41:41is my rolls royce yeah no so that's a good point so everything that i've ever created on this topic of how to make money i will never charge a dollar for because that would ruin it that would show that i'm just another huckster who's trying to get rich off of you there are no get-rich-quick schemes that's just somebody else trying to get rich off of you right so it's so to me it's more of a philosophical contribution where for it to have meaning and to be legit i can't charge you anything for it but yes everybody can be rich and let me give you a thought exercise okay imagine if tomorrow we could wave a wand and everybody was trained as
1:42:17a scientist or an engineer everybody even if you weren't very good you had enough understanding of computers you could write some code you could build some hardware and don't tell me people can't do it because they can that's just the tyranny of soft expectations that's just you looking down on somebody else they can't do it they just have to be educated now if they're educated all as hardware software engineers scientists biologists technicians hard sciences not the social sciences we would all be done within five years robots would be doing everything from cleaning toilets to cooking food to flying airplanes to driving ubers and what would we be doing we would be doing all creative jobs to entertain each other and researching
1:42:52science and technology we would have wonderful lives so it is really just a question of education nothing else is this a scale issue though i mean you're talking about it as if this would work with 300 million people it'll work with 10 billion people it'll work with a spacefaring race with 100 trillion people just we have the resources we the ability the universe is infinite resources you build it you know have you heard of a dyson sphere you know you pull the dyson sphere on a star and you gather all its energy like that there's so much energy out there one asteroid's got all the minerals that we need one sun one solar system has got all the power we will
1:43:28need for a long time uh you know we can extract it out of nuclear fusion you know we're not that far from those kinds of technologies working uh it's just a question of guts and uh you know and interest like we should be building nuclear fusion test plants on the moon the moon should be littered with them it's no downside right if you could how would that work well it doesn't send a bunch of people up there to work oh the problem robots the problem with fission nuclear fission is that you know creates energy through nuclear energy right like the sun creates energy nuclear energy now for transmission we use photons because photons don't interact and so photons are great for
1:44:09information transmission but they're actually not great for energy transmission for energy creation you want nuclear to work and the problem is because nuclear energy you know we built it with a bomb we have dirty nukes all those kinds of problems with fukushima three-mile island chernobyl we don't innovate anymore on nukes imagine if when the first steam engine blew up we said oh no more steam engines for a while or very carefully regulated billion dollars of regulation you can't innovate that way when the first airplane crashed we said no more innovation in airplanes so we need a way to iterate on nuclear fission and eventually fusion and get them working safely cleanly passive say failure etc if we're going to find our
1:44:51way out of the energy trap and the best place to do that is someplace like on the moon or mars do you think that it's actually a possibility that they could get nuclear power to the point where it's not a detriment because what everyone's worried about is a meltdown right yeah and we do have these old plants that are running that are running on this this is 50 years old technology it's crazy because there's no ability to shut them off right very old technology they do now have gen 4 nuclear reactors that are passive fail safe so in other words when they fail they fail into us when you pull the plug on them they fail into a state where there's
1:45:25no leakage there's no problem right their default is a positive outcome as opposed to the current ones the old ones where if you unplug them like and these even these gen four are just gen four they're not gen five they're not gen eighty gen hundred where we're in microprocessors right and that should be something that people are working towards i hope so i mean in an ideal world we would now the problem is if you have nuclear energy on the moon how do you get it home right so what you actually got to do is you got rev it on the moon and you're using it there maybe to launch more satellites more rockets further out into the solar system and
1:45:58that's the initial use case um but then eventually the technology gets so good you can bring it home now i want to go back to this idea of getting people rich that somehow or another that's going to make people happy how do you stop the the natural progression that people have of you know oh you know i have got a nice chevrolet yeah but i really want a bmw i've got a nice bmw but now i want a mercedes i have mercedes i want a how do you stop that material trap because you can't at some level but i think most smart people over time realize that possessions don't make them happy right it's just you have to go through that
1:46:38you have to buy your stupid car to realize that it doesn't attract attractive girls it actually just attracts other dudes who are like hey i like that car man right like like you have some expensive cars out there some fancy cars tell me how you know how much that attracts women versus men well i'm married those are for me i just enjoy machines yeah so for me they're toys that's a particular thing where you enjoy machines but i think very as you get older you just realize that there's no happiness in material possessions now lack of material possessions can make you very unhappy so being poor can make you unhappy but being rich is not going to make you happy and
1:47:14what happens unfortunately a lot of people struggle through their whole lives to make money they make some they're exhausted and then they're like well now why am i not happy i guess i'm just not a happy person and smart people aren't happy that's like a great little way to people feel better about it they say well if you're smart you're not happy right where's i positive the other way if you're smart you should be able to figure out how to be happy otherwise you're not that smart yeah that is an offensive statement that if you're smart you're not happy i've heard that before and i just do not understand the logic of that other than self-justifying i understand where it comes
1:47:47from it comes from if you're smart it's usually because you thought things through and you have a very busy mind yeah and so busy mind can often rob you of peace of because what the peace that we seek is not peace of mind it's peace from mind right so if you look at all the crazy activities you do to be happy right whether it's like trying to get laid and have an orgasm or you know extreme sports or looking at something beautiful or taking a psychedelic you're trying to get out of your own mind you're trying to get your monkey mind to stop chattering at you for a moment you're trying to get peace from the mind and there are other
1:48:21better ways to do that most of the ways we try to get peace from mind are indirect whereas if you understand things if you see things properly you will naturally slowly develop peace from mind sorry if i went on a tangent there no it's a good tangent it's a good tangent because i think that oftentimes the pursuit what's thrilling to people and the possibility that one day they'll be able to rest and that they'll reach this goal that's the fundamental delusion that there is something out there that will make me happy and fulfill forever yeah golden years there is it's called death oh i'll take care of everything that's the great leveler but when people look at particularly social media bring
1:49:04it back to that when you see someone who you know you see them posed in front of their mansion with their beautiful car and they're leaning against it with their designer clothes on their expensive watch you go i want that right that's what i what you really want is freedom you want freedom from your money problems right and i think that's okay so people once someone can solve their money problems either by lowering their lifestyle or by making enough money and you know essentially what you want to get everybody to the retirement but not retirement in the i'm 65 years old sitting in a nursing home collecting a check retirement different definition retirement is when you stop sacrificing today for some
1:49:48imaginary okay yes when today is complete in and of itself you're retired yeah and so how do you get there well one is you can have so much money saved up that just your passive income off of that without you having to lift a finger covers your burn rate keep your burn rate low right a second is you just drive your burn rate down to zero you become a monk a third is you're doing something you love you enjoy it so much it's not about the money right so there are multiple ways to that path but the most common is people just say i need to make more money and the kind of wealth creation that i talk about is about creating timeless principles and adapting yourselves that making money won't be an issue and you can do it by doing what you love right like we get into this model of i must work for other people work my way up the
1:50:34ladder i must like do what that person is doing to make money but really today in society you get rewarded for creative work for creating something brand new that society didn't even know yet that it wanted it doesn't know how to get other than through you so the most powerful money makers are actually individual brands people like yourself or elon or kanye or oprah or trump right these are individual brands eponymous name brands who themselves are leveraged like you're leveraged you have podcast media going out to everybody that's leveraged the podcasts work for you when you sleep they have knowledge that nobody else has which is your knowledge is the knowledge of being joe rogan i mean who else is a
1:51:12ufc fighter and a commentator and a podcaster and a comedian and you know interested in all these things and those all these people can't replace you um so we have to pay you what you're worth and who's i never fought in the ufc though oh you didn't okay sorry um or you know you're whatever you're involved in that whole scene you just have a unique set of skill sets um so because of this unique what i call specific knowledge because of the accountability that you have with your name because the leverage that you have through your media you're a money-making machine you're i'm sure at this point i could make you start over tomorrow wipe out your bank account you'd be
1:51:46rich again in no time because you have all the skill sets so once people have those skill sets and the beauty is the way you've done it is you don't have any competition there's no substitution if joe rogan were to disappear off the air tomorrow it's not like random podcaster number 12 would step in and fill that thing no it's it's just gone so the way to get out of that competition trap is actually to be authentic the way to retire is actually to find the thing that you know how to do better than anybody and you know how to do that better than anybody because you love to do it no one can compete with you if you love to
1:52:17do it be and then figure out how to map that to what society actually wants apply some leverage put your name on it so you take the risks but you gain the rewards have ownership and equity in what you do and then just crank it out i think people have to be very careful to not get trapped along the way with things that you can afford with your current lifestyle like the way you're living and the way you're earning but they're also imprisoning you and the fact that you are now going to have to work this 40-hour a week job in order to get this thing that you can't afford but now you you're saddled down to this job you've no
1:52:53you're not saving you're not putting things in a good place and you're working for these working for things as rewards is a real trap that a lot of people fall into it's the biggest one you know naseem tell that also says that uh you know under two great addictions heroin and a monthly salary and and that's why you can't get rich writing out your time because even when you start charging more and more for your time it's a slow upgrade loop and then you upgrade your house at the same time you break your car at the same time you move in the neighborhood you really also have to get used to ignoring your or upgrading or changing the definition of your
1:53:29peers a lot of people here who are poor here but they would be rich if they were living in thailand and bali and if they have the luxury of a remotely doable job they may want to be living there and saving up money but the ignoring the peers is an issue because the keeping up with the joneses is a real phenomenon yeah envy makes the world go around right yeah and then there's a there's another thing that people have to avoid even allowing their mind to think when they're hearing what you're saying and all this logical fantastic advice there's these six dirty words that's easy for you to say yeah that is a terrible trap i mean look i grew up
1:54:09as a first generation immigrant uh in jamaica queens uh with zero money single mom two kids working day and night going to uh you know i washed dishes uh i was k i was working catering jobs i was mowing lawns i was working since the age of 11 on and off here and there um didn't have two cents to rub together you know i had to borrow 400 to go to college like literally i was short 400 dollars 400. i had to find 400 i didn't have it um you know got rejected from a job at dunkin donuts so like okay it's not to say that it's easy it's not easy it's actually really freaking hard it is the hardest thing you will do but it's also the rewarding thing you know look at the kids who are born rich no meaning to their lives you're a terrible place yeah your real your real resume is just a cataloguing of all your
1:55:01suffering right if i were to ask you to describe your real life to yourself when you look back on your deathbed you're going to go back and say what are the interesting things i've done and it's all going to be around the sacrifices that you made and the hard things that you did anything you're given doesn't matter you know you you have your four limbs you have your brain you have your head you have your skin that's that's all for granted so you have to do hard things anyway to create your own meaning in making money is a fine one yeah struggle it is hard i'm not gonna say it's easy it's a really hard but the tools are all available
1:55:33it's all there there's also these these traps that people sort of establish in their own mind giving themselves excuses or giving themselves in insurmountable obstacles insurmountable paths victorian victim mentality yes it's somebody else's fault it's my skin color's fault it's the system's fault yeah those people are sinking i feel bad for them i want to shake them out of it and say actually you can get out of it you just have to stop thinking it's everybody you have to alter the perspective yeah but it's so difficult for people to do it's one of the most difficult things for people to do is to change the way they approach approach reality itself at the end of the day i i do think
1:56:14even despite what i said earlier life is really a single player game it's all going on in your head you know whatever you think you believe will very much shape your reality both from what risks you take and what actions you perform but also just your everyday experience of reality if you're walking down the street and you're judging everyone you're like i don't like that person because their skin color i don't like that oh she's she's not attractive that guy's fat this person's a loser oh who put this in my way uh you know the more you judge the more you're gonna separate yourself and you'll feel good for an instant because you'll feel good about yourself i'm better than that
1:56:48but then you're gonna feel lonely and then you're just gonna see negativity everywhere the world just reflects your own feelings back at you reality is neutral reality has no judgments to a tree there's no concept of right or wrong or good or bad right you're born you have a whole set of sensory experiences and stimulations and lights and colors and sounds and then you die yeah and how you choose to interpret that is up to you do have that choice so this is what i meant that happiness is a choice if you believe it's the choice then you can start working on it and i can't tell you how to find it because it's your own conditionings that are making you
1:57:21unhappy so you have to uncondition yourself it's just like i can't fix your eating habits for you can give you some general guidelines but you gotta go through the hard habit forming of how to eat right but you have to believe it's possible and it is absolutely possible i was miserable i'm happy as a clam it's not just the money i got there before the money you got happy before the money mostly yeah how did you get happy before the money i started getting older you know i just realized like life is short i'm going to again trite right try it in 20 ways yeah well confucius had a great saying that uh you know every man has two lives and
1:57:54the second starts when he realizes he has just one and i read that it was one of those book dropping lines you know it's like mic drop confucius had a lot of mic drops fuchsias was a bad [ __ ] he was that's a crazy one that was a great one um or another one is next time you get sick you know because everybody gets sick every now and then it's like a happy person wants 10 000 things a sick person just wants one thing right so it's your it's your unlimited desires that are clouding your peace your happiness have desires your biological creature stands up and says i can do something i move i resist i live just be very careful of
1:58:34your desires this is the oldest most trite wisdom desire is suffering that's what it means right every desire you have is an access where you will suffer so just don't focus on more than one desire at a time the universe is rigged in such a way that if you just want one thing and you focus on that you'll get it but everything else you gotta let go did you make a gradual shift to happiness or was it a radical change it's ongoing it's gradual every day so you're happier today than you were a month ago yeah allegedly yeah i'm i'm very happy these days deliriously so it's actually hard for me to hang out with normal people really yeah so you
1:59:12you've made a significant over the period of like how many years about eight years eight years yeah wow and is this something that you've pursued through certain books or is it just like you you've made an understanding or gained an understanding in your own mind and then started pursuing it based on that understanding yeah it's very very personal uh it's basically you have to decide it's a priority and then i tried every hack i possibly could i used to you know i tried all the i tried meditation i tried witnessing uh you know i even tried an ssri just to see what it would feel like how did it feel uh it was it turned me from a pessimist to an
1:59:51optimist but i didn't like the physical side effects nor did i want to be on a drug for a sustained basis so i dropped it and i did turn you into an optimist yes at the time i used to be a pessimist yeah um i started doing things like i would start looking at the you know in every moment and everything that happens you can look on the bright side of something right and so i used to do that forcibly and then i trained it until it became second nature so for example like a friend of my wife's was over and she when we were dating and she took all these photos she took like hundreds of photos and then she sends them all to us and my immediate reaction was like why are you dumping hundreds of photos of my phone i don't need hundreds of photos have some judgment that's my immediate reaction and then i could say actually how nice
2:00:33of her she sent me hundreds of photos i can pick the one that i like right there are two ways of seeing almost everything there are a few things that are like high suffering so you can't do that other than just saying well this is a teacher right but i slowly worked through every negative judgment that i had until i saw the positive end now it's second nature to me i also realized that like what you want is you want to clear minds you want to let go of thoughts happy thoughts disappear out ahead automatically very easy to let go of them negative thoughts linger so if you interpret then the positive and everything very quickly you let it go right
2:01:05you let it go much faster simple hacks get more sunlight right learn to smile more learn to hug more these things actually release serotonin in reverse they aren't just outward signals of being happy they're actually feedback loops to being happy spend more time in nature you know these are obvious watch your mind watch your mind all day long watch what it does not judge it not try to control it but you can meditate 24 7. meditation is not a sit down close your eyes activity meditation is just basically watching your own thoughts like you would watch anything else in the outside world and say why am i having that thought does that serve me anymore is
2:01:40that conditioning from when i was 10 years old like for example getting ready for this podcast you got ready i didn't but good i did but i did i couldn't help it and what happened was the few days leading up to this my mind was just running and normally my mind is pretty calm and it was just running and running and running and every thought i would have i would imagine me saying it to you my brain couldn't help but rehearse what what it's doing it's just rehearsing all the time to talk to you and then i was even rehearsing rehearse telling you about the rehearsal right so it was all playing all these meta games and i was just like
2:02:17shut up stop it what is going on and it took me a while to figure out oh yeah you know what it is when i was a kid in queens and i had no money and i had nothing and i needed to save myself the way i got out was by sounding smart not being smart sounding smart that was the skill i perfected so i am hardwired to always rehearse things so i will sound smart it's a disease it keeps me from being happy so but when you see that when you realize that when you understand something then it naturally calms you down so after that i stopped rehearsing as much wow but it's still a train habit that is a really interesting point that want to sound smart that that many people do that and especially young people when you you see someone who is smart or someone who appears smart they say smart things oh god i want to sound smart
2:03:09i want people to think about me the same way i think about that person that that is my disease that is my feeling it is what clutters my mind i the the thing i have to ask myself now is if i can would i still be interested in learning this thing if i couldn't ever tell anybody about it that's how i know it's real that's how i know it's something i actually want to know that's a common thing though i know i suffered from that when i was young the desire to sound smart that's it's very common well all of us start you know every everything you're a winner now in your life you were to lose because you were a loser at some point right if if you had gotten all the girls if you had all the money if you had everything you want you were good looking and in junior high or high school uh you wouldn't have done anything
2:03:58with your life and you would have peaked early it's like the bruce springsteen glory days song right you would have married your high school sweetheart you'd be living in your hometown you know you'd be a manager at the local mcdonald's whatever the first dream job you had thank god we didn't all get what we wanted when we were young right or we would be trapped in that so you have to be able to break out of where you came from i don't know where i was going that is interesting too about people who peak too early yeah or maybe those people that peak too early can do the elon musk thing and just abandon it and start something new and then
2:04:29learn the the the joys of sucking at something yeah and actually in our professions especially when you're high visibility the problem with peaking is that you then get drowned in death of a thousand cuts people have expectations of you hey joe can you come to my event hey joe can you look at my business plan hey joe can give me advice on this can you you know talk to my friend can you come in this podcast you're just being assaulted all the time with inbound opportunities so you have no time to start over with anything so you have to ruthlessly ruthlessly disappoint everybody eliminate and clear your schedule drop all the meetings not even respond to the emails the only way
2:05:07you're gonna be able to start over with yeah and i we talked about this that i'd love your approach to meetings if they're not meeting life or death i'm the same way i avoided a good one recently and this was someone that was just tracking me down as a high-profile person in a big organization and i'm like can we just talk on the phone and then we talk on the phone there was nothing to say it was just they wanted to get me in the office and yeah and the meetings should really be phone calls should be emails and emails should just be text many of them right with meetings i i mean i i despise meetings i used to own the domain i don't do coffee.com i eventually let go but i used to respond from the wallet i don't do coffee you know oh that's hilarious but it was a little bit of a jerk move but really where it comes
2:05:52from is when i was young one of my principles was i knew i had to make money it was my overwhelming desire one of the things i did was i said okay i'm never going to be worth more than what i think i'm worth okay no one's going to pay me more than what i think i'm worth so what am i worth so i i picked an hourly rate for myself that i was worth and i said i'm never going to squander my time for less than this so originally there's 500 bucks an hour then i upgrade to 5000 bucks an hour and it's ludicrous but pick an aspirational hourly rate aspirational it has to be a little ludicrous and then what i would do is if i have to return something i'm standing in line to return something and it's below my hourly rate i'll throw it away if i have to if i or give it away if i have to
2:06:34do some tasks and i can hire somebody to do it for less than my hourly rate i would hire them and so i just became extremely jealous of my time which doesn't mean you can't have fun rest leisure spending time with your friends and family that's all great don't count that but if you're doing anything you don't want to do which is the definition of work it's a set of things that you have to do that you don't want to do if you're working it better be for your hourly rate otherwise don't do the work and so once it came out of that then i just realized the cost of meetings the cost of meetings is so high especially given all
2:07:06the people who are in there right one person is talking seven people listening you're literally just dying an hour at a time so you have to just drop non-urgent meetings or figure out how to be more efficient with them if you're gonna do anything great the extreme example is business travel getting on a plane to fly halfway around the world for one meeting which never amounts to anything and then like wasting your whole little life there and then flying back so about five years ago i resolved i am never going to travel for business wow and i haven't tried for business since i only travel if the travel experience will be so entertaining and joyous because i have friends or it's
2:07:43a place i want to see or whatever that it will be complete in and of itself because i know that whatever the business meeting i came from is never worth it and actually that principle applies larger than just travel it applies to life in general the this one of the secrets to happiness is to really embrace what you're doing in that moment that's trite but where that where that comes from is saying i only want to do actions that are complete in and of themselves right if i'm looking for some ulterior motive down the line it's not going to materialize and and if you think it is maybe even if it does it'll be very short-lived anything you wanted in your
2:08:22life whether it was a car or whether it was a girl or there was money when you got it a year later you were back to zero your brain had hedonically adapted to it and you were looking for the next thing that's a great statement hedonically that's that is what happens to people you get accustomed to whatever it is i realized that when i first got a new apartment it was a nice apartment after a while i got used to it i was like oh okay this is just an apartment it's just where i live i'm used to it's nice but i'm used to it yeah we all go through this learning it's it's you know it's riding the ferris wheel of life it's like you get at the bottom like i want to get the top this is so exciting you ride it up you get a little dopamine rush and get a little serotonin then you ride it back down as
2:09:05that wears off then you need another high then you ride it back up and write it back down in fact the more highs you get the harder it gets to go around the wheel and the more board you get it the harder it goes to go back up so what lights your fire now like what gets you motivated to do things and to act art art this is art oh okay art is just creativity it's just anything that's done for its own sake so what are the things that are done for their own sake there's nothing beyond loving somebody uh creating something art to me creating business is play i create businesses early stage because it's fun because i i'm into
2:09:42the product even when i invest it's because i like the people i like hanging out with them i learn from them and i think the product is really cool so these days i will pass on all kinds of great investments because i'm like i just the product's not interesting it's boring i'm not gonna learn anything that's a beautiful luxury it is a luxury art and learning yeah it is a luxury these are not 100 or zero things right you can in your life start moving more and more towards that right but that's a goal it's a goal when i was younger i used to be so desperate to make money that i would have done anything right if you'd shown up
2:10:16and said hey i got a sewage trucking business and you're going to go into that i said great let's do it i'm going to make money thank god no one gave me that i'm glad that it went down the road of technology and science which i genuinely and so i got to like combine my vocation and my advocation i mean what are you doing you're playing you're having fun you're doing art you're not you're not working no that's what i always say when people say i work hard i'm like sorta not really i'm always working but it looks like work to them but it feels like play to me and that's how i know no one can compete with me on it because i'm just playing 16 hours a day and if they want to compete with me and they're going to work they're going to lose because they're not going to do it 16 hours a day seven days a week well
2:10:59listen man there are some gems of wisdom in this conversation and i hope people pull things out of this and apply them to their own life and i'm certainly going to listen to you again and and and try to apply some of this to my own life stuff that i'm not already applying but i really appreciate your time and i really appreciate you coming in here thanks for having me and um please tell people you those small little podcast it's just the naval podcast right yeah best way to find me is on twitter actually okay just at naval then i have a website at nav.al i have a youtube channel neval and i have a podcast in the world that's it
2:11:33well thank you very much thank you really appreciate it thank you bye everybody
00:01一、二、三,好了,我们上线了。非常感谢你来做这期节目,我真的很感激。我一直在吸收你的内容、听你讲话听了挺长一段时间了,所以能真的见到你,太好了。谢谢你邀请我。我的荣幸,我的荣幸。你是那种很少见的人——你是大投资人,深耕科技圈,但你似乎有一个非常平衡的视角关于怎么生活,而不是只盯着成功、财务上的成功、科技投资,而是怎么以快乐的方式过你的人生。这是——这不是平衡,对吧,你
00:46知道吗,我觉得人们喜欢听我说话的原因是,就像你去马戏团看到一头熊,挺有意思但也没多有意思;你看到一辆独轮车也有意思,但你要是看到一头熊骑独轮车,那就真的很有意思了。所以当你把本不该组合的东西组合在一起,人们就会感兴趣。就像李小龙,把哲学和武术结合在一起。我觉得这是因为在某个层面上,所有人都是宽广的,我们都是多维的,但在生活里我们总被用几句精炼的话概括,而在内心深处我们知道那不是真的。每个人基本上都能经历一切、
01:23思考一切。你既是 UFC 选手、喜剧演员、解说员、播客主,但你又不止于此,你还是父亲、爱人、思想家等等。所以我喜欢古人——希腊人、罗马人——的那种人生模型:年轻时你上学,然后去打仗,然后经营生意,然后该去元老院或政府任职,最后成为哲学家。人生有这样一种弧线,你在每件事上都试一试。就像我一个朋友说的,专业化是给昆虫的。所以每个人都应该什么都能干。我不再相信
02:04把人生聚焦在一件事上的那种模式。你只有一次人生,把你想做的都做了。我完全同意。我觉得有时候人们在某个事业上取得某种成功,然后就认为那是自己的位置,死守不放,永远不变,几乎是出于恐惧。这很难,因为有个爬山的比喻:如果你找到一座山开始爬,一辈子都在爬它,爬到大概三分之二,然后你看到峰顶还在很远的地方。但你已经爬到三分之二了,位置还是很高
02:39可是要走完剩下的路,你得回到山脚另找一条路。没人愿意这么干,人们不想从头开始。对,这也是人生后期的本质——你不知道还剩多少时间,所以下山另寻新路非常痛苦。但那可能才是最好的选择。这也是为什么你看那些最伟大的艺术家和创作者,他们有种别人没有的重新开始的能力。比如 Elon 会被人叫白痴,然后去做一件他据说没资格做的新事情;或者当Madonna、Paul Simon 或者你们俩出新专辑,现有的粉丝通常讨厌它,因为他们采用了在别处学来的全新风格,很多时候会彻底翻车。所以你
03:22得愿意当个傻瓜,保有那种初学者心态,回到起点重新开始。你不这么做,就只是在变老。对,我甚至不确定这是不是「愿意当傻瓜」。对我来说,最兴奋的事就是在某件事上变得更好、学到东西。当你在一件完全陌生的事情上取得一点点进步,那真的很激动人心。我活着就是为了那个「啊哈」时刻——你把两个以前没连起来的东西连起来了,而且严丝合缝、牢固,它帮你在脑子里搭起一个钢铁般的理解框架
03:55之后你可以把别的想法挂上去。这就是我活着的意义。对,就像好奇心被满足,小孩子也是这样。我小儿子总在问为什么、为什么、为什么,我总是尽量回答他,有一半时候我意识到,其实我并不真的懂为什么,我只是有个背下来的答案给你,但那不是真正的理解。对,那些对话挺怪的。当你跟孩子说话你说,听着,现实是我有很多东西不知道,是的,我只是背下了很多东西,而且有些东西你就是无法知道。对,你会意识到,你对少数几件事有答案
04:32那些是你真正想过的,然后你还有些遮掩,像活动地板一样——别往这走,这只是个遮掩,我其实不知道生命的意义是什么,也不知道我们是怎么来的。对,然后你还有一大堆背下来的东西,因为现在很多智力其实就是文明的外挂大脑。我知道答案在外面,我知道答案就在那儿我知道怎么去查,我也背下了一些。我大致明白货币怎么运作、美联储怎么印钱、政府这玩意儿是什么,但并不是真懂,所以不足以在
05:01大学里教它。对,我觉得现在人们对生活里几乎所有事都是这样——要一页纸、一张小抄、一个简要总结,用来说明这个非常复杂的话题可能是什么,TL;DR。别给我讲课,给我书;别给我书,给我博客文章;别给我博客文章,给我推文;别给我推文,我已经知道了。对。我对你的阅读方式特别着迷,因为我一直以为我那样做是有毛病。你并不是把一本书从头读到尾,你读着读着就拿起另一本,随性而为,跟着兴趣走。我是被——我在纽约被单亲妈妈养大,她把
05:49当地的图书馆当托儿所用,因为那是个很乱的社区。所以她基本上会说:放学直接去图书馆,别出来,等我深夜来接你。所以我基本上住在图书馆里,什么都读。每本杂志、每张图、每本书、每张地图都读。我把能读的都读完了,什么都读。所以我就不再认同「读书多」或「读完一本书」是虚荣指标。因为当人们在 Twitter、Instagram 上发照片说「看我这一摞在读的书」
06:20那是炫耀,是发信号。对,当然。而现实是,我宁愿把最好的一百本书反复读,直到吸收,而不是读遍所有的书。对,因为你的大脑在一个有限空间里只有有限信息,建议听得够多就会互相抵消。书里也有很多垃圾。所以我不再为了读完而读,我是为了满足真实的求知欲而读,内容可以是任何东西,可以是废话、历史、小说、科学、科幻。最近主要是科幻、哲学、科学,因为我就是对这些感兴趣。但我是为了理解而读。
07:00所以一本真正好的书我会翻着看,不会按顺序连续读,甚至不会读完。我在找想法,找我不懂的东西,一旦找到真正有意思的,我就会琢磨它、研究它,然后等我看腻了就放下,或者翻到另一本。多亏了电子书,我在 Kindle 或 iBooks 里随时开着五七十本书在它们之间跳来跳去。这也是一种防御机制,针对现代社会信息来得太多太快、我们注意力极短这件事。你有 Twitter、有 Instagram、
07:37有 Facebook,你习惯了被信息轰炸。所以你可以把这看成坏事,说「我没有注意力」;也可以看成好事——「我多任务能力很强,我能挖得很快」。如果我发现一条有意思的线索,我能追着它穿过五个社交网络、穿过网页、穿过图书馆、穿过书,我能真正挖到这件事的底。就像亚历山大图书馆任我调用。所以我不再记录读了多少书,甚至不在乎读了多少书,重要的是理解概念。对,你提到了两个很棒的
08:11点。首先,读书以及几乎所有事的社交媒体化——这是一种很怪的方式去展示你的生活,因为你展示的是你生活里最好的那些方面,放在某种玻璃橱窗里。那是你培养、策展出来的一个不真实版本的你。我跟你一样有罪,每个人都有罪,我也有。对,我每次跑步都带着狗摆拍。对,我们一直在发信号。这就像是,你不是真的在看自己,而是在看别人怎么看你,于是有了这层抽离出来的心理形象,这有点像一种
08:50病,因为社交媒体把我们所有人都变成名人,而名人是世界上最不快乐的人。因为他们有一个很强的自我形象,不断被堆起来,每次有人夸你夸我一句,我们说「哦谢谢」,这就堆起了一个关于我们是谁的形象。然后一个白痴来了,十个里有一个、一百个里有一个,他们很容易就把它撕下来,因为不需要很多侮辱就能抵消大量赞美。现在你背着这个沉重巨大的自我形象,非常容易被攻击;因为你出名、你有名,人们就想
09:23攻击你。所以当名人并不好,其实是个问题。我有一条推文——这些其实都是对自己的提醒——你要富有且无名,而不是贫穷。当然这也有它的好处当然,当然,但我们不会那么做。它有些问题你从没被训练过怎么应对,你不亲身经历就真的不会懂。我跟妻子聊过这个,我们聊到那些径直走上来的人,他们不在乎你在干什么,不在乎我是不是正带着女儿、抱着她、喂她,不在乎我们正在进行一场很投入的对话
10:02她在哭,可能正在哭,某个哥们还是走过来,立刻就要拍照,毫不在意,他的需求高于我女儿。我妻子说,在认识我之前她一直以为这就是出名的代价,有人喜欢你,这就是出名的代价。而现在当它打断她的生活、打断孩子、打断朋友她说,这很烦,这不健康,这不是与人互动的聪明方式。人们有这种奇怪的挑战、奇怪的事:如果你
10:42出名了,就有这种奇怪的挑战,人们就想凑到你身边,尤其今天,因为只要能拍到你的照片,就能提升他们的社交媒体形象,比如「嘿,我跟 Naval 坐在一起,看这个笑容」。反过来说,无名是一种特权。但这也是自己招来的,是我们自己造成的。对,不过我们并不真知道它意味着什么,我们其实知道,但还是继续。所以它告诉我们我们从里面得到了什么。所以有时候有人在公共场合来找我,我会有点不满;另一些时候我会想,其实我很感激,我为此
11:13努力过,我得到的是对的,这就是回报,拥抱它、微笑、咬牙忍着。但你也有另一种名气,对吧?你在投资人中间是英雄,而且你——我是在年轻男性极客中间的名人,那是我最喜欢的一群人之一。对。但那不是大多数人想追求的那种名气,尤其大多数男生,对吧。对,你想要的是可爱女生的关注。对,我看我那些短短的 YouTube 片段,我现在在做一个小小的播客,大概 95% 是男性。哦当然。对,而且高度集中在 18 到 35 岁。对,我们——数据是多少?对,90% 多。你做那个、那个很小的播客,就只是三四分钟的小片段。对,那
12:03是这样的:我写了一个推文串,叫「如何不靠运气变富」,在 Twitter 上挺火。它讲的其实是财富创造,我只是用了标题党式的标题,试图铺陈出创造财富的永恒原则,你吸收了这些原则,就会成为那种能创造财富、创建企业、赚到钱的人。我背后的理论是:有三样东西人人都想要,其实不止三样,但先说三样。三个基本:人人都想富有,人人都想快乐,人人都想健康。我知道有很多道德表演,比如说我们不想要
12:39钱,我不在乎快乐,快乐是给蠢人的。但面对现实吧:你想又富又快乐又健康,这就是三连冠。当然你还想要内心的平静状态,想要一个有爱的家庭,所以还有别的因素。但那三样,我认为其实是可以教的。至于健身,我不打算教,有很多你节目上请过的人,包括你自己,在健身和健康上比我懂得多得多。我出生时又穷又痛苦,现在相当宽裕,而且非常快乐,我
13:11不是——我在这两件事上下过功夫,所以学到了一些东西,有些原则,我试着把它们列出来,但用永恒的方式,让你自己也能琢磨明白,因为在说到底,我其实教不了任何东西,我只能启发你,也许给你几个钩子,让你在事情发生时会想起来,或者给它们起个名字。所以这个播客最后变成了逐条解释那个推文串。那个推文串大概有 36、38 条推文,非常火,被翻译成几十种语言。这些原则是我十三四岁时给自己想出来的
13:46在我脑子里带了三十年,也一直照着做。随着时间推移我意识到,可悲也可幸,我真正擅长的事是看企业,找出杠杆最大的那个点,从中真正创造并获取一部分财富,而且是长期的方式,不是那种让银行家把经济搞崩、自己被套住的方式,而是建立企业、帮助别人、提供价值,尤其当它应用在现代技术和我们这个无限杠杆时代的杠杆上。所以那个播客就是逐条解释推文,都是三四
14:24五分钟的小片段。我不喜欢把同一件事说两遍,我不喜欢详细解释,我只是觉得,如果你有原创且有意思的话要说,你就该说,否则它很可能已经被别人说得更好了。所以那个播客力求信息密度高、非常简洁、冲击力强、不过时,里面有我认为你需要的全部信息——那些原则,只要你吸收它们,再努力十年,你就能得到你想要的。所以我已经做了财富创造那一季,我打算再做一季关于快乐的。「快乐」是个大词,但你知道,快乐、内心平静
15:02安宁之类的。因为你不想成为那种人生很成功,但神经紧绷、压力巨大、不快乐,身后还跟着一串情绪残骸、连累自己和亲人的人这种情况比不常见还常见。对,因为你必须专注,而要在所有事上都出色非常难。你想成为那个平静抵达的人,安静地、不挣扎地抵达。你想成为那种人:危机发生时,你是房间里最冷静、最镇定的那根黄瓜,同时还找得出正确答案。如果你能做到——你刚说的其中一件事
15:38是,你觉得快乐是可以学的,你可以教会自己快乐,哪怕只是采取「我是个快乐的人」这种心态,并向你的朋友们宣布。这样你就建立了一种社会契约:我是个快乐的人,我得对得起它。对,我有几百种技巧。那这个技巧你是怎么想出来的?有个东西叫社会一致性对,人类有一种需求:要与自己过去说过的话高度一致。我创办第一家公司的方式就是这样——我当时在一个大机构里工作,我告诉所有人我要出去创业
16:16我说我讨厌这地方,我要自己做点事,我要成为成功的创业者。六个月过去、九个月过去,然后人们开始说:你还在啊?我以为你要去创业了。你在骗人吗?言下之意就是这个。所以我们都懂,社会契约非常强大。比如你想戒酒,如果你不是认真的,你会说我要少喝点,一晚只喝一杯,只在周末喝——你对自己说。但如果你是认真的,你会在 Facebook 上宣布,告诉所有朋友,告诉妻子,说
16:49我戒了,我把家里东西全扔了,你再也不会看到我喝酒。你这么说的时候,你知道自己是认真的。所以我觉得很多这类事都是我们做的选择,快乐也只是其中之一。这话不讨人喜欢,因为有些人确实抑郁,生理性的或者别的。也有些人不相信这有可能,因为那会给他们制造一种责任,等于说「哦,那如果我不快乐,就是我的错」。我不是这个意思。我是说,就像健身可以是选择、健康可以是选择、营养可以是选择、努力工作和赚
17:22钱可以是选择,快乐也可以是选择。你要那么聪明,怎么不快乐?你怎么没把这件事想明白?这是我向所有自认聪明能干的人发出的挑战:如果你那么聪明能干,为什么改不了这一点?不过也有一群人确实以不快乐为乐。追求卓越和成功,在他们眼里有某种超越一切的东西那就是顶峰、顶点、最重要的东西,这不是取舍。我想说,当我讲「快乐」时,「快乐」是那种含义千千万万的词,就像「爱」一样
18:07那是什么意思?我爱奶酪。对。我要把它定义得更严格一点。回到欲望,这是很古老的佛教智慧,我没说什么原创的,但对我来说,欲望就是你跟自己签的一份合约:在得到想要的东西之前,你不快乐。好。我把这句话放在眼前,所以当我对某事不满时,我会去找我底下那个没被满足的欲望是什么。有欲望没关系,你是生物,你被放在这个地球上,你总得做点什么,你必须有欲望,你有个使命。但别要太多,别无意识地捡起它们,别
18:44随便乱捡,别拥有成千上万个。「我的咖啡太凉了、味道不太对」「我坐得不够舒服、要是再热点就好了」「我的狗在草坪上拉屎了,我不喜欢这样」。不管是什么,选一个压倒性的欲望,为那一个受苦没关系;但其他所有欲望你都要放下,这样你才能冷静、安宁、放松,然后你会表现得更好大多数人不快乐时——比如抑郁的人,并不是因为他们心智清晰冷静,而是他们脑子里太忙,自我感太强,整天坐在室内,脑子一直在转、在转
19:18想得太多。如果你想成为高水平运动员,如果你总是癫痫发作、总是抽搐、到处乱跑乱跳,你能是多好的运动员?四肢乱挥失控,那不行。同理,如果你想在商业上高效,你需要一颗清晰、冷静、镇定的心。Warren Buffett 整天打桥牌,在太阳下散步他不会坐在那儿不停往脑子里塞信息,为每件小事激动。我们生活在一个无限杠杆的时代,我的意思是,你的行动可以被放大
19:54一千倍:通过播客广播,通过投入资本,通过让别人为你工作,或者通过写代码。正因如此,好的决策带来的影响比过去大得多,因为现在你可以通过决定影响成千上万甚至数百万人。清晰的心带来更好的判断,带来更好的结果。所以一个快乐、冷静、平和的人会做出更好的决策、得到更好的结果。所以如果你想在巅峰状态运转,你就得学会驯服你的心,就像你得学会驯服你的身体。我喜欢你说的,Warren Buffett 可能不是最好的例子,因为他
20:34每天大概喝六罐可乐,主要吃麦当劳,居然还活着。这说明低压力更重要。没人看起来像[脏话]一样——他多大了?他算是个相当老的人了。Charlie Munger 我记得九十多了,对吧。对,他走得挺远了。我好奇 Warren 在干什么,他肯定知道那对自己不好,但那玩意儿很糟,他不在乎,他不在乎。我觉得他就是有点压力。对,压力嘛。所以他就享受那罐可乐,也许这里有个取舍:也许他享受垃圾食品和可乐带来的那种愉悦
21:09对心理来说,可能比只喝小麦草汁、只吃沙拉、对什么都超级激动要好。就像如果你需要一杯红酒来减压、平静下来,那大概比你失控崩溃要好。对,对。我觉得这不仅适用于商业,大概适用于任何追求。我喜欢你说的,让那一件事成为你的执念,其他一切就——学会放下,选择你的战场。我们喜欢把世界看成线性的,也就是我投入八小时工作,我就
21:49会得到八小时的产出。不是这样的。街角杂货店的老板和你我一样努力,甚至更努力,他的产出有多少?你做什么、和谁一起做、怎么做,远比多努力重要。对。产出是非线性的,取决于你投入工作的质量。正确的工作方式像狮子。你我不是牛,我们不该整天吃草,我们该像狮子一样狩猎。在我们杂食的演化中,我们更接近肉食动物而不是草食动物。我们不怎么跟素食者这么说。对,抱歉,我倒是希望
22:23那套真的行得通,我也不想吃肉。未来世代回头看我们会觉得我们比奴隶主还糟,因为我们正在对动物进行大屠杀。但他们会有人造肉,味道好、更健康据说比真肉还好。所以作为现代的知识工作运动员、智力运动员,你要像运动员一样运作:刻苦训练,然后冲刺,然后休息,然后复盘得到反馈回路,然后再训练一段,再冲刺,再休息,再复盘。「只要每天用同样的时长机械地干,就会有线性产出」这个想法——那是机器
23:04机器才该朝九晚五,人类不该——不是被造来朝九晚五的。不,我完全同意。但问题是对那些给别人打工的人来说,其实没这个选项。所以不幸的是,症结就在这儿。这也正是我那个推文串的起点:首先,如果你想赚钱,第一件事就是,靠出租时间你不可能变富连那些每小时收三四五百美元的律师和医生也没变富,因为他们的生活方式随着收入慢慢升级,储蓄不够,他们就是没有那种能力。所以
23:42你要做的第一件事,是拥有一部分生意。你需要股权——作为所有者、投资人、股东,或者你打造的一个品牌,它累积到你身上,让你获得财务上的对。你说的另一件事让我特别着迷,关于为自己工作:你觉得未来,不管是 50 年还是 100 年后,几乎所有人都将为自己工作,而且我记得你的说法是,信息时代会逆转工业时代。对。如果你回到狩猎采集时代,我们演化的方式,我们基本上是为自己工作,我们在部落内沟通合作,但
24:20每个猎手、每个采集者都是独立的,然后把资源与家庭单位结合,但没有老板、没有层级——不像你在农耕时代是往下数第三层的中层经理。农耕时代我们变得稍微更等级化,因为要经营农场,但即便那样也多半还是家庭农场。是工厂式的工业劳动创造了这种模式:成千上万人一起做一件事,有老板、有排班、有到岗时间。现实是,如果你得去——我不管你多有钱,不管你是不是华尔街顶尖银行家——如果你得去,如果有人必须告诉你
24:57什么时候上班、穿什么、怎么举止,你就不是自由的人,你其实不算富有。所以我们现在陷在这个模型里,认为一切就是就业、工作和内在的「我必须为别人工作」。但信息时代正在瓦解它。Ronald Coase 是一位经济学家,有个科斯定理,非常有名,它讲的基本就是:为什么一家公司是现在这个规模?为什么一家公司是一个人而不是十个人、一百人、一千人?这与内部交易成本和外部交易成本的对比有关。比方说我想
25:34做一件事,比如我在盖房子,需要有人来供应木材,我是开发商。我希望这成为我公司的一部分,还是希望它是外部供应商?很大程度上取决于在外部与内部完成这笔交易的难易。如果在外部每次都要重签合同太难,我就把它拿到公司内部;如果在外部很容易完成、而且是一次性的,我宁愿放在公司外面。而信息技术让这些外部交易越来越容易,与人沟通变得容易多了,零工经济——我
26:08可以给你转小额的钱,可以通过 App 雇你,事后可以给你评分。所以我们看到公司在原子化,公司的最优规模在缩小,这在硅谷最明显无数创业公司不断冒出来,从大公司身上削下一小块业务,把它变成巨大的市场。原本在 Craigslist 上看起来很小的度假短租市场,现在突然膨胀成了Airbnb。一个例子,很好的例子。但我认为我们将会看到,不管是 10 年、20 年、50 年还是 100 年后,高质量的工作会变得可得。我们说的不是开 Uber,我们说的是超高
26:48质量的工作会以零工形式提供:早上醒来,手机震动,你会收到五份不同的活儿,来自以前合作过或经人推荐的人。有点像好莱坞现在的运作方式——为项目组队。你决定接不接这个项目,合同当场就在那儿,你拿到一定报酬,你会被每天或每周被评分,钱会打给你,工作结束后你就关掉,去塔希提,或者任何你想度过接下来三个月的地方。我认为聪明人
27:15已经开始明白互联网让这成为可能,他们开始越来越多地远程工作,按自己的日程、自己的时间、自己的地点、和自己的朋友、以自己的方式。而那其实才是我们效率最高的状态。所以信息革命通过让沟通、连接、协作更容易,让我们回到为自己工作。那是我终极的梦想。即使我经营一家公司、有员工,我总是对那些人说:嘿,等你准备好了,我会帮你创办你自己的公司,因为我认为那是最高的召唤。也许不是每个人都能走到那一步,但即便我们只是
27:51在十人、二十人的公司里工作,也远好于在千人、万人的公司里工作。所以那种「我们都是工厂里机器上的齿轮、专业分工、必须靠死记硬背或指令做事」的观念会消失,我们会回到小群的、有创造力的个体团队,出发去完成使命,使命完成后我们收钱被评分,然后休息、复盘,直到准备好下一次冲刺。有没有研究做过关于快乐与公司规模的关系?我没听说过,但对我来说这很明显
28:27就是很明显:公司越小,你会越快乐,人际关系越像人,你要遵守的规则越少,越灵活、越有创造力,你越像个真正的人,因为你能同时做多件事。对。这让我想到一个最近总被提起的话题:全民基本收入,配上即将到来的自动化末日。这就是 Andrew Yang 描绘的样子,他正在竞选总统。我坐下来跟他聊过,他非常聪明,自己也是创业者。当他开始讲自动化会怎样消灭大量工作岗位
29:07让人无处可去,你怎么看?我知道你是会思考未来的人。我要站在这件事上比较主流的观点这边——不,我认为那是个「非解决方案」,我的意思是自动化从有史以来就一直在发生。电来了,让很多人失业,不是吗?很多提水桶的人、点灯的人诸如此类。对工厂的担忧也是如此,App、一切,字面上每一项新事物,甚至印刷术。绝对。而它做的事是把人解放出来去做新的创造性工作。所以
29:39问题不是自动化会不会消灭工作。工作没有固定数量,我们不是坐在那儿分自石器时代以来就存在的同一批工作。所以新工作显然在被创造出来,而且它们通常是更好的工作、更有创造性的工作。所以问题是这个转变有多快,什么工作会被消灭,什么工作会被创造。往前看,不可能预测什么样的工作会被创造出来。如果我十年前告诉你「播客主」会是一份工作,或者打电子游戏会是一份工作,或者解说电子游戏会
30:13是一份工作,你会笑到把我赶出房间。那些是荒唐的工作,但我们现在就在这儿。所以社会总会创造新工作,文明会创造新工作,但不可能预测那些工作是什么。所以问题是这个转变有多快。现实是,尽管所有人都在谈自动化末日,我们的失业率却处于历史低位。解释一下,转变在哪儿?Donald Trump。这很难。我想说的是,它我没在数字里看到它,我没看到它真的在发生。问题是你多快能重新培训人,所以这是个教育问题。UBI 的问题——UBI 有几个问题,一是你在制造
30:53一条直通社会主义的滑坡。对,一旦人们能给自己投票发钱,再加上民主制度,底层 51% 投票把顶层 49% 的东西全分掉,只是时间问题。对,而且——顺便说,「滑坡谬误」并不是谬误,我知道人们爱这么说,但他们没想透。一旦你有了那样一种直接转移支付的机制在民主制度里,你基本上就是在拿资本主义——经济增长的引擎——开刀。你也在把创业者赶走,或者告诉他们别来这儿。我看到的估算是,给每个人每年 1.5 万美元基本收入,将
31:31会达到当前 GDP 的四分之三;当然,随着创业者逃离,GDP 也会缩水,所以你基本上会让国家破产。UBI 的另一个问题是,运气不好的人要的不是施舍。不只是钱的问题,还有地位、还有意义。一旦我开始给你钱、把你变成领救济的人,我就降低了你的地位,我把你变成了二等公民。所以我必须给你意义,而意义来自教育和能力。你得教人钓鱼,而不是把腐烂的剩骨头扔给他说「吃吧」,所以它解决不了
32:06意义问题。最后,给所有人发 1.5 万美元是胡闹,你得做资产审查,没理由发给你和我。所以你最终又回到福利制度,你得弄清楚谁需要谁不需要。所以我认为更好的路径是,我们建立一套人必须有基本生存服务,用技术驱动的自动化大量提供它们。所以要有基本住房、基本食物、基本交通、高速网络、口袋里一部手机,这些才是你该给的东西。最后,关于自动化的速度,我认为我们可以很快地教育人
32:45今天有个迷思是成年人不能被再教育。我们把教育看成这样一件事:你去上学,大学毕业就结束了,不再有教育。这个想法是错的。现在有那么多优秀的线上训练营和编程学校,甚至有的会付钱让你去。你可以大规模地教育人,而且可以把他们教育成创造性职业的人。那些谈 AI 会自动化编程的人,从没真正写过严肃代码。编程是思考,是自动化的结构化思考。一个能和人类一样好或更好的 AI,就是刚刚接管世界的 AI,那是终局,那是
33:24人类物种的终结。我也可以给你论证为什么我认为那也不会到来。那些在思考的人——我知道在这场辩论里我跟一些非常有名的人站在对立面——但我们离通用人工智能还差得远,在我们的有生之年不会。你不用担心。即便在我们有生之年?真的,它被严重夸大了。这是卡珊德拉情结——谈世界末日很好玩——再加上上帝情结:那些失去宗教的人,于是他们在某种「历史的终结」里寻找意义。对,对。我认为 AI 不会很快到来的原因是
34:00今天所谓 AI 的很多进展,都是我们所说的狭义 AI,它们其实就是模式识别、机器学习,用来分辨屏幕上那个东西是什么,或者如何在噪声里找到这个信号没有任何东西接近我们所说的「创造性」,更不用说真正建模通用智能,你会遇到各种问题。第一,我们根本不知道大脑怎么运作。第二,我们连一个草履虫或变形虫都没建模过,更别说人脑。第三,有个假设认为所有计算都发生在细胞层面、神经元层面,而大自然非常节俭,它会用上一切可用的东西。细胞内部有大量机制
34:40在做计算、具有智能,却没被计入。最好的估计是,还需要 50 年的摩尔定律,我们才能近乎完美地模拟细胞内部在发生什么;大概 100 年,我们才能造出一个能模拟细胞内部的大脑。所以只说「我建模神经元是开还是关,然后用它造人脑」是过度简化。此外我还要提出,根本不存在通用智能这种东西。每一种智能都是情境化的,取决于它所处的环境,所以你得围绕它演化出一个环境。因此我认为很多兜售通用 AI 的人
35:13举证责任在他们身上。我没看到任何东西表明我们正在接近通用 AI;相反,我们是在用大量数据解决确定性的、封闭集合的有限问题,但谈这个不够性感你是在说镜像细胞的实际能力,还是在重现真正的机制,也就是细胞内部、生物体内部到底在发生什么?对,我们就是不知道智能怎么运作,我们不知道我们真的毫无头绪。所以大多数 AI 方法的说法基本是:我们要试着建模大脑如何运作。但那种神经元层面的模型——说这个神经元开、那个神经元关,把它们的
35:56信号结合起来——但我要说,神经元是一个细胞,细胞内部有一整套机制在运转,在操作这个神经元,那也是智能装置的一部分。你不能忽略它、把它抽象掉,你必须建模到细胞内部层面。它也是生物体本身的一部分。正是,而且它有那些需求,生物体必须进食、休息。对,这里面有一种平衡。但当你把这一切都去掉,当这些都没有了,只剩下计算,我们到达一个点——它就是我们创造出来的那个东西,不管你说它是计算机,还是
36:33它甚至不必是会动的东西,而是你造出来的一个东西,它储存了世上几乎所有可得的信息,储存了所有曾活过的伟人的全部思维模式所有作家、所有发表过东西的人、所有说过话的人,储存他们所有的观点、所有反观点、所有矛盾,运用逻辑和理性,某种对未来的感知,然后开始在这些模式上自我改进,再根据被提供的信息自行行动。首先,你得真的模拟出一个能承载所有这些信息的人脑结构
37:22你说的基本上是几万个大脑容量的信息,对吧?我们连一个大脑都造不出来,未来十年、二十年、三十年都不行。就实际物理大脑而言,是的。但如果是重现大脑能力的东西呢?就像我说的,大自然很节俭。我们有这个三磅重的湿件,能装下所有这些数据,大自然在演化上是极为高效的。我只是不认为计算机离那个还差得很远。它们能承载那种复杂度的数据吗?像大脑的全息结构那样,能以许多许多不同方式回忆。我也不认为你可以
37:59在真实介质中、脱离反馈边界去演化出一个有智能的生物。如果你把一个人养在水泥牢房里,没有外界输入,他就得不到任何来自真实世界的反馈,他就不会正常发育。所以我认为只是把信息倒进一个东西里是不够的,它必须有可运作的环境、能得到反馈,它需要语境。但那不就是生物性的吗如果你把人类积累的所有信息、人类学到的所有教训都编进计算机呢?就像我们能造出在
38:36国际象棋上击败人的计算机,真正的问题是:我们能不能造出某种人工智能,在比国际象棋复杂得多的围棋上打败人?他们也搞定了,那是巨大的震撼对。但这些仍然是人造的、非常封闭、有边界的游戏,它们不在通往无边界的人生游戏这条路上,它们完全是人工的。但这不是——这没让你稍微停顿一下吗?有一点点。围棋不是——围棋、英雄联盟、堡垒之夜,它们不是完全确定性的,对吧?但它们仍然非常人工、非常有边界。擅长围棋并不意味着你突然就能写出
39:16伟大的诗。对。创造力肯定是——创造力是最后的边疆。所以我确实相信,在足够长的时间里,自动化会取代每一项非创造性的工作。但那是好消息那意味着我们所有的基本需求都被照顾好了,剩下给我们做的就是创造,而那正是每个人真正想要的。对。你现在在干什么?这是创造性工作。当然。这就把我们带回意义和全民基本收入的问题。我觉得给一个人一年 1.5 万美元,不一定会导致——大家担心的是人们靠救济过活,你会
40:00有一群毫无生气、生活没有意义的人在外面。但这个想法是,一年 1.5 万美元——我不确定我同意,我甚至不是在背书——这 1.5 万美元只是给你提供生活的基本所需,给你食物,给你住处。但不会停在 1.5 万,因为一旦人们觉得——我是说,1.5 万然后人们会要求更多。Bernie Sanders 会站上来说一万六、一万七、四万五。对,「这些公司太大了」。对,那会——它不会停,一路走到破产。担忧
40:32就是滑向社会主义。这很明显。对,说真的,如果我不工作,每年拿 1.5 万,我会乐呵呵地投给那个给我两万或两万五的人这就是常识。你怎么回应那些不相信存在「有道德的、有同情心的资本主义」的人?今天有很多人拥护马克思主义,拥护某种社会主义社会,他们认为资本主义坑了人民、坑了中产阶级。资本主义确实有绝对的问题。我认为垄断是个问题,我认为裙带资本主义是个问题,政府
41:10跟它们上床、强推一些东西。我认为银行家真的强奸了社会,而我们其余人在为此受苦。对,他们本质上承担了巨大风险,却把收益私有化把损失社会化,所以出事时他们基本上被救出来,把其他所有人搞破产。所以资本主义名声很坏。我们谈谈它的自由交换——自由市场和自由交换是人类固有的。从第一个人生起火,另一个人带着一头鹿过来,说「嘿,如果我在你的火上烤我的鹿,我分你一点」,就是这样。分工、劳动、我们交易,这是刻在
41:47人类物种里的。基础数学来自会计,记录借贷之类。我们需要能够进行自由贸易。对资本主义的正确批评,是它没有提供平等机会所以我们应该始终努力提供平等机会。但人们把平等机会和平等结果搞混了。平等结果只能靠暴力强制执行,因为不同的人、自由的人会做不同的选择,而做出不同选择就会有不同结果。如果你不让他们承受错误选择的后果、也不让他们收获正确选择的回报,那你就是在通过暴力强制再分配。有意思的是,没有哪个运转的社会主义例子
42:29是在没有暴力的情况下存在的。你基本上需要一个人拿着枪出现,说「好,你不许那么做,把这个交给那个人」。所以我做这个播客的原因之一是,我相信每个人都可以富有,每个人。这不是零和游戏,是正和游戏。你创造全新的东西,用它跟我换我创造的全新东西,这为我们双方都带来了更高的效用创造的价值总和是正的。它不像地位:你高一点,我就低一点;你是总统,那另一个就是副总统;你是 +1,我就是 -1,必须抵消成零。我们都应该
43:02都来玩一些有道德的游戏。问题是,因为这些掠夺者败坏了资本主义的名声,于是社会主义者进来说「把整个系统烧掉」。对,你把整个系统烧掉,我们最后就像委内瑞拉或前苏联一样。你不想成为一个失败的社会主义国家,瘦骨嶙峋的少年在街上抓猫吃,对吧?那些地方真的就是这样。所以我认为不要摧毁把我们带到这里的进步引擎,这非常重要。对。「社会主义只是还没成功,只是需要我们做对,如果我们做对了就能……」如果
43:38你们已经死了一亿人。对,对。「那我们继续在全世界试」。对,而每一次都是。你跟社会主义者聊过吗?聊过很多次,我有一些挺好的朋友就是社会主义者。真的?我们真的会争起来。对。那里面有什么——有谁的观点真正有说服力吗?我认为社会主义真的来自内心,对吧?我们都想资本主义来自头脑。因为任何系统里总有人作弊。对,任何系统里都有激励。你年轻时如果不是社会主义者,你就没有心;你年长后如果不是资本主义者,你
44:18就没有头脑。对,你没想透。所以我理解它从哪来。我一直喜欢 Nassim Taleb 对此的框架,他说:对我的家人,我是共产主义者;对我的密友,我是社会主义者在州层面的政治上,我是民主党员;在更高层面,我是共和党员;在联邦层面,我是自由意志主义者。对。基本上,你聚集在一起的人越多、利益越不同信任就越少,作弊就越多,激励就必须对得越齐,系统就必须运转得越好,你就越需要走向资本主义。你所在的群体越小——你在基布兹、你在
44:53公社、你在家里、你在部落里——那就尽管做社会主义者。和我的姑姨、兄弟、表亲、叔伯、妈妈、和家人在一起,我是社会主义者,那才是过一种有爱的、整合的生活的正确方式。是的。但当你和陌生人打交道——你想做个真正的社会主义者?好,明天把你所有门窗都打开,请所有人来拿他们想要的,看看结果如何对。「收入不平等」这个概念总让我觉得是个很有欺骗性的词。收入不平等。我们把它翻过来看,它来自结果不平等。对,而结果不平等之所以存在,是因为你做了不同的选择。
45:33再说一次,如果原因是你没有同样的机会,那是问题,是的。所以社会应该始终努力给人们平等机会。比如,与其搞基本收入,如果我们有一个再培训项目,写进我们基本的社会结构里,规定每四年、每六年或者随便多久——也许是每十年——你可以抽出一整年,我们出钱让你去彻底重新培训,你可以进入任何你喜欢的、有赚钱能力和产出的职业,最好是创造性的长期职业,你可以重新受教育。这对社会在各个层面都比简单说「现在你一辈子领救济吧」要好得多
46:12对。你只能把马牵到水边,还得让它喝。这需要人们付出一些努力。对,我们不能都干坐着,那不行这就是我对收入不平等的看法。总有努力和思考上的不平等。有些人就是痴迷,如果这些人成功了,那不意味着他们偷了你的东西,只意味着他们投入了达到他们那个位置所需的能量和努力。现在有很多道德表演,人们说「那是因为你有特权」。你知道最大的
46:45特权是什么吗?是你还活着,人类里有 85% 已经死了。对,那你有多特权?你活在第一世界,你有四肢等等。所以这个论证可以一路推下去,这有点像一场荒唐的讨论。进步派有个很怪的论点,涉及种族时总是很怪。因为「白人特权」在我看来,虽然你可以在纸面上看他们说的内容,是的,我确信有更多黑人被警察骚扰,我确信有更多黑人在店里被店主怀疑看待等等。但问题不是那些没有被恶劣对待的人,问题
47:23是那些恶劣对待别人的人。问题是种族主义,问题不是那些没要求自己被生成白人或者什么人、而且他们也没得到好处的人。所以「白人特权」「男性特权」或者随便什么特权,那不是问题。你只是在看一个不是你指出的这个特定问题的受害者的人,但你没在看问题的施害者。你让一些人仅仅因为存在、仅仅因为皮肤里黑色素更少、或者祖先来自某地,就成了施害者。其实这是一种偷偷摸摸的种族主义。对,然后他们说「你不能种族歧视」,因为你是白人所以不算种族歧视。对,那太可笑了。
48:08「你不能对白人种族歧视」,那就像是「我打你的时候别挣扎」那个论调的变体。太傻了,你完全改变了种族主义的定义但最好笑的是,大喊种族主义的人大多不是少数族裔。我看我的 Twitter、社交媒体或新闻,那是白人对白人的暴力、道德表演。对,白人对白人的暴力。对主要发生的是精英白人、蓝州白人、大学学历的白人,在痛打只有高中学历的白人、蓝领白人。这是一场白领对蓝领的战争,而其余我们这些人只是
48:42在旁边看,心想「哦,这挺有意思」。这也是广播能力的一个副作用,对吧?每个有 Twitter 账号的人都能广播,每个有 Facebook 页面的人都能高谈阔论发出这些又长又散的巨大声明。当你读到它们,你会想:你在这上面花了多少时间?你他妈把这么多时间花在你的孩子、你的工作、你的工作、你的人生、你的未来、为将来做规划上了吗?你一天锻炼多久?我是说,你就是这样——我读一些人的 Facebook 帖子,我会想,这花的时间多得离谱
49:18投入这么多精力,却几乎什么也没说。你看,人类在创造,对,AI 也做这个。好吧,那是真的,那是创造性的,但是以一种很怪的方式创造,因为他们的创造性在于试图引发人们的反应,试图提高自己的社会价值,或者提高自己在社会图腾柱上的位置。那是发信号,而且是容易的信号,因为那类东西是所有人都必须同意你的因为没人想被看成坏人。对,提出有细微差别的反驳,比随大流难得多。对。而且有些东西太陈词滥调了,以至于
49:54看起来就像——我认识一个人,他在 Twitter 上假扮女人,但他做得很明显。对。叫什么名字?Tatiana。对,对,以前叫 Godfrey Elfwick。对。哦,是那个同一个人吗?我想是的。对。那是——我不知道,他们把她的账号封了,为了假扮跨种族身份封了账号。对,他们真做了。他基本上把那些人在左派说的所有疯话都说出来,但他说的是最疯的版本。对,就展示出这有多「没问题」。比如我最近看到一条来自他/她的推文说「当白人是不行的」。对,然后有些人还同意它跟他们说的话太接近了,接近到像是最有艺术性的微妙讽刺。因为如果你把这些话里一半的「白人」换成「黑人」或「亚裔」
50:53对,对,从这个角度说这是个奇怪的年代。有句名言说:如果你想知道谁统治你,就看谁是你不能批评的。说得好。对,太对了。对,这太对了。我很好奇这会走向哪里,我真的好奇。因为似乎我们这个新获得的广播能力——不管你有 YouTube 页面、Twitter,还是你在做什么——这种把你想说的话传播给这么多人的新能力,而大多数情况下理解非常少。我认为整体上这其实是件大好事。对,现在意味着任何人都能广播任何
51:38其他地球人,随时。比如,如果一个极权独裁者上台,有人——法西斯在殴打老妇人,那会被立刻广播出去立刻会有愤怒、有呼喊、有集结。所以在这个意义上,它有助于让任何人的困境得到关注。现在我们正处在这个阶段:我们有了这种新获得的召集暴民的能力,而人们不知道该怎么应对。所以很容易就能组起一帮人去攻击某个人,把语境全抽掉。比如这次对话,我确信有人会截取片段放到社交
52:14媒体上,试图让某个人愤怒,当然。所以你得学会——首先社会必须跨过「愤怒」这个东西。对我来说,容易愤怒的人就是社交媒体上最蠢的人,那些人我立刻拉黑。那是一种非常低层次的思维。这些是步兵,是暴民的步兵。最终社会必须跨过它,他们必须明白这些都是脱离语境的片段,这些是被篡改的视频片段,只是一个想为某事发怒的人。最终也会有反暴民的战术,比如
52:49如果我打开某个人的 Twitter,全是政治咆哮、谩骂、阴谋论,我还想跟这个人共事吗?我还想跟这个人交往吗?你想跟这个人做朋友吗?他的脑子被垃圾塞满了。我不一定怪他们,我认为人脑不是被设计来吸收全世界 24 小时不间断的突发新闻、紧急事件的,那些东西直接注射进你的头骨带着标题党新闻。如果你关注那些东西,即使你出于好意,即使你身心健全,它最终会把你逼疯。这要回到《发条橙》,他被撑开眼睛
53:27被强迫看新闻。我认为现在正在发生的就是这个,因为这些是成瘾性的:Twitter、Facebook、Instagram,这些被武器化了。有社会统计学家、科学家、研究者、穿白大褂的人,literally 我们这代最聪明的头脑,在研究怎么让你对新闻上瘾。对。如果你中招、你上瘾了,你的大脑会被毁掉。我认为这就是现代的斗争。现代的斗争古代的挣扎是部落的挣扎。你有朋友和家人的部落,你有宗教,你有国家,你有忠诚,你有国籍,至少你有意义和支持。但现在
54:04你与其他部落抗争。现代生活里我们如此自由,一切都原子化了,我们孤立站立。你独自住在公寓里,独自住在房子里,父母不住附近,朋友不住附近,你没有任何部落意义。你不再信宗教,不再信国家,没关系,你有了很多自由,太好了。但现在当他们来攻击你时,你独自一人,无法抵抗。那他们怎么攻击你?这一切都出于好意。我不怪资本主义,我爱资本主义,但看看它是怎么发生的:社交媒体把一切机制都调教好了来让你上瘾,像斯金纳的鸽子或老鼠,就一直点、点、点、点
54:43放不下手机。食物:他们拿糖把它武器化了,做成各种形式和变种,让你忍不住要吃。药物:他们拿药品和植物,合成它们,种植它们用某种方式让你上瘾,放不下。色情:如果你是年轻男性,你在网上闲逛,它会抽干你的性欲,你就不再走到现实生活社会里去了,因为有这种刺激极强的东西冲着你来。电子游戏,另一种让人上瘾的方式。所以你有整座大工厂的人在努力让你对这些东西上瘾,而你独自
55:22一人。所以作为个体,现代的斗争就是学会一开始就抵抗这些东西,画出你自己的边界,而没有人帮你,这很可怕。我是说,这是一条需要年轻人去探索的新路,没有地图,没有指南,没人教你怎么应对。我们这一代是过渡的一代。我认为我们的孩子会更懂得处理,因为他们会长大,但我希望我希望,我也希望如此。因为今天你看到人们一些荒唐的行为,而且太常见了。我不知道你有没有关注,有个人做了一个视频,结果发现
56:02视频甚至不是他做的——至少他自己这么说。那是一个他把 Nancy Pelosi 讲话篡改、弄得她像喝醉了的视频,然后一堆人转发说「天啊看,她喝醉了」。于是一家网络媒体、某个网站找到了他,把他「开盒」了。结果他只是一个日结工,一个非洲裔的特朗普粉丝,觉得这么做很好玩。结果他其实并没有——至少按他的说法——他只是把视频放在自己的 Facebook 页面上。更令人不安的是,Facebook 把他的信息给了这家
56:43网站。为了什么?因为他做了个好玩的东西,让人觉得某人喝醉了?关于我的这种视频有一百万个,你能找到一堆。我认为 Facebook、Twitter 和一堆其他社交媒体平台正在通过这类事情进行慢动作自杀。不过那件事真让人震惊——他们竟然交出一个工人,只因为他做了个恶搞视频,或者用剪辑让某人显得很蠢。现在你有的基本是,媒体把追打他们不喜欢的个人当成自己的工作。对,这方面我说的「媒体」是加引号的。所以我不认为《纽约时报》会做什么负责的事
57:19但媒体越来越绝望,对吧。因为互联网之前,每个镇可以有两份本地报纸,每个镇可以有两个本地新闻台、电视台然后 CNN 出现,开始把新闻商品化,24 小时播出;然后互联网来了,那是棺材上的最后一颗钉子。因为互联网做的是:其实如果有某个事实是新闻,你可以立刻分发,它可以上 Twitter、上 Facebook,在 Google News 上被转载一千次。你打开 Google News,心想「好,这条新闻来自哪个来源?」然后三千
57:52篇其他文章,太多了,对吧。所以新闻被商品化了,整个新闻媒体转行去兜售观点和娱乐。对,现在他们分化为啦啦队、突击队、执法队、谈话嘉宾等等现在他们是部落性的,是宣传机器,为本部落发信号。这是右翼的,这是左翼的,有另类右翼,有「控制左」,两边就用各自的媒体器官打来打去还有梗图。所以基本上,当你看到这些新闻机构开盒某个人,那就像一辆坦克碾过去。就是这样,这就是战争。所以现在再也没有中立
58:34媒体了。新闻业曾有的客观性幻觉已经失去,不再有一个 Walter Cronkite 那样人人都会听的人,现在全是突击队互相打仗。这会怎么发展?你想过吗?想过一点。互联网做的是——很多这是互联网驱动的——互联网为每件事创造一两个巨型聚合器:一个出租车调度器、一个电商商店、一个搜索引擎、一个给朋友和家人的社交网站、一个给商务的等等。所以互联网这个巨型聚合器为每件事创造一个霸主,同时创造一条原子化的长尾,由
59:21千百万个体组成。它消灭的是中间的中等规模玩家。比如你可能曾有七家好莱坞制片厂,现在全都要变成 Netflix;你曾有大概十家大型电商,从 Walmart 到 Costco 到 Kmart 之类,现在只剩 Amazon 和大量小个体品牌。这就是我们正在走向的世界:一个霸主和数百万个体。所以长期来看,媒体会是少数几个巨型出口,可能是《纽约时报》,可能是 Facebook,几个这样的,然后会有一条非常
1:00:00长的长尾,由数百万独立个体组成。所以「谁是记者、谁不是」这个观念——Assange 算不算记者?每个人都是记者,这就是我们正在走向的世界。我确实认为那种极端权力,最今天世界上最有权力的人——这不太为人所知——但今天世界上最有权力的人,是为 Twitter、Facebook、Instagram 写算法的人,因为他们在控制信息的传播他们字面上在重写人们的大脑,他们在给文化编程,而且做得非常微妙,像 Google。我相信他们有位高管在国会作证,议员问他
1:00:38「你们操纵搜索结果吗?」他说「不,我们不操纵搜索结果」。真的吗?那就是你的工作,Google 做的就是这件事。Google 只有一个工作,就是操纵搜索结果,把它们从噪声里拉出来并排序正确地排序。而他们这么做的精确算法非常隐蔽、非常复杂,却影响着每个人的心智,包括所有选民。如果 Google、Facebook 和 Twitter 在这件事上聪明一点,他们就不会选边站。他们会说:我们是发布者,凡是流过我们管道的就流过我们的管道;如果违法,我们下架,给我们法院命令,否则我们不碰。就像电话公司
1:01:16如果我打电话给你说了很难听的话,电话公司不会有麻烦。但一旦他们开始下架那些并不违法、只是因为有人尖叫的东西,他们基本上就失去了被视为「通道」的权利,然后突然之间他们承担了责任。所以他们正滑下通往毁灭的滑坡:左派要他们下架右派,右派要他们下架左派。现在他们没有朋友,没有盟友。传统上,倾向自由意志主义的共和党人和民主党人会出于原则为「公共承运人」站出来,但现在他们不会。所以我猜,一旦
1:01:49国会——这一天正在到来,如果不是已经来了的话,也许今天就已经来了,因为我今天在新闻里看到相关的东西。政客们意识到这些社交媒体平台在挑选下一任总统、下一任议员的那一天正在到来,他们真的在挑,而且有权力挑。所以它们会被控制。以什么方式?你觉得它们会怎样被控制?你觉得它们将不得不遵守严格的言论自由原则?不,首先,特别不幸的是,它正朝相反方向走。对,绝对。我希望是言论自由。更可能的是,中短期内,它们会
1:02:28被叫去参加听证会,会受到巨大压力:做这个、别做那个。我对此的担忧是——我看的 Zuckerberg 那几场听证会,那些人完全无能,他们似乎不理解他们只是在施加压力,只是想吓唬他,让他按他们想的做。那他们想让他做什么?他们基本上想让他压制另一边。所以如果你是右翼,你就想压制左翼;如果你是左翼,你就想压制右翼。而你看看这些公司总部在哪——在硅谷,「审查员」——他们其实就是这样,这些公司里有审查员在工作
1:02:59他们只是被叫——显然名字不同,对吧,这是双言。你把它叫「国防部」,其实它是「战争部」;所以这里是「安全与信任部」,它其实是「审查部」。审查员在硅谷内部,所以它会反映硅谷的政治,那是极度进步的左翼。对。如果你不是那样,你真的没有位置。我是说,试试在 Google 做一个保守派、一个公开的保守派,祝你好运,你会被私刑处死。对,那太疯狂了。我不认为曾有哪个东西如此有影响力、又在政治意识形态上如此单边。对,互联网上有个小说法
1:03:40我记得叫「征服定律」:任何没有明确右翼的组织,最终都会变成左翼。我不知道为什么这是真的,但在我看来确实如此。现在这场仗很有意思现在,真的很有意思。而且就社交媒体而言,保守派正被左右乱砍。对。最终会发生的是:每当你压制言论,这个有机体就会转移扩散,然后它就得转向其他手段。运气不好就走向暴力,运气好就找到别的出口。我认为会发生的是,我们会开始创建去中心化的媒体,不被任何单一实体拥有,无法被
1:04:23压制或关停,然后它开始传播这些东西,并取代 Twitter 或 Facebook。对。但那要花 10 年、20 年,不是一夜之间。你知道 Twitter 花了 10年才走到现在这一团乱。但请到 Jack Dorsey 特别有意思,跟他聊它要往哪去、按他自己的原则他认为它该往哪去他认为那是基本权利,他认为言论自由是我们都该拥有的,而这些平台本质上应该像公用事业,像电力公司。Jack 是对的,他有
1:05:00正确的愿景,只是他在一个组织里,组织里其他人想法不同、非常不同。所以组织本身可能被劫持。而他的改变时间表是以十年计的。我是说,我不知道我不该说「十年」,但我是说,我问「你觉得什么时候会有……」嗯,有一种想法是做一个不审查的 Twitter,像「西部狂野」版的 Twitter:你可以有普通 Twitter或者你可以试试「西部狂野」Twitter。那个已经存在了,有个网络叫 Gab。对。但 Gab 甚至不算西部狂野 Twitter,当人们开盒别人的时候,他们会删掉那种东西。对,我认为确实有
1:05:41关于暴力和违法的红线你不想越过。但是的,Gab 更接近言论自由平台,但它仍然不是去中心化的,它仍然可以被关停、被拔掉,它也被严重压制对。所以那儿现在的人都是极端右翼,对像我这样的人来说,跟一堆被别处踢出来的人待在一起并不愉快。对对,你去那儿做个温和派试试,你过去试试,没有你的位置。对,很不幸,因为我不认同任何党派或任何信条,那对我行不通。这算是个问题吗
1:06:14在硅谷,当你不认同任何立场时,你会受到压力吗?绝对会。以前没关系,现在不行了。什么时候没关系?大概十年前,我会说那时候还行,然后你开始看到转变。对,现在你必须选边,否则你自动就是敌人。真的?对,还有批斗会之类。天啊,批斗会,我是为了效果夸张了,但它确实有那种压迫感,对吧而且你还必须在政治上大声表态。对,不能对某件事保持中立。对。就像 Tim Ferriss,我记得他某个时候发了条推文,说你不能随便说什么
1:06:47了,人们在被压制。然后一大堆来自硅谷、自称爱他的人涌上来说:你到底不能说什么?你怕说什么?你想说什么都可以Tim,说吧,你到底怕什么?对吧,他们不喜欢被钓。是啊,他到底想说什么?哇,我们得把他塞进那个盒子里。一个正在琢磨自己是不是要说点不该说的话的人,是什么状态?就是这样。现在我们知道,我看到过一条很棒的推文:左派赢了文化战争,现在他们只是开着车到处射杀幸存者。哇,太好笑了。是啊,我挺好奇到底是谁赢了文化战争,肯定……
1:07:18某场战役确实已经分出了胜负,比如社交媒体的控制权,社交媒体的控制权绝对在左派手里。这对保守派来说很不幸,但技术本身也是一股推动左倾的力量。所以如果你纵观整个人类……历史,左派基本上是在不断壮大、壮大、壮大。为什么呢?为什么它不可避免地如此——就像一些评论员说的,利维坦在向左倾斜。利维坦就是政府。它为什么向左倾?我觉得很大一部分……很大一部分原因是技术。技术带来的结果更像工业革命那样的技术:我们全都抱团在一起,我们成了国家的被监护人。避孕就是一种有助于向左倾的技术。
1:07:59它削弱了家庭单元。堕胎是一项权利,几千年前根本不可能。所以技术其实是在赋权个体,个体意味着家庭结构、宗教等等的解体。而我……我大体上并不反对这些,但它确实意味着整体在向左移。现在我们正迎来一小批能够把你带向右倾的技术,加密就是一个例子,因为加密让下面这件事更容易……让隐私变得更容易,让拥有国家之外的货币变得更容易。枪支,3D 打印枪支就是一种更偏右倾的技术。但总体而言,技术引领世界。是啊,而且这也……
1:08:41而且最先参与技术的人通常都是受过高等教育的人。我觉得尤其是看大学,这个国家的大学也倾向于左倾。大学——大学身上发生的事非常有意思。大学最开始成了数据、智识以及是非对错的裁决者。所以有那么一段时间,人们会想:我们到底该不该做这件事?好吧,我们看看大学怎么说,他们……他们有什么看法,最聪明的人、教授、智库有什么看法。而大学是从硬科学那里获得这种公信力的,比如物理、数学、计算机科学和化学。
1:09:24因为这些学科能造出真东西:曼哈顿计划、微处理器、航天器等等、电动车。所以他们从硬科学那里获得了权威与正当性的外衣。然后社会科学来了,悄悄地溜了进来。然后是经济学。微观经济学是一门真正的学科,背后有真正的科学、真正的数学、逻辑和理性。接着是宏观经济学,它被政治化的空间更大一些,有点像巫术。再然后是社会学研究,再然后是……性别研究,再然后是巴拉巴拉巴拉。于是发生的情况是:因为我们把科学家当成了新世界的大祭司,科学本身就被腐蚀了,社会科学也是。你……
1:10:05你能看出它们是假科学,因为名字后面硬贴了个“科学”的词。它们闯进来劫持了大学,变成了新的智库。所以你今天在大学里看到的,本质上是一场战争。社会科学与自然科学之间的战争,而交叉点就是生物学。你能看到整个“性别是社会建构”的运动在攻击生物学和演化生物学,就像在社会领域他们正在攻击……攻击喜剧演员一样。你能看到大学里正在进行的这场斗争,而我认为自然科学基本上正在输掉这场战争。有什么办法吗,还是它只能自己演下去?是不是……
1:10:42我们是不是必须承受这些愚蠢行为的后果?好消息是,自然科学有“现实”站在它们这边。是啊,但也不完全是——在很多方面它并不受尊重。是啊,但你……但归根结底,你的飞机还得能飞,你的微处理器还得能算。所以他们能把它推到多远是有限的。但我确实看到,比如在生物学领域,很多……很多生物学家正面临这种困境:为了保住工作,他们不得不说一些自己知道不是真的的话。比如什么?你请过 Brett Weinstein 上节目,对吧,那就是个很清楚的例子。所以就是……
1:11:18那条关于什么可接受、什么不可接受的界线正在进入生物学,生物学大概会遭殃。比如合成生物学,很多这类研究最后会跑到中国去,因为在这里你……你没法把事实和行为对应起来,你拿不到研究经费,你得不到同行的追捧。这方面我了解得不够,所以我现在有点站不稳,但……但我的感觉是,目前这个交叉战场是演化生物学。经济学已经输了。至少在性别议题上确实如此,那似乎就是主要的战场之一。是啊,而且它也……
1:11:58比如“白板理论”也会碰上这种事。我们是天性决定的,还是……现在在社会上有点不太能说“很多是天性而非教养”,或者反过来说,取决于你站在……取决于你站在哪一边。这类讨论会被污染,确实会被污染,这真的很不幸,因为这是极其重要、必须理解的东西:是什么让一个人变成反社会者,是什么让一个人超级成功、成为……成为赢家,是什么让一个人成为瘾君子,这些因素到底是什么。现在你根本没法就气候科学进行一场理性的对话,对吧?它已经不是科学了,全被政治化了,你甚至都提不得,所有人都已经……
1:12:38早就下定了结论。让我不舒服的是,人们已经下定了结论,可他们连数据都没有。其实在大多数这类话题上,人们根本就是在各说各话,谈的是不同的东西。比如当……当你谈到,比如控枪问题,对吧,一方谈的是持有武器的权利,以防出现暴君或国王试图接管国家;另一方……另一方谈的是校园枪击案,谈的是保护人们在自己家里免受犯罪侵害。所以他们谈的是两件不同的事。而且政治上甚至不允许你去谈同一件事。
1:13:13或者谈到移民问题时,右派在谈……左派则把非法移民和合法移民打包成一件事,对吧。而在右派那边,有时候会有种族主义者藏在……藏在里面,所以这对他们的事业没帮助。他们谈的是两件不同的事。是啊,如果他们谈的是同一件事——我们该让多少移民进入这个国家,标准是什么——那会是一场完全不同的对话,而不是“一个都不许来”或者“所有人都进来”。而且左派那边,你知道他们有个便宜:现在非法进来的人,将来都会投左派的票,因为……
1:13:47因为他们的社会经济处境。对我来说,检验任何好制度的办法是:你建好一套制度,然后交给你的敌人去运行十年。比如你想要一套审查制度……在 Twitter 或 Facebook 上,你就该把它建出来,然后交给另一边去运行。所以如果你是个推动审查的左翼人士,就让别人来管。移民也一样,如果你想要一套移民制度,就把它建出来……建好之后交给另一边去运行,这样你才知道它是好制度。在处理这些政治战场的时候,没有细究的余地,当你面对的是右派对左派……
1:14:23而且一方有明确的立场要你站队,控枪就是个很好的例子。没有空间去问:那心理健康呢?那这么多人都在服用……精神类药物这件事呢?为什么没人讨论?当我们给所有人灌药、灌 SSRI 的时候,我们正在做人类历史上最大规模的心理健康实验之一。是啊,也许你给三千万人吃 SSRI,也许其中……两千九百九十万人变得快乐多了,然后有一小部分人自杀或爆炸。对,你基本上是在用均值换方差,对吧,你承担了爆炸风险。是啊,没有细究的余地,这就是为什么我……
1:15:05这就是为什么我大体上远离政治。但他们有时候会把你拖进去吗?他们总是想。我是说这些对话——在这场对话里你就会被拖进去。当然。但我肯定会有一些人……问题在于……政治的问题在于,我们实行的是“简单多数制”。这意味着在这个国家,谁赢得 51% 的选票,谁就拿到大部分权力。不像比例代表制,绿党能拿到 10%……自由意志党有 3% 之类的。而是要么全是民主党掌权,要么全是共和党。因为这个,想赢你就必须选这两边中的一边。你必须选。
1:15:37你不能只是说“我要在这件事上保持细致判断”。你不能投第三党,那等于把你的票扔了。我有个朋友想解决这个问题,他正在搞一个……叫 Good Party 的东西,就是给你的票做个启动资金。你把所有的票汇总起来,先存着,等到票数足够赢的时候,再把那个人投进权力位置。这样你就不会……不会把票浪费掉。但除了这些花招,我们永远选不出第三党。正因为如此,你所有的信念都必须整齐地塞进民主党那一捆或者共和党那一捆里。所以当你进入……
1:16:08进入那个部落,如果你发出的信号超出那一捆之外,你就会遭到攻击。对,所以这实际上就是在把你变成一个思维不清晰的人,一个混乱的思考者。如果你所有的信念都对齐……都对齐到同一个政党,你就不是清晰的思考者。如果你所有的信念都和你的邻居、朋友一样,你就不是清晰的思考者。你的信念实际上是被社会化塑造的,是从别人那里拿来的。所以如果你……你想成为清晰的思考者,你就不能关注政治,它会摧毁你……的能力。现代生活最可怕的是什么?我们所有的病都是丰盛之病,不是稀缺之病。过去,我可能……
1:16:51过去,如果我能弄到糖,那是了不起的事,我该把能弄到的糖全吃掉。如果我能得到一条新闻或一段八卦,那是有趣的数据,会有助于我的……有助于我的人生、推动我前进。如果我能得到一点短暂的娱乐,不管是电子游戏还是杂志还是什么,那都是好事。现在全都是丰盛之病,我们对一切都过度暴露。所以在现代……在现代社会里生存的方式就是做一个苦行者,就是退隐于社会之外。到处都是过多的社会:你手机里的社会,你口袋里的社会,你耳朵里的社会。你现在听这个……
1:17:24听这个播客的时候,我们正在社会化你,我们正在给你编程。每个人都在试图给每个人编程。唯一的解决办法就是关掉它,唯一的解决办法就是关掉它,专注于你的呼吸——冥想。对,是的,它有效,它一直……它一直是我的救命稻草。哦,我做,我一有空闲时间就做。今天早上我在医生办公室,我知道要等 20 分钟,所以我就坐……坐在那儿闭着眼睛 20 分钟,冥想。你知道我成长过程中有句话,我想是帕斯卡说的,他说人类所有的问题都源于他无法独自……
1:17:58独自在一个房间里待上 30 分钟。这话太对了。我以前总需要有刺激,iPhone 出现之后,无聊就死了,我再也不会无聊了,就算在排队我也在看 iPhone。我觉得这太棒了。我小时候常试着给自己的大脑超频,想:我一次能想多少个念头?答案是一个。但我会试着同时想……同时想很多个念头,我还挺自豪。我为自己大脑一直在运转、这台引擎从不停歇而自豪。其实这是一种病,它其实是通往痛苦的路。现在我年纪大了,我意识到……意识到你其实是想要让大脑休息,你想学会如何安住于自己的内心。现在我很期待独处禁闭——你让我一个人待一天,那会是我很久以来最快乐的一天。
1:18:40而且我认为这是每个人都能获得的一种超能力:学会独处并享受它的超能力。是啊,我觉得这很关键,我确实认为,那些你只是……你只是一个人待着、思考事情的时刻,现在太稀有了。我认为正是在这些稀有的时刻,你才真正明白自己到底相信什么、不相信什么。是啊,有意思的是,我刚开始……刚开始冥想的时候,真的很难。因为——我想很多听这个节目的人都听说过冥想,名声很好,所以大家都去试,然后大多放弃了。它就是那种……
1:19:22那种所有人都说自己做、但其实没人真做的事。就像不吃糖一样:每个人都说“对,我不吃糖”,然后甜点盘一转过来,所有人全扑向……全扑向饼干。对。所以它变成了这样一件事,甚至变成了一种炫耀的信号:“哦,你冥想了多久?我冥想了这么久。”还有现在有人戴着……戴着头带,里面有鸟叫声叽叽喳喳,然后他们进入深度冥想。我不知道那是怎么工作的,但他们会说“我今天走了好多趟”。你今天走了多少趟?哦……
1:19:50我的天。你的冥想方法错了,我的才对。但其实它只是“什么都不做”的艺术,好吗?这很重要,因为我觉得我们成长的过程里,生活中有那么多事在发生……在发生,有些你在处理,有些你在吸收,有些你可能该多想一点、好好梳理一下,但你没时间,于是它就被埋进你身体里。全都是各种偏好、评判、未解决的情境和问题。它就像你的邮箱收件箱,一封接一封没回复的邮件堆起来,往回追溯 10 年、20 年、30 年、40 年。然后当你坐下来……
1:20:27坐下来冥想时,那些邮件就开始朝你涌过来:“嘿,这个问题怎么办?那个问题呢?这个解决了吗?那个你想过吗?”你的遗憾,你的问题。这变得很可怕,人们就不想做了。他们会说“没用,我清不空脑子,我还是起来别做了”。但其实正在发生的是自我治疗,只不过你不是花钱请治疗师坐在那儿听……听你,而是你在听自己。你只需要坐在那儿,看着那些邮件一封一封经过,一封一封处理,直到你达到神奇的“收件箱清零”。总有一天你坐下来……
1:20:57坐下来时你会发现,你唯一在想的只剩下昨天发生的事,因为其他一切都处理过了——不一定是解决了,但至少你听过自己说了。那时候冥想才真正开始。我觉得这是一件……这是一件非常强大的事,每个人都应该体验。那时你才抵达“什么都不做”的艺术。嗯,我甚至觉得大多数人从 App 里获得冥想本身就是个问题。我不会用 App,那太……那太狡猾了。我是说 Sam Harris 的冥想 App 非常好,这我得说。但你应该能直接做,很多人也确实能。它就是字面意义上的“什么都不做”的艺术。对,你只需要……
1:21:30你冥想时做的就是坐下、闭眼、舒服的姿势,发生什么都行。如果你在思考,就在思考;如果你没在想,就没在想。不要费力去做,也不要费力去对抗。就这些。你是专注……你是专注于呼吸吗,还是有什么特定技巧?什么都不用,什么都不用。不,你就坐着,就坐着。我会想着我的呼吸,我只做这个。我只需要试着只专注在呼吸上。我以前也这么……也这么做过,但在某个层面上,所有专注、所有冥想技巧都把你引向同一件事,那就是“见证”。是的,专注是一种技巧,让你的心足够静,然后你就能放下专注的对象。
1:22:06你也可以直接试着跳到终局。我说的这个不专注呼吸的方法,问题在于你得听自己的心念讲很久,它不会……它不会奏效,除非你每天至少做一个小时,最好至少坚持 60 天,把很多问题梳理过去。所以会难受一阵子,但当你从另一边出来的时候,它……它就很棒。你把那些东西清掉了,或者说当那些絮叨出现时,它在背景里,更暗、更小、更远,你以前听过它,它是你本来就需要解决的事。而且你会得到……得到真正的寂静。你冥想的终极状态是什么?有没有一种你很少、甚至从未达到的状态,你在极乐里,或者在和谐里,或者在开悟里,那是什么样?它有点……
1:22:56它有点难以言说,因为当你真正冥想时,你不在那里;没有念头时,就没有体验,什么都没有,只是空。所以很难描述。但我会说,它像是……你绝对可以——人们用所谓植物药遇到的每一种迷幻状态,都可以纯粹通过冥想到达。我确实达到过其中一些状态。你达到过一些超验的迷幻状态,好像把整件事都经历了一遍。我有过……我有过幻觉般的画面,有过那种光和色彩,有过所谓的“下载”,有过顿悟,有过极乐,有过光,有过色彩。但不是每次都有。不是。而且事实上……
1:23:38事实上我会说,这也是一种你会开始贪求的体验,而贪求反而会把你带离你真正的……我并不开悟,离那差得远,连边都算不上。但以我自己的经验,这是我待得最久的地方,那才是我真正想待的地方,是平静。就是平静,平静、快乐。是啊,对我来说,平静……平静是静止的快乐,而快乐是运动中的平静。你随时可以把平静转换成快乐,但大多数时候你想要的是平静。这很有意思——你可以随时把平静转换成快乐?
1:24:18对,如果你是个平静的人,你做任何事都会是快乐的活动。顺便说,泡在社交媒体上、参与政治不会给你带来平静,没有什么比那更不平静的了。而在这个时代,我们……我们以为获得平静的方式是解决所有外部问题,但外部问题是无限的。所以真正获得平静的唯一方式是在内部,放弃“问题”这个概念。谁会以为你能通过解决外部问题……通过解决外部问题获得平静?除了政客,所有人都是。每个人都在为此挣扎。你为什么想赚钱?为了把所有关于钱的问题解决掉。你为什么想在政治上赢?因为那样你就平静了……
1:24:53因为你的人会赢。把自己收拾好是件艰巨的任务。改变自己比改变世界容易,这是真的。是啊,而改变世界最好的方式就是改变自己。正是如此。就是这样。所有这些在社交媒体上喊叫的人,最好的方式是真正去过你希望别人过的那种生活。比如我去了新西兰,遇到一个人……你知道每个人都在社交媒体上大喊环保、保守、可持续,我去了这个人的家,他在非常安静、非常温和地做一个为期两周的零废弃实验……
1:25:32他什么都不扔。他拆开的每个包装都留着,还会清洗干净,留着亚马逊的箱子,留着那些小容器,甚至一个茶包——如果你打开……打开茶包,他得想办法把里面的茶堆肥,让茶本身变得有用,把茶包变成一个小储物袋。所以完全没有垃圾,他真的过着……过着零垃圾废弃的生活,而且他真做到了。这真的很鼓舞人心。遇到像他这样的人,比社交媒体上再多的人冲我喊叫都更能让我有环保意识。他这样……
1:26:04他这样做了多久?我想是两周。那很难。你拿茶包到底能干什么?他收藏了不少,往里面装小东西。听起来像个疯狂的囤积狂,就像……一个囤积狂,家里堆着一摞摞茶包。很让人佩服的人。是啊,这方式挺奇怪的,我欣赏。你看,我们完全有可能想办法把所有的……把所有的杯子、所有东西都设计成可生物降解的。现代环保运动的困境在于,他们指对了问题——地球是有限的,“地球飞船”——他们就知道这些:别毁了它。
1:26:43但他们没有解决方案。所以他们的说法是“不要增长、不要增长、不要增长”。问题是,你有三十亿印度人和中国人,他们不会一直待在贫困里,他们无论如何都会增长,不管你……不管你喜不喜欢。所以你可以冲他们喊,冲他们叫,冲我们喊,冲我们叫,但那不会发生。所以不幸的是,唯一的出路还是通过技术,也就是……你必须打造绿色技术。我很佩服 Musk,他是少数真正在外面努力做这件事的人之一。所以你要造出可生物降解、对你有益……
1:27:13对你更有益、更健康的东西,每个人都想更健康,中国人想更健康,印度人想更健康,他们想更干净。如果你说“我能清理你的河流,我能清理你的森林,我能让你的孩子……让你的孩子不得霍乱、白喉、伤寒,我能治好你的病,我能帮你增强免疫系统,我能给你干净的饮用水”——这才是让人变成环保主义者的原因,而不是冲他们大喊大叫……冲他们大喊大叫,说他们不该增长、不该再往天上排东西。他们对此毫无概念,他们只是想摆脱贫困。所以我认为现代环保运动指对了……
1:27:48指对了问题,但没有拿出真正能打动人的解决方案——人们不会放弃经济增长,他们必须先富起来。嗯,是啊,这是个很好的观点。但……但怎么做?你要大幅降低清洁技术的价格,本质上就是通过补贴让清洁技术具备成本竞争力,理想情况下在短中期补贴,直到创新曲线……直到跨过创新曲线。比如 Tesla 没有任何专利,对吧,或者他们免费公开专利,这就是怎么做的例子。所以如果你想摆脱……
1:28:28摆脱塑料吸管,对,你可以零散地做,你可以让旧金山禁掉塑料吸管,但中国不会禁塑料吸管,除非你造出成本相同的纸吸管……成本相同、耐用性一样的纸吸管,然后你去教育中国人:“嘿,这是石油,你用的这个塑料是石油做的,这对你有害,这是它的化学成分,这些是会进入你血液的……”进入你血液的东西。他们也想要健康快乐的孩子,所以他们会让孩子用纸吸管。也许吸管不是最好的例子,但这个道理对化石燃料也成立,那大概是……
1:29:00那大概是最好的例子。还有用玻璃、纸等等替代大量塑料。对,有个新技术,Rhonda Patrick 今天在推特上发了,说他们能把塑料垃圾转化成燃料……现在有些公司在积极做这件事。这样一来,塑料垃圾就变得有价值了,对吧,它会变成一种商品,变成人们会去开采的资源。不过有些问题这解决不了……这解决不了碳,解决不了森林砍伐。所以那方面你得用别的手段介入。比如看亚马逊雨林,大家都在抱怨亚马逊被砍伐,可你并不是……
1:29:40可你不是那个贫穷的巴西农民。你坐在舒服的椅子上,在社交媒体上不停地敲打那些“邪恶的巴西人”砍伐亚马逊。但亚马逊有惊人的资源,如果我们真的在乎它,我们应该……应该把它变成一个了不起的旅游公园,把钱花在你说的地方:开始在亚马逊做生态旅游,为它付费,然后也许拿下来自那里所有将要出现的药物……来自那些神奇植物的药物的未来权益,然后开始把这些权益卖掉,这样也许给药企一个保护亚马逊生物多样性的动力。比如:“嘿,如果你买下这块亚马逊,你保护它……”
1:30:15“你保护它,那里出来的任何植物药都归你,你可以授权出去,拿到 20 年或 30 年的专利。”所以我认为是有解决方案的,我们作为第一……作为有钱的第一世界居民,可以把钱花在嘴上说的地方,去拯救这类资产。这是个很有意思的解决方案,但我能预见到马上会有人反对,他们认为制药公司不该拥有……不该拥有这种天然植物的权利。好吧,或者由政府来做,政府拿到专利,然后政府以后再拍卖专利,或者更糟,或者授权出去,随便怎样。
1:30:48往往问题就在于根本没有真正好的解决方案,只有一堆也都各有缺点的方案,这就是生活。对,这就是取舍。做人本来就一团乱。是啊,这是……这是一个受限的环境。显然我更偏向私有产权、资本主义式的解决方案,因为虽然它们不完美,但已被证明确实有效。一旦某样东西是你的财产,你就会照顾它。你不会……不会在自己家里乱来。但这大概应该是临时产权而不是永久产权。你看世界上很多国家不这么做,比如不允许外国人拥有土地,或者墨西哥……
1:31:29或者墨西哥的海滩不允许私有,对吧。所以线可以画在某些点上。是啊。你喜欢做这种事吗——把东西拆解开来,给出你的视角,试图照亮某些复杂的话题?我并不太是想照亮什么,跟你聊天的时候,我说的同时也在学,我是为自己学,因为我被迫把它表达清楚。我可以整天坐着想我的念头……但其中很多会是胡说,因为思考中有很多跳步,你对自己太宽容,做出跳跃自己都没意识到。但当你……
1:32:09当你被迫把它写下来——这就是我发推特的原因——或者必须跟人讲的时候,你就得补上这些空缺,把它变成一条完整的逻辑链。我年轻时犯的错……我年轻时犯的错就是,我总想显得是房间里最聪明的孩子。就像你可能想显得是最搞笑的孩子,或者最狠的孩子。我们……我们一开始都是失败者,我们想成为赢家,所以我们挑自己擅长的事,然后加倍下注。所以我总想当房间里最聪明的孩子。那我做了什么?我读了……我读了很多书,背了很多东西,凡是没背下来的——那是谷歌之前——我就现编,只要听起来像那么回事。谷歌之后,事实核查开始了,我就得变得更好。所以谷歌……
1:32:47所以谷歌在这方面提升了我。很多人都是。正是。现在我意识到,死记硬背最大的错误在于——当你真的想让自己的生活与现实相契合时,你想要的是深刻理解……深刻理解你做什么、为什么做。所以把基础掌握得非常好,比懂高级的东西重要得多。懂微积分今天帮不了你,在商业上帮不了你,在大多数事上……在大多数事上帮不了你。但懂算术真的会帮到你,不管是街角杂货店找零,还是算清你的播客生意值多少,还是算某个……
1:33:22某个你想采取的行动的概率。所以把基础数学吃透,比背微积分概念重要得多。问题在于——我觉得所有推理都是这样——从地基开始……从地基开始建立扎实的理解基础、一个钢架结构的理解,远好过只有一层脚手架、只是背下高级概念。这就是为什么有很多人——我相信你听过这样的人——非常聪明……非常聪明,他们用很多术语,你完全跟不上他们的推理,你不知道他们怎么把东西拼起来的,你心底怀疑他们其实并不真的懂。所以如果你看那些最有力的……
1:33:58最有力的思考者,尤其是那些钱或命悬于一线的人,他们必须把基础理解得极其扎实。物理学家 Richard Feynman 就做到了——他在一次讲座里有一段,把你从……把你从掰手指数数一路带到微积分,口述四页文字的量,写下来就是四页纸,那是一条完整不断的逻辑链,带你走过几何、三角、微积分预备、解析几何、图表,全部……全部一直到微积分。他在核心层面理解数字,什么都不用背。当你在背的时候,那就说明你没懂。你应该能当场重新推导出任何东西,如果你做不到……
1:34:40如果你做不到,那你就是不懂。那你会把这一点用到数学之外的事上吗?所有事。你甚至不去尝试记忆,只去尝试理解。你不可避免地会记住一些东西,但如果你做不到——这……这也是推特对我很有用的地方:我试着理解某件事,然后试着用一种我能记住的方式写下来,只是一个指向更深理解的钩子。而我……而我被迫向别人解释它,这样我才知道自己懂了。这就是我最初的意思。我们说过读一本好书,我会一晚上只读一页,然后用剩下的……
1:35:14用剩下的整个晚上去想它,或者在维基百科、奇怪的博客文章里追查引用,试图搞懂它。比如,几个月前我在琢磨一个……一个看起来很傻的话题:生命的意义。生命的意义是什么?这怎么会傻呢?因为它太老套了。你不该去想它,那是你小时候问父母的问题,他们……他们会告诉你“别操心这个”或者“去找份工作”。对,正是,“好工作,你这个死嬉皮”。或者说“上帝,上帝就是生命的意义”。所以我只是想给自己解决这个问题:答案可能……
1:35:49答案可能是什么,不是答案是什么,而是答案可能是什么。所以在核心层面,我被迫去追查所有这些奇怪的小东西,真正为自己搞明白。而且它必须是……必须是个人的。我得为自己确立它可能是什么、不可能是什么,这给了我某种程度的平静。所以现在我得一直问那个问题:生命的意义是什么。我是说,你……我觉得问题比答案更有意思,每个人都应该自己去探索。但让我和你一起探讨几个部分。首先,如果我给你一个答案,如果我说……“生命的意义在于取悦上帝”,那么是哪个上帝?犹太-基督教的那个上帝。好吧,那为什么是那个?为什么是这个?问题在于这是个“为什么”的问题,你可以永远问下去。我给你的任何答案,你都会……
1:36:36都会继续问“为什么”,再问“为什么”。对。然后你会落进一个叫“阿格里帕三难困境”的地方。好吧,这是个哲学练习,我自己先想了一遍,然后上网搜,确实有个叫阿格里帕的……阿格里帕三难困境说,任何这样的“为什么”追问,最终都会落到三个地方之一。第一是无限倒退:为什么?因为这个。为什么?因为那个。一直下去,永无止境。第二是循环论证:……为什么 A?因为 B。为什么 B?因为 A。就这样被困住。第三是公理。最流行的公理是上帝,但也可以是任何东西:因为数学,因为科学,因为……
1:37:16因为大爆炸,因为模拟假说。这些都是公理,都只是停止点。说“我们在模拟里”,或者说“是大爆炸”,只是说“上帝”的另一种方式。只是“上帝”这个词现在不体面了……所以现在不常用它了,但还是一回事。所以你最终会落到这三个死胡同之一。所以没有答案。真正的答案是“因为”。生命的意义是什么?对,答案由你自己编。美妙之处在于:如果只有一个答案,我们就不自由了,我们会被困住,因为那样我们都得按照那个答案生活,然后我们会像……
1:37:51像机器人一样无聊,每个人互相竞争,看谁更能实现那个单一的意义,又回到信号展示那一套,“我比你更擅长”。但幸运的是没有答案,所以你就做你想做的。生命的……生命的意义。有意思的是,这就是所有存在性焦虑的基础:你不知道自己为什么在这里,而且你有一种感觉——它可能是……确实。当你开始思考多重宇宙、……多重宇宙、宇宙、星系、太阳系、这颗行星、生物体、生物体内的细胞、细菌、寄生虫,我们与环境之间的共生关系,然后你开始想:天哪,我难道只是这个东西的一小块……
1:38:40一小块吗?所有伟大问题的答案都是悖论。对。比如你在问“我重要吗”,这才是你真正问的问题。我在这个无限的宇宙里有什么意义?一方面你是分离的,没有两个点是相同的,任意两个点都无限不同,你完全被分隔开,没有人会有你的想法、你的情绪、你的感受、你的体验,所以你的人生是……是一场单人游戏,你被困在自己脑子里,只是觉知到一堆正在发生的事,就这样。另一方面,我说出 Joe Rogan 这个词就无法不牵动整个宇宙。“Joe”,外星人过来……
1:39:16外星人过来问“那是什么?”“Joe Rogan。”“Joe Rogan 是什么?”“一个人。”“人是什么?”“两足猿类。”“猿类是什么?”“在地球上。”“地球是什么?”“一颗行星。”“行星是什么?”“太阳系。”“碳是在哪造的?”“在恒星内部。”所以我得……所以我得先造出整个宇宙,才能说出 Joe Rogan 这几个字。所以从这个意义上,你和一切相连,不可分割。所以“我重要吗”这个问题的答案是:我是虚无,我也是万物。你……你会在所有伟大的问题上发现这一点:答案都是悖论。这就是为什么在某种程度上,追问它们以求得到一个像我给的那样的老套答案是没意义的,但追问这个行为本身其实非常……
1:39:52其实非常有用,因为它给你带来某种内在的理解,从而带来一定程度的平静。我觉得对很多人来说,这个问题的压力也被不快乐的生活放大了,其实是不快乐的选择放大了它……被困境放大了它。不知道生命的意义是什么,和“天哪,我必须从这个工作里逃出去,我不能这样过我的人生”之间有巨大的差别。如果……如果这就是我的人生——生命的意义是什么?这就是为什么我总是从“先让你富起来”开始。对,所以我很务实,因为你看,佛陀是个王子,他一开始非常富有,然后他……
1:40:33然后他才进到森林里去。过去是这样的:如果你想内心平静,你就去做僧侣,你放弃一切,成为苦行者,舍弃一切……放弃女人男人,放弃孩子,放弃金钱,放弃政治、科学、技术,一切。然后你独自走进森林。你得放弃一切才能获得内心自由。而今天我们有个了不起的发明叫……叫钱。你可以把东西存在银行账户里。你基本上可以攒钱,你可以拼命工作,你可以为社会做出伟大的事,社会会给你钱,因为你给了它……
1:41:07给了它想要但不知道怎么得到的东西。然后你可以把这些钱存起来,生活开销远低于收入,你就能从中找到某种自由,这会给你……给你时间和精力去追求自己内心的平静与幸福。所以我相信让每个人都幸福的方法是先给他们想要的:先让所有人富起来,先让所有人健康强壮,然后……然后再让所有人幸福。这些事可能吗?每个人都能富起来?每个人都能富起来。我给你一个思想实验。现在听起来像是在说“每个人都能富”,但其实不是,我在卖我的房子,这是我的劳斯莱斯。
1:41:41这是我的劳斯莱斯。是啊。不,这是个好观点。所以我在“如何赚钱”这个话题上创造的所有东西,我永远不会收一美元,因为那会毁掉它,那会表明我只是……我只是又一个想从你身上发财的骗子。不存在快速致富的方案,那只是别人想从你身上发财。所以对我来说,它更像一种哲学贡献……要让它有意义、正当,我就不能收你任何费用。但没错,每个人都能富起来。让我给你一个思想实验:想象明天我们挥一下魔杖,每个人都受训成为……
1:42:17成为科学家或工程师。每个人,就算你不太行,你对电脑有足够的理解,你能写点代码,能搭点硬件。别告诉我人做不到,因为他们能。那只是……那只是软性期待的暴政,那只是你在俯视别人,说他们做不到。他们只是需要受教育。现在如果所有人都被培养成硬件、软件工程师、科学家、生物学家、技术员,硬科学而不是社会科学,我们……我们五年内就全都搞定了。机器人会做所有事:刷马桶、做饭、开飞机、开 Uber。那我们做什么?我们会做所有创造性的工作,互相娱乐,研究……
1:42:52研究科学和技术。我们会过着美好的生活。所以真的只是个教育问题,没别的。但这不是规模问题吗?你说得像这套对三亿人有效……对一百亿人也会有效,对一个有百万亿人的星际文明也会有效。我们有资源、有能力,宇宙的资源是无限的,你去建就行。你听说过戴森球吗?你……你把戴森球套在一颗恒星上,收集它所有的能量,就这样。外面有那么多能量,一颗小行星就有我们需要的所有矿物,一颗太阳、一个太阳系就有我们……
1:43:28就有我们很长时间内需要的全部能量。我们可以从核聚变中提取能量,我们离那些技术真正运转并不那么远。这只是胆量的问题,还有……兴趣。比如……我们应该在月球上建核聚变试验厂,月球上应该到处是这些东西,没有任何坏处。对吧?如果能做,怎么运作?不需要送一堆人上去干活。哦……问题是机器人。核裂变的问题在于,它通过核能产生能量,对吧,就像太阳通过核能产生能量。至于传输,我们用光子,因为光子不相互作用,所以光子非常适合……
1:44:09非常适合信息传输,但它们其实不太适合能量传输。在能量创造上,你希望核能运转。问题在于,核能——我们是用造炸弹的方式把它造出来的,我们有脏弹、各种各样的问题……各种各样的问题,福岛、三里岛、切尔诺贝利。我们在核能上不再创新了。想象一下,如果第一台蒸汽机爆炸时我们说“哦,暂时不做蒸汽机了”,或者用极严苛的监管、几十亿美元的监管成本——那样你没法创新。那样你没法创新。第一架飞机坠毁时我们说“不再创新飞机了”。所以我们需要一种方式,对核裂变、最终是核聚变进行迭代,让它们安全、清洁、被动失效保护等等。如果我们想找到……
1:44:51想找到摆脱能源陷阱的出路,最好的地方就是月球或火星这样的地方。你觉得真的有可能把核能做到不再是……不再是隐患的程度吗?因为大家担心的是堆芯熔毁。对。而我们确实还有这些老电站在运行,用的是 50 年前的技术,太疯狂了,因为根本没法把它们关掉……根本没法把它们关掉。非常老的技术。现在他们有第四代核反应堆,是被动失效安全的。换句话说,当它们失效时,会失效到安全状态。你把插头拔掉,它们会进入一种……
1:45:25进入一种没有泄漏、没有问题的状态。它们的默认状态是正面结果,而不是现在的老式反应堆那样,你一拔插头就……而且这些第四代也只是第四代,不是第五代……不是第五代,不是第八十代、第一百代——微处理器就是这样演进的。这应该是人们努力的方向。我希望如此。在理想世界里我们会。问题是,如果你在月球上有核能……有核能,你怎么把它运回家?所以你真正要做的是在月球上先把它跑起来,在那儿使用,也许是用来发射更多卫星、更多火箭,去太阳系更远的地方……
1:45:58更远的地方,那是它最初的用途。但最终技术会好到可以把它带回家。现在我想回到“让人富起来”这个想法:不知怎么的,这就会让人幸福。你怎么阻止人们那种自然的升级进程:我有一辆不错的雪佛兰,但我真想要一辆宝马;我有了不错的宝马,现在我又想要奔驰;我……我有了奔驰,我又想要……你怎么阻止这个物质陷阱?在某种程度上你阻止不了。但我认为大多数聪明人随着时间会意识到,占有并不能让他们幸福。你必须经历那个……
1:46:38你必须买那辆傻车,才能意识到它并不能吸引漂亮姑娘,它其实只吸引别的哥们儿,他们会说“嘿,我喜欢那车”。就像你外面有些贵车、有些好车……有些好车,告诉我,这吸引女人和吸引男人的比例各是多少?呃,我结婚了,那些是给我自己的,我就是喜欢机器。对,对我来说它们是玩具。喜欢机器是你个人的偏好,但我觉得很……但我觉得随着你变老,你会意识到物质占有里没有幸福。当然,缺乏物质会让你非常不快乐,所以贫穷会让你不快乐,但富有不会让你快乐。而……
1:47:14而不幸的是,很多人一辈子都在为赚钱挣扎,赚到一些,精疲力尽,然后想:“那我现在为什么不快乐?大概我本来就不是个快乐的人。”而聪明人……而聪明人不快乐——这是一种让人自我安慰的好办法,他们说“如果你聪明,你就不快乐”。但我反过来看:如果你聪明,你应该能想出怎么……想出怎么变得快乐,否则你就没那么聪明。是啊,“聪明的人不快乐”这个说法挺冒犯人的。我以前听过,我就是不明白它的逻辑,除了自我辩护以外。我理解它来自……
1:47:47我理解它来自哪里:如果你聪明,通常是因为你想得很透,你脑子里很忙。而忙碌的头脑常常会夺走你的平静,因为我们追求的不是……不是内心的平静,而是“从头脑中解脱”的平静。所以你看你为了快乐做的所有疯狂活动:想上床、想高潮,或者极限运动,或者看……看美的东西,或者吃迷幻药——你都是在试图逃离自己的头脑,试图让那颗猴子心停止对你絮叨片刻,你在试图从头脑中获得平静。而还有别的……
1:48:21而还有别的更好的方式。我们大多数获得头脑平静的方式都是间接的,而如果你理解事物、正确地看待事物,你会自然地、慢慢地从头脑中获得平静。抱歉我跑了个……跑了个题。不,这是个好跑题。因为我觉得很多时候,那种追求之所以让人兴奋,是因为有可能有一天他们能停下来休息、能达到这个目标——那就是根本的……根本的幻觉:外面有某样东西会让我永远快乐、永远满足。是啊,黄金岁月。确实有,它叫死亡。哦,它会解决一切,它是伟大的平等器。但当人们看,尤其是社交媒体,把……
1:49:04回到那个话题:当你看到某人靠在他的豪宅前、旁边是漂亮的车,他靠着车,穿着设计师的衣服、戴着名表,你会说“我想要那个”。对,那才是你真正想要的——自由。你想要从钱的问题里解脱出来的自由。我觉得这没问题。所以一旦有人能解决自己的钱的问题,要么降低生活方式,要么赚到足够的钱……赚到足够的钱。本质上,你想让每个人都达到“退休”状态,但不是那种“我 65 岁坐在养老院领支票”的退休,是不同定义的退休:退休就是当你不再为某个……
1:49:48为某个想象中的未来而牺牲今天。是的,当今天本身就已完整,你就退休了。对。那怎么达到?第一,你可以存下足够多的钱,光靠被动收入,不用你……不用你动一根手指就能覆盖你的支出——保持低支出。对。第二,你把支出压到零,你变成僧侣。第三,你在做你热爱的事,你享受它……享受它热爱到它跟钱无关。所以通往那条路有多种方式,但最常见的是人们只说“我需要赚更多钱”。而我谈的那种财富创造,是关于……关于建立永恒的法则,调整自己,让赚钱不再是个问题,而你可以通过做你热爱的事来做到。我们常陷入这种模式:“我必须为别人工作,一步步往上爬……”
1:50:34“一步步往上爬,我必须像那个人那样做才能赚钱。”但今天在社会里,你得到回报是因为创造性工作,因为你创造了某种全新的东西,社会还不知道自己想要它,也不知道怎么……也不知道怎么得到它,只能通过你。所以最强大的赚钱者其实是个人品牌:像你、Elon、Kanye、Oprah 或 Trump 这样的人。这些都是个人品牌、同名品牌,他们本身就有杠杆,就像你有杠杆……你有播客媒体传播给所有人,那就是杠杆。播客在你睡觉时也为你工作。他们拥有别人没有的知识,那就是你的知识——做 Joe Rogan 的知识。还有谁是……
1:51:12还有谁既是 UFC 选手又是评论员、播客主持人、喜剧演员,而且对这些全都感兴趣?这些人无法替代你。所以我们必须付你应得的报酬。而且——我从没打过……我从没在 UFC 打过比赛。哦,你没打过,好吧,抱歉。或者你在那个圈子里参与的各种事,你只是有一套独特的技能组合。正因为这套独特的——我称之为“专属知识”——因为……因为你以你的名字承担问责,因为你通过媒体拥有杠杆,你就是一台赚钱机器。我确信到这个地步,如果让你明天从头开始,清空你的银行账户,你也会……
1:51:46你也会很快又富起来,因为你拥有所有这些技能。所以一旦人们拥有这些技能——美妙之处在于,你做到这件事的方式是,你没有竞争对手,没有替代品。如果 Joe Rogan……如果 Joe Rogan 明天从电波里消失,不会有什么随机第 12 号播客主持人顶上填补那个位置。不,它就是消失了。所以摆脱竞争陷阱的方式其实是做真实的自己,而……而退休的方式其实是找到那件你比任何人都做得好的事,而你知道自己比任何人都做得好,因为你热爱做它。如果你热爱做它,没人能跟你竞争……
1:52:17没人能跟你竞争。然后想办法把它对应到社会真正想要的东西上,加上杠杆,署上你的名字,这样你承担风险,也获得回报。在你做的事里拥有所有权和股权……拥有所有权和股权,然后就是拼命输出。我觉得人们必须非常小心,不要在途中被某些东西困住——那些你用当前生活方式负担得起的东西,你的生活方式和你的收入……你的收入和你的生活方式,它们同时也在囚禁你,事实上你现在得每周工作 40 小时才能负担你其实负担不起的东西,而现在你被这份工作套住了,你没有……
1:52:53你被这份工作套住了,你不存钱,你不把东西放到好的位置,你在为这些东西工作。把东西当奖励去工作是一个真实的陷阱,很多人掉进去,这是最大的一个。你知道 Nassim Taleb 也……Taleb 也说过,有两种伟大的瘾:海洛因和月薪。这就是为什么你没法靠出租自己的时间致富,因为即使你开始为自己的时间收越来越多的钱,那也是个缓慢的升级……缓慢的升级循环,然后你同时升级房子、同时换车、同时搬进更好的社区。你还必须习惯于忽略你的——或者升级、或者改变你对……的定义
1:53:29改变你对同辈的定义。这里很多人在这儿算穷人,但如果他们住在泰国或巴厘岛,他们就是富人。如果他们有一份勉强可行的远程工作,他们可能就想住在那儿……住在那儿攒钱。但忽略同辈是个问题,因为“攀比”是真实存在的现象。是啊,嫉妒让世界转动。对。还有另一样人们必须……还有另一样人们必须避免的,甚至不能让脑子去想的东西:当他们听你说的这些逻辑严密的绝妙建议时,有六个脏字——“你说起来当然容易”。对,那是个可怕的陷阱。你看,我成长于……
1:54:09我成长于第一代移民家庭,在牙买加区(皇后区),一分钱没有,单亲妈妈,两个孩子,她日夜工作。我洗过盘子,做过餐饮外场,修剪过草坪……修剪过草坪。我从 11 岁起就断断续续打工。我连两分钱都凑不到一起。我上大学得借 400 美元,真的,我就差 400 美元。400。400。我得去弄到 400 美元,我没有。我去 Dunkin' Donuts 应聘还被拒了。所以,这不是说它容易。它不容易,它实际上非常难,它是你会做的……你会做的最难的事,但它也是有回报的事。看看那些生来富有的孩子,他们的人生没有意义,那是个糟糕的处境。是啊,你真正的简历,就是把你所有的……
1:55:01所有的痛苦编成目录。对吧。如果我让你向自己描述你真实的人生,当你临终回望时,你会回头说“我做过哪些有意思的事”,而那全都是……全都是围绕你做出的牺牲和你做过的艰难的事。任何被给予你的东西都不重要。你有四肢、有大脑、有头脑、有皮肤,那都是……那都是理所当然的。所以你无论如何都得做难的事,来创造你自己的意义。赚钱就是一个很好的意义。是啊,挣扎,它很难,我不会说它容易,它真的很难,但工具都是现成的……
1:55:33工具都是现成的,都在那儿。还有这些人们在自己脑子里设下的陷阱,给自己找借口,或者给自己设下无法逾越的障碍、无法逾越的道路——受害者心态。是的,“是别人的错,是我肤色的错,是……“是制度的错”。是啊,那些人在往下沉,我为他们难过,我想把他们摇醒,说:其实你可以走出来,你只需要停止认为这是所有人的错,你得改变……你得改变视角。是啊,但这对人来说太难了,最难的事情之一就是改变他们接触现实本身的方式。说到底,我确实认为……
1:56:14我确实认为,尽管我之前说过那些,人生真的是一场单人游戏,一切都在你脑子里发生。你所想、所信的,会极大地塑造你的现实,既影响你承担什么风险、采取什么行动……采取什么行动,也影响你日常对现实的体验。如果你走在街上评判每个人:“我不喜欢那个人,因为他的肤色。”“我不喜欢那个,哦她不好看。”“那家伙……“那家伙很胖。”“这个人是个失败者。”“哦谁把这东西挡在我路上。”你评判得越多,你就越把自己隔离起来。你会有一瞬间感觉良好,因为你对自己感觉良好:“我比那个……
1:56:48“我比那个强。”但接着你会感到孤独,然后你会到处都看到负面。世界只是把你自己的感受反射回给你。现实是中性的,现实对一棵树没有评判,没有对错、……没有好坏的概念。对,你出生,你有一整套感官体验、刺激、光、色彩、声音,然后你死了。对。而你选择如何解释这一切,取决于你。你确实有那个选择。这就是我说的:幸福是一种选择。如果你相信它是一种选择,你就能开始去做。我没法告诉你如何找到它,因为是你自己的条件反射让你……
1:57:21让你不快乐,所以你得给自己“去条件化”。就像我没法替你改掉你的饮食习惯,我可以给你一些大致的方向,但你必须经历那个艰难的养成习惯的过程,学会怎么吃对。但你得……但你得相信这是可能的,而它绝对可能。我曾经很痛苦,现在快乐得不得了。这不只是钱的原因,我在有钱之前就达到了。你在有钱之前就快乐了,大部分是。对。你在有钱之前是怎么变快乐的?我开始变老,我意识到人生很短。我又要说老套的话了,对吧,我换二十种说法试试。嗯,孔子有句很棒的话:每个人都有两条命……
1:57:54每个人都有两条命,第二条开始于他意识到自己只有一条命的时候。我读到这句话,就是那种“扔书”级别的句子,像麦克风落地。孔子有很多麦克风落地的时刻。孔子是个狠角色,他……这话太厉害了,这是句好话。还有一句:下次你生病的时候——因为每个人时不时都会生病——一个快乐的人想要一万样东西,而一个病人只……而一个病人只想要一样东西。对。所以是你无限的欲望在遮蔽你的平静、你的幸福。有欲望——你这个生物体站起来说“我能做事,我行动,我抵抗,我活着”——可以,但要非常小心……
1:58:34但要非常小心你的欲望。这是最古老、最老套的智慧:欲望即苦。就是这个意思。你的每一个欲望都是一个你会受苦的地方。所以一次只专注一个欲望。宇宙……宇宙的设定是:如果你只想要一样东西并专注于此,你就会得到它,但其他一切你都得放下。你是逐渐转向幸福的,还是突然的彻底改变?是持续的、渐进的、每天发生的。所以你今天比一个月前更快乐?是啊,据说是。我这些天非常快乐,快乐得发狂,所以其实我很难跟普通人相处。真的?是啊,所以你……
1:59:12所以你在大概多少年里做出了显著的变化?大约八年。八年。是啊。哇。那这是通过某些书追求的,还是你自己形成了一种理解,或者获得了……或者获得了某种理解,然后基于那个理解去追求?是的,非常非常个人化。基本上你必须决定这是优先事项,然后我试了所有能试的方法。我以前……我以前把所有方法都试了,我试过冥想,试过“见证”,甚至试过 SSRI,就是想看看那是什么感觉。什么感觉?它把我从一个悲观主义者变成了……
1:59:51变成了乐观主义者。但我不喜欢它的身体副作用,也不想长期服药,所以我停了。它确实把你变成了乐观主义者?是的,那时候我以前是个……我以前是个悲观主义者。是的。我开始做一些事,比如开始在每个时刻、每件发生的事里,去看事物光明的一面,对吧。我以前是强迫自己这么做的……强迫自己这么做的,然后我训练它,直到它变成第二天性。比如,我妻子的一个朋友来,那是我们约会的时候,她拍了很多照片,拍了大概几百张,然后她……然后她把它们全发给我们。我第一反应是:你为什么往我手机里倒几百张照片?我不需要几百张照片,有点判断力行不行。那是我的第一反应。然后我可以换过来说:其实她人多好……
2:00:33她人多好,她给我发了数百张照片,我可以挑一张我喜欢的。对。几乎一切都有两种看法。有几件事是高度痛苦的,那你没法这么做,除了……除了只能说“好吧,这是个老师”。但我慢慢梳理了我所有的负面评判,直到看到正面的那一面。现在对我来说那是第二天性。我也意识到,你真正想要的是……你真正想要的是清空头脑,你想放下念头。快乐的念头会自动消失,很容易放下;负面的念头会滞留。所以如果你很快地把一切解读为正面,你就能放下它,对吧……
2:01:05你就能更快放下。简单的小技巧:多晒太阳,学会多微笑,学会多拥抱。这些实际上会释放血清素,反过来也成立——它们不只是快乐的外在信号,它们其实是通向快乐的反馈回路。多花时间待在大自然里。这些都显而易见。观察你的心,一整天都观察你的心,观察它在做什么,不评判它,不试图控制它,这样你就能 24 小时都在冥想。冥想不是一种坐下闭眼的活动。冥想基本上就是观察你自己的念头,就像你观察外部世界里的任何东西一样,然后问:我为什么会有那个念头?它还对我有用吗?这……
2:01:40这是不是我 10 岁时的条件反射?比如,为这个播客做准备——你准备了吗?我没有,但很好。我准备了,我准备了,我控制不住。事情是这样:在这之前的几天……在这之前的几天,我的脑子一直在转。通常我的脑子挺平静的,但它就是不停地转、转、转,我每有一个念头,我就会想象自己把它说给你听。我的大脑忍不住……我的大脑忍不住预演。它在不断地排练要跟你说的话,然后我甚至在预演“我要跟你讲我在预演这件事”。它玩所有这些元层面的游戏,我就想……
2:02:17我就想“闭嘴,停下,这到底怎么回事”。我花了一阵子才搞明白:哦对,是这样,我小时候在皇后区,没钱、什么都没有……什么都没有,我需要救自己出去。我逃出来的方式是“听起来聪明”,不是“聪明”,而是“听起来聪明”。那是我练到极致的技能。所以我被硬接线成总是预演,好让自己听起来聪明。这是病,它让我……它让我无法快乐。但当你看到这一点、意识到这一点、理解了某件事,它自然会让你平静下来。所以那之后我就没那么多预演了。哇。但它的习惯还在,这是……这是一个很有意思的观点:想听起来聪明,很多人都这样,尤其是年轻人。当你看到某个聪明的人,或者看起来聪明的人,他们说聪明的话,你会想:天哪,我也想听起来聪明……
2:03:09我也想听起来聪明,我想让别人用我看那个人的方式来看我。那就是我的病,那就是我的感觉,那就是让我的脑子乱糟糟的东西。我现在必须问自己的是:如果……如果我一辈子都不能告诉任何人,我还会对学这个东西感兴趣吗?这样我才知道它是真的,这样我才知道这是我真正想知道的。不过这很常见……不过很常见,我知道我年轻时也受这个困扰——想听起来聪明的欲望。很常见。我们所有人一开始……你现在人生里是个赢家,你曾经输过,因为你在某个时刻是……因为你在某个时刻是个失败者,对吧。如果你得到了所有女孩、所有钱、你想要的一切,你初中或高中就长得帅,那你什么都不会去做……
2:03:58那你的人生就荒废了,你会过早到顶。就像 Bruce Springsteen 那首《Glory Days》。你会娶高中恋人,住在老家,在本地麦当劳当个经理……或者你第一个梦想的工作。感谢上帝,我们年轻时没有全都得到自己想要的,否则我们会被困在那里。所以你必须有本事从你来的地方挣脱出来。我忘了我刚才要说什么了。过早到顶的人这一点也很有意思。是啊,或者那些过早到顶的人可以做 Elon Musk 那种事:直接放弃,重新开始新的东西,然后……
2:04:29然后学会“在某件事上很烂”的乐趣。是啊。其实在我们的职业里,尤其当你曝光度很高时,过早到顶的问题在于你会被“千刀万剐”淹死。人们对你抱有期待:“嘿……“嘿 Joe,你能来我的活动吗?”“Joe,你能看看我的商业计划吗?”“Joe,你能给我点建议吗?”“你能跟我朋友聊聊吗?”“你能来上我这个播客吗?”你就是不断地被……不断地被源源不断的机会攻击。所以你根本没时间重新开始任何事。所以你必须无情地、无情地让所有人失望,删减、清空你的日程,取消所有会议,连邮件都不回。这是你唯一……
2:05:07这是你唯一能重新开始的方式。是啊。我们聊过这个,我很喜欢你对会议的态度:如果不是生死攸关的会,就不开。我也一样。我最近就躲掉了一个很好的……一个在大机构里的高层人士,一直追着我要见面。我说:我们电话聊行不行?然后我们通了电话,根本没什么可说的,他们只是想……他们只是想把我弄到办公室去。是啊。会议其实应该是电话,电话应该是邮件,邮件应该就是短信——很多都是。说到会议,我很讨厌会议。我以前拥有……我以前拥有那个域名 idontdocoffee.com。我后来放掉了,但我以前回复邮件就从这个地址发:“我不喝咖啡。”你知道吗,太好笑了。虽然有点混蛋,但它真正来自……
2:05:52它真正来自,我年轻时的一个原则:我知道我必须赚钱,那是我压倒一切的渴望。我做的一件事是,我说:好,我的价值永远不会超过……永远不会超过我认为自己值的价。没有人会付给我超过我认为自己值的价钱。那我值多少?所以我给自己定了一个时薪,我认为自己值那个价,然后我说,我永远不会……我永远不会把时间浪费在低于这个价的报酬上。所以最初是每小时 500 美元,后来我提高到每小时 5000 美元,这很荒谬。但要选一个有抱负的时薪——有抱负,就必须有点荒谬。然后……然后我会这么做:如果我要退某样东西,我排着队去退货,而那东西低于我的时薪,我就直接扔掉,或者送人……
2:06:34或者送人。有些任务我可以雇人来做,成本低于我的时薪,我就雇他们。所以我变得极其吝惜自己的时间。这并不意味着你不能有乐趣、休息、闲暇、花时间……花时间跟朋友和家人在一起,那都很好,不要算进去。但如果你在做任何你不想做的事——那就是工作的定义,是一堆你必须做但你不想做的事……但你不想做的事。如果你在工作,那最好是按你的时薪来,否则就别做。所以一旦想明白这点,我就意识到会议的成本——会议成本太高了,尤其是考虑到所有……
2:07:06考虑到所有在场的人。一个人讲话,七个人听。你真的一小时一小时地在死去。所以你必须砍掉不紧急的会议,或者想办法提高会议效率。如果……如果你想做大事。极端的例子是商务出差:坐飞机飞半个地球去开一个会,那会从来没什么结果,然后就在那里浪费掉你小小的一生,再飞回来。再飞回来。所以大约五年前我下定决心:我再也不为商务出差了。哇。从那以后我就没为生意出行过。我只在旅行体验本身足够有趣、足够愉快时才出行——因为有朋友在,或者那是……
2:07:43或者那是一个我想看的地方,随便什么——那样它本身就已经完整。因为我知道,我要去开的那个商务会议永远不值。其实这个原则适用范围比旅行更大,它……它适用于整个人生。幸福的一个秘密就是真正拥抱你当下正在做的事——这话老套,但它来自这样一种说法:我只想做那些本身就已经完整的行动。本身就已经完整的行动。如果我在寻找某种日后的隐藏动机,它不会成真。而且即使你以为它会,即使它真的实现了,也会非常短暂。你人生中想要的任何东西……
2:08:22你人生中想要的任何东西,不管是车、是女孩、是钱,当你得到它,一年后你又回到零点,你的大脑已经在享乐层面适应了它,你又在寻找下一个……寻找下一个东西。这是句好话,享乐适应,这就是发生在人身上的事。你会习惯任何东西。我意识到,我第一次搬进新公寓时,那是个好公寓,过一阵子我就习惯了……我就习惯了。我想:哦好吧,这就是个公寓,就是我住的地方,我习惯了,它很好,但我习惯了。是啊,我们都经历这个学习过程,就像坐摩天轮……坐在人生的摩天轮上:你在底部,想“我要到顶,太兴奋了”。你坐上去,得到一点多巴胺、一点血清素,然后你坐下来……
2:09:05然后你坐下来,等那股劲过去,你又需要一次高潮,于是又上去、又下来。事实上,你获得的高潮越多,转这个轮子就越难,你也越无聊……你也越无聊,越难再上去。那现在什么点燃你?什么让你有动力去做事、去行动?艺术。艺术。这就是艺术。哦好吧。艺术就是创造力,就是任何为了……就是任何为了自身而做的事。那有哪些事是为了自身而做的?除了爱一个人、创造某样东西之外,没有别的了。对我来说,创造商业就是玩。我创造早期阶段的公司,因为好玩,因为我喜欢……
2:09:42因为我喜欢产品。即使是投资,也是因为我喜欢那些人,我喜欢跟他们混在一起,我从他们身上学东西,我觉得产品真的很酷。所以现在我会放过各种很棒的投……很棒的投机机会,因为我会想:这产品没意思,很无聊,我学不到东西。这是一种美好的奢侈。确实是一种奢侈——艺术和学习。是啊,是奢侈。这些不是 100 或 0 的事,对吧,你可以……你可以在你的人生中越来越多地朝那个方向移动。对,但那是个目标。我年轻时太渴望赚钱了,什么我都会做。如果你出现……
2:10:16如果你出现说“嘿,我有个污水运输生意,你来做这个”,我会说“太好了,干吧,我要赚钱”。感谢上帝没人给我那种机会。我很高兴我走上了……我走上了技术和科学这条路,那是我真心喜欢的。所以我得以把我的职业和我的爱好结合起来。我是说,你在做什么?你在玩,你在开心,你在做艺术,你不是在工作。不,这就是我……这就是我一直说的:当人们说“我工作很努力”,我会说“算是吧,也不算”。我一直在工作,但对他们来说那看起来像工作,对我来说感觉像玩。所以我知道没人能在这上面跟我竞争……跟我竞争,因为我每天就是玩 16 个小时。如果他们想跟我竞争,而他们是在“工作”,他们就会输,因为他们不会一周七天、每天 16 小时地干。好吧。
2:10:59听着,老兄,这场对话里有不少智慧珍宝,我希望人们能从中取出一些,应用到自己的生活里。我肯定会再听你讲一遍,并试着把……并试着把其中一些应用到我自己还没应用的地方。我真的很感谢你的时间,感谢你来这里。谢谢你邀请我。还有,请告诉大家你那些小小的播客——就是……就是 Naval 播客,对吧。是的,找到我最好的方式其实是在 Twitter,就 @naval。然后我有网站 nav.al,我有 YouTube 频道 Naval,我还有一个播客。就这些。
2:11:33好,非常感谢。谢谢你,真的很感谢。谢谢,大家再见。